Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Saturday - January 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (4/6/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/2/8)-(4/6/2/8/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/6/2/8)-(4/6/2/8/3)-(4/6/2/8/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/6/2/8)-(3/5/2/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/6/2/8)-(3/5/2/4)-(5/4/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-2   WIN (3/5/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/2/4)-(3/5/2/1/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/5/2/4)-(3/5/2/1/4)-(3/5/2/1/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/5/2/4)-(5/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5/2/4)-(5/4/3)-(4/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CT-3   WIN (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/3)-(5/4/3/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/3)-(5/4/3/6/1)-(5/4/3/6/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/4/3)-(4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/4/3)-(4/7)-(1/2/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
CT-4   WIN (4/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/7)-(4/7/3/6/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (4/7)-(4/7/3/6/2)-(4/7/3/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7)-(1/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/7)-(1/2/5)-(5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-5   WIN (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/5)-(1/2/5/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/5)-(1/2/5/4/8)-(1/2/5/4/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/2/5)-(5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/2/5)-(5/1)-(8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-6   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/1)-(5/1/8/7/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (5/1)-(5/1/8/7/3)-(5/1/8/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1)-(8/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (5/1)-(8/6)-(4/1/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-7   WIN (8/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/6)-(8/6/9/1/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (8/6)-(8/6/9/1/3)-(8/6/9/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/6)-(4/1/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
CT-8   WIN (4/1/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/9)-(4/1/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/9)-(4/1/9)-(4/1/9) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   01/14/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3 ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUPER KHOZAN Dec09 Nov25       (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 122 12.00    
  (by KHOZAN out of SPEAKING ROLE (GB) by SINGSPIEL (IRE))
BABY BULLDOG Dec08 Nov17 Oct28 Oct07   (rose j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 3.50 10% 9.50    
  (by UPTOWNCHARLYBROWN out of POLLARD'S GIRL by POLLARD'S VISION)
BARB'S PRIDE Dec11 Nov20 Oct29 Oct01   (frock )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 12.00    
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of ANOFFICERANDALADY by OFFICER)
TACOMA AUSTIN         (west aaro)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.50 38% 1.60    
  (by BIRD SONG out of NO NAME STREET by TO HONOR AND SERVE)
MIMS SECOND CHANCE Dec09 Nov25 Oct28     (rideout ant)RAMGEET R 122 6.00    
  (by TU BRUTUS out of REGAL DAVIDA by HOLY BULL)
BUY HERE PAY HERE         (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 3.00 24% 3.10    
  (by LAOBAN out of BLOND WARRIOR by A. P. WARRIOR)
BAL ROBINSON Dec09         (shanley mark)MORALES KELVIN 122 20.00    
  (by BAL A BALI (BRZ) out of BROOKSIE ROBINSON by CITY ZIP)
ITCHY PALMS         (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 5.00 8% 11.00    
  (by MADEFROMLUCKY out of GABBY'S BROWN by BIG BROWN)
 
CT-2   01/14/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.7K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAGIC IN ME Jan05 Dec20 Nov12 Oct19 Sep28 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 6.00    
SOCIAL EXCLUSION Dec17 Dec03 Nov15 Oct26 Sep28 (hillegass alexa)BOCACHICA O 122 15.00 14% 6.00    
TEMPORARILY Dec14 Nov29 Nov12 Oct19 Sep14 (delong ben)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 2.00 28% 2.50    
CHIT CHAT GIRL Dec17 Dec03 Nov25 Nov12 Oct15 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
SHINY PENNY Dec17 Nov25 Nov14 Oct27 Sep17 (pickett crys)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 5.00 26% 2.90    
LIGHTFOOT MISS Jan06 Dec02 Nov12 Oct23 Oct06 (frock a)CULLUM W 120 15.00    
HUFFLEPUFF Dec20 Nov24 Oct21 Oct09 Sep18 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 8.00    
DIVINE FASHION Jan07 Dec03 Nov18 Nov04 Oct28 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.80    
 
CT-3   01/14/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.7K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHACKLEFORDS STORM Dec16 Nov30 Nov05 Oct21 Sep29 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 3.00    
NOT A TRICK Jan01 Oct28 Oct11 Aug31 Aug10 (dunham berna)LEWIS M 115 3.50    
CASH FOR THE SOUL Nov30 Aug09 Jul14 Jun25 Mar31 (joy j)RIOS-CONDE A 120 15.00 20% 3.90    
JAMMIN STILL Jan06 Dec07 Dec01 Nov19 Nov12 (caison l)CECIL Y 122 8.00 26% 2.90    
WIDGET FACTORY Nov30 Oct13 Sep30 Sep08 Aug20 (hurley jac)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 4.00 28% 2.50    
FREEDOM IS RINGING Nov19 Oct28 Oct08 Sep22 Jul08 (jackson l)LARROSA G 122 8.00    
LOADED SNIPER Dec10 Nov19 Oct21 Sep25 Aug28 (frock )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 5.00    
ALPHA QUEUE Nov10 Oct22 Oct08 Sep09 Jul31 (comi w)HO WESLEY 120 6.00    
 
