Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Friday - February 07, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (1/3/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/6/2)-(1/3/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/6/2)-(1/3/6/2)-(1/3/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/6/2)-(9/4/3/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/3/6/2)-(9/4/3/2)-(10/5/2/1/4) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
PEN-2   WIN (9/4/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/4/3/2)-(9/4/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/4/3/2)-(9/4/3/2)-(9/4/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/4/3/2)-(10/5/2/1/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/4/3/2)-(10/5/2/1/4)-(7/2/1/3) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
PEN-3   WIN (10/5/2/1/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/5/2/1/4)-(10/5/2/1/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/5/2/1/4)-(10/5/2/1/4)-(10/5/2/1/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/5/2/1/4)-(7/2/1/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (10/5/2/1/4)-(7/2/1/3)-(4/3/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
PEN-4   WIN (7/2/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/1/3)-(7/2/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/1/3)-(7/2/1/3)-(7/2/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/1/3)-(4/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/2/1/3)-(4/3/1)-(10/3/1/6/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
PEN-5   WIN (4/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/1)-(4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/1)-(10/3/1/6/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/3/1)-(10/3/1/6/2)-(2/6/5) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
PEN-6   WIN (10/3/1/6/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/3/1/6/2)-(10/3/1/6/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/3/1/6/2)-(10/3/1/6/2)-(10/3/1/6/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/3/1/6/2)-(2/6/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (10/3/1/6/2)-(2/6/5)-(4/8/2) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
PEN-7   WIN (2/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/5)-(2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/5)-(4/8/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/6/5)-(4/8/2)-(8/1/7) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
PEN-8   WIN (4/8/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/8/2)-(4/8/7/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/8/2)-(4/8/7/2)-(4/8/7/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/8/2)-(8/1/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
PEN-9   WIN (8/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/1/7)-(8/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/1/7)-(8/1/7)-(8/1/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   02/07/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3 F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KASHMIR WITCH Dec12         (kravets bru)RAMOS O 122 1.80 21% 3.70    
  (by WEIGELIA out of C J'S LITTLE GIRL by ATTORNEY)
2  GOTTA BE KIDDIN         (salinas jos)INIRIO J 122 12.00 13% 6.60    
  (by WELL SPELLED out of KID BROWN by BIG BROWN)
3  DANCING FOR JACK         (houle a)CONNER TYLER 122 5.00 14% 6.20    
  (by EASTWOOD out of DANCING SPARKS by JUMP START)
4  STRONG DECISION Sep14 Aug26       (houghton thoma)TORRES JOMAR 122 15.00    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of DEVIL'S DECISION by REPENT)
5  BRAMWELL         (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 8.00    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of CARRY THE TORCH by SNOW RIDGE)
6  MO JUICE         (sarson alisa )DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 6.00 13% 6.50    
  (by MO TOWN out of KILLIN THEM SOFTLY by WILDCAT HEIR)
7  POOR MANS LADY Jan17 Dec08 Nov14     (gorham michael )MENA E 122 2.00    
  (by INSTILLED REGARD out of DATTS OUR KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
 
PEN-2   02/07/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LASTCHANCE ROMANCE Dec27 Dec04 Oct23 Jul11 Jun19 (stowers michelle)AGUILAR M 121 12.00    
2  BLACKDIAMOND DINNY Dec12 Nov22 Nov14 Oct03 Aug03 (beattie m)CHIAPPE R 121 8.00 6% 14.80    
3  CELTIC TIGER Dec27 Nov13 Apr22 Mar04 Feb12 (crook-demas)WOLFSONT ANDREW 121 3.50 12% 7.10    
4  FLEETING EMBER Dec19 Dec06 Nov07 Sep19 Aug21 (kreiser timoth)TORRES JOMAR 123 5.00 19% 4.30    
5  LADY ANNABELLE Jan28 Dec06 Oct24 Oct09 Sep24 (stites flin)INIRIO J 121 30.00    
6  PHABULOUS PHOEBE Jul17 May30 Apr06 Mar08 Feb08 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 121 12.00    
SCR  BRACCESCA Dec27 Dec04 Oct31 Oct03 Jul11 (rodriguez fra)DIAZ VLADIMIR 121 30.00    
8  THREE POLKS Dec06 Nov03 Oct16 Sep19 Aug15 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 121 1.60    
9  SHIGEKO Apr25 Mar16 Mar03 Feb11 Jan07 (kreiser timoth)CONNER TYLER 121 4.50 28% 2.50    
 
