Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Wednesday - July 16, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (2/1/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/8/4)-(2/1/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/8/4)-(2/1/8/4)-(2/1/8/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/8/4)-(2/3/8/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/1/8/4)-(2/3/8/4)-(3/5/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TDN-2   WIN (2/3/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/8/4)-(2/3/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/8/4)-(2/3/8/4)-(2/3/8/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/8/4)-(3/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/8/4)-(3/5/1)-(5/1/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-3   WIN (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/1)-(3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/1)-(5/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/1)-(5/1/4)-(3/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TDN-4   WIN (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/4)-(5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/4)-(3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/1/4)-(3/4)-(7/4/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TDN-5   WIN (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/4)-(3/5/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/4)-(3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (3/4)-(7/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/4)-(7/4/2)-(1/5/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TDN-6   WIN (7/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/2)-(7/4/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/4/2)-(7/4/3/2)-(7/4/3/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/4/2)-(1/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/4/2)-(1/5/6)-(2/6/7/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-7   WIN (1/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/6)-(1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/6)-(2/6/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-8   WIN (2/6/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/7/8)-(2/6/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/7/8)-(2/6/7/8)-(2/6/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   07/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PLATINUM GHOST Jun25 Jun03 Jan09 Dec05 Nov20 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 123 3.50 26% 2.80    
2  WASHINGTON'S UNION Jul01 Jun09 May22 May05 Mar24 (radosevich)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 4.50 28% 2.60    
3  REINVEST Jun02 May08 Apr21 Apr08 Jan29 (johnson g)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 3.00    
4  MAKING ME CRAZY May13 Apr01 Jan16 Dec28 Dec11 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  LITTLE VAQUERO Jul02 Jun12 Jun02 May05 Apr22 (gonzalez)FERNANDEZ R 119 10.00    
6  OCEAN OF STORMS Jun30 Jun12 May26 May19 May02 (morales m)AVILES YAN 119 8.00    
7  GROUP EIGHTEEN May20 Apr03 Mar22 Mar13 Mar01 (ur)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 6.00    
8  BIG BUCKSALOT Jun10 May29 Apr11 Mar30 Mar12 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 5.00 12% 7.10    
 
TDN-2   07/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOLCE MARIE Jun26 Jun11 May19 Apr24 Dec16 (urieta)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 5.00    
2  TWISTED JUSTICE Jun26 May19 May07 Feb12 Jan18 (wolochuk d)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 2.50 31% 2.20    
3  AMY'S STAR Jun21 May27 Apr28 Mar31 Mar11 (ruberto louis)CEDILLO MAURO 121 3.00 23% 3.30    
4  THE KID'S PRAYER Jun26 Jun07 May21 May05 Oct07 (rettele r)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  COWGIRL SARA Jun26 Jun16 May26 Mar20 Mar03 (tumblin andrew)DIAZ I 121 6.00    
6  MOBIL MEMORY Jun07 May21 May05 Mar30 Feb27 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 119 4.00    
7  KISSING MEDALS Jun26 Jun07 Dec16 Oct29 Oct07 (juarez-mendoz)BARBARAN ERIK 119 20.00    
8  OUR LAST SONG Nov27 Nov14 Oct28 Sep20 Sep02 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 8.00 13% 6.60    
 
TDN-3   07/16/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRAN ROXY Jun09 May27 May05 Apr23 Mar31 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GIRVIN out of GRAN LETIZIA by BROKEN VOW)
2  VESPERA Jun09 May13 Apr23 Feb06 Jan01 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 2.50    
  (by VOLATILE out of ANYDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
3  VANISHED Apr09 Feb12 Jan17 Oct23 Sep14 (cowans willia)BRACHO A 123 1.80 69% 0.40    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of ELUSIVE PEARL by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
4  FRENCH BENEFITS (FR) Apr02 Feb16 Jan04 Aug14   (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 119 3.00    
  (by ROMAN CANDLE out of CANDY RUSH by TWIRLING CANDY)
SCR  SHEZZ MEANT TO B         (lo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ARMY MULE out of B POSITIVE by THEWAYYOUARE)
6  SKYLAROSE May30 Sep24 Sep06 Jul13 May30 (cowans d)AVILES YAN 123 5.00    
  (by SKY MESA out of PISTOL PACKIN ROSE by FIRST DEFENCE)
 
TDN-4   07/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDSTRIKER Jul03 Jun17 May27 Apr29 Apr08 (morales sa)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 2.50 10% 9.10    
2  MOR CRAFTY Jun26 Jun07 May27 Apr29 Apr05 (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 119 4.50    
3  MARVIN'S EXPRESS Jun04 May13 Apr22 Apr02 Mar10 (poole m)BRACHO A 119 10.00    
4  MIDNIGHT VOYAGE Jun26 Jun12 May26 Sep03 Aug21 (yoder sus)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  CAVALETTO Jun26 May03 Apr03 Mar11 Feb08 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.00 62% 0.60    
6  STRIKE ONE Jun26 Jan27 Dec19 Aug28 Aug17 (yoder d)AVILES YAN 119 3.00    
 
TDN-5   07/16/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TO MUCH STYLE Jun26 Jun12 May27 Apr18 Mar23 (morale)BATISTA ALBERTO 117 12.00    
2  MORNING HOLIDAY Jun26 Jun02 Mar15 Feb26 Jan25 (urieta jo)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 4.50    
3  LOVEBUG Jun21 Jun02 May12 Apr12 Mar30 (zielinski richar)VIGIL NOEL 115 2.50 39% 1.60    
4  FREEDOM PRINCESS Jul07 May05 Mar31 Mar17 Feb27 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
5  DON'TDRAINMYPOCKET Jun26 Jun04 May22 Mar26 Mar05 (jackson jame)MEJIAS RICARDO 117 3.50 ★    
SCR  SLEW CROWN May05 Feb12 Jan12 Sep09 Aug14 (rini anthony)FELICIANO R 115 2.00    
 
TDN-6   07/16/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NANCYFROMTHEBLOCK Jun23 May27 Sep18 Sep02 Jul17 (genovese richard)VIGIL NOEL 119 15.00    
2  NICEASAKITTENSEYES Jun25 Jun03 May21 May05 Apr09 (lopez jacint)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  KETTLE KISS Jun16 Jan23 Jan07 Dec19 Nov14 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 119 6.00 ★    
4  EXPRESS FASHION Jun25 Jun03 May19 Jan07 Dec18 (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 119 2.50 17% 4.80    
5  LUCKY PENNY ROSE Jun25 Jun03 May08 Mar10 Jan29 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 119 4.50    
6  FEELING EASY Jun25 Jun03 May22 Nov04 Oct21 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 121 3.50    
7  MIZ KEETA Jun21 May13 Dec19 Nov14 Sep20 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.00 36% 1.80    
 
TDN-7   07/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOLD BUCKEYE Jun23 Jan16 Dec02 Nov06 Oct08 (poole m)BRACHO A 123 2.50 73% 0.40    
2  EXCITEMENT Jun25 Jun03 May07 Jan09 Dec23 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.00    
SCR  FROSTY PAWS Jun25 Jun03 May13 Apr01 Mar12 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 5.00    
4  DIXIE'S TWO STENTS Jun18 May22 Apr22 Apr10 Mar27 (sondej amy)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 10.00    
5  MR. PENNY PINCHER Jul02 Jun18 Jan31 Jan04 Nov27 (rini anthony)FELICIANO R 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  MEDIA DARLING May22 Apr01 Mar19 Jan27 Jan16 (zielinski richar)VIGIL NOEL 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  OKLAHOMA JOE Jun21 Jun10 May28 May07 Apr12 (rivera r)AVILES YAN 121 3.50    
 
TDN-8   07/16/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COASTERTOTHEMOON Jul02 Jun04 May19 May06 Apr23 (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 115 3.50    
2  DIVINE EMPIRE Jul02 Jun12 May03 Apr09 Mar20 (rone mike)BARBARAN ERIK 123 3.00 31% 2.30    
3  ASK ISAAC Jun12 Apr22 Nov11 Nov02 Oct20 (jackson jame)MEJIAS RICARDO 119 8.00    
4  GREEWHIZ Jun24 Jun10 Apr22 Nov14 Oct29 (juarez-m)FERNANDEZ R 119 5.00    
5  PHOTO HOP Jul02 Jun18 Jun04 May06 Apr11 (castillo j)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 12.00    
6  IMPROBABLE FIRST Jul02 Jun18 May13 Apr23 Apr06 (rone mike)RIVERA R 115 2.50 23% 3.30    
7  DOMI Jun18 Jun02 May21 Mar27 Mar11 (szczepans)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 121 12.00 16% 5.40    
8  RULE IT Jul02 Jun18 May22 Mar21 Feb05 (lopez jr)VIGIL NOEL 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.