Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Friday - April 11, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/3)-(4/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/3)-(4/3/5)-(3/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
AQU-2   WIN (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/5)-(4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/5)-(3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/3/5)-(3/4)-(2/1/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
AQU-3   WIN (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/4)-(3/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/4)-(2/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/4)-(2/1/3)-(1/6/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
AQU-4   WIN (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/3)-(2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/3)-(1/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/3)-(1/6/2)-(3/5/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-5   WIN (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/2)-(1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/2)-(3/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/6/2)-(3/5/1)-(5/2/8/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-6   WIN (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/1)-(3/6/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/5/1)-(3/6/5/1)-(3/6/5/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/5/1)-(5/2/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5/1)-(5/2/8/6)-(1/7/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-7   WIN (5/2/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/8/6)-(5/2/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/8/6)-(5/2/8/6)-(5/2/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/8/6)-(1/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
AQU-8   WIN (1/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/3)-(1/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/3)-(1/7/3)-(1/7/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   04/11/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($40K) 3 F PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAROL SAID NO Feb28 Feb07 Jan17 Dec12 Sep28 (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.80 ★    
1A  YAYI NIKOLLE Mar08 Feb09 Jan17 Dec29 Nov29 (kantarmaci)RIVERA R 122 1.80 72% 0.40    
2  LOOKIN TO ROCK Mar08 Feb01 Jan25 Jan04 Dec06 (antonucci jena )DAVIS KATIE 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  POWER DRIVER Mar08 Feb07 Jan17 Dec27 Nov09 (potts w)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  RODEO STAR Feb14 Jan19 Jan01 Nov23 Nov03 (abreu r)COA J 122 2.00    
5  SOUL SECRET Feb28 Jan24 Jan04 Sep27 Aug08 (terranova john )CANCEL ERIC 122 1.60    
 
AQU-2   04/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($44K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DAT DARES RIGHT Apr03 Mar22 Mar09 Feb09 Jan16 (keithan rachael)DAVIS KATIE 124 10.00    
2  BEIRA Mar09 Feb22 Jan24 Nov29 Oct18 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 124 1.60    
3  CYNANE Mar01 Feb02 Jan04 Jun29 May26 (morley thomas)CARMOUCHE K 124 1.40 17% 4.70    
4  PROUD DIVI Mar22 Mar01 Feb03 Dec13 Nov13 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 124 2.50 50% 1.00    
5  LIGHT THOUGHTS Jan23 Jan01 Nov06     (dixon )MARAGH RAMSAY 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-3   04/11/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($29K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MACKVILLE Mar09 Feb07 Jun16 Jun02 Apr21 (potts w)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 119 8.00    
SCR  PRINCE OF TRUTH Feb28 Feb08 Jan26 Apr19 Feb29 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 124 1.80    
3  IRON MAN IRA Mar21 Feb28 Jan26 Dec01 Nov02 (johnston ro)GONZALEZ MELVIS 117 4.00 53% 0.90    
4  GOLDFIRE Jan28 Dec29 Oct22     (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SHAKIN THE BELLE Mar16 Feb15 Jan19 Dec14 Nov21 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 124 8.00    
6  AINT NO JOKE Jan26 Oct10 Sep08 Nov25 Nov02 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 2.00    
 
AQU-4   04/11/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AZ U CHASE ME Mar21 Jan17 Jan03 Nov29 Nov11 (englehart ch)CASTELLANO J 125 3.00 24% 3.10    
2  PINEAPPLE MAN Feb21 Jun16 May12 Apr20 Mar29 (nevin m)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 120 3.50 30% 2.40    
3  JANSSEN Feb01 Jan18 Jan01 Dec14 Nov30 (lakeman andre)SILVERA RUBEN 125 8.00 8% 11.20    
4  SIN NOMBRE Mar21 Feb09 Jan31 Jan17 Dec06 (romero jes)RIVERA R 125 8.00    
5  PROVISION Mar08 Feb15 Sep29 Aug29 Jul31 (shivmangal lol)LUZZI J 125 4.00    
6  ERIC FROM MIAMI Mar15 Feb13 Jan18 Jan01 Nov11 (dutrow richar)FRANCO MANUEL 125 1.60    
 