PEN-3   02/07/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DR RAGS Dec19 Nov27 Oct23 Oct10 Sep24 (fields kevin)FLORES E 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  CAJUN OCCASION Dec19 Nov29 Nov08 Aug28 Aug01 (boyer jr)BAKER J 125 12.00 22% 3.50    
3  TRIVISTA Dec12 Nov21 Oct31 Oct11 Sep27 (ippolito ma)CORUJO LEONARDO 125 15.00    
4  MY BLUE EYES Jan25 Nov13 Oct18 Sep26 May10 (martinez a)AGUILAR M 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  BOSS HOLIDAY Dec19 Nov01 Oct14 Sep25 Sep11 (albright amy)CORA D 125 4.00 22% 3.50    
6  RAHMER Jan29 Dec03 Nov02 Oct24 Oct16 (diaz jorge)AGUILAR JEAN 120 15.00    
SCR  BEE BY THE SEA Nov29 Oct30 Sep17 Aug30 Aug16 (salvaggio m)INIRIO J 125 2.50    
8  ECLIPTICALS BEAR Dec12 Nov01 Sep10 Aug14 Jul15 (agnew naoise)ROJAS MARTINA 125 12.00    
9  SPOOKY ONE Dec04 Nov14 Nov01 Aug21 Aug12 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 125 3.50    
10  ANNAMATED MOON Nov13 May29 Feb02 Jan11 Dec08 (smith r)LLOYD W 125 6.00 29% 2.40    
 
PEN-4   02/07/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($21K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRUSHBACK Mar11 Feb14 Jan09 Dec30   (ness jamie)CONNER TYLER 125 3.50 16% 5.20    
2  ADDYSON'S DREAM Dec02 Sep17 Aug26 Jul17 Jul02 (coletti e)RODRIGUEZ R 125 2.00 19% 4.40    
3  ON SECRET SERVICE Nov20 Sep25 Sep04 Jun12   (gordon-watson)DIAZ VLADIMIR 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  SANDY'S REFUGEE Nov20 Oct25 Aug01 Jul12 Jun18 (carpio erin)BEATO INOEL 125 4.00    
5  RIP MY HEART         (stites flin)INIRIO J 125 10.00    
6  POKER PLAYER KAZ         (synnefias d)CORUJO LEONARDO 125 10.00    
7  KALAHARI NOT SORRY Nov20 Oct25 Feb06     (crook-demasi k)TORRES JOMAR 125 3.00 32% 2.10    
 
PEN-5   02/07/2025 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOSS LIKE BETH Jan13 Nov25 Nov13 Nov01 Oct17 (lake a)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  TIZ RACE DAY Jan13 Dec16 Dec02 Nov13 Oct21 (ness jamie)CONNER TYLER 123 2.50    
3  PERIDOT PENDANT Dec27 Dec13 Nov20 Nov01 May02 (mcclellan erin)TORRES JOMAR 123 3.50 24% 3.20    
4  REIGERT GIRLS Jan08 Nov15 Oct09 Sep23 Sep03 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 121 3.00 37% 1.70    
5  NICOLE'S JOURNEY Jan08 Dec18 Nov01 Jul05   (simoff andrew)BEATO INOEL 121 10.00    
6  PINK ROSE Nov07 Oct09 Sep13 Aug04 Jul26 (kulp bran)HERNANDEZ A 121 4.50    
SCR  DIAMONDSIFYOUDO Jan08 Dec07 Feb10 Dec30 Nov12 (merryman elizab)GOMEZ KEVIN 121 10.00    
 
PEN-6   02/07/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EDWARD MADDEN Jan25 Dec19 Nov22 Oct31 Oct11 (iannotti i)CHIAPPE R 125 3.00 16% 5.50    
2  MUNI MUNI SLEW Jan02 Dec13 Nov22 Oct31 Oct06 (beattie cody)ROJAS MARTINA 125 30