Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Saturday - February 15, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/5)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/5)-(3/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/5)-(3/2/6)-(6/3/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TAM-2   WIN (3/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/6)-(3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/6)-(6/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/2/6)-(6/3/4)-(10/4/7/2/6) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
TAM-3   WIN (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/4)-(6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/4)-(10/4/7/2/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/3/4)-(10/4/7/2/6)-(10/3/6/2/8) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
TAM-4   WIN (10/4/7/2/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/4/7/2/6)-(10/4/7/2/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/4/7/2/6)-(10/4/7/2/6)-(10/4/7/2/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/4/7/2/6)-(10/3/6/2/8) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (10/4/7/2/6)-(10/3/6/2/8)-(4/5/6/3) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-5   WIN (10/3/6/2/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/3/6/2/8)-(10/3/6/2/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/3/6/2/8)-(10/3/6/2/8)-(10/3/6/2/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/3/6/2/8)-(4/5/6/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (10/3/6/2/8)-(4/5/6/3)-(5/3/4/6/10) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-6   WIN (4/5/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/6/3)-(4/5/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/6/3)-(4/5/6/3)-(4/5/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/6/3)-(5/3/4/6/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/5/6/3)-(5/3/4/6/10)-(8/7/4/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-7   WIN (5/3/4/6/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/3/4/6/10)-(5/3/4/6/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/3/4/6/10)-(5/3/4/6/10)-(5/3/4/6/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/3/4/6/10)-(8/7/4/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/3/4/6/10)-(8/7/4/2)-(4/7/2/5/3) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-8   WIN (8/7/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/4/2)-(8/7/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/4/2)-(8/7/4/2)-(8/7/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/7/4/2)-(4/7/2/5/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TAM-9   WIN (4/7/2/5/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/7/2/5/3)-(4/7/2/5/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/7/2/5/3)-(4/7/2/5/3)-(4/7/2/5/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   02/15/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ABBY THE BULL DAWG Jan31 Dec22 Nov30 Oct19 Sep28 (moysey chelsey)COTTO L 122 3.00 22% 3.50    
2  MARTHAMAYWHOVIER Feb02 Jan12 Dec27 Sep29 Aug30 (wasiluk peter )ALLEN D 122 20.00    
3  SET THE PACE Feb05 Jan03 Dec11 Nov23 Sep23 (arnett g)TOHILL S 122 4.50    
4  CALENDULA Feb05 Jan22 Sep30 Sep09 Aug06 (mendieta )RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 122 8.00 22% 3.60    
5  WOODS HOLE Feb05 Jan22 Jan03 Dec11 Sep19 (dimmett james)HESS SARA 115 6.00 10% 8.90    
6  AFTER A FEW Jan24 Jan08 Dec20 Nov02 Oct19 (campbell joel)CASTANON L 122 1.00    
 
TAM-2   02/15/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($32K) Purse ($24K) 3 ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MORODER Jan25 Jan05 Jun08     (hamm )DIAZ RAFAEL 120 2.50    
2  GLOBAL GIANT (GB)         (sacco gre)MALDONADO GABRIEL 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  TROOPS Jan25 Jan08       (vinson g)MORALES PABLO 120 1.60 59% 0.70    
4  FLY COMMANDER Jan24 Oct05 Aug16 Aug01 Jul18 (ochoa gerard)MARIN SAMUEL 120 3.50    
5  EL MUCHACHO ALEGRE Jan01 Nov27       (gardea abraham)GIL CIPRIANO 120 6.00    
6  MIAMI FRANK         (mcgoey monic)GONZALEZ CESAR 113 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-3   02/15/2025 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($32K) Purse ($24K) 3 F PT- 1:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THAT'S FUNNY Jan26         (sacco gr)GALLARDO A 120 5.00    
2  ALICE FANTASTIC Dec07         (garcia rod)URDANETA J 120 20.00    
3  MT. D'ORO Jan26 Jan11 Dec21     (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 120 3.00 19% 4.20    
4  INSTABRAT Jan25 Nov29 Oct15 Oct02 Sep17 (hamm )DIAZ RAFAEL 120 8.00 8% 12.10    
5  GOLD STAMP Jan26         (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 120 2.50    
6  MS KENDRICK B. Feb01 Jan15 Dec29 Dec07   (bennett gerald )CENTENO E 120 1.60 52% 0.90    
 
