Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Wednesday - November 09, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   11/09/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PARABLE Oct26 Sep23 Sep08 Sep01 Aug25 (bobadilla f)LEAHEY HANNAH 115 30.00 5% 19.00    
2  TALENTED TAPPER Oct26 Oct05 Sep23 Sep08 Aug31 (harigeorgiou konstan)CORA D 122 10.00    
3  MASKED HEROINE Oct11 Jun24 May25 Mar20 Mar06 (synnefias pana)CONNER TYLER 121 3.50    
4  SHOYYOOKH Oct25 Oct12 Aug31 Aug18   (carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 122 6.00 ★    
5  SHANIA SEA Oct24 Aug18 Jul22     (coletti edw)NUNEZ Y 122 3.00 15% 5.80    
6  MAMBA QUEEN Oct16 Sep11 Aug15 Jul28 May19 (mcmahon deme)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 2.00 45% 1.20    
7  SUZY Q THE QUEEN Oct21 Oct05 Sep16 Sep03 Aug10 (lake scot)RODRIGUEZ R 122 4.50 7% 13.70    
 
PEN-2   11/09/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PSYCHE Oct25 Sep14 Aug26 Aug04 Apr06 (stites w)CONNER TYLER 121 1.40 30% 2.30    
2  VALENTINA'S CUPID Oct11 Sep23 Aug25 Aug10 Jul22 (albright r)CORA D 122 4.50 ★    
3  SIMPLE JUSTICE Oct11 Sep23 Aug19 Jul21 Jun15 (mick r)RODRIGUEZ E 121 10.00 ★    
4  TROPICALDEPRESSION Oct25 Oct11 Sep14 Aug26 Jun15 (carpio erin)LEAHEY HANNAH 114 1.60 35% 1.90    
5  MEEMOO Oct11 Sep23 Jun23 Jun09 May13 (kravets b)VARGAS L 122 5.00 12% 7.50    
 
PEN-3   11/09/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 2 ALL PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDEN TREASURE         (kravets m)AGUILAR M 121 6.00 6% 15.10    
2  MIGHTY MINION         (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 121 10.00    
3  HIGH STRIKE         (wames j)CHIAPPE R 121 12.00    
4  NEON SIGN Oct18         (lucas bon)RODRIGUEZ R 121 2.00 50% 1.00    
5  LOBO IRISH         (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 121 15.00    
6  BULLITT MCQUEEN Oct13 Aug29       (stites flin)CORUJO LEONARDO 121 2.50 22% 3.50    
7  CASH GAME         (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 10.00 ★    
8  CHIEF BULLET Oct18         (beattie cody)LEAHEY HANNAH 114 8.00    
9  OUT OF STOCK         (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 121 8.00 ★    
 
PEN-4   11/09/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALPHA SIXTY SIX Oct07 Sep09 Aug24 Jul21 Jun19 (crook-dem)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.00 29% 2.50    
2  WINNERS WIN Oct26 Oct12 Sep21 Aug24 Aug17 (bobadilla f)CORA D 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  TURNS Oct18 Sep21 Aug26 Aug03 Jul13 (kulp l)WHITNEY G 123 4.50 ★    
4  MISTER GARY Oct26 Sep22 Sep08 Aug24 Jun23 (carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 120 5.00    
5  ONE NINER TANGO Oct29 Oct19 Sep17 Aug02 Jun09 (lake scot)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00 ★    
6  TIZ HANDSOME Oct25 Oct04 Aug29 Aug08 Jul24 (lucas bonnie)CONNER TYLER 124 1.80 38% 1.70    
 
PEN-5   11/09/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 2 ALL PT- 7:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BYK         (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 121 4.00 ★    
SCR  TONE OF GENIUS         (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 121 10.00    
3  BEJUCO         (carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 121 12.00    
4  UPFOR PAROLE         (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 8.00 ★    
5  WARRIOR'S CAUSE         (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 121 12.00    
6  MY BLUE EYES Oct07         (salvaggio micha)WHITNEY G 121 3.00 51% 1.00    
7  ON AN ISLAND         (kravets m)AGUILAR M 121 6.00 ★    
8  SIR SMOAK Oct18 Sep22       (lingenfelter )DIAZ VLADIMIR 121 3.50 26% 2.90    
9  BOOK RUNNER         (houghton thomas)CORA D 121 8.00    
 
PEN-6   11/09/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WILL TAKE ROSES Oct19 Oct05 Sep15 Aug31 Aug03 (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00 ★    
2  CALL ON CLARA Oct15 Sep21 Sep02 Aug19 Aug03 (reck christop)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 12.00    
SCR  TIZ A SHARPIE Oct11 Sep11 Jul22 May20 Mar28 (pattersh)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 10.00    
4  DANCE A LITTLE JIG Oct26 Oct12 Sep23 Aug31 Aug12 (ferreira fer)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 30.00    
5  MOONCHILD Oct04 Sep20 Aug17 Jun29 May31 (padilla-precia)ADORNO ABNER 122 3.00 21% 3.70    
6  MY DIXIE LASS Oct22 Sep09 Aug22 Aug03 Jul09 (lawrence james)CONNER TYLER 119 4.00 36% 1.80    
7  TWEET AWAY ROBIN Oct06 Sep17 Aug08 Jul23 Jun23 (mcmahon deme)BARBOSA JEIRON 115 4.50 14% 6.00    
8  VILLAREGGIA Oct26 Oct19 Oct01 Sep23 Aug25 (cash norma)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 113 5.00 ★    
9  ONE MORE KELLY Oct17 Sep26 Aug24 Jul28 Jul18 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 119 6.00    
 
PEN-7   11/09/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  STONE SCULPTOR Oct21 Oct12 Sep23 Sep15 Sep01 (bobadilla f)CORA D 120 4.00 15% 5.80    
2  ROYAL'S INVASION Oct21 Oct12 Jul28 Jul15 Jun10 (cifarelli frank)WHITNEY G 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  PEAKY BLINKERS Sep01 Aug17 Aug03 Jul08 Jun23 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 119 8.00    
4  LAKE NAKURU Oct04 Sep21 Sep06 Aug30 Aug10 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 1.80 53% 0.90    
5  VIOLENT PASS Oct22 Oct06 Sep02 Aug04 Jul06 (lucas bon)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.00 ★    
6  TOUCH OF PRINCE Oct21 Oct04 Sep07 Aug18 Jul28 (kreiser t)VARGAS L 122 4.50 ★    
 
PEN-8   11/09/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMMANDING         (rodriguez fra)LEAHEY HANNAH 116 6.00    
2  MISTER ARANGUIZ Oct25 Oct07 Sep16 Sep07 Aug18 (bobadilla f)CORA D 124 30.00 5% 19.00    
3  KAZTHAROS Oct18 Sep16 Aug05 Jul15 Jul01 (synnefias dimi)CONNER TYLER 123 2.00 63% 0.60    
4  D'LUCCI BOY Sep27         (dunham be)RODRIGUEZ R 124 8.00    
5  ASK THE UMPIRE Oct25 Oct07 Apr08     (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 123 12.00 9% 10.60    
6  ECLIPTICALS BEAR Oct25 Oct07 Sep16 Aug31 Jul28 (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 124 1.60 ★    
7  VINDICATO Oct21 Oct07       (kravets m)AGUILAR M 123 4.50 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.