Handicappers' Racing Form

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Turf Paradise
Monday - November 21, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
TUP-1   11/21/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($23.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOBBY BRINKLEY Jul30 Jun04 May07 Mar26 Mar03 (lucarelli frank)CRUZ M 124 4.50    
LONELY PRIVATE Nov07 Sep17 Aug17 Jul02 Jun18 (diodoro robertino)WADE LYNDIE 124 2.50 11% 7.90    
MR. STANG Aug28 Jul30 Jul02 Jun05 May02 (lucarelli frank)ZUNINO L 124 3.50 44% 1.30    
STAND TO Sep17 Sep09 Aug07 Jul17 Jun19 (baze lisa)VERGARA P 124 5.00    
CODY'S CHOICE (NZ) Sep17 Aug12 Jul30 Jul17 Jul01 (potts ashley )HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.00    
ROCKY JACK Oct03 Sep18 Aug23 Jul18 Jul03 (martinez a)LOPEZ KARLO 121 6.00 9% 9.50    
 
TUP-2   11/21/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BONITA RAPIDS Oct10 Sep15 Aug11 Jul30 Jul17 (woolley benni)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 12.00    
ELEGANT CRICKET Nov05 Sep30 Aug27 Aug10 May27 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 6.00    
ABBIE'S WAY Nov07 Oct24 Aug27 Aug17 Aug06 (valerio raym)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 5.00    
DIXIE RED Oct23 Aug30 Aug09 Jul19 Jul05 (silva pa)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 4.50 31% 2.30    
SWEET HONOR Nov04 Sep15 Aug31 Jul30 Jul17 (hern)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 3.50 16% 5.30    
FIRE DIAMONDS Oct16 Sep10 Aug07 Jul29 Jul01 (metz jeffrey)MAWING A 124 6.00    
AND I KNOW Jul17 Jun24       (mendoza eloy)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 8.00    
TIZ WONDERFULLY Oct01 Sep15 Aug28 Aug11 Jul30 (esquibel mark)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 6.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  TIMBERLAKE GAGE Oct15 Oct10 Aug27 Aug20 Jul04 (baze lisa)CRUZ M 124 8.00 6% 14.60    
 
TUP-3   11/21/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NORTHERN QUEST (FR) Nov05 Oct01 Sep03 Aug13 Jul23 (wheeler travis)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
RINGS OF SATURN Nov07 Sep18 Sep10 Aug27 Aug13 (potts ashley )HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00    
GORKY PARK (FR) Nov08 Sep15 Sep03 Aug13 Jul30 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 3.00 46% 1.20    
PROVOST Nov07 Sep24 Aug21 Aug06 Jul02 (alvarez sergio)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 4.50    
HAVEULOSTYOURMIND Sep12 Aug15 Aug01 Jul16 Apr26 (ortiz sr)VERGARA P 124 6.00    
BLESSED JOURNEY Nov07 Oct11 Sep25 Jul23 Jun11 (silva pa)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 12.00 8% 11.20    
HEY SEQUOIA Nov07 Oct14 Sep09 Aug27 Aug05 (nunnally jennifer)MAWING A 124 10.00    
REALLY SLOW Oct28 Oct14 Sep19 Sep07 Aug22 (brown jared)CARRENO J 124 10.00 19% 4.20    
FULL DRAW Oct15 Sep16 Aug05 Jun17 May13 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 3.50    
 
TUP-4   11/21/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($23.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:11
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WITH THATBEINGSAID Nov05 Sep03 Aug08 Jul09 Apr19 (torres-casas al)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 12.00    
FIRE ESCAPE Nov07 Aug27 Aug07 Jul01 May29 (rosales jorg)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 121 10.00    
V BUCKS Nov05 Aug18 Jul31     (diodoro robertino)CARRENO J 124 3.00 16% 5.40    
DYNAMIC MIMI Jun18 May13 Mar04 Jan30 Jan10 (eikleberry kevi)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 6.00    
MISS GLORIOUS Nov05 Sep30 Sep16 Sep04 Aug24 (hernandez mig)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00    
MISS IMPORTANT Jul31 Jul11 May21 Apr26 Apr12 (christian billy)LULL E 124 12.00 15% 5.70    
LARIMAR Oct22 Sep23 Aug26 Jun24 Jun09 (metz jeffrey)WADE LYNDIE 124 10.00    
FIRST PROMISE Sep19 Aug22 Aug08 Jul11 Mar28 (george cynthia)ZUNINO L 121 6.00    
MISSCZECH Oct09 Aug16 Jul31 Jun18 Mar28 (eidschun gregory)CRUZ M 121 10.00    
10  A ROZE AND WINE Aug21 Jul17 Jul03 Jun11 May19 (aspr)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 4.00 45% 1.20    
 