TAM-4   02/15/2025 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3 ALL PT- 1:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GO STORMY Jan29 Jan18       (yanez r)FERRER C 120 30.00    
2  BUT NOW AM FOUND Feb02 Jan04 Aug31 Aug03   (contessa c)SPIETH S 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  NEW YORK FOG Jan15 Dec21 Nov27 Oct04 Sep01 (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 120 12.00    
4  KING PLUTUS Jan10 Nov30       (amaya gustavo)GIL CIPRIANO 120 6.00 30% 2.30    
5  LIBRARY Jan15 Dec07 Oct13 Sep22   (laurato micha)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 30.00    
6  TEN BUCKS A GLASS Jan29 Jan05 Sep23 Aug31   (arnett g)MORALES PABLO 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  PRINCE LANCELOT (GB) Feb14 Jan29 Jan19 Jan15 Nov27 (o'connell kathlee)HESS SARA 113 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  TAKE YOUR MEDICINE Jan10 Dec21       (pimental john )CASTANON L 120 6.00    
SCR  CITY TIME Dec22 Nov27 Oct11 Aug22 Jul27 (arnett g)TOHILL S 120 2.50    
10  GAP TO GAP Dec22 Nov30 Oct11 Sep07   (avila c)MENESES MARCOS 120 1.80 44% 1.30    
11  EL DE TOCHO Jan29 Jan10 Dec20     (orantes yoni)BATISTA A 120 8.00    
SCR  VINO COURAGIO Jan10 Dec21 Oct16 Oct01 Sep17 (connelly teresa)LEON SONNY 120 6.00    
SCR  NO TELLING Jan12 Dec22 Nov30 Sep15   (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 3.00    
SCR  DEVIL OF RAMADI Jan29 Jan04 Dec18 Nov30 Oct26 (paragallo )FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 120 15.00    
 
TAM-5   02/15/2025 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($54K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INCHON Dec27 Dec06 May30 Feb09 Dec08 (motio)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 12.00    
2  ANAMNESTIC Jan18 Nov30 Nov09 Oct12 Sep20 (danner kelsey)MORALES PABLO 119 6.00 11% 8.30    
3  MCCULLOUGH Oct19 Aug31 Jun30 Feb18 Dec24 (brown c)MARIN SAMUEL 119 2.50 18% 4.60    
4  MAGICAL MARRIAGE Dec14 Sep14 Aug03 Jul19 Jun22 (mcburney patrick)LEON SONNY 119 6.00    
5  BENVOLIO Dec27 Dec06 Nov02 May25 Apr21 (parra hernan)BATISTA A 119 30.00    
6  TIMEOUT Jan16 Nov10 Sep21 Aug17 Jul19 (mott i)CENTENO E 123 4.50 11% 7.90    
7  TOOFAREASTISWEST Nov18 Oct07 Aug24 Jul28 Jun16 (trombetta mich)CASTANON L 119 8.00    
8  CAN GROUP Jan25 Dec14 Jun01 May04 Apr05 (casse ma)GALLARDO A 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TALKSCHEAP Dec28 Aug07 Jun26 Jun19 May11 (alessi james)HIRALDO JOHN 119 10.00    
10  JOURNEYMAN Dec14 Nov16 Oct12 Sep15 Aug23 (wright mi)MALDONADO GABRIEL 119 3.50 30% 2.30    
 
TAM-6   02/15/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAMA BANNED ME Feb09 Dec14 Nov29 Oct05 Sep19 (hernandez enri)COTTO L 118 10.00    
2  HURRICANE DUDE Feb01 Jan17 Dec22 Dec06 Oct22 (hamm timothy)FERRER C 118 15.00    
3  THE SWAYZE EXPRESS Feb01 Dec06 Oct22 Oct07 Sep24 (carmichael)MITCHELL RICHARD 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  BRAGGADOCIOUS Feb01 Dec22 Nov29 Sep25 Sep07 (richards renal)MARIN SAMUEL 118 2.00 44% 1.30    
5  MIDNIGHT ONYX Feb01 Jan08 Dec28 Dec04 Nov20 (moyse)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 1.80 13% 6.50    
6  LE MISTRAL Jan17 Dec22 Nov20 Nov03 Sep27 (bennett s)HESS SARA 111 4.50 11% 7.80    
7  ADMIRAL'S WAVE Feb02 Jan17 Nov01 Oct11 Sep21 (avila car)GIL CIPRIANO 118 6.00    
8  SMOOTH PLAYER Feb01 Dec21 Dec06 Oct07 Sep14 (avila c)MENESES MARCOS 118 20.00    
 
