Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Mountaineer Park
Wednesday - November 02, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MNR-1   11/02/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WESTLODGE INTRIGUE Oct10 Oct04 Sep12     (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 6.00 18% 4.60    
COCO MACHEN Oct16 Aug02 Jun27 May23   (baird michael)PAUCAR E 120 6.00 27% 2.80    
BELLA BASORA Oct16 Sep20 Aug24 Jul26 Jun19 (gotera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 15.00    
WILD LOOKER Oct24 Oct10 Sep22 Aug30 Aug16 (jimenez migu)LUNA ELEMANIEL 113 3.50 6% 16.10    
SHANNON'S GIRL Sep13 Aug15 Jul13 Jun28 Jun07 (murillo rodr)TERRAZA GERMAN 110 3.00    
LADY MARVEL Oct17 Oct03 Aug30 Aug16 Aug08 (jimenez mig)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 4.00    
SCR  GRAND VENUS Oct25 Oct19 Sep22 Aug24 Aug16 (gotera ca)JURADO EDDIE 118 12.00    
SCR  LADY MADISON Oct05 Aug01 Jun24 May20 Apr27 (viands gr)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 4.50 21% 3.70    
 
MNR-2   11/02/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAY DEFENSE Oct19 Oct11 Aug31 Aug03 Jul03 (gotera ca)JURADO EDDIE 123 3.50    
SALT MINE TEDDY Oct11 Oct03 Sep19 Sep05 Aug14 (weymes v)YARANGA Y 120 4.00 11% 8.10    
RICKI TORNADO Sep27 Aug10 Jul26 Jun24 Jun11 (montano wilf)ROLDAN FELISHA 108 10.00    
HOWARD ROARK Sep28 Sep22       (martinez ma)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 4.50 10% 9.40    
MAJOR LLOYD Sep28 Sep12 Jul05 May12 Mar17 (west aa)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 2.50 46% 1.20    
CONNECTED Oct26 Oct10 Sep27 Sep13 Aug31 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 5.00    
GOLDEN OAK Oct25 Oct17 Oct03 Sep19 Sep08 (fiesman r)CORREA L 120 8.00    
 
MNR-3   11/02/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEST YOUR FAITH Oct24 Oct10 Sep19 Aug24 Aug08 (campbe)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 15.00    
CLASSIC TALE SAVER Oct11         (ackerma)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 2.50    
NELL'S BELLS Oct24 Sep27 Sep19 Jul13 Jun06 (spiess m)HOUGHTON D 123 10.00 10% 8.60    
HURRY UP CHIC CHIC Sep13 Jul27 Jun14     (reed r)LAGUNES GABRIEL 118 1.40 34% 2.00    
SCR  MILLIONDOLARMONKEY Sep30 Jun29 Mar08 Feb19   (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 118 2.00 20% 4.00    
CHASE THE LIGHT Sep21 Sep06 Jul29     (martinez mat)GONZALEZ KEVIN 118 15.00    
 
MNR-4   11/02/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KISS OF THE WOLF Oct02 Sep12 Aug30 Aug16 Aug02 (stanoszek sara)DAVILA M 120 15.00    
AWESOME OX Oct23 Oct02 Sep14 Aug30 Jul31 (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 120 2.50 23% 3.30    
GATTO MARRONE Oct23 Oct02 Sep14 Aug30 Aug22 (spiess shan)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 8.00 16% 5.20    
FANCY LANCY Oct16 Sep26 Sep07 Aug28 Jun28 (cain crys)CORREA L 120 1.20 29% 2.50    
TOMMY TUESDAY Oct24 Oct10 Sep25 Sep14 Aug31 (gray )MONSERRATE A 120 3.00    
JACKZILLA Oct03 Aug21 Aug08 Jul31 Jul17 (ewell devan)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 12.00    
 
MNR-5   11/02/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JIMA'S GOLD Oct18 Sep25 Sep12 Aug14 Jan09 (norris steph)ROLDAN FELISHA 113 30.00 14% 5.90    
VIVE EL MOMENTO Sep28 Sep15 Aug29 Aug22 Jul12 (gotera ca)JURADO EDDIE 123 1.80    
DEWYALOVEMENOW Oct18 Oct03 Aug24 Jul12 Jun20 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 1.60 59% 0.70    
LIGHT HEARTED Oct18 Oct03       (herri)MONSERRATE A 123 4.50    
TIZ PROMISING RVF Oct20 Oct12 Sep28 Sep22 Sep12 (valdez moises)HOUGHTON D 123 4.00    
TWN TAWFEERS PARTY Oct12 Oct02 Sep12 Aug24 Aug14 (stanoszek sara)DAVILA M 123 10.00    
 
MNR-6   11/02/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($18.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SOLITAIRE GAME Oct09 Aug17 Jul21 Jun26 May25 (cluley denn)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 6.00    
KITCHI Oct24 Oct19 Sep28 Sep14 Aug31 (gomez aleja)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 6.00    
BACK ALLEY CAT Oct24 Sep04 Aug30 Jul25 Jun26 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 4.00 27% 2.70    
CAPE LOOKOUT Oct22 Sep27 Aug27 Jul16 Jul08 (viands )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 5.00 10% 9.10    
DON'T POKE THE CAT Oct24 Oct18 Oct04 Sep19 Aug31 (gomez ale)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 4.50 22% 3.50    
UNION BROTHER Oct19 Oct09 Sep07 Aug14 Jul24 (reed larr)CORREA L 123 6.00 8% 11.20    
AFLEET MOMENT Oct11 Sep23 Aug28 Jul25   (stephen anth)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 2.50    
 
MNR-7   11/02/2022 8580ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZERO GRAVITY Oct26 Sep28 Sep05 Aug17 Jul25 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 120 1.40 34% 2.00    
GILES Oct25 Oct12 Sep28 Aug31 Aug17 (go)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 5.00    
COUNT FROST Sep28 Sep05 Aug03 Jul05 Jun26 (caramori ed)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 6.00 21% 3.80    
SCR  LOOKING FOR BULL Oct26 Oct16 Sep19 Sep11 Aug28 (hancock davi)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 12.00    
GOLD FELLOW Oct25 Oct04 Sep27 Jul28 Jun11 (valdez moises)HOUGHTON D 120 20.00    
WARRIOR'S REMARK Oct03 Aug30 Aug08     (cluley denn)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 1.60 23% 3.30    
 
MNR-8   11/02/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SAN NICOLA PRANCER Oct23 Oct11 Sep13 Aug17 Jan08 (mcfall robert)PAUCAR E 120 15.00    
WICKED VALENTINE Oct23 Oct09 Sep14 Aug21 Aug09 (langley c)YARANGA Y 123 15.00    
CARLIE Q BLUE Sep28 Aug16 Apr25 Mar08 Jan25 (west aa)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 1.20    
NINJA KITTEN Oct26 Oct17 Oct11 Sep20 Aug17 (lopez a)DAVILA M 120 6.00    
PACENZA Oct11 Sep27 Sep06 Aug23 Jul30 (ce)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 2.50 8% 12.20    
ESTA CALIENTE Oct23 Sep13 Aug31 Aug17 Jul27 (depasquale l)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 50.00    
MY WYNTER ECHO Oct23 Oct10 Oct02 Sep14 Aug21 (bayley randy)LUNA ELEMANIEL 113 15.00    
MON PARADIS Oct23 Oct10 Sep28 Aug17 Jul18 (blankenship do)JURADO EDDIE 120 4.50 59% 0.70    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.