Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Saturday - March 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (7/3/5/6/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/3/5/6/2)-(7/3/5/6/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/3/5/6/2)-(7/3/5/6/2)-(7/3/5/6/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/3/5/6/2)-(3/5) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (7/3/5/6/2)-(3/5)-(4/5/3) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
CT-2   WIN (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/5)-(3/5/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/5)-(3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (3/5)-(4/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/5)-(4/5/3)-(7/4/9/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CT-3   WIN (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/3)-(4/5/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/5/3)-(4/5/3/6)-(4/5/3/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/5/3)-(7/4/9/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/3)-(7/4/9/1)-(2/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CT-4   WIN (7/4/9/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/9/1)-(7/4/9/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/9/1)-(7/4/9/1)-(7/4/9/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/9/1)-(2/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (7/4/9/1)-(2/4)-(10/8/3/5) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
CT-5   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/4/5/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4)-(2/4/5/9)-(2/4/5/9) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (2/4)-(10/8/3/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/4)-(10/8/3/5)-(9/5/7/8/4) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
CT-6   WIN (10/8/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/8/3/5)-(10/8/3/6/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/8/3/5)-(10/8/3/6/5)-(10/8/3/6/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (10/8/3/5)-(9/5/7/8/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (10/8/3/5)-(9/5/7/8/4)-(6/1/4/8) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-7   WIN (9/5/7/8/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/5/7/8/4)-(9/5/7/8/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/5/7/8/4)-(9/5/7/8/4)-(9/5/7/8/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/5/7/8/4)-(6/1/4/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/5/7/8/4)-(6/1/4/8)-(4/8/11/9) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-8   WIN (6/1/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/4/8)-(6/1/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/4/8)-(6/1/4/8)-(6/1/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/1/4/8)-(4/8/11/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CT-9   WIN (4/8/11/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/11/9)-(4/8/11/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/11/9)-(4/8/11/9)-(4/8/11/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   03/04/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHURCH KEY Feb16 Jan14 Dec01 Nov11 Oct07 (harrison glen)SIMPSON JASON 126 10.00    
2  MODELO RUBIA Feb05 Jan29 Nov25 Nov07 Oct26 (maldonado )RIVERA R 111 12.00 8% 11.60    
3  REVEIRS MINUTE Feb25 Jan19 Dec10 Oct22 Oct01 (hess jacob )MENDEZ MARSHALL 126 4.00 21% 3.70    
4  RISKSRHIGHPAYISLOW Dec17 Nov26 Nov05 Sep03 Mar11 (atkins mi)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 8.00    
5  BESTLA Jan07 Apr28 Apr07 Mar20 Mar04 (mancilla car)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 6.00 12% 7.10    
6  JUBA'S HOUSE Feb04 Jan14 Dec07 Nov11 Oct20 (petty kris)ALMODOVAR GERALD 126 4.50 9% 10.60    
7  ALL WORKED UP Feb04 Jan25 Jan14 Dec09 Nov26 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 1.20 24% 3.10    
 
CT-2   03/04/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  XALTINGRUN Feb04 Dec02 Oct21     (lucas anthony)SIMPSON JASON 116 20.00    
2  BANK CARD Feb22 Feb02 Jan11 Dec15 Nov24 (pickett cry)RAMGEET R 126 5.00 ★    
3  JUJU ON DA BEAT Feb22 Jan18 Dec09 Nov18 Nov03 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 126 3.00 62% 0.60    
4  GOLDEN SALLY Feb11 Jan18 Jan06 Dec15 Dec03 (boggs joanna)RODRIGUEZ V 118 12.00    
5  WEAVINYOUINTHEDUST Jan11 Dec09 Nov03 Oct06 Sep24 (jackson l)CULLUM W 126 3.50 9% 10.50    
SCR  PRETTY CASTLE Feb22 Feb02 Jan25 Nov30 Nov03 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 10.00 ★    
SCR  ODINA Feb11 Feb04 Jan18 Jan06 Dec02 (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 118 4.00 ★    
8  AFLEET PENGUIN Feb11 Jan21 Dec15 Sep23   (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 6.00    
9  SUNSET QUEEN Feb11 Dec09 Nov30 Nov09 Sep24 (lucas anthony)BOCACHICA O 124 15.00    
 
CT-3   03/04/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3 F PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LUCKY BOP Jan26 Jan13       (craig lewis)RAMGEET R 122 12.00 5% 18.00    
2  STRYDA Feb11 Jan06 Dec17     (johnson jamey )ARAUJO DENIS 122 1.80    
3  LA MADDALENA Jan06 Dec17 Dec02     (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 122 10.00 15% 5.50    
4  GREAT SPIRIT Jul22         (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 120 2.00 30% 2.30    
5  KEEP ON SPURRIN Jan13 Dec17 Nov19 Oct29 Oct06 (petty kris)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 5.00 27% 2.70    
6  LUCKY BLONDE Jan13 Dec17 Nov24 Oct29 Oct08 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 6.00 ★    
7  MAKINLIMMARGARITAS Feb16 Jan06 Dec02     (gazzier kristy)RODRIGUEZ V 122 12.00    
 
