Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Saratoga
Saturday - August 27, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SAR-1   08/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($105K) 2 ALL PT-11:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GAME WARDEN         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 8.00    
2  TRACK MATE Aug06         (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00    
3  VERIFYING         (cox h)ROSARIO JOEL 119 2.50 28% 2.60    
4  DIDINGER Aug03         (reid e)LEZCANO JOSE 119 6.00 11% 7.90    
5  NARCISO DALI         (chichakl)HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 119 20.00 ★    
6  KING'S GLORY (GB)         (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 1.80 38% 1.60    
7  STANDARD OF PROOF         (brown c)ORTIZ L 119 3.50 ★    
 
SAR-2   08/27/2022 5610ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($105K) 2 ALL PT-12:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DECANTED         (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00    
SCR  FIRE BARON Aug13         (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00    
2  SCAT TU TAP         (rodriguez)LEPAROUX R 119 20.00    
SCR  HIGHLAND LORD         (tagg barclay)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00    
SCR  ALEXIS ZORBA (GB) Aug06 Jul22       (o'brien josep)VELAZQUEZ R 119 3.50 41% 1.40    
5  TRIPLE START         (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 119 5.00 ★    
6  READ ON Aug13         (romans dale)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 10.00    
7  AMERICA'S GUEST Jul30         (gargan danny)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00 ★    
SCR  TAKE ME TO JIMMY         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.00 34% 2.00    
SCR  THE COUNT Jul26         (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 119 10.00    
10  FUNTASTIC AGAIN Jul01         (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 3.50 5% 19.00    
 
SAR-3   08/27/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT-12:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ON THE HILL Jul29 Jul03 May19 Apr02 Feb21 (bond james)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 28% 2.50    
2  BOLD JOURNEY Jul31 Apr01 Mar05 Feb12   (mott i)ORTIZ L 120 4.50 17% 4.90    
3  COLORMEPAZZI Jul31 Jul08 May31 May12 Apr15 (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 124 8.00    
4  G MUNNING Jul31 May30 Apr23 Mar13 Feb12 (joseph saffie)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.50    
5  TOMMY THE TORCH Aug13 Jul26 Jul11 Jun29   (tebbutt joh)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 15.00 9% 9.60    
6  MAJORITY PARTNER Jul14 Apr30 Mar12     (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 4.00 13% 6.50    
7  COLLOQUY Jun30 May01 Mar27 Feb24   (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00    
8  MR. KRINGLE Aug10 Jul16 Jun18 May13 Feb27 (terranova)LEPAROUX R 124 15.00 9% 9.60    
9  GREAT WORKOUT Jul28 Jul04 May05 Apr16 Mar19 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 124 6.00    
 
SAR-4   08/27/2022 5610ft TURF RC5 GOOD Grade II Stake/Handicap Purse ($400K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIGH OPINION Jul27 Jun14 May14 Apr16   (dutrow anthon)VELAZQUEZ R 118 8.00 ★    
  (by LEMON DROP KID out of MORE RESPECT by MORE THAN READY)
2  LEMISTA (IRE) Jul23 Jun18 May14     (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 3.00 ★    
  (by RAVEN'S PASS out of SHORTMILE LADY by ARCANO (IRE))
3  OUR FLASH DRIVE Aug07 Jul02 May14 Mar27   (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00 27% 2.70    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of DYNAMOTOR by DYNAFORMER)
4  FLUFFY SOCKS Jul23 Jun18 May06 Apr14   (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 3.50 ★    
  (by UNKNOWN out of BREAKFAST TIME by KITTEN'S JOY)
5  TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (IRE) Jul16 May21 Apr16     (brown c)ORTIZ L 122 1.00 43% 1.30    
  (by UNKNOWN out of SEALIFE by SEA THE STARS (IRE))
 
