Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belmont At The Big A
Sunday - September 18, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BAQ-1   09/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($95K) 2 ALL PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG WICKS         (clement christoph)SAEZ LUIS 119 2.00 ★    
1A  OHANA HONOR Aug13         (mcgaughey cl)CASTELLANO J 119 2.00 47% 1.10    
2  MONTEPULCIANO Jul30         (pletcher todd )LEZCANO JOSE 119 4.50 ★    
3  SKELLIG Aug13         (terranova john)ORTIZ L 119 3.50 23% 3.30    
4  PHELPSY Jul23         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00 ★    
5  POINT PROVEN Aug06         (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00    
6  EXPECTED VALUE Aug20         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 2.50 6% 15.70    
 
BAQ-2   09/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEETER (BRZ)         (englehart c)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 4.00 31% 2.20    
2  INFRINGEMENT Sep05 Aug11 Jul20 Jun25 May06 (persaud randi)CASTILLO AMIN 121 15.00    
3  SHAMALAMADINGDONG Jun11 Apr29       (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 123 1.40 38% 1.60    
4  HANDLE THE TRUTH Aug17 Jul27 Jul04 Jun05 May19 (metiv)HERNANDEZ OMAR 114 20.00 ★    
5  TRUE EMPRESS Jul22 May30 Apr30 Apr02 Feb19 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 120 1.20 ★    
6  MY DELICIOUS Sep05 May20 Apr22 Mar27 Mar04 (summers )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
BAQ-3   09/18/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($95K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHISKEY LULLABY Aug19 Jul22 Jun04 Apr09   (camejo m)ORTIZ L 120 4.00 5% 19.00    
2  ROSIA BAY Jun17 Apr22       (devaux cheri)CASTELLANO J 120 6.00 ★    
3  SAREEHA (IRE) Aug06         (motion graha)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 6.00 15% 5.90    
4  FREE CHICKENS Aug19 Jun05       (abreu r)SAEZ LUIS 120 15.00    
5  LIBRETTO (IRE) Aug14 Jul20 Jun25 May28 Apr15 (abreu r)LEZCANO JOSE 120 12.00    
6  SISTER MAC Sep02         (duarte j)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 30.00    
7  KINCHEN (IRE)         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 27% 2.70    
8  VERONICA GREENE Jul23 Jun09 Apr15     (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 2.00 33% 2.00    
 
BAQ-4   09/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MAXIM MOMENT Aug19 Jul04 Jun03 May20 Apr16 (jacobson david)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.00 18% 4.50    
2  TACO BEAN Jul24 Jun05 Apr24 Apr01 Mar13 (klesaris robe)ORTIZ JR 121 5.00    
3  FORTY COMETS Aug20 Jun30 May05 Apr01 Feb26 (ryerson t)SAEZ LUIS 121 12.00 10% 8.70    
4  NICHOLAS JAMES Aug19 Jul29 Jul01 Jun05 May08 (reynolds)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 4.50 ★    
5  STORM SHOOTER Sep04 Jul28 May27 May21 May05 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 5.00 23% 3.40    
6  MOONSHININGBRIGHT Jul24 Jul03 May29     (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 123 8.00    
7  COLLOQUY Aug27 Jun30 May01 Mar27 Feb24 (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.00 23% 3.30    
 
BAQ-5   09/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($95K) 2 F PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  TANGENTIAL         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 2.50 12% 7.30    
SCR  RANDOMIZED Jul24         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 2.50    
2  TREASURED GEM Aug21 Jul24       (clement chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 10.00    
3  ANISTON         (pletcher todd )ORTIZ L 119 5.00 ★    
4  BINSKY Jul21         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 6.00 11% 8.30    
5  MO SHIRO Aug28 Aug07       (mcpeek kenneth )CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00 5% 18.80    
6  MILIEU Jul31         (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00    
7  GRAND ENTRANCE         (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00    
8  PEACE CRUISER Aug07         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 2.00 52% 0.90    
 
BAQ-6   09/18/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($72K) 2 ALL PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUTLAW COUNTRY         (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00 ★    
2  BREAK THE ICE         (hennig mark)CASTELLANO J 119 10.00    
3  OBSCURED BY CLOUDS         (ryerson james )LEZCANO JOSE 119 15.00 ★    
4  CHESS SPECTACULAR         (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00    
5  FORBIDDEN SECRET Aug18 Jul21       (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 1.80 67% 0.50    
6  GOING IN STYLE Aug22         (camejo m)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 5.00 ★    
7  ULUMALU Sep05 Aug19       (mcpeek kenneth )CARMOUCHE K 119 10.00    
8  EE YAH Aug25 Jun04       (jacobson david)ORTIZ L 119 4.00 7% 13.00    
9  WEEKEND TIZZY         (boniface ke)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 12.00    
10  FLASHY ALEX Sep05 Aug26       (persaud randi)CASTILLO AMIN 119 30.00    
 