CT-4   03/04/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.9K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHINY PENNY Feb25 Feb04 Jan27 Jan14 Dec17 (pickett crysta)ARAUJO DENIS 124 6.00 11% 8.40    
2  SOME IS NINE Feb16 Jan15 Dec31 Nov30 Nov11 (serey jr)PELTROCHE F 122 8.00    
3  TORCH CARRIER Feb11 Jan14 Dec17 Nov25 Nov18 (frock charle)LEWIS M 117 10.00    
4  FLOATING BY Sep21 Sep01 Aug11 Jul15 Jun25 (stahlin john)ADAMS L 117 5.00 15% 5.60    
5  SALTY SAUL Feb10 Jan11 Nov09 Oct15 Aug31 (mancilla car)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 12.00    
6  DUSTWHIRL WONDER Feb24 Jan25 Dec02 Nov05 Oct15 (pennella m)BAEZ M 117 20.00    
7  MARVELLA NASTY Feb10 Jan18 May14 Mar30 Feb11 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.80 42% 1.40    
SCR  CHARM WEAVER Jan13 Dec02 Nov03 Oct12 Sep21 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 8.00 ★    
9  DAT DARES GOLD Jan25 Dec08 Nov17 Nov12 Oct17 (haynes erne)RAMGEET R 124 4.50 11% 7.80    
 
CT-5   03/04/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHESAHUMBLEHUSTLER Jan25 Jan04 Dec17 Nov25 Nov05 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 122 15.00    
2  IRISH SAMURAI Feb11 Jan25 Jan04 Dec10 Dec01 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 3.50 20% 4.10    
3  CHANNEL SCENT Feb16 Jan25 Jan12 Jul30 Jun23 (sewell le)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 20.00    
4  JALEBI BABY Jan26 Jan05 Dec06 Nov08 Oct21 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 2.50 13% 6.40    
5  KOBE'S GIRL Feb16 Dec31 Dec17 Nov30 Nov19 (serey jr)PELTROCHE F 122 8.00 ★    
6  ULTIMATE BREEZE Feb11 Jan26 Jan12 Jan05 Dec10 (sandoval m)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 20.00    
7  LADY WHISTLEDOWN Feb11 Jan22 Dec10 Nov19 Nov07 (mancilla car)LEWIS M 117 3.00    
8  FORT ZANNA Feb04 Jan12 Dec16 Nov18 Nov02 (walters david )ARAUJO DENIS 124 15.00    
9  UPTOWN BELLE Dec10 Dec02 Nov11 Sep17   (knoblauch-perez)RODRIGUEZ V 122 6.00 ★    
10  PRETTY SPECTACULAR Feb11 Jan25 Jan04 Dec10 Nov23 (montill)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 15.00    
SCR  MAYSVILLE MISS Feb11 Jan25 Jan04 Dec10 Nov30 (farrior an)RIVERA R 117 6.00 44% 1.30    
SCR  GALACTIC TIDE Feb20 Jan29 Jan06 Dec04 Nov12 (young c)ORTIZ ORLANDO 118 12.00    
 
CT-6   03/04/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TYLER TIME Feb19 Jan25 Jan08 Dec10 Nov03 (mcfarlane br)LEWIS M 117 3.50    
2  DOHKO Feb15 Jan11 Nov11 Sep14 Sep07 (penalo)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 15.00    
3  RIGHTEOUS MAN Feb15 Jan25 Dec09 Nov12 Oct21 (kirlew lenwort)RIOS-CONDE A 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  CHESAPEAKE CHARLIE Feb10 Jan20 Dec14 Nov23 Nov10 (schottroffe)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 8.00    
5  URBAN WARRIOR Feb10 Jan21 Jan04 Dec02 Oct21 (mangual manolo)LOPEZ DERECK 114 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  OFFICER APPEAL Feb15 Jan28 Dec09 Dec01 Nov10 (jackson l)CULLUM W 124 6.00 ★    
7  BOOK OF DELANCEY Feb10 Jan25 Jan19 Dec20 Dec09 (hillegass ale)THORPE DARIUS 124 15.00    
8  ICE BAR Feb19 Jan27 Jan18 Jan05 Dec01 (pickett cry)RAMGEET R 124 4.00 10% 9.10    
9  PROUD UNION Feb10 Jan20 Jan07 Dec03 Nov18 (viands r)PELTROCHE F 124 5.00    
10  SULEMAN Feb10 Jan25 Jan05 Dec14 Dec06 (laguna homero)BOCACHICA O 124 4.50 54% 0.80    
SCR  MOUNTAIN TIME Feb15 Nov14 Nov02 Oct19 Oct03 (hillegass alexa)BOCACHICA O 124 20.00    
 