SAR-5   08/27/2022 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade I Stake/Handicap Purse ($600K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BABY YODA Jul16 Jun10 May05 Apr14 Feb12 (mott i)ORTIZ L 118 8.00 ★    
  (by PROSPECTIVE out of MORE THAN SPEED by MORE THAN READY)
2  DRAFTED Jul02 Jun04 May14 Apr09 Feb05 (dug)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 30.00 ★    
  (by FIELD COMMISSION out of KEEP THE PROFIT by DARN THAT ALARM)
3  JACKIE'S WARRIOR Jul30 Jun10 May07 Apr16   (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 124 0.50 53% 0.90    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of UNICORN GIRL by A. P. FIVE HUNDRED)
4  THREE TWO ZONE Jul17 Jun17 May21 Apr20 Mar08 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 118 12.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of STAR RATING by DANSILI (GB))
5  CODY'S WISH Jul04 May07 Mar12     (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 3.50 22% 3.50    
  (by CURLIN out of DANCE CARD by TAPIT)
6  PIPELINE Jul23 Apr22       (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of VIVO PER LEI by EMPIRE MAKER)
7  KNEEDEEPINSNOW Jul30 Jul02 Jun11 Apr29 Mar19 (shirer m)SANTANA JR 118 15.00 ★    
  (by FLAT OUT out of MICHELLEINHEARTS by LION HEART)
 
SAR-6   08/27/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MUST BE LOVE Aug03 Jun25 Jun09 May26 May13 (rodriguez gust)LEZCANO JOSE 120 15.00    
2  LIFE CHANGER Jul29 Jun05 May05 Apr01 Feb19 (terranova john)ROSARIO JOEL 124 3.50 43% 1.30    
SCR  LEDDY Aug03         (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 10.00    
4  JET SPEED Aug06 Jul30       (hemingway michell)SAEZ LUIS 124 8.00 20% 3.90    
5  BALTASAR Jul29 Jun05 May05 Apr10 Mar13 (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 124 4.00 ★    
SCR  SMOKEY WHITE Jul18 Jun27 May23 Apr27 Mar19 (preciado guada)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 8.00    
7  SWIFT TAP Aug03 Jul01 Jun19 May29 May06 (atras ro)SANTANA JR 118 6.00 ★    
8  LUNI SIMA Jul03 Jun04 May08 Apr08 Feb25 (walder peter )ORTIZ JR 120 6.00 11% 8.30    
9  DOCTOR LOVE (FR) Aug14 Jul24 Jun22 May19 Mar25 (clarke d)DAVIS A 120 20.00    
10  MISBEHAVED Jul01 Jun05       (pletcher t)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 6.00    
 
SAR-7   08/27/2022 3630ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMEDY TOWN Jul29 Jul04 May20     (trombetta m)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 4.50    
1A  OLD CHESTNUT Jul03 Apr28 Mar19     (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 122 4.50    
SCR  MAXWELL ESQUIRE Aug04 Jul04 May29 May12   (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 124 5.00    
3  DISCREET TUNE Jul18 Jun17 May22 Apr07 Feb19 (david carlos )ORTIZ JR 126 4.00 20% 4.10    
4  NOBLE EMOTION Jul29 Jun19       (de horacio)ORTIZ L 122 4.50    
5  RANGER FOX Jul04         (terranova john)ROSARIO JOEL 124 3.50 13% 6.70    
6  CHARMED (GB)         (antonacc)SANTANA JR 122 8.00 5% 18.00    
7  CAZADERO Jan14         (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 8.00 6% 15.10    
8  BATTLE STATION Jul24 Jul04 Jun10 May28 Apr23 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 122 10.00    
SCR  HIGHER STANDARD Aug10 Jun26 Apr02 Mar09 Feb05 (amoss m)RIDER TBA 120 3.00    
SCR  FOOLISH GHOST Jul04         (rodriguez rudy )CARMOUCHE K 124 2.00 29% 2.40    
SCR  AMUNDSON Jul30 Jun16 Apr29 Feb27   (diodoro )SANTANA JR 126 2.50    
 