TUP-5   11/21/2022 4950ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIJO GALANTE Nov04 Aug25 Jul28 May06   (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 119 5.00    
TWIST OF FATE Oct01 Sep25 Jul09 Jun18 Jun05 (davis c)CARRENO J 119 20.00    
UPO Nov08 Sep09 Aug05 Jul02 Jun24 (rosales jorge)WADE LYNDIE 122 8.00 28% 2.60    
ETU BABOU Oct08 Sep02 Aug20 Aug05 Jul22 (hedge rick)MAWING A 122 10.00    
ITS BIG Oct24 Oct11 Sep27 Sep04 Aug23 (silva l)VALDES ALEXIS 121 12.00    
ATOMIC CANDY Nov05 Sep14 Sep07 Aug27 Jul16 (rarick wade)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.50 7% 13.90    
DILLON ROCKS Sep23 Sep05 Aug13 Aug01 Jun25 (gutierrez qu)LOPEZ KARLO 122 5.00    
MOONLITE GRAHAM Nov05 Jul23 Jun26 Apr21 Mar28 (barraza s)VERGARA P 122 6.00 39% 1.50    
GIANT PAYDAY Nov08 Oct06 Jul16 Jul07 Jun11 (eidschun gregor)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 4.00    
10  ECHO ALPHA SIX Jul27 Jul07 Jun15 Jun02   (silva pa)WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 8.00    
 
TUP-6   11/21/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($9.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GHOST OF GENEVIEVE Aug25 Aug14 Jul09 Jun26 May21 (silv)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 12.00    
FULLY COMPLIANT Nov12 Aug20 Aug06 Jul09 Jun26 (toye joe)ANAYA V 124 12.00    
WAY TO FIRE Nov12 Sep19 Sep10 Aug27 Aug08 (silva l)VALDES ALEXIS 124 6.00 6% 15.30    
SWEET LADY LANA Nov05 Sep12 Sep03 Jul30 Jul11 (gleason m)LARA EZEQUIEL 121 5.00 48% 1.10    
CLARE CRESCENT Sep14 Aug18 Jul30 Jul04 Jun25 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 6.00    
SQUARE FOOTAGE Nov12 Sep09 Aug19 Aug07   (diodoro robertino)LOPEZ KARLO 121 3.00 13% 6.70    
IMPULSUS Aug18 Jul07 Jun19 May28 Apr23 (kenney ryan)CONNING CRYSTAL 121 5.00    
AWESOME GALAXY Nov05 Sep10 Aug22 Jul30 Jul11 (torres-casas )WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 20.00    
SALLY STANFORD Nov04 Oct10 Sep11     (martinez este)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 4.00 9% 10.20    
10  OLD WEST Apr08 Mar09 Feb21 Jan27 Jan14 (trejo amalio )MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00    
 
TUP-7   11/21/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($13.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EL MAESTRO Nov05 Sep11 Jul30 Jul03 Jun12 (baze lisa)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 5.00    
BAPTISM (GB) Nov09 Jun20 Jun14 Jun06 May10 (torres-casas)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 10.00    
HOTFOOT (GB) Nov03 Sep28 Aug06 May27 Apr30 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 8.00 6% 14.80    
SANTALUZ DREAMIN Sep04 Aug19 Aug10 Jul18   (crotts e)CARRENO J 124 3.00 43% 1.30    
WE MISS GENO Oct01 Sep19 Aug29 Jul25 Jul11 (nelson amy)MAWING A 124 12.00    
ALLEVA Nov07 Sep16 Aug19 Aug05 Jun26 (ferguson curt)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.50    
J T'S A. T. M. Nov04 Sep17 Aug26 Jul30 Jan09 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 124 4.00 15% 5.90    
EXHILARATOR Sep10 Aug28 Aug06 Jul10   (rollins scott)VERGARA P 124 12.00    
SINGANDCRYINDUBAI Sep28 Sep05 Aug16 Aug01 Jul13 (brown jared)CORBETT W 124 8.00 9% 10.10    
 
TUP-8   11/21/2022 4950ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAY MAGICIAN Nov08 Sep19 Aug20 Aug05 Jul22 (ferguson curt)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 6.00 7% 12.60    
MOSQUITO FLEET Oct08 Sep17 Sep02 Aug21 Aug05 (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 122 8.00    
MIAMI CROCKETT Aug31 Aug17 Jun26 Jun04 Feb28 (kenney ryan)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 10.00    
MOVE OVER (GB) Sep09 Aug07 May27 May06 Mar19 (howey quinn)VERGARA P 122 5.00    
BIGFOOT CITY Nov08 Sep08 Aug25 Aug10 Jul27 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 4.50 41% 1.50    
TIGER BY HIS TAIL Nov07 Jul09 May29 Apr24 Apr03 (barrio sergio)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 12.00    
NOBLE PURSUIT Nov07 Sep17 Sep08 Aug14 Jul09 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 3.50    
BOB'S ALL IN Nov08 Sep17 Aug20 Aug11 Jul30 (asprino alfredo)LOPEZ KARLO 122 2.50 16% 5.40    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.