CT-4   01/14/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3 ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REVERE NOTE Oct09 Sep08 Aug24 Jul22 May30 (carlisle john)RIVERA JAVIER 118 15.00    
TREJO Dec16 Nov25 Oct27 Oct06 Aug28 (perez ernesto)RODRIGUEZ V 118 5.00    
BO'S BOURBON Dec17 Nov19 Oct22 Oct01 Sep05 (rawlings ama)BARBOSA JEIRON 113 4.00    
HAGGERSDALE Oct28         (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 2.50 59% 0.70    
SLIPPERY WHEN WET Dec22 Dec16 Nov25 Nov08 Oct11 (hayes lela)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 6.00    
GABRIEL'S WING Dec08 Nov25 Oct28 Oct06 Sep16 (figgins l)CRUZ ANGEL 120 3.50    
ISLAND D'LITE Dec17 Nov17 Oct27 Oct06 Sep16 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 4.50 14% 6.30    
 
CT-5   01/14/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALL WORKED UP Dec09 Nov26 Apr08 Mar13 Feb18 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 2.50 35% 1.80    
MY PRETTY EYES Dec07 Jun11 May21 Apr30 Apr09 (mckee d)ROCHA WLADIMIR 124 8.00 30% 2.30    
WITNESS THE ENERGY Dec07 Nov06 Oct20 Sep29 Aug23 (lucas antho)RAMGEET R 122 12.00    
IRON LADY AWAY Nov30 Jul04 Jun11 May23 Apr22 (wong jona)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.00    
THELADYISTRUE Dec01 Nov11 Oct20 Sep22 Sep09 (mckee john )MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 4.50 9% 10.60    
JUBA'S HOUSE Dec07 Nov11 Oct20 Sep22 Sep09 (casey a)THORPE DARIUS 124 12.00    
SCR  SOOEY'S PRINCESS Dec17 Nov26 Nov09 Oct22 Sep28 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 120 30.00    
LIME AFTER LIME Dec17 Nov26 Nov05 Oct15 Sep28 (atkins mi)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 20.00    
CASTLE LIGHTS Dec07 Nov09 Oct08 Sep21 Aug19 (joy j)BOCACHICA O 124 6.00    
 
CT-6   01/14/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KATALIMA Dec10 Nov26 Nov10 Oct28 Oct12 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 4.50 5% 17.70    
DALLAS Dec28 Dec02 Nov22 Nov04 Oct14 (salinas jose)ARAUJO DENIS 122 20.00    
BOUNDTOBEOK Dec08 Nov16 Oct08 Aug25 Aug04 (petty kristy)BOCACHICA O 124 15.00    
LADY CINCO DE MAYO Nov16 Oct01 Sep09 Aug26 Aug05 (johnson dew)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 15.00    
LUCYLOU WHO Dec08 Nov19 Oct20 May21 Apr27 (gerali)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 2.00 65% 0.50    
SCR  JUBA BABY Nov24 Oct13 Sep22     (curtis la)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 6.00    
WHALE OF A TIME Dec15 Nov02 Oct08 Sep15 Aug04 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 124 2.50    
ELLIES LIL CASTLE Dec15 Nov19 Nov11 Oct20 Oct08 (petty kristy)LARROSA G 124 5.00    
 
CT-7   01/14/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 4UP M/F PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WINDSOR'S PLAY Dec14 Nov30 Nov19 Oct22 Oct08 (rideout ant)RAMGEET R 120 8.00    
TIMETOGETUP Dec14 Oct22 Oct08 Sep15 Aug25 (casey a)LARROSA G 120 6.00    
SLEWING Dec14 Nov11 Oct26 Jun04 Apr23 (groves janice)RIOS-CONDE A 120 15.00    
CEDAR'S WISH Dec14 Nov30 Nov09 Oct13 Sep30 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 10.00    
LEMONSONDESURPRISE Dec07 Nov11 Oct26 Sep22 Sep01 (mangual manolo)ACOSTA D 122 10.00    
EMBERLY Dec14 Oct26 Aug18 Aug04 Jul02 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 2.50 35% 1.80    
CHURCH KEY Dec01 Nov11 Oct07 Sep07 Aug25 (harrison glen)SIMPSON JASON 120 12.00    
SAYYESTOTHELADY Nov30 Oct22 Sep21 Aug18 Jul21 (mckee john)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 3.00 38% 1.60    
JACKS SISTER JILL Dec15         (clement rolan)THORPE DARIUS 120 4.50    
 
CT-8   01/14/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOHAYMEN DAY Dec09 Oct17 Sep22 Sep01   (robertson r)HO WESLEY 124 4.00 10% 9.20    
REGGAETONI Dec16 Dec01 Oct14 Oct05   (knoblauch-per)ADAMS L 117 30.00    
HERECOMESPUDD Nov18         (locklear ja)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 20.00    
AT THE GATE Dec16 Dec01 Nov21 Nov04 Oct14 (maldonado jonat)BOCACHICA O 122 1.40 40% 1.50    
SCR  MANITOULIN ISLAND Dec04 Oct23 Jul17     (corrale)BRICENO GREGOR 122 5.00 6% 15.30    
RIGHT TO ASSEMBLE Dec14 Nov25 Aug30 Aug24   (dillon l)BAEZ M 115 15.00    
SCR  KRONE Dec11 Nov26 Nov02     (shuman)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 12.00    
SCR  SWEET VALERIA Dec02 Nov17 Nov03 Oct03 Sep18 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 4.50 17% 4.80    
I'M SO EXTRA Dec09 Oct29 Oct05     (jackson she)RAMGEET R 124 10.00 6% 15.30    
10  JASIRA Dec17 Dec02 Nov17 Oct15   (rangel ricard)SIMPSON JASON 122 50.00    
11  SERIOUS MOMENT Dec29 Dec16 Dec01 Nov13 Oct23 (kee willi)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.