SAR-8   08/27/2022 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade I Stake/Handicap Purse ($500K) 3 ALL PT- 3:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CONAGHER Aug01 Jul09 Jun03 Apr13 Feb23 (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 118 3.50 36% 1.80    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of YOU SHOULD BE HERE by NIAGARA CAUSEWAY)
2  RUNNINSONOFAGUN Jul31 Jul02 May15 Mar29 Mar05 (toscano t)CARMOUCHE K 118 30.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of GOLDEN ARTEMIS by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  HOWLING TIME Jul23 Jun12 May21 Apr16 Mar05 (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 10.00 ★    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of WEREWOLF by ARCH)
4  ACTUATOR Jul09 Jun08       (mccarthy mich)VELAZQUEZ R 120 12.00    
  (by BODEMEISTER out of INDIAN ROCKET (GB) by INDIAN RIDGE (IRE))
5  HAPPY JACK Jul24 Jun19 May21 May07 Apr09 (o'neill doug)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 15.00    
  (by OXBOW out of TAPITSTRY by TAPIT)
6  JACK CHRISTOPHER Jul23 Jun11 May07     (brown c)ORTIZ L 124 1.20 36% 1.70    
  (by MUNNINGS out of RUSHIN NO BLUSHIN by HALF OURS)
7  TOTALIZER Jul24 Apr07 Mar11 Feb26 Jan27 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 50.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of TAXABLE by TAPIT)
8  GUNITE Jul31 Jul03 Jun03     (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 6.00 ★    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of SIMPLE SURPRISE by COWBOY CAL)
9  ACCRETIVE Jul31 Jun26       (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50 ★    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of MALLORY STREET by STREET SENSE)
 
SAR-9   08/27/2022 5940ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade I Stake/Handicap Purse ($600K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LETRUSKA Jun11 Apr23 Feb26     (gutierrez faus)ORTIZ L 124 3.00 25% 3.10    
  (by SUPER SAVER out of MAGIC APPEAL by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
2  SEARCH RESULTS Jul23 Jun11 May08 Apr09   (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.50 21% 3.80    
  (by FLATTER out of CO COLA by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
3  CLAIRIERE Jul24 Jun11 Apr23 Mar16   (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 124 1.20 25% 3.00    
  (by CURLIN out of CAVORTING by FOOLISH PLEASURE)
4  CRAZY BEAUTIFUL Jul24 Jun25 Apr22 Apr02 Feb26 (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 118 15.00 ★    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of INDIAN BURN by INDIAN CHARLIE)
5  MALATHAAT Jul24 Jun11 Apr22     (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 124 2.50 ★    
  (by CURLIN out of DREAMING OF JULIA by A.P. INDY)
 
SAR-10   08/27/2022 7920ft TURF RC5 GOOD Grade I Stake/Handicap Purse ($750K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ADHAMO (IRE) Jul23 Jun11 May07 Feb19   (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 3.50 10% 8.80    
  (by UNKNOWN out of FOREIGN TUNE by INVINCIBLE SPIRIT (IRE))
2  CROSS BORDER Jul31 May30 Apr02 Jan29   (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 15.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
3  BROOME (IRE)         (o'brien aidan )MOORE L 122 3.00 29% 2.50    
  (by AUSTRALIA out of SWEEPSTAKE by ACCLAMATION (GB))
4  COLD HARD CASH Jul28 Jul09       (rice linda)VELAZQUEZ R 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of PERFECT LEGACY by TAMAYAZ)
5  ROCKEMPEROR (IRE) Jul31 Jun11 May07     (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 8.00    
  (by HOLY ROMAN EMPEROR out of MOTIVATION by MUHTATHIR)
6  GUFO Jul23 Jun11 May14 Apr02   (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 122 4.50 20% 4.10    
  (by DECLARATION OF WAR out of FLOY by PETIONVILLE)
7  TRIBHUVAN (FR) Jul23 Jun11 May07     (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 124 5.00 16% 5.20    
  (by TORONADO (IRE) out of MAHENDRA (GER) by NEXT DESERT (IRE))
8  SOLDIER RISING (GB) Jul31 Jul08 Jun03 May01   (clement christ)ORTIZ L 118 15.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of SAHRAWI by PIVOTAL (GB))
9  CHANNEL MAKER Jul08 Jun11 Apr23     (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 120 8.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of IN RETURN by HORSE CHESTNUT (SAF))
10  MIRA MISSION Jul15 May07 Apr15 Mar05 Jan15 (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 118 12.00    
  (by NOBLE MISSION (GB) out of KAZAMIRA by DYNAFORMER)
 
