Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Grounds
Friday - February 24, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FG-1   WIN (6/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/2)-(6/1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2)-(6/1/2/3)-(6/1/2/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (6/2)-(4/1/3/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/2)-(4/1/3/2)-(3/4/5/2) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
FG-2   WIN (4/1/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/3/2)-(4/1/3/2/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/1/3/2)-(4/1/3/2/5)-(4/1/3/2/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/1/3/2)-(3/4/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/1/3/2)-(3/4/5/2)-(3/4/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FG-3   WIN (3/4/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/5/2)-(3/4/5/2/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/4/5/2)-(3/4/5/2/1)-(3/4/5/2/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/4/5/2)-(3/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/5/2)-(3/4/2)-(2/5/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FG-4   WIN (3/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/2)-(3/4/2/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/2)-(3/4/2/6/5)-(3/4/2/6/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/4/2)-(2/5/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/4/2)-(2/5/7)-(7/3/4/2/5) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
FG-5   WIN (2/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/7)-(2/5/7/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/7)-(2/5/7/6/8)-(2/5/7/6/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/5/7)-(7/3/4/2/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/5/7)-(7/3/4/2/5)-(8/9) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
FG-6   WIN (7/3/4/2/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/3/4/2/5)-(7/3/4/2/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/3/4/2/5)-(7/3/4/2/5)-(7/3/4/2/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/3/4/2/5)-(8/9) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (7/3/4/2/5)-(8/9)-(7/2) 20 $0.50 $10.00 
FG-7   WIN (8/9) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/9)-(8/9/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/9)-(8/9/2/1)-(8/9/2/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (8/9)-(7/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
FG-8   WIN (7/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/2)-(7/2/4/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/2)-(7/2/4/8)-(7/2/4/8) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FG-1   02/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HONORARY GUEST Jan19 Aug14 Jul23 Jun11 May27 (roussel lo)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 4.50 ★    
2  TEXAS TIDELANDS Feb03 Jan13 Nov05 Oct22 Oct07 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 121 6.00 7% 12.70    
3  PI YO PRINCESS Feb03 Jan13 Dec08 Sep19 Aug08 (mouton patri)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 6.00 ★    
4  CAVIAR RESOLUTION Feb09 Dec29 Dec15 Aug16 Jul19 (duhon joseph)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 3.00    
SCR  LADY CHURCHILL Dec31 Dec03 Nov19 Jul29 Jul14 (ducoing)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 3.50 14% 6.30    
6  GURKHA GOLD (IRE) Jan13 Dec15 Nov15 Oct22 Oct07 (broberg kar)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 2.50 44% 1.30    
 
FG-2   02/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUR HEATSEEKER Jan22 Nov24       (david b)PARKER L 125 3.50 16% 5.30    
  (by CUSTOM FOR CARLOS out of HEATSEEKER SHARON by HEATSEEKER (IRE))
2  IRON N STEEL Jan28 Jan05 Dec07 Nov12 Oct26 (brinkman bre)NIEVES EMANUEL 125 3.50 8% 11.40    
  (by IRON FIST out of OH WISE ONE by DUNKIRK)
3  DOUBLE ON THE RED Jan22 Jan05 Jul01 Jun16 May11 (zenon shelton)MELANCON G 125 4.00 9% 10.80    
  (by IDE LIKE A DOUBLE out of CAROLYN FRANCES by PERSONAL FLAG)
4  TRADER PRICE Jan26 Dec11 Oct26 Apr29 Mar27 (david sam )MURRILL MITCHELL 125 3.00 44% 1.30    
  (by MOTOVATO out of GIVE HER SPACE by DIVINE PARK)
5  GO BROTHER GO Dec11 Nov24 Sep03     (mouton )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 125 10.00 ★    
  (by CROWNED KING out of HOODATCROOK by BYARS)
6  RENATI Nov24 Sep26 Aug28 Jul26 Jun27 (duke steve)LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 10.00    
  (by IRON FIST out of NURSE EMMIELLE by PRIVATE VOW)
7  RUN ON ACES Jan22 Jan05 Dec11 Oct28 Jul13 (perron gerard)LANERIE J 125 6.00    
  (by HARD ACES out of RUNNING LADY by EL CORREDOR)
 
FG-3   02/24/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($20K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAJOR DEAL Feb05 Jan13 Dec24 Dec14 Sep11 (leblanc jean)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 12.00 ★    
2  KING TUFF Jan27 Jan13 May19 Apr21 Mar03 (bourgeois keith)RIQUELME J 122 3.50 8% 11.40    
3  MOUNT KENYA Jan28 Dec22 Jul03 Apr30 Jan29 (camejo j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 2.00 41% 1.40    
4  IZEONDEC Jan28 Jan13 Dec18 Nov03 Sep17 (rodriguez eduard)PARKER L 122 3.50 15% 5.80    
5  MOTOWN MISSILE Jan20 Nov24 Oct28     (asmussen st)GUTIERREZ REYLU 114 5.00 13% 6.90    
6  SEEKING SPLENDOR Jan13 Dec22 Aug03 Jul17 Jul07 (silva mig)HERNANDEZ J 122 6.00    
7  MASQUERADE BALL Feb16 Jan27 Jan06 Dec17 Dec08 (dorochenko gen)CHAVEZ ORIEL 122 12.00    
 
