Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Thistledown
Tuesday - May 27, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TDN-1   WIN (4/8/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/1/6)-(4/8/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/1/6)-(4/8/1/6)-(4/8/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/8/1/6)-(3/4/1/6/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/8/1/6)-(3/4/1/6/9)-(4/6/5/3) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TDN-2   WIN (3/4/1/6/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/4/1/6/9)-(3/4/1/6/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/4/1/6/9)-(3/4/1/6/9)-(3/4/1/6/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/4/1/6/9)-(4/6/5/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1/6/9)-(4/6/5/3)-(4/6/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TDN-3   WIN (4/6/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/5/3)-(4/6/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/5/3)-(4/6/5/3)-(4/6/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/5/3)-(4/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/5/3)-(4/6/7)-(2/9/10/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TDN-4   WIN (4/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/7)-(4/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/7)-(4/6/7)-(4/6/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/7)-(2/9/10/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/7)-(2/9/10/3)-(3/2/7/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TDN-5   WIN (2/9/10/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/9/10/3)-(2/9/10/3/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/9/10/3)-(2/9/10/3/5)-(2/9/10/3/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/9/10/3)-(3/2/7/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/9/10/3)-(3/2/7/6)-(3/1/2/6) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
TDN-6   WIN (3/2/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/7/6)-(3/2/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/7/6)-(3/2/7/6)-(3/2/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/7/6)-(3/1/2/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/2/7/6)-(3/1/2/6)-(1/3/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TDN-7   WIN (3/1/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/2/6)-(3/1/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/2/6)-(3/1/2/6)-(3/1/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/2/6)-(1/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-8   WIN (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/2)-(1/3/2/9/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/2)-(1/3/2/9/4)-(1/3/2/9/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TDN-1   05/27/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIZZEN THE POINT Apr29 Mar18 Feb27 Jan28 Jan08 (overholt)FERNANDEZ R 123 5.00 14% 5.90    
SUSHI Q May13 Apr21 Apr05 Mar18 Mar05 (morales saul )BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.00    
GOODNESS SAKES May08 Apr23 Mar27 Mar10 Feb08 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 119 15.00    
BIG FACTS Apr03 Mar10 Feb27 Jan29 Dec04 (ibarra)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 2.50 41% 1.50    
CROSSED UP May08 Apr23 Apr05 Mar27 Mar10 (vecchio ca)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 4.50    
KERRI'S MIRACLE May08 Mar27 Mar10 Feb08 Jan23 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
GO GIRL Apr23 Apr09 Mar27 Mar01 Feb08 (yoder susan)NUNEZ Y 119 12.00    
PRETTY PATTY Apr21 Mar18 Mar05 Feb08 Jan29 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 3.50 22% 3.60    
 
TDN-2   05/27/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COWGIRLTAKEMEAWAY Apr21 Nov07       (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 119 3.00 23% 3.30    
  (by FORT LARNED out of BLESSINGSOFLIBERTY by CONSTITUTION)
PEEKABOO MOM Apr21 Sep12 Aug22 Aug06   (vazquez ivan)PEREZ A 119 15.00    
  (by JAC'S FACT out of PICTURE OF MOM by CAT POWER)
IT'S BROWNS TIME         (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 119 3.50 30% 2.40    
  (by FORT LARNED out of WINNERCOASTTOCOAST by SUPER SAVER)
DARK N DIRTY Dec09         (ruberto v)FELICIANO R 119 5.00 24% 3.10    
  (by DARK KESTREL out of BUCKLER by CONCERTO)
LIZZY'S DREAM May08 Apr12       (me)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.00    
  (by DREAMLINER out of A ROSE FOR LIZZY by BODEMEISTER)
OVER THE FALLS May08 Apr21       (fadlovich )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MOBIL out of ANGEL FALLS by KINGMAMBO)
GABADOST May08 Dec09 Nov07 Oct08 Sep24 (fadlovich m)NUNEZ Y 119 12.00    
  (by FORT LARNED out of THIRST FOR TRUTH by STAY THIRSTY)
EBONY'S SECRET Nov21 Aug06 Jul01     (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 20.00    
  (by DRILL out of SCARLET GIRL by LOFT (GER))
ONE LADY May08 Apr21 Sep24     (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ONE SIDED out of CHROME CRUISER by TALE OF THE CAT)
10  SHEMITEBEAPORCHE Mar20 Mar06 Feb05 Jan24 Dec18 (bird d)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 12.00    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of TIDALOVE by TIDAL VOLUME)
 
TDN-3   05/27/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRESSLEY RIDGE Apr23 Dec27 May30 Apr24 Mar18 (pappada a)PEREZ A 119 2.50    
TAHLEQUAH JOE Oct03 Sep12 Aug22 Jul25 Jun18 (radosevich )NUNEZ Y 119 6.00    
RAMBLER Apr22 Sep11 Aug21 Aug01 Jul03 (ccamaque marc)BARBARAN ERIK 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
IRONCLAD ALIBI Apr29 Apr02 Mar18 Mar03 Jan30 (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 119 3.50 57% 0.80    
A PRAYER FOR KIDS Apr29 Nov07 Oct08 Sep18 Aug28 (rettele rich)TAVARES JAVIER 119 3.00 6% 16.80    
GOLDSTRIKER Apr29 Apr08 Mar18 Mar04 Dec03 (morales )FERNANDEZ R 119 5.00 7% 14.20    
MOR CRAFTY Apr29 Apr05 Mar19 Feb08 Jan09 (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 121 8.00    
 