BAQ-7   09/18/2022 3960ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAY JEWEL Aug11 Jul21 Jun26 Jun12   (ferraro )GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 4.00    
2  ATHWAAQ Sep04 Aug04 Jun25 Jun10 Apr16 (reynolds patri)ORTIZ L 121 2.50 10% 8.90    
3  MUCHA MEZQUINA Aug19 Jul17 Jun30 Jun04 Apr23 (salvaggio mark )CANCEL ERIC 123 5.00 21% 3.70    
4  MORE MANGO Jul29 Jul02 Jun17 May22   (ferraro james )RICHARDS G 123 15.00    
5  ITSAKEYPER Aug18 Jul22 May27 Jan29   (albertrani thomas)SAEZ LUIS 121 6.00    
6  QUALITY STONES Aug06 Jun17 May19 Apr29 Apr07 (quick)HERNANDEZ OMAR 114 12.00    
7  JASMINESQUE Aug28 Aug03 Jul01 Jun03 May12 (sciacca gar)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 12.00    
8  ANGELINKA (FR) Aug11 Jul08 May14     (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.50 13% 6.50    
9  JEN'S BATTLE Aug11 Jun26 Jun19 May12 Apr03 (barrera oscar)CASTILLO AMIN 121 30.00 8% 11.40    
SCR  CUSTOMEREXPERIENCE Aug05 Jul15 Jun23 May19 Apr29 (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 121 1.40    
SCR  CHLOE ROSE Aug21 Jul16 Jun18 May27 Apr28 (rodriguez gust)LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.00 21% 3.80    
 
BAQ-8   09/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($85K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DANGEROUS EDGE Aug20 Jul28 Jul02 Jun16 May28 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 122 6.00 13% 6.80    
SCR  CURLIN'S WISDOM Sep02 Aug06 Jul28 May29 May01 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 10.00 ★    
3  BLITZ TO WIN Aug20         (tagg barclay)CASTELLANO J 124 10.00    
4  DR. BLUTE Aug20 Jul31 May12     (joseph saffie )ORTIZ L 122 1.80 16% 5.20    
5  WHITTINGTON PARK Aug20 Jul08       (cox h)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00 6% 16.90    
6  FORTY TWO ACE Aug24 Jul28 Jun18 Mar19 Feb24 (baker charlton)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.50 41% 1.40    
7  GREAT WORKOUT Aug27 Jul28 Jul04 May05 Apr16 (rice linda)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 4.00    
 
BAQ-9   09/18/2022 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($150K) 3 F PT- 5:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAJESTIC GLORY (GB)         (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 122 8.00    
  (by FRANKEL (GB) out of BELLA NOUF by DANSILI (GB))
2  GOLDEN ROCKET Aug18 Jul23 Jul03 Jun03 Jan12 (farro pa)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 30.00    
  (by ALPHA out of TATY'S GOLD by TOUCH GOLD)
SCR  HOWDYOUMAKEURMONEY Aug18 Jul09 Jun19 Apr30 Mar26 (trombetta micha)CARMOUCHE K 118 30.00 7% 14.10    
  (by FREUD out of EXCLUSIVELY YOURS by DEERHOUND)
4  FAITH IN HUMANITY (FR) Aug25 Jul24       (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 5.00 26% 2.80    
  (by UNKNOWN out of SHARAVANA by FASTNET ROCK (AUS))
5  A MO REAY Aug25 Jul14 Jun10 Apr08   (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of MARGARET REAY by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
SCR  LIA MARINA Mar05         (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 120 15.00 11% 8.30    
  (by UNCLE MO out of LIRA by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
7  BREEZE EASY (GB) Aug11 Jun25 May28     (clement chri)CASTELLANO J 118 4.50    
  (by UNKNOWN out of POLAR CIRCLE by ROYAL ACADEMY)
8  BAHAMIAN CLUB (IRE) Aug12 Jun16 Feb12     (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00 21% 3.80    
  (by KINGMAN (GB) out of DALDIYNA by DANSILI (GB))
9  MISS CAROL ANN (IRE)         (motion graha)ORTIZ L 118 10.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
10  SAIL BY Aug20 May28 Apr24     (gyarmati leah)LEZCANO JOSE 122 12.00    
  (by ASTERN out of FLY BY by JOHAR)
SCR  SARATOGA CHROME Aug11 Jul16 Jun04 Apr28   (nevin miche)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 50.00    
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of QUEEN OFTHE DAWN by SUN KING (IRE))
12  GINA ROMANTICA Aug25 Jul14 May07 Apr10 Mar12 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.50 11% 7.90    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of SPECIAL ME by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SCR  WONKA Aug25 May28 Mar27 Jan30   (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 8.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of MONARCHIA by ARCH)
 
BAQ-10   09/18/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MONTAUK SUMMER Sep03 Aug20 Jul23 Jun24 Mar19 (dini mike)LEZCANO JOSE 124 5.00    
2  SHADY MCGEE (IRE) Aug20 Jul30 May21 Mar12 Feb13 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 124 10.00    
3  HIEROGLYPHICS Sep10 Sep03 Aug06 Jul30 Jul09 (chatterp)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 12.00 ★    
4  QUIET OUT EAST Aug11 Jul15 Jun19 Jun02 May15 (brown bruce )CASTELLANO J 122 8.00    
5  BIG AGENDA Jul30 Jun25 Apr30 Apr14 Feb26 (sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 124 3.50 6% 16.80    
6  THE LAST ZIP Aug21 Jul30 Jul10 Feb24 Jan13 (abreu fernando)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 4.50 ★    
7  MONARCHS GLEN (GB) Aug21 Jun23 May05 Apr10 Mar12 (maker michael )ORTIZ L 122 4.00 58% 0.70    
8  IT'S MANDATORY Jul19 May07 Apr30 Feb26 Jan20 (englehart chr)FRANCO MANUEL 124 15.00    
9  JACK THE CAT Jul30 Jun25 May28 Apr16   (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 124 5.00 11% 7.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.