FG-4   02/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAT FIVE Dec18 Dec04 Sep24 Aug12   (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 122 8.00    
2  G'S LAW Feb10 Jan20 Sep17 Sep03 Jul31 (west g)GRAHAM J 117 8.00 5% 17.40    
3  RAMMER JAMMER Feb03 Jan13 Dec23 Dec04 Oct05 (faucheu)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 125 3.00 61% 0.60    
4  ACTION SEEKER Feb03 Jan01 Jan28     (roussel lou)GUTIERREZ REYLU 125 2.50 11% 8.50    
5  LET'S GO RANDOM Feb03 Jan07 Dec23 Nov19   (richards coral)GREEN AUBRIE 117 8.00 ★    
6  FASTNFURIOUS Feb03 Jan08 Dec18 Feb17 Jan16 (tracy tann)LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 3.00 ★    
7  UNAFFILIATED Feb11         (schmidt denise)MURRAY M 125 12.00    
8  HE IS WORTHY Jan13 Feb25 Jan20     (necaise larry)CHAVEZ ORIEL 125 30.00    
 
FG-5   02/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 3 ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BOSTON BLITZ Feb10 Jan20       (ney john)GEROUX FLORENT 122 5.00    
  (by POWER JAM out of GODDESS OF LOVE by LORD CARSON)
2  SYVESTAR Feb05         (camejo jos)URDANETA J 122 5.00 36% 1.80    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of SUPREME BEAN by SUPER SAVER)
3  HARPES HILL Feb05 Dec31       (patt roland )BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 12.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of INVENIAM VIAM by HALF OURS)
SCR  VALID EARLY Feb16         (camejo m)RIQUELME J 122 12.00    
  (by CLEARLY NOW out of TESTING ONE TWO by STAR GUITAR)
5  ANDERS SMILE Feb02 Jan12 Dec04 Nov19 Oct07 (david b)GRAHAM J 122 3.50 28% 2.60    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of UNFRIENDLY KOO by FRIENDLY LOVER)
6  CAJUN CONNECTION Jan28 Jan12 Dec22 Dec04 Nov11 (flint stev)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 6.00 ★    
  (by CONNECT out of STINGRAY CITY by HARD SPUN)
7  PESO PESADO Feb10 Dec10       (calhoun william)COHEN DAVID 122 2.50 8% 12.20    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of WICKED PERFECTION by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
8  IRON MOON Feb02 Jan20 Dec26     (wilson shane)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 5.00 ★    
  (by IRON FIST out of DIXIE SUE by DIXIELAND BAND)
 
FG-6   02/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($51K) 3 ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLINDEDBYTHEGEES Feb04 Dec23 Dec02 Nov05 Aug13 (alfortish sean)HEBERT J 119 10.00    
2  COPTER Feb04         (landry allen)GEROUX FLORENT 122 4.00 10% 8.70    
3  CALICOCO Feb05 Dec31 Dec10 Nov19 Sep13 (wilson s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 4.50 21% 3.80    
4  CLEAR AS A BELE Feb10         (dandridge cou)MORALES EDGAR 122 4.50 15% 5.60    
5  GEAUX SUGAR Feb05 Nov25       (david b)PARKER L 119 4.00 7% 14.40    
6  HOOSIER Feb04 Dec23 Dec08 Dec01   (camejo jos)URDANETA J 119 12.00    
7  LORDY LORDY Jan20         (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 3.00 26% 2.80    
8  SONO Feb05 Jan15       (lovell mic)ALBERT S 114 10.00    
 
FG-7   02/24/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($51K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCORING DRIVE Jan26 Jan05 Dec19 Nov26 Jul16 (richards coral)GREEN AUBRIE 121 4.00 ★    
2  MOMENT OF STARDOM Jan20 Sep12 Jun25 Mar01   (camejo jose )BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 2.50 ★    
3  PERRINS Jan26 Mar23 Mar05 Jan30   (stall m)LANERIE J 121 4.00    
SCR  SINGLE SHOT Jan26 Dec11 Jun11 May21 Apr08 (faucheux r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 8.00    
5  NORTHERNREFLECTION Jan26 Aug03 May11 Mar19 Mar05 (faucheu)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 10.00    
6  OLE STUD MUFFIN Feb10 Jan08 Dec01 Jun08 May06 (ladner herm)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 20.00    
7  WESTERN STAR Dec16 Oct05 Sep17 Aug30 Aug15 (govea cesar)BARANDELA SOFIA 116 10.00    
8  ONEFORVIVI Jan26 Sep24 Sep11 Jul26 May14 (klanfer alan)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 4.00 42% 1.40    
9  BOULDERING Feb10 Jan05 Mar19 Mar03 Jan30 (wilson shane)PARKER L 121 4.00 30% 2.30    
SCR  DUVEE Feb02 Jan05 Dec11 Nov24 Mar16 (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 3.00 ★    
 
FG-8   02/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RYAN'S GRACE Feb01 Jan20 Dec21 Oct22 Aug26 (flint stev)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 8.00    
2  MISS DISTINCTIVE Feb04 Jan01       (roussel lo)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 3.50 5% 19.00    
3  STOP SHOP N DROP Feb02 Jan07 Dec15 Nov03 Oct05 (castille ric)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 12.00    
4  SWIRLING WINE Nov18 Nov02 Oct20 Aug24 Aug14 (silva miguel)PARKER L 122 8.00 ★    
SCR  JAZLA Dec02 Sep05 Jul11 Jul02 Apr17 (nicks ra)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 2.50 38% 1.60    
6  ALLSTAR MAGIC Jan29 Jan05 Dec23 Dec04 Nov25 (ladner chad)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 20.00    
7  BET ON BOURBON Jan16 Jan05 Dec18 Nov26 Aug27 (camejo m)GREEN AUBRIE 119 4.50 34% 1.90    
8  HAPPY SAILS Feb09 Jan19 Nov18 Oct21 Oct01 (silva carlos )MORALES EDGAR 122 8.00 ★    
9  DUXONTHEPOND Feb05 Jan16 Feb06     (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 125 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.