Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Thistledown
Wednesday - July 16, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-2   WIN (2/3/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00  8 $11.20 $3.20 40%
    EXA (2/3/8/4)-(2/3/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00  8-3 $31.90 $19.90 166%
TDN-3   DD (2/3/8/4)-(3/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00  8-3 $20.50 $8.50 71%
TDN-4   WIN (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $10.00 $4.00 67%
    EXA (5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00  5-4 $21.10 $15.10 252%
    PK3 (2/3/8/4)-(3/5/1)-(5/1/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00  8-3-5 $42.15 $24.15 134%
TDN-5   DD (5/1/4)-(3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00  5-3 $10.70 $4.70 78%
    PK3 (3/5/1)-(5/1/4)-(3/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00  3-5-3 $10.90 $1.90 21%
    PK4 (2/3/8/4)-(3/5/1)-(5/1/4)-(3/4) 72 $0.50 $36.00  8-3/5-5-3/6 $221.50 $185.50 515%
Simulator Race results
 
TDN-1   07/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:224 :461 :584     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  REINVEST 3 8 88¼ 53¼   43½ 1¾ (johnson g)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 3.00 9.00  
8  BIG BUCKSALOT 8 2 42½ 3½   2nk 2¾ (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 5.00 12% 7.10 2.30 P
1  PLATINUM GHOST 1 4 2½ 1nk   1nk 3¾ (meyers shane)RIVERA R 123 3.50 26% 2.80 0.90 S
7  GROUP EIGHTEEN 7 1 1½ 2nk   31 43½ (ur)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 6.00 13.40  
6  OCEAN OF STORMS 6 3 67 76¾   67 55¾ (morales m)AVILES YAN 119 8.00 7.90  
2  WASHINGTON'S UNION 2 7 56½ 64¾   77½ 66¼ (radosevich)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 4.50 28% 2.60 13.20  
4  MAKING ME CRAZY 4 5 77¼ 89¼   89½ 78 (mahan p)DIAZ I 119 8.00 5% 19.00 23.30  
5  LITTLE VAQUERO 5 6 32½ 43   56 89½ (gonzalez)FERNANDEZ R 119 10.00 37.80  
 
TDN-2   07/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:224 :464 1:001     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  OUR LAST SONG 8 1 53¾ 51¼   2nk 12 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 8.00 13% 6.60 4.60 W
3  AMY'S STAR 3 7 65¼ 61¼   3½ 22 (ruberto louis)CEDILLO MAURO 121 3.00 23% 3.30 5.10 P
6  MOBIL MEMORY 6 4 75¼ 72¼   62¾ 32 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 119 4.00 8.90  
2  TWISTED JUSTICE 2 6 1nk 2nk   4¾ 43 (wolochuk d)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 2.50 31% 2.20 0.70  
7  KISSING MEDALS 7 2 41¼ 3½   52¼ 53½ (juarez-mendoz)BARBARAN ERIK 119 20.00 54.60  
1  DOLCE MARIE 1 5 31 1nk   1nk 64 (urieta)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 5.00 7.90  
4  THE KID'S PRAYER 4 8 86¾ 85¾   73¾ 77¼ (rettele r)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 12.00 5% 19.00 29.10  
5  COWGIRL SARA 5 3 2nk 41   86¾ 812½ (tumblin andrew)DIAZ I 121 6.00 18.10  
 
TDN-3   07/16/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:243 :48 1:124     1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  VANISHED 3 3 2½ 2½ 1nk 2nk 1nk (cowans willia)BRACHO A 123 1.80 69% 0.40 0.80 W
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of ELUSIVE PEARL by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
2  VESPERA 2 1 1½ 1½ 2nk 1nk 2nk (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 2.50 1.90  
  (by VOLATILE out of ANYDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
6  SKYLAROSE 5 4 54 46 48 39 312 (cowans d)AVILES YAN 123 5.00 3.60  
  (by SKY MESA out of PISTOL PACKIN ROSE by FIRST DEFENCE)
4  FRENCH BENEFITS (FR) 4 5 32½ 33½ 37 411 418½ (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 119 3.00 11.50  
  (by ROMAN CANDLE out of CANDY RUSH by TWIRLING CANDY)
1  GRAN ROXY 1 2 43 510 526 5100 5100 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 123 15.00 5% 19.00 29.70  
  (by GIRVIN out of GRAN LETIZIA by BROKEN VOW)
SCR  SHEZZ MEANT TO B               (lo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ARMY MULE out of B POSITIVE by THEWAYYOUARE)
 
TDN-4   07/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:231 :47 :60     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  CAVALETTO 5 2 1½ 1nk   13 14 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.00 62% 0.60 4.00 W
4  MIDNIGHT VOYAGE 4 4 31 2nk   23 24 (yoder sus)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 119 8.00 5% 19.00 4.40 P
2  MOR CRAFTY 2 5 42½ 44½   47½ 35 (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 119 4.50 9.30  
6  STRIKE ONE 6 1 2½ 31½   37 410½ (yoder d)AVILES YAN 119 3.00 7.70  
3  MARVIN'S EXPRESS 3 3 52½ 55½   512½ 515¼ (poole m)BRACHO A 119 10.00 9.60  
1  GOLDSTRIKER 1 6 68½ 611½   6100 6100 (morales sa)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 2.50 10% 9.10 0.80  
 
TDN-5   07/16/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:23 :473 1:00     1:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  LOVEBUG 3 4 21½ 1nk   1nk 11 (zielinski richar)VIGIL NOEL 115 2.50 39% 1.60 1.10 W
2  MORNING HOLIDAY 2 3 33 41¼   2nk 21 (urieta jo)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 4.50 2.30  
5  DON'TDRAINMYPOCKET 5 1 43½ 31   34½ 37 (jackson jame)MEJIAS RICARDO 117 3.50 ★ 2.60 S
4  FREEDOM PRINCESS 4 2 57½ 56¼   57½ 49½ (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 5.00 5% 19.00 9.60  
1  TO MUCH STYLE 1 5 11½ 2nk   47 511½ (morale)BATISTA ALBERTO 117 12.00 11.30  
SCR  SLEW CROWN               (rini anthony)FELICIANO R 115 2.00    
 
TDN-6   07/16/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:244 :493 1:141     1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  MIZ KEETA 7 2 21½ 21 2½ 1½ 11¾ (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.00 36% 1.80 0.30 W
6  FEELING EASY 6 3 32½ 32½ 32 32 21¾ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 121 3.50 7.20  
4  EXPRESS FASHION 4 1 11½ 11 1½ 2½ 33½ (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 119 2.50 17% 4.80 7.70 S
5  LUCKY PENNY ROSE 5 5 44 44 45½ 46 410 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 119 4.50 14.20  
3  KETTLE KISS 3 6 66½ 67½ 57 59 511½ (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 119 6.00 ★ 6.90  
1  NANCYFROMTHEBLOCK 1 4 54 54½ 67 611 618 (genovese richard)VIGIL NOEL 119 15.00 44.90  
2  NICEASAKITTENSEYES 2 7 78½ 79 710 716½ 724¼ (lopez jacint)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 15.00 5% 19.00 92.50  
 
TDN-7   07/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:23 :462 :583     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  EXCITEMENT 2 3 11½ 11   12½ 13¼ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.00 2.30  
5  MR. PENNY PINCHER 4 6 43 21   22½ 23¼ (rini anthony)FELICIANO R 119 8.00 5% 19.00 4.60 P
1  BOLD BUCKEYE 1 5 33 31   33 34 (poole m)BRACHO A 123 2.50 73% 0.40 1.40 S
4  DIXIE'S TWO STENTS 3 4 64½ 53¼   56 47½ (sondej amy)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 10.00 4.60  
7  OKLAHOMA JOE 6 1 21½ 41¼   46 510 (rivera r)AVILES YAN 121 3.50 6.20  
6  MEDIA DARLING 5 2 54 64¾   611 616 (zielinski richar)VIGIL NOEL 119 15.00 5% 19.00 45.20  
SCR  FROSTY PAWS               (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.