AQU-5   04/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($54K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILL BE FAMOUS Mar29 Mar09 Feb13 Jan23 Jan05 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.00 41% 1.40    
2  ECHO IN ETERNITY Mar15 Dec12 Nov07 Oct10 Sep13 (levine bruce)CANCEL ERIC 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  GRIDLOCK Mar29 Feb22 Jan10 Oct12 Jul20 (kantarmaci il)SILVERA RUBEN 121 3.50    
SCR  OUR LIBERTY BELLE Mar29 Jan30 Jan01 Dec08 Nov02 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 4.50    
5  SHESALITTLE EDGY Mar22 Mar02 Feb01 Jan10 Dec12 (rodriguez r)GONZALEZ MELVIS 116 4.00    
6  WILLOW BEND Mar02 Feb01 Dec29 Dec12 Nov10 (kantarma)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 123 3.00 26% 2.90    
 
AQU-6   04/11/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($35K) Purse ($44K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOXY CARA Mar15 Mar02 Feb09 Jan10 Nov21 (friedman mi)GONZALEZ MELVIS 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  BOOK OF WISDOM Mar15 Jan24 Jan05 Dec12 Nov09 (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 5.00    
3  BEDTIME STORY (IRE) Mar15 Jan01 Nov19 Oct21 Jul30 (johnston rob)HARKIE K 124 3.00 74% 0.30    
4  FUHGEDDABOUDIT Mar13 Jul20 Jun28 May16 Apr28 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 124 4.00    
5  VALENTINE GIFT Jan24 Jan04 Nov30 Oct24 Sep20 (ribaudo robert )DAVIS KATIE 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  PAM PAM Mar15 Feb27 Jan23 Jan12 Dec01 (dutrow richar)FRANCO MANUEL 124 2.50 ★    
7  PEAK OF CHIC Mar26 Mar14 Feb14 Dec28 Dec06 (moore michae)HADDOCK DEXTER 124 6.00    
 
AQU-7   04/11/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($76K) 3 ALL PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CORVUS Mar08 Feb01 Jan02 Dec06 Oct18 (jimenez jose)CASTELLANO J 122 5.00    
SCR  FIRST PITCH Mar23 Feb21 Jan11     (jimenez l)CEDENO CAROL 122 5.00    
2  OUTSOURCE Mar02 Feb01 Jan04 Nov23   (dutrow richar)FRANCO MANUEL 122 6.00 12% 7.40    
3  BUTTAH Mar23 Feb23 Jan02 Dec14 Oct21 (sciacca gary)LUZZI J 120 3.50    
4  MO KREESA Nov15 Oct27 Sep29     (dixon k)RUIZ ELISEO 120 15.00    
5  MO FOR THE KING Feb21         (duggan)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 3.00 54% 0.80    
6  PLAY THE GRAY Mar08 Jan18 Nov20 Nov04 Oct19 (velazquez danie)CARMOUCHE K 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  I'M SOLO N IN LOVE Mar16 Feb14 Jan26 Jan10 Nov29 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 120 5.00    
8  SWIFT MAGIC Mar08 Jan04 Oct31 Aug25 Aug16 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 122 4.00 10% 9.40    
 
AQU-8   04/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRAVE BUCK         (barker edwar)HARKIE K 125 8.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  CARLIN CONTENTION         (ryerson)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 113 8.00    
3  NO MORE SINS         (ryerson james )LUZZI J 118 12.00 8% 11.00    
4  NINE N FOUR Apr05 Mar22 Mar01 Feb14 Jan17 (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.00    
5  MAGIC BEACH Apr05 Mar08 Feb28 Jan17 Dec12 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 125 2.50    
SCR  SO SPIRITED Mar22         (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 6.00    
7  STIMULI Mar08 Feb08       (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 118 6.00 22% 3.50    
8  RENEW THE BLUE Mar22 Feb08 Nov23 Oct27 Oct06 (donk david)CEDENO CAROL 118 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.