Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Wednesday - April 23, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (2/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/7)-(2/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/7)-(2/5/7)-(2/5/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/7)-(6/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/5/7)-(6/5/3)-(1/7/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-2   WIN (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/3)-(6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/3)-(1/7/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/5/3)-(1/7/6)-(6/3/4/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-3   WIN (1/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/6)-(1/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/6)-(1/7/6)-(1/7/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/7/6)-(6/3/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/7/6)-(6/3/4/1)-(3/2/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-4   WIN (6/3/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/4/1)-(6/3/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/4/1)-(6/3/4/1)-(6/3/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/4/1)-(3/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/4/1)-(3/2/5)-(5/4/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-5   WIN (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/5)-(3/2/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/2/5)-(3/2/6/5)-(3/2/6/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/2/5)-(5/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/2/5)-(5/4/2)-(7/2/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-6   WIN (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/2)-(5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/2)-(7/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/2)-(7/2/4)-(5/1/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-7   WIN (7/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/4)-(7/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/2/4)-(7/2/4)-(7/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/2/4)-(5/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
TDN-8   WIN (5/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/6)-(5/1/2/9/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/6)-(5/1/2/9/6)-(5/1/2/9/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   04/23/2025 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FOURDATESFORHOCO Apr03 Mar18 Mar03 Jan15 Dec16 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 115 3.50    
2  REIGNING DREAM Apr02 Mar18 Mar03 Jan30 Dec27 (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 1.80 47% 1.10    
3  COLOR BEARER Mar18 Mar03 Jan30 Dec09 Nov06 (skerrett jeffrey)RIVERA R 119 15.00    
4  DRILL'S BOY Mar27 Mar13 Jan09 Dec19 Nov13 (romero a)CEDILLO MAURO 119 10.00    
5  TROUBLE IN MOTOWN Nov12 Oct26 Sep05 Jul27   (radosevich justi)AVILES YAN 115 2.00 24% 3.20    
6  PRESSLEY RIDGE Dec27 May30 Apr24 Mar18 Feb29 (pappada julie )HOUGHTON D 119 15.00    
7  ROMANIAN PRINCE Mar18 Dec09 Nov13 Sep23 May04 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 119 6.00 8% 10.90    
 
TDN-2   04/23/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PENNY'S TREASURE Apr07 Mar20 Mar03 Feb06 Jan23 (castro r)FERNANDEZ R 119 5.00    
2  MARGARITA CINCO Jan28 Jan08 Jul25 Nov09 Oct23 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.50    
3  STATE OF GRACE Apr07 Mar24 Feb28 Feb05 Jan13 (gonzalez d)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  DANCE DRAMA Mar03 Jan28 Jan13 Dec02 Nov06 (flores christi)HOUGHTON D 119 2.50    
5  C MORE PRIDE Apr07 Mar20 Mar03 Jan28 Jan08 (faulkner c)PEREZ A 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  SALTMAKESHERSWEET Apr07 Dec02 Nov06 Sep12 Aug10 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 1.50 71% 0.40    
 
TDN-3   04/23/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VESPERA Feb06 Jan01 Nov01 Oct13 Sep15 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 2.00 43% 1.30    
  (by VOLATILE out of ANYDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
2  GRAN ROXY Mar31 Mar06 Feb05 Jan16   (s)RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 123 12.00    
  (by GIRVIN out of GRAN LETIZIA by BROKEN VOW)
SCR  MIT MONKEY Mar14 Jan19 Dec21 Nov17 Jul30 (reed r)TAPARA BRANDON 123 5.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of NEVERTHESAME by SCAT DADDY)
4  MISS LITTLE BIT Apr12 Mar30 Mar03 Feb13 Jan29 (bailey ricardo)PEREZ A 119 20.00    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of HIP NINETY THREE by HARLINGTON)
SCR  AURORA'S MUSIC Mar30 Feb14 Jan23 Dec20 Jul13 (zook w)GONZALEZ KEVIN 119 2.50    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of AURORA POINT by MALIBU MOON)
6  JENN SWEET JENN Mar23 Mar01 Feb05 Jan19 Jan03 (rini anthony)FELICIANO R 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DAK ATTACK out of GISELLE MA BELLE by INDIAN OCEAN)
7  AZTEC MELODY         (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.00 34% 1.90    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of STARVISTA by MACLEAN'S MUSIC)
 
TDN-4   04/23/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($30.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOODNESS SAKES Mar27 Mar10 Feb08 Dec19 Dec04 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  LADY LOTTIE Mar17 Feb10 Dec28 Dec11 Aug13 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 2.00    
3  KICHI KITSU Mar30 Dec28 Dec11 Sep09 Jun22 (ruberto louis)BRACHO A 119 2.50 16% 5.20    
4  GO GIRL Apr09 Mar27 Mar01 Feb08 Jan13 (yoder sus)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 119 12.00 14% 6.10    
5  CROSSED UP Apr05 Mar27 Mar10 Feb08 Jan23 (vecchio ca)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 4.50    
6  BOOGIE BOOGEE Mar30 Mar17 Feb08 Jan23 Dec28 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 119 3.50 27% 2.70    
7  LA ROSA Oct09 Sep11 Aug01 Jul17 Jun27 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 8.00    
 
