Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Monday - August 11, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (10/7/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/7/5/8)-(10/7/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/7/5/8)-(10/7/5/8)-(10/7/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (10/7/5/8)-(3/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (10/7/5/8)-(3/1/7)-(2/7/6/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TDN-2   WIN (3/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/7)-(3/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/7)-(3/1/7)-(3/1/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/7)-(2/7/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/7)-(2/7/6/1)-(3/5/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-3   WIN (2/7/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/6/1)-(2/7/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/6/1)-(2/7/6/1)-(2/7/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/6/1)-(3/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/7/6/1)-(3/5/4)-(5/3/1/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TDN-4   WIN (3/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/4)-(3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/4)-(5/3/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5/4)-(5/3/1/4)-(1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
TDN-5   WIN (5/3/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/1/4)-(5/3/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/1/4)-(5/3/1/4)-(5/3/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/1/4)-(1/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/3/1/4)-(1/4)-(8/1/7/5) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
TDN-6   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/4)-(1/7/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4)-(1/7/4/2)-(1/7/4/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (1/4)-(8/1/7/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/4)-(8/1/7/5)-(5/7/3/8) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
TDN-7   WIN (8/1/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/7/5)-(8/1/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/7/5)-(8/1/7/5)-(8/1/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/1/7/5)-(5/7/3/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TDN-8   WIN (5/7/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/3/8)-(5/7/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/3/8)-(5/7/3/8)-(5/7/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   08/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CORFU FIGHTING Jul18 Jul01 May22     (puhl kim)AVILES YAN 115 4.00    
2  RUN PANCITA Jul09 Oct22 Oct07 Aug28   (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 10.00    
3  MOBIL MISSION Sep04 Aug15 Jul22 Jul01 May29 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 119 5.00    
4  RIVER BYE Jul07 Jun21 May14 Oct07 Aug28 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 121 4.50    
5  PROFESSOR NICK Jun25 Dec19 Nov27 Oct28 Oct09 (zielinski richar)VIGIL NOEL 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  SMOKIN JOE Jun25 Jun04 Apr30 Apr10 Sep20 (rone mike)RIVERA R 115 6.00    
7  LAST MINUTE MIKEY Jun25 May14 Apr29 Mar26   (pappada julie )HOUGHTON D 115 8.00 19% 4.30    
8  STRIKE PLATE Jun25 May20 May12 Apr30 Apr10 (langley joshu)TOLEDO S 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HEZA PISTOL Jul06 Jun19 May18 Jan09 Dec21 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 119 15.00    
10  DIXIE'S MEMORY Jul09 Jun21       (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 117 3.50 52% 0.90    
 
TDN-2   08/11/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIMELY SECRET Jul28 Jun15 Apr28 Mar26 Feb28 (urieta johanna)HOUGHTON D 119 15.00 24% 3.10    
SCR  ROWDY DAISY Jul01 Jun09 May21 May03 Apr23 (canegata james)FELICIANO R 119 4.50    
3  MAGICGIRL Jul17 Jun30 Jun09 May20 Aug14 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 6.00 30% 2.40    
4  TIZ INDEPENDENCE Jul14 Jun24 Jun11 May03 Mar27 (skerrett jef)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 2.50    
5  SABELLE Jun30 Jun09 May21 May03 Mar26 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 5.00    
SCR  H. T. XENA Jul01 Jun17 May21 May03 Mar30 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 3.50    
7  BLAZING ZENNA Jul17 May03 Mar31 Mar12 Feb12 (mahan p)DIAZ I 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  MAY MAYS CASTLE Jul01 Jun17 May29 May05 Apr23 (urieta joh)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 8.00    
SCR  DULCE VICTORIA Jun17 Dec03 Nov12 Sep22 Aug26 (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 119 20.00    
 
TDN-3   08/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COASTERTOTHEMOON Jul02 Jun04 May19 May06 Apr23 (urieta)BATISTA ALBERTO 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  READ THE ROOM Jul07 Jun24 Feb08 Mar27 Mar11 (mahan p)DIAZ I 119 4.00 69% 0.50    
3  CACIQUE ABARRIO Jun24 Jun04 May06 Jan15 Dec26 (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 119 3.50    
4  GREEWHIZ Jun24 Jun10 Apr22 Nov14 Oct29 (juarez-m)FERNANDEZ R 119 2.50    
5  LIBERTANGO Jul17 May17 Mar05 Dec28 Nov21 (skerrett jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 123 5.00    
6  DOMI Jun18 Jun02 May21 Mar27 Mar11 (sz)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  MIDNIGHT COUNCIL Jul07 Jun07 May13 Apr05 Mar05 (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 119 8.00 7% 13.60    
8  IMPROBABLE FIRST Jul02 Jun18 May13 Apr23 Apr06 (rone mike)RIVERA R 115 6.00    
 