CT-7   03/04/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP M/F PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WAGER WORTHY Feb24 Jan18 Dec01 Nov16 Sep22 (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 5.00    
2  APPEALING ROAD Jan21 Jan06 Dec02 Nov11 Oct13 (joy kevin)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 6.00    
3  WOODSONG'S CASTLE Feb24 Feb02 Dec09 Nov18 Nov03 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 122 15.00    
4  PETTYFORURTHOUGHTS Feb24 Nov16 Oct27 Oct18 Sep15 (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 122 6.00 10% 8.60    
5  MAY MAYS CASTLE Jan20 Nov24 Oct27 Oct07 Sep16 (jackson l)CULLUM W 124 10.00 13% 6.90    
SCR  IHEARTRAINACOMN Feb09 Jan20 Jan06 Nov18 Oct06 (dollinger-st)MARRERO CARLOS 124 3.00    
7  I SHALLBE RELEASED Feb24 Jan20 Nov18 Oct27 Sep24 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 8.00 12% 7.30    
8  ALLI BOBBY Jan20 Dec09 Nov18 Oct06 Sep10 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 10.00 11% 8.20    
9  BEST VIRGINIA Jan13 Dec15 Nov24 Nov04 Oct13 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 118 3.50 28% 2.60    
 
CT-8   03/04/2023 4620ft DIRT RC9 GOOD Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($23K) 4UP M/F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VOLNAY Feb11 Jan01 Nov10 Oct19 Sep28 (perri gina)ALVELO C 122 6.00 10% 9.40    
2  SAX Jan05 Dec17 Nov25 Nov05 Oct22 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 122 20.00    
3  FLAT DISCOUNT Feb10 Jan25 Jan05 Dec12 Dec04 (ginter ra)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 12.00    
4  MALIBU MARLEE Oct02 Sep21 Aug25 Aug16 Jul24 (allen jeff)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 20.00 6% 15.00    
SCR  DIVINE FASHION Feb23 Feb11 Jan21 Jan14 Jan07 (farrior an)RIVERA R 115 8.00 15% 5.70    
6  DULCIMER DAME Feb23 Feb11 Jan21 Jan05 Nov10 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 126 0.80 35% 1.90    
7  CHINA CAT Feb11 Jan21 Jan05 Nov10 Oct19 (haynes erne)RAMGEET R 122 12.00    
8  TARGE Feb17 Jan21 Dec03 Nov25 Nov11 (perri gina)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 12.00 6% 16.70    
9  TEMPORARILY Feb11 Jan14 Dec14 Nov29 Nov12 (shanley timothy)CECIL Y 122 15.00    
10  SHERIFF'S KID Feb11 Jan18 Jan05 Nov10 Oct22 (price r)BOCACHICA O 122 10.00    
 
CT-9   03/04/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP M/F PT-11:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNBRIDLED IRISH Feb11 Jan13 Dec29 Nov21 Oct13 (farrior an)RIVERA R 119 5.00    
2  MAKO MISS Feb15 Jan01 Oct21 Sep03   (perez ernesto)RODRIGUEZ V 126 15.00    
3  REGGAETONI Feb10 Jan14 Dec16 Dec01 Oct14 (scott a)NUNEZ MAURICIO 126 20.00    
4  CAN'T FIGURE Feb11 Jan21 Dec17 Dec01 Nov18 (johnson jamey )ARAUJO DENIS 126 2.50 42% 1.40    
SCR  OUR GOLDEN COLLEEN Feb15 Jan21 Jan04 Jun16 May26 (hummer richa)MARRERO CARLOS 124 15.00    
6  JO AMY Feb15 Jan26 Jan11 Dec27 Nov23 (stites flint )THORPE DARIUS 126 10.00    
7  WHY LEA Feb10 Jan21 Dec17 Dec02 Nov05 (gazzier kri)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 3.50    
8  DULINI Feb15         (cooney sus)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 126 4.00 11% 8.30    
9  I'M SO EXTRA Feb11 Jan14 Dec09 Oct29 Oct05 (jackson l)CULLUM W 126 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  DAPPLESANDDIAMONDS Feb09 Dec08 Aug20 Aug05 Jul22 (covello andre)SIMPSON JASON 118 15.00    
11  SHADES OF BLUE Feb15 Sep26 Aug25 Jul14   (fulmer alli)MENDEZ MARSHALL 126 6.00 9% 10.40    
SCR  F F HELL CAT         (doran carl)ALMODOVAR GERALD 118 10.00 10% 8.60    
SCR  SWEET FACTOR Feb25 Feb04 Jan15 Jan07 Dec03 (mancilla car)BARBOSA JEIRON 113 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.