SAR-11   08/27/2022 6600ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade I Stake/Handicap Purse ($1250K) 3 ALL PT- 5:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CYBERKNIFE Jul23 Jun12 May07 Apr02 Feb19 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 126 3.50 22% 3.50    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of AWESOME FLOWER by FLOWER ALLEY)
2  RICH STRIKE Jun11 May07 Apr02 Mar05 Jan22 (reed r)LEON SONNY 126 10.00    
  (by KEEN ICE out of GOLD STRIKE by SMART STRIKE)
3  AIN'T LIFE GRAND Jul23 Jul09 Jun11 Apr30   (von hemel )GAFFALIONE TYLER 126 20.00 11% 8.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of CAT D'ORO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
4  GILDED AGE Jul29 Jul04 Feb05     (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 126 30.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of ANGELA RENEE by BERNARDINI)
5  ARTORIUS Jul29 Jun10 Apr16     (brown c)ORTIZ JR 126 4.50 ★    
  (by ARROGATE out of PAULASSILVERLINING by GHOSTZAPPER)
6  EPICENTER Jul30 May21 May07 Mar26 Feb19 (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 126 1.40 26% 2.90    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of SILENT CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
7  EARLY VOTING Jul30 May21 Apr09 Feb05   (brown c)ORTIZ L 126 8.00 16% 5.30    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of AMOUR D'ETE by TIZNOW)
8  ZANDON Jul30 May07 Apr09 Feb19   (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 126 5.00    
  (by UPSTART out of MEMORIES PREVAIL by CREATIVE CAUSE)
 
SAR-12   08/27/2022 3630ft TURF RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KREESA         (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 119 5.00 ★    
2  FEATHERS ROAD Jul30 Jul09 Jun10 May21 Apr03 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 3.50 43% 1.30    
SCR  CHIEF ENGINEER Jul30 Jul08 Jun26 Jun04 May21 (cash russell )PANAIJO JORGE 119 30.00    
4  EMPIRE SKY Aug07 Jul17       (crook-demasi ka)CARMOUCHE K 119 4.00 15% 5.60    
5  RIPE FOR MISCHIEF Jul30 Jul09 May21     (bond james)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00    
6  FUOCO Jul30 Jun10       (serpe phili)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 12.00    
7  HEYMACKIT'SJACK Jul30 Jul09 Jun10 Apr28 Mar20 (brion keri)ORTIZ JR 124 3.00 11% 8.30    
8  SIR JOHN Aug06         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 12.00 9% 10.40    
9  STEERAGE Jul31 Jun19       (brown r)ROSARIO JOEL 119 6.00    
 
SAR-13   08/27/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($115K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PARNAC (FR) Jul08         (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.00    
2  INVINCIBLE GAL (GB) Jul08         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 2.50 31% 2.30    
3  RUNAWAY ROCKETTE Jul29 Jun12 Apr29 Apr20 Mar02 (morley thom)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 15.00    
4  WICKED GROOVE Jul30 Jun14 Feb26 Jan28   (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 125 8.00 ★    
5  JOIN THE DOTS Jul29 Jun11 May22 Mar18 Jan07 (mcgaughey cla)VELAZQUEZ R 123 15.00 ★    
6  SALIMAH (IRE) Jan22         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 3.50    
7  RHOMBIQUE Jul22 Jun17 Jun04 May01 Apr08 (ribaudo robe)SAMUEL L 123 30.00    
8  A LITTLE FAITH Jul24 Jul02       (levine bruce)SAEZ LUIS 123 10.00 20% 3.90    
9  MISS TAPIRADO Jul08 Jun17 Apr09     (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 125 5.00    
SCR  WASP Aug26 Jul10 Jun12 Mar13 Feb06 (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 125 2.00    
SCR  MINUTE WALTZ Jun26 Jun02       (bauer phi)LEPAROUX R 123 6.00    
SCR  JANE GREY Jul23 Jun10       (mott i)RIDER TBA 123 1.80 26% 2.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.