TDN-5   04/23/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAY MAYS CASTLE Apr12 Mar22 Mar11 Oct15 May05 (urieta johanna)RIVERA R 119 15.00    
2  MAGGIE Mar20 Feb28 Jan13 Dec12 Nov18 (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.00 8% 11.50    
3  CONSTITUTIONALIST Mar31 Feb28 Feb12 Jan25 Dec04 (fletcher jeff)YARANGA Y 123 3.50 67% 0.50    
4  ROWDY DAISY Jan08 Dec18 Nov27 Sep09 Aug21 (canegata james)FELICIANO R 119 5.00    
5  LILAC LACE Mar26 Nov26 Nov11 Oct07 Sep11 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  BIG GINGER Mar18 Feb26 Jan13 Nov22 Oct31 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 121 2.50 ★    
7  THEODOROPOULOS Oct21 Sep19 Aug29 Aug10 Jul24 (bailey r)FERNANDEZ R 119 6.00    
 
TDN-6   04/23/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMARTASSET Apr11 Mar24 Jan25 Dec05 Nov06 (cline c)RIVERA R 123 3.50    
  (by SMARTY JONES out of SOME GIVEN LEGEND by POINT GIVEN)
2  COLLECT GOLD Mar24 Dec27 Nov06 Feb14 Jan15 (radosevich justin)STOKES J 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of MEADOWLEE by MEADOWLAKE)
3  J. P INDY Apr11 Mar24 Jan25 Dec05 Nov06 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 123 8.00    
  (by CONGRATS out of JANNES PAUL by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
4  RED SEVEN Jan10 Dec06 Nov18 Oct11   (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 2.00 25% 3.00    
  (by MITOLE out of GOT BLING by LANGFUHR)
SCR  VESPER MARTINI         (fadlovich megan)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.00 45% 1.20    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of U AND TEQUILA by HELLO BROADWAY)
6  KELLEY JEAN Apr07 Mar24 Feb27 Jan25   (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00    
  (by SPUN TO RUN out of PALACE MALICE GIRL by PALACE MALICE)
SCR  COUNTRY PROMISES         (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 10.00    
  (by COUNTRY HOUSE out of MOONSHINE PROMISE by WILL HE SHINE)
 
TDN-7   04/23/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  C F V TU BRUTUS Apr02 Mar14 Feb28 Feb03 Jan15 (c)RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 119 15.00    
2  OVERLY DRAMATIC Sep22 Jul21 Jun07 May16 Mar15 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 119 4.00 18% 4.60    
3  CANT FAKE THE HATE Mar22 Feb28 Jan25 Dec06 Nov12 (reed r)TAPARA BRANDON 121 2.50    
4  ONE SMOKIN' RITA Mar28 Mar13 Feb26 Jan10 Feb09 (rivera nes)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  AIN'T NO OTHER Mar17 Feb06 Jan16 Dec04 Oct03 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 121 5.00    
SCR  MISS ATHLETIC Apr01 Mar25 Feb06 Dec28 Dec06 (higham)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 10.00    
7  JUST BE QUIET Oct23 Sep29 Aug24 Jul06 Jun13 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 1.80 51% 0.90    
 
TDN-8   04/23/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POP THE CORK Mar20 Mar10 Dec23 Dec11 Nov14 (hurley l)TOLEDO S 119 12.00 33% 2.10    
2  UNCLE'S THE BANKER Mar30 Mar20 Mar10 Feb06 Jan24 (sweeting crai)CEDILLO MAURO 119 5.00 ★    
3  A BIT OF CAPTAIN Mar05 Jan24 Jul24 Jun29 May10 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 4.50    
4  C C'S CLEAR CREEK Apr11 Mar27 Mar10 Feb28 Dec04 (schust)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 20.00    
5  BREEZE THE BAYOU Apr01 Mar12 Feb11 Feb03 Dec11 (skerrett jeffr)DIAZ I 123 3.50 39% 1.60    
6  SHORTLY Apr05 Mar05 Feb08 Jun08 May06 (zielinski richar)VIGIL NOEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  MINDSHIP Q Apr05 Apr24 Apr08 Feb22 Jan11 (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 119 8.00    
8  IMPROBABLE FIRST Apr06 Mar14 Feb17 Jan26 Nov11 (rone mike)RIVERA R 115 10.00    
9  COASTERTOTHEMOON Mar19 Feb19 Jan17 Oct28 Oct20 (trevino st)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 115 2.50 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.