TDN-4   05/27/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHOCTAW ZIP Apr26 Mar30 Mar08 Feb02 Jan17 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 4.00    
MIDNIGHT MAJESTY Oct03 Sep09 Aug19 Jul30 Jul11 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 119 4.50    
TIMESATAPPIN May05 Apr05 Mar05 Feb08 Dec09 (loudin-smith )TOLEDO S 119 10.00    
POWERFUL May05 Apr11 Mar16 Dec22 Nov15 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 2.50 50% 1.00    
SCR  LIEUTENANT STAN Apr06 Mar29 Mar01 Jan22 Dec28 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.00    
ANDY CANT Jan23 Jan06 Dec09 Nov04 Oct20 (meyers shane)BRACHO A 119 6.00 14% 6.00    
PACE Oct30 Oct03 Sep22 Jul29 Jun13 (winters mi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-5   05/27/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NANCYFROMTHEBLOCK Sep18 Sep02 Jul17 Jun12 May27 (genovese richard)VIGIL NOEL 119 12.00    
WAVES OF LIBERTY May09 Dec26 Dec09 Nov07 Sep06 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.00 40% 1.50    
BRIEF ENCOUNTER May06 Sep20 Aug15 Jul27 Jun28 (hamm timothy)RIVERA R 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
IT'S E Z Mar25 Feb27 Jan06 Dec18 Nov20 (fadlovich m)NUNEZ Y 119 6.00    
HOT PRINCESS (GB) May06 Apr10 Mar31 Mar01 Feb06 (lopez jacint)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 8.00    
AMY'S STAR Apr28 Mar31 Mar11 Mar12 Feb21 (ruberto louis)CEDILLO MAURO 119 4.50    
SCR  VAL'S TWINSTAR May06 Nov05 Oct23 Oct08 Aug26 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 10.00    
MANDOLIN BREEZE May06 Nov13 Nov04 Oct21 Sep18 (rettele rich)TAVARES JAVIER 119 20.00    
LIL BIT Apr24 Apr09 Mar06 Jan15 Dec26 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 117 3.50 35% 1.80    
10  MOBIL ENSIGN May06 Apr28 Apr10 Mar20 Feb27 (faulkner rodney)FELICIANO R 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-6   05/27/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TO MUCH STYLE Apr18 Mar23 Feb26     (morales sa)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 5.00    
GRAN ROXY May05 Apr23 Mar31 Mar06 Feb05 (szczepanski em)DIAZ I 123 3.50 19% 4.20    
JENN SWEET JENN May13 Apr23 Mar23 Mar01 Feb05 (rini anthony)FELICIANO R 119 2.00 34% 2.00    
SCR  FREEDOM PRINCESS May05 Mar31 Mar17 Feb27 Feb13 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.00    
MISS LITTLE BIT May05 Apr23 Apr12 Mar30 Mar03 (bailey ri)MARTINEZ L 119 6.00    
PRINCESS OPAL Mar18 Mar03 Feb05 Jan16 Dec26 (casalinova t)TAVARES JAVIER 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
WINE SCHOLAR Mar23 Feb16 Feb05 Nov20   (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 119 10.00 19% 4.30    
 
TDN-7   05/27/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VERBIER (IRE) May06 Apr08 Mar22 Mar01 Feb12 (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 5.00 15% 5.80    
GUT INSTINCT May06 Mar01 Jan23 Jan06 Dec03 (skerrett jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 119 10.00 7% 13.40    
EXTRADITION May03 Feb15 Jan17 Dec13 Nov02 (dacosta jason)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.00 51% 0.90    
CAPO LUCA May06 Apr19 Mar02 Feb07 Jan26 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 2.50    
SCR  PHOTO HOP May06 Apr11 Apr05 Mar27 Feb28 (castillo jabdi)DIAZ I 119 20.00    
ICONIC ROCK May08 Apr16 Apr05 Mar26 Mar09 (mendieta a)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
CHARLESTON May06 Apr04 Mar14 Jan24 Jan04 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 3.50    
ONORE Apr27 Mar22 Feb12 Jan25 Oct28 (estvanko rich)BRACHO A 121 6.00    
 
TDN-8   05/27/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOWNTOWN CONNECTOR Mar05 Jan27 Jan08 Dec02 Nov13 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 3.50 55% 0.80    
BROADWAY SKY Dec16 Nov26 Nov06 Oct21 Oct01 (winters mi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 8.00 10% 9.50    
SMASH Apr11 Mar26 Mar12 Feb27 Feb11 (lopez e)CEDILLO MAURO 119 4.00 10% 9.30    
BOURBON WISDOM May06 Apr10 Mar26 Mar13 Mar01 (sk)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 4.50    
SCR  STAR SHOPPING Apr21 Apr11 Apr03 Mar27 Feb28 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 119 15.00    
MASTER OF THE NITE Apr22 Mar26 Mar11 Feb05 Jan07 (juarez-m)FERNANDEZ R 119 6.00    
AULD LANGE SYNE Nov26 Nov13 Oct23 Oct08 Aug29 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 119 10.00    
LAST COOKIE May06 Mar11 Mar01 Feb05 Jan09 (juarez-mendoz)BARBARAN ERIK 119 20.00    
HURRY ON OUT May06 Mar29 Feb13 Jan16 Jul08 (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 119 5.00    
10  VINCENZINO May08 Apr28 Apr11 Mar29 Oct15 (castillo jab)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.