TAM-7   02/15/2025 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INCLUDE THE MUNNY Jan19 Dec29 Aug28 Aug09 Jun19 (garde)DIAZ RAFAEL 122 10.00    
2  ALTHENA Jan15 Jan08 Dec20 Dec04 Aug16 (paragallo je)GONZALEZ CESAR 115 15.00    
3  FOREVER AGAIN Jan29 Jan03 Dec21 Nov30 Oct24 (schuh tim)BRACHO A 122 2.00 23% 3.40    
4  PIVOT TO THE POWER (GB) Jan19 Dec22 Aug19 Jun18 May20 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 8.00 12% 7.60    
5  RUNWAY LIGHTS Jan31 Jan11 Dec06 Nov14 Oct24 (sacco gregory )MARIN SAMUEL 122 3.50 44% 1.30    
6  FAR ABOVE Jan29 Jan08 Dec22 Dec04 Oct13 (dobber w)LEON SONNY 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PIGEON CAY Jan15 Jun30 May31 May04 Aug31 (fisher davi)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 8.00    
8  LADY LYNX Jan15 Dec22 Dec04 Oct24 Oct02 (downing william)FERRER C 122 15.00    
9  HOLDER CLOSE Jan29 Jan01 Dec15 Nov16 Oct13 (cascallare)URDANETA J 122 5.00    
10  THEFORCEBEWITHYOU Feb05 Jan03 Apr04 Mar10 Feb14 (dominguez huber)HESS SARA 115 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FIREDINI Jan18 Dec27 Dec07     (cheeks k)RODRIGUEZ O 122 30.00    
12  TINS Jan08 Nov10 Oct19 Sep04 Aug24 (ochoa gerard)MENESES MARCOS 122 12.00    
SCR  GAMBI Feb02 Jan15 Dec06 Nov13 Sep26 (alessi james)HIRALDO JOHN 122 30.00    
SCR  SECORD Jan29 Jan03 Nov30 Sep28 Sep13 (orantes y)MALDONADO GABRIEL 122 30.00    
 
TAM-8   02/15/2025 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($23K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUPREME DOMINANCE Jan29 Jan17 Dec22 Nov29 Oct19 (delgado h)MARIN SAMUEL 116 3.50    
2  MISSION KEY Feb01 Jan11 Dec24 Nov30 Sep19 (rarick lynn)ALLEN D 116 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  FEUILLETON Feb01 Jan12 Dec04 Oct03 Sep07 (dimmett james)FERRER C 116 20.00    
4  AZURE SKY Jan31 Dec28 Sep27 Sep05 Aug24 (mendieta )RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 116 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  GREYZER Jan22 Jan10 Dec20 Dec04 Oct04 (de karla)COTTO L 116 4.00    
6  ACTION SEEKER Jan31 Jan22 Jan05 Oct17 Sep22 (arnett g)TOHILL S 116 6.00    
7  LORD KNOWS Feb01 Jan18 Dec28 Dec14 Oct11 (barron r)GALLARDO A 116 5.00 11% 8.50    
8  CATATUMBO Jan31 Jan25 Jan03 Dec24 Nov23 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 116 1.80 61% 0.60    
 
TAM-9   02/15/2025 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($54K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEMECULA Sep14 Aug11 Jun23 Jun02 Apr21 (shaw christopher)BRACHO A 119 20.00    
2  PARCHMENT PARTY Nov24 Nov09 Oct12 Nov09 Sep15 (mott i)CENTENO E 119 4.00 5% 19.00    
3  WOODCOCK FLIGHT (IRE) Dec14 Oct13 Sep29 Sep05 Aug19 (banks chris)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  READ ON Jan19 Nov24 Oct18 Sep15 May12 (delgado jorge)LEON SONNY 123 3.00 51% 0.90    
5  READY TO FLY Sep02 Aug11 Jul20 Jun29 Jun09 (mcburney patri)CASTANON L 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  YES THIS TIME Dec27 Nov24 Sep22 Sep01 Jun30 (soler edisley)FERRER C 119 20.00    
7  DEUTERONOMY Jan18 Nov29 Nov01 Jul20   (mcgaughey clau)MARIN SAMUEL 123 2.50 17% 4.80    
8  STREET EARNINGS Jan23 Nov09 Oct12 Sep28 Aug15 (casse ma)GALLARDO A 123 4.50    
9  CARD TRICK Feb01 Dec27 Nov29 Nov08 Oct12 (downing willi)MORALES PABLO 119 6.00    
10  TWO STEPPIN KLUKI Dec14 Nov30 Oct03 Sep14 May01 (cudworth pau)BATISTA A 119 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.