Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Keeneland
Wednesday - October 15, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
KEE-1   WIN (3/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/7)-(3/2/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/2/7)-(3/2/7/1)-(3/2/7/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/2/7)-(4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/2/7)-(4/5)-(7/4/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
KEE-2   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/5)-(4/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/5)-(7/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/5)-(7/4/1)-(5/7/1/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
KEE-3   WIN (7/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/1)-(7/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/4/1)-(7/4/1)-(7/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/4/1)-(5/7/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/4/1)-(5/7/1/2)-(7/12/14/9) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
KEE-4   WIN (5/7/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/1/2)-(5/7/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/1/2)-(5/7/1/2)-(5/7/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/1/2)-(7/12/14/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/7/1/2)-(7/12/14/9)-(5/4/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
KEE-5   WIN (7/12/14/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/12/14/9)-(7/12/14/3/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/12/14/9)-(7/12/14/3/9)-(7/12/14/3/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/12/14/9)-(5/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/12/14/9)-(5/4/7)-(10/1/6/3/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
KEE-6   WIN (5/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/7)-(5/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/7)-(5/4/7)-(5/4/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/7)-(10/1/6/3/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/4/7)-(10/1/6/3/7)-(5/2/4/9) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
KEE-7   WIN (10/1/6/3/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/1/6/3/7)-(10/1/6/3/12/7) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    TRI (10/1/6/3/7)-(10/1/6/3/12/7)-(10/1/6/3/12/7) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
    DD (10/1/6/3/7)-(5/2/4/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
KEE-8   WIN (5/2/4/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/4/9)-(5/2/4/11/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
KEE-1   10/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($57K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHIRINGO Aug01 Jun28 May23 Apr25 Mar21 (d'angelo jose)ORTIZ JR 121 2.50 ★    
2  PURE PANIC Sep11 Apr12 Mar08 Jan31 Jan03 (foster eri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.00 20% 4.00    
3  I GOT NO MUNNY Sep15 Aug17 Jul31 Jul03 Jun13 (martinez kell)MORALES EDGAR 121 4.50 47% 1.10    
4  MACRON Sep21 Aug09 Jul04 Jun15 May18 (ward dan)CEDILLO ABEL 121 3.00    
5  PRIORITY LANE Sep12 Aug01 Jul03 Jun14 Jun06 (amoss m)ORTIZ L 121 8.00    
6  PRINCIP Sep27 Jun21 May31 Mar14 Jan05 (kantarmaci m)TORRES A 121 6.00    
7  CAPTIVATED DRAMA Sep15 Sep01 Aug08 Jul05 Jun15 (johnston lane )SAEZ GABRIEL 121 12.00 8% 11.00    
 
KEE-2   10/15/2025 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($69K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHOTSHELL Sep06 Aug22 Jul20 Jun29 Jun13 (roberts bl)CEDILLO ABEL 121 20.00    
SCR  UNLIMITEDPOTENTIAL Sep28 Aug13 Jun15 Jun07 Apr24 (kantarmaci m)TORRES A 121 8.00    
SCR  UNCASHED Sep18 Aug24 Jul27 Jul14 Jun19 (rivelli larry)ORTIZ JR 121 3.50    
4  PINFIRE Aug02 Jun26 May29 May11 Mar04 (tomlinson m)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 1.00 59% 0.70    
5  PAYNE Sep18 Aug09 Jul14 Jun06 May11 (foster er)TORRES A 121 4.50 12% 7.10    
SCR  DADDY JUSTIFY Sep11 Aug18 Aug02 Jun19 Apr30 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 15.00    
7  ALTERNATE REALITY Sep28 Aug31 Jul16 Jun07 Apr26 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 121 6.00    
 
KEE-3   10/15/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($58K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDENAGEACTRESS Aug22 Jul06 May25 Apr17 Mar22 (block chris)ORTIZ L 118 6.00 9% 10.30    
2  PRINCESS NY Sep13 Jul21 Jun24 May25 May08 (davis christopher)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00    
3  MIZMALICE Sep13 Aug07 May25 May11 Apr07 (hiles rick)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 10.00    
4  PLANET CLARE Sep13 Aug04 Jun22 Dec18 Nov17 (antonucci je)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 8.00 14% 6.10    
SCR  SHE'S A SWEDE Sep14 Aug06 Jul17 Jan18 Dec29 (mcpeek ke)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 1.40    
6  MISS TIFEYE Sep24 Nov28 Oct31 Oct09 Sep15 (shirer a)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00    
7  PARKING LOT POURS Sep19 Aug20 Jul03 Jun19 May19 (brownfield cl)MORALES EDGAR 120 4.50 46% 1.20    
 
KEE-4   10/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($69K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BATTLESHIPPER Sep26 Aug29 Aug17 Jul26 Jul13 (martinez kell)MORALES EDGAR 118 6.00 9% 10.40    
2  MISS ARLINGTON Aug03 Jun27 May26 Feb23 Jan03 (williamson)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  SEPTEMBER MAGIC Sep19 Jul27 May02 Apr04 Mar08 (jacobson d)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 8.00    
4  RUN CAMILA RUN Oct01 Sep06 Aug10 Jul12 Jun26 (decker anna)CEDILLO ABEL 118 20.00    
5  GREEK HEIRESS Aug24 Aug03 May24 Sep15 Jun08 (schultz lindsa)ORTIZ L 121 2.50 56% 0.80    
6  BIRDIE ROSE Sep10 Aug30 Aug17 Jul20 Jul05 (salas mar)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 4.00    
7  GOLDEN DEGREE Sep21 Aug07 Jun26 May01 Feb01 (morey william)ORTIZ JR 121 1.60 10% 9.10    
 
KEE-5   10/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($53K) 2 ALL PT- 3:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BARSTOOL Sep21 Sep13 Aug22 Aug01 Jul13 (vasquez germ)MONCADA IRVING 119 8.00    
2  SECRETO UNO Sep06 Jul25       (simms mark )CONCEPCION AXEL 119 10.00    
3  DR FENN Sep21 Jul19 Jun19     (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 6.00 ★    
SCR  DREAMOFYOU         (morse l)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 8.00    
5  ALLEQUIN SUMMER Aug22         (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 119 12.00    
6  GO JACK GO Sep14 Aug08       (brisset rodol)ORTIZ JR 119 4.50    
7  HAFU Sep26         (gutierrez f)GUTIERREZ MARIO 119 5.00 56% 0.80    
8  CHIQUITA'S WAY Sep08 Aug23 May15 Apr23   (laur)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 116 30.00    
9  STORMY ZAPPER         (moger jr)CEDILLO ABEL 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  WOOD YOU DARE Sep26         (moreno ti)LEPAROUX R 119 20.00    
11  TIMS Sep04 Aug10       (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 10.00    
12  SPRINGHAWK         (caramori edu)TORRES A 119 6.00 12% 7.10    
SCR  ALTER BOY         (cline c)MCKEE J 119 8.00    
14  SIERRA POWER Jul10 Jun19 May29     (pinzon maria)CALLEJA ANDRES 119 15.00 8% 11.20    
 
KEE-6   10/15/2025 7920ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($130K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STATEMENT MADE Sep04 Aug07 Jul19 Jun25 Jun10 (wojczynski jus)DOYLE SOPHIE 118 30.00    
SCR  KISS BLUE Aug28 Jul17 Jun23 Jun02 Feb06 (mott riley)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.00    
3  VINOS ANGEL Aug28 Aug08 Jul17 Jun26 Jun18 (bahena i)RODRIGUEZ A 122 20.00    
4  POPPY THE PRINCESS Aug24 Jul21 Jun13 May17 Apr12 (newton tr)LEPAROUX R 118 4.50 18% 4.70    
5  AYRA STARK (ARG) Sep06 Aug16 Jul11 May18   (correas ignaci)ORTIZ L 124 1.40 49% 1.00    
6  ROYAL SUITE Aug27 Jul30 Jul09 Jun04 May01 (mcpeek kennet)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50    
7  COZEE RAGS Aug24 Mar12 Feb07 Dec14 Oct20 (michael brian)MORALES EDGAR 122 8.00 8% 11.00    
 
KEE-7   10/15/2025 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($110K) 2 F PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAM TAM Aug23         (bauer a)ORTIZ L 119 3.50 25% 3.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of PRINCESS JULIA by DISTORTED HUMOR)
2  OF ALL THINGS Sep13         (casse mark)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 20.00    
  (by MCKINZIE out of JO MARIE by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
3  ROCKIN ROBIN Sep10         (casse mark)ORTIZ JR 119 10.00 9% 10.70    
  (by ROCK HARD TEN out of TU TU LARUE by THEATRICAL (IRE))
4  TRAMUNTANA Sep13         (kenneally eddie)CURTIS BEN 119 12.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of SUE'S SWEET SIOUX by INDIAN CHARLIE)
5  LIVE LIFE (FR)         (correas ignac)CANNON DECLAN 119 20.00    
  (by LINAMIX (FR) out of REINE DE LA CIEL by CONQUISTADOR CIELO)
6  ESSENTIAL COFFEE Aug10 Jun29 May30     (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 12.00 17% 5.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of WINDING WAY by MALIBU MOON)
7  CORD OF HOPE         (lynch a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of CALISTOGA by CLAIM)
8  MORE SWEETER Aug30         (walsh bre)DETTORI LANFRANCO 119 15.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of SWEET SERMON by TAPIT)
SCR  ROSE OF SAN ANTONE         (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of SCRATCH N CLAW by BRIEF RUCKUS)
10  BONNE SANTE Sep13         (walden william)SAEZ LUIS 119 2.50 26% 2.90    
  (by INSTILLED REGARD out of SOCIAL MATRIX by JIMMY CREED)
11  HOLLY'S HOLIDAY         (mcpeek ke)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 30.00    
  (by MAXFIELD out of BLAST by ROAR)
12  NYCON         (beckman whit)ROSARIO JOEL 119 6.00 ★    
  (by NYQUIST out of RAISE THE FLAG by DR. ADAGIO)
13  CALL ME PRECIOUS Sep10         (lynch brian)GUTIERREZ MARIO 119 20.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of MY GAL BETTY by POINT OF ENTRY)
 
KEE-8   10/15/2025 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COTILLARD Sep07 Aug04 Jul04 Jun11 May15 (seglin e)MEZA JJ 118 30.00    
2  DANGHERECOMESSHANG (IRE) Aug30 Jul06 May16 May22   (ward a)ESPINOZA V 118 5.00 26% 2.80    
SCR  MECHAYA Aug28 May31 May10 Oct27 Oct04 (divito p)CURTIS BEN 118 3.00    
4  LOST AND FOUND Sep02 Aug02 Jun28 Dec28   (walden willi)TORRES A 120 8.00 10% 9.40    
5  TALES OF THE HEART (IRE) Aug30 Aug02 Jul03 Jun05 Apr16 (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 38% 1.60    
6  SHE'Z THE LAW Aug09 Jul14 Jun08 May18 Oct05 (foley greg)VELAZQUEZ R 121 15.00    
7  LOVELY EMMA Aug22 Jul06 May10 Dec19 Oct20 (eurton peter)ORTIZ L 118 12.00    
8  JUDITH Sep11 Aug08 Jul20 Oct19   (thomas jo)DETTORI LANFRANCO 120 15.00    
9  LAURICE Sep07 Aug07 Jul11 May10 Apr11 (weaver george)ORTIZ JR 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  HEYLOOKMEOVER Sep03 Jul26 Jul10 Jun18 Sep19 (robertson hugh)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 30.00    
11  BUNDCHEN Aug28 Jun05 Apr16 Feb14 Jan17 (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 121 6.00 ★    
12  SPEIGHTER WOMAN Sep24 Aug28 Jul26 Jun28 May31 (lovell mi)HERNANDEZ J 121 20.00    
SCR  BUNRATTY MANOR (IRE) Aug28 May10 Mar29 Mar09 Jan16 (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00    
14  STAY CLASSY May10 Mar16 Feb16 Jan12 Nov30 (lynch bri)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 12.00    
SCR  EPIC STYLE Aug30 Jul25 Jun27     (stidham mich)GEROUX FLORENT 120 10.00    
SCR  DREAM ON STORMY Sep24 Aug21 Aug07 Jul23 Jun26 (winston f)LEPAROUX R 121 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.