TDN-4   08/11/2025 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($25.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIZZEN THE POINT Jul08 May27 Apr29 Mar18 Feb27 (overholt)FERNANDEZ R 119 8.00    
SCR  BOOGIE BOOGEE Jul08 Jun16 May19 Apr23 Mar30 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 119 15.00    
3  PRETTY PATTY Jul08 Jun16 May27 Apr21 Mar18 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.00 36% 1.80    
4  BUCKEYE ROSE Jul01 Jun16 May21 Apr28 Apr02 (genovese )MARTINEZ L 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  THE DEVIL'S DREAM Jun26 Jun04 May21 Apr05 Mar18 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 5.00 17% 4.80    
6  SHEZ SHACKED UP Jul08 Mar18 Mar05 Feb08 Dec03 (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 119 4.50    
7  SUSHI Q Jul08 Jun16 May27 May13 Apr21 (morale)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 1.80    
 
TDN-5   08/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SALUTE THE KID Jun21 Jun03 May13 Aug28 Jul31 (rettele )FERNANDEZ R 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  NATIONAL DIAMOND Jun21 Jun02 May03 Apr22 Apr03 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 119 2.50    
3  TIERNEY Jun21 Jun03 May21 May06 Jan07 (urieta johann)BRACHO A 119 3.00 34% 2.00    
4  MY KINDA PARTY Jun23 Jun03 Apr10 Mar20 Mar01 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  SHE'S WILLIE FAST Jun23 Jun07 Dec11 Oct26   (poole m)GONZALEZ A 115 4.00 43% 1.30    
6  GATHA'S SONG Jul08 May19 Nov25 Oct29 Oct07 (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 121 4.50    
7  EXALTADA Jun25 Jun02 Apr30 Oct26 Oct09 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 117 6.00    
 
TDN-6   08/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  G T THREE FIFTY Jul01 May29 Apr25 Mar25 Feb28 (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 121 1.80 75% 0.30    
2  LUNCHATTHELIZARD Jul17 Jun25 Jun04 May07 Apr21 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 119 5.00 ★    
3  DANES HEART Jun17 Sep12 Aug26 Jul31 Jun19 (va)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.50    
4  SERENDIPITOUS Apr10 Mar19 Feb26 Feb11 Jan25 (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  ATTACK ANGLE Jul17 Jul01 Jun11 Jun04 Oct11 (skerrett jef)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 12.00    
6  SHOW SLIDING HOME Jul17 Apr21 Mar22 Mar10 Feb11 (johnson g)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 4.00    
7  OVERLOAD Jul17 Jun26 Jun04 Oct03 Jul10 (poole m)AVILES YAN 119 6.00 ★    
 
TDN-7   08/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROSETTA Jul08 Jun16 May14 Apr28 Apr09 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 115 3.00 20% 4.00    
2  LOTS OF SASS Jul08 Jun16 May19 May07 Oct19 (juarez-mendoz)CEDILLO MAURO 119 10.00    
3  VAL'S TWINSTAR Jul01 Jun16 May06 Nov05 Oct23 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 4.50    
4  NANCYFROMTHEBLOCK Jul16 Jun23 May27 Sep18 Sep02 (genovese richard)VIGIL NOEL 119 6.00    
5  FAITHFUL SOLUTION Jul08 Jun16 May26 Dec18 Dec02 (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  C MORE PRIDE Jul08 May26 May07 Apr23 Apr07 (faulkner rodne)DIAZ I 119 12.00    
7  DRILL BLITZ Jul08 Jun09 May19 Apr28 Apr07 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  BRIEF ENCOUNTER May27 May06 Sep20 Aug15 Jul27 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.00 45% 1.20    
 
TDN-8   08/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AINT NO BANDLEADER Jul17 Jun12 May29 May21 Oct02 (zielinsk)FERNANDEZ R 119 5.00    
2  COLOR BEARER Jul17 Jun26 Jun17 May28 May06 (skerrett jeffrey)RIVERA R 121 10.00    
3  MATTHEW'S PATRIOT Jul17 Jan29 Dec30 Dec19 Dec04 (juarez-mendoz)BRACHO A 119 3.00 23% 3.40    
4  TAHLEQUAH JOE Jul09 Jun17 May27 Oct03 Sep12 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 121 6.00    
5  RED CHILI PEPPER Jul17 Jun10 Jan16 Dec02 Nov14 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.50 30% 2.30    
6  ORVILLE B Jul17 Jun26 Nov21 Oct29 Oct03 (morale)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 12.00    
7  THEDAYOFTHEGREY Aug17 May23 May04 Apr11 Feb14 (cline c)AVILES YAN 119 4.50 25% 3.00    
8  NEBULOSA Jun26 Jun07 Dec05 Nov19 Oct26 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.