Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Thistledown
Monday - June 30, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TDN-1   WIN (2/8/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/8/5)-(2/8/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/8/5)-(2/8/5)-(2/8/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/8/5)-(1/2/8/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/8/5)-(1/2/8/9)-(2/4/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-2   WIN (1/2/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/8/9)-(1/2/8/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/8/9)-(1/2/8/9)-(1/2/8/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/8/9)-(2/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/8/9)-(2/4/6)-(4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
TDN-3   WIN (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/6)-(2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/6)-(4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/4/6)-(4/3)-(2/4/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TDN-4   WIN (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/3)-(4/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/3)-(2/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/3)-(2/4/1)-(1/6/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TDN-5   WIN (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/1)-(2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/1)-(1/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/4/1)-(1/6/3)-(9/7/1/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-6   WIN (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/3)-(1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/3)-(9/7/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/3)-(9/7/1/4)-(3/4/1/9/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TDN-7   WIN (9/7/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/7/1/4)-(9/7/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/7/1/4)-(9/7/1/4)-(9/7/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/7/1/4)-(3/4/1/9/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TDN-8   WIN (3/4/1/9/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/4/1/9/7)-(3/4/1/9/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/4/1/9/7)-(3/4/1/9/7)-(3/4/1/9/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TDN-1   06/30/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MONTAUK COVE Jun12 May26 Apr24 Apr12 Mar30 (schuster )RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 123 8.00    
I'LL FIGURE IT OUT Sep03 Jul23 Jul02 Jun11 May20 (skerrett jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 123 3.50 41% 1.40    
SCR  VENETIAN DREAM May20 Mar03 Feb11 Nov19 Nov11 (bailey r)FERNANDEZ R 123 12.00    
SCR  STATESBORO Nov11 Sep11 Sep01 Aug13 Jul24 (winters miche)CEDILLO MAURO 123 2.50    
TOMATO BILL Oct10 Jul19 Jun26 Jun07 Nov15 (winters m)MARTINEZ L 123 15.00 8% 11.00    
DR SCHUSTER Jun10 May28 May03 Apr22 Apr11 (schuster r)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 4.00    
PRACTICAL MAN Jun10 Oct02 Sep16 Aug27 Aug13 (puhl kim)TOLEDO S 123 6.00    
EXONERATED PREZ Jun10 May26 Apr21 Mar27 Mar01 (genovese richard)AVILES YAN 123 4.50 28% 2.60    
 
TDN-2   06/30/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OPULENT WAYS Jun17 Jul30 Jul08 Jun13 May30 (severin robert)BOWEN ROCCO 123 3.00 40% 1.50    
MAGICGIRL Jun09 May20 Aug14 Jul29 Jul08 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 4.50 25% 3.00    
QUARANTINA Jun09 May21 Apr02 Feb26 Jan28 (casalinova)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 6.00    
FULL TIME STRUTIN Jun03 Feb04 Jan13 Dec12 Nov21 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 15.00    
PEARLINTHEROUGH May29 May19 Apr29 Apr07 Feb28 (genovese )MARTINEZ L 123 10.00    
SCR  KRABI Aug14 Jul29 Jul16 Jun28 May31 (maddox rachael)JIMENEZ S 123 5.00    
THEODOROPOULOS May28 May13 May05 Apr23 Oct21 (bailey r)FERNANDEZ R 123 8.00    
JEN'S BATTLE Jun09 May21 May03 Mar12 Feb12 (casalinova ti)CEDILLO MAURO 123 3.50 13% 6.70    
SABELLE Jun09 May21 May03 Mar26 Mar18 (castro raque)TERRAZA GERMAN 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-3   06/30/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARKHAMIAN Jun12 May26 Apr24 Apr12 Mar26 (castillo )RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 12.00    
STAR WEAVER Jun11 May21 Apr26 Feb27 Jan29 (sondej amy)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 3.50 28% 2.50    
K P SILVER BULLET Jan27 Dec12 Nov20 Nov04 Oct19 (castillo jab)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 5.00    
BOURBON ON FIRE Jun10 May20 Oct01 Sep16 Aug05 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 123 2.00 19% 4.20    
SCR  SHADOW TRACER May18 Apr29 May20 May08 Oct10 (jackson r)RAMGEET R 121 1.80    
O ROMEO Jun10 May20 Oct28 Oct09 Aug29 (genovese richard)VIGIL NOEL 119 8.00 18% 4.50    
 
TDN-4   06/30/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DAYTONA GOLD Jun10 Oct26 Sep22     (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.50    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of WAVE OF GLORY by MIDSHIPMAN)
SCR  COCKTAILS N DREAMS Jun01         (estvanko )CORREA L 119 3.00    
  (by ASTERN out of STAR BELLA by SAN PABLO)
GHOSTAGAIN Jun10 May20       (radosevich justi)AVILES YAN 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of STREET NONSENSE by STREET SENSE)
FIRST ACT Mar08 Feb09 Jan08 Dec07   (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.50 51% 1.00    
  (by MCKINZIE out of CLASSY ACT by INTO MISCHIEF)
KNICKS GLORY May08 Mar02 Jan25 Dec29 Nov23 (colebrook ben)BRACHO A 119 2.00    
  (by FROSTED out of STREAKER by FOREST WILDCAT)
SCR  FRANKIE P         (waltz brian)RIVERA R 119 10.00    
  (by MASTERY out of SEVERN SHORE by PURE PRIZE)
 
TDN-5   06/30/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILD MARIAH Jun09 Jan23 Jan06 Dec09 Nov20 (johnson ga)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
MOST ADORABLE Jun09 May19 Apr28 Apr09 Mar18 (yo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 1.60 65% 0.50    
BOLD NICKY Jun11 May08 Dec17 Dec05 Nov20 (maddox rachael)JIMENEZ S 123 6.00    
IAMAMASON May06 Apr09 Mar18 Feb05 Oct08 (rone mike)RIVERA R 115 1.80 11% 8.20    
COWGIRLS HUMOR Jun07 May14 May06 Apr24 Apr09 (schuster robin)VIGIL NOEL 119 15.00    
SCR  RIVER HUSTLER Jun09 May09 Apr28 Mar06 Feb05 (tumblin andrew)AVILES YAN 119 3.50    
 
TDN-6   06/30/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($25.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EAGLE NEST May03 Mar19 Jan23 Dec05 Oct08 (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.00 73% 0.40    
ROLL ON BIG O May20 May03 Apr03 Mar11 Feb10 (ibarra)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 2.50    
SPIRIT OF AKRON Jun12 May21 Apr21 Apr10 Apr03 (bailey ricardo)PEREZ A 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
HEY EUGENE May28 May07 Apr19 Mar23 Mar08 (rone mike)RIVERA R 121 4.00    
SCR  STUNT MAN May26 May07 Apr21 Mar11 Feb26 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 121 3.00    
MUTINY Jun16 May21 May12 Apr30 Apr10 (bailey r)FERNANDEZ R 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-7   06/30/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUFFIN Jun06 Nov14 Oct10 Aug30 Aug08 (waltz brian)AVILES YAN 119 6.00 14% 6.30    
POWERFUL Jun16 May27 May05 Apr11 Mar16 (rone mike)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.50    
SCR  GOLDEN FLAG Jun06 May03 Oct30 Oct03 Sep14 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 15.00    
SCRIMPER Jun06 May14 Mar31 Nov05 Oct03 (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 119 8.00 7% 13.00    
SIMPLY VALID Jun07 May13 Mar13 Dec28 Dec04 (atala jo)FERNANDEZ R 121 5.00    
GUNNER GABRIEL Jun03 Jun22 Jun07 May10 Apr29 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 10.00    
CHOCTAW ZIP May27 Apr26 Mar30 Mar08 Feb02 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 121 3.50 26% 2.90    
SCR  POWERFUL MOON Jun07 Sep19 Sep03 Aug12 Jul23 (ray kevin)MARTINEZ L 119 15.00    
GEAUX YOSHKA Jun04 May17 Feb05 Jan27 Jan09 (rivera nest)NUNEZ Y 123 3.00 28% 2.50    
 
TDN-8   06/30/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OCEAN OF STORMS Jun12 May26 May19 May02 Apr09 (morales m)AVILES YAN 119 8.00 8% 11.80    
BOURBON WISDOM Jun09 May27 May06 Apr10 Mar26 (skerrett je)NUNEZ Y 119 5.00    
MASTER OF THE NITE Jun09 May27 Apr22 Mar26 Mar11 (juarez-m)FERNANDEZ R 119 3.00 42% 1.40    
LAST COOKIE Jun09 May27 May06 Mar11 Mar01 (juarez-mendoz)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.50 16% 5.10    
DEEP FAITH Jun17 Jun02 May17 Apr21 Mar22 (morale)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 12.00    
OILER May20 Apr03 Mar18 Feb27 Feb11 (faulkner c)PEREZ A 119 15.00    
STAR SHOPPING Jun17 Jun02 Apr21 Apr11 Apr03 (rivera nes)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
FAT DADDY Jun10 May26 May06 Apr21 Nov06 (urieta johann)BRACHO A 119 2.50    
SAILOR'S CHANCE May20 May06 Mar04 Feb11 Jan07 (hu)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 12.00 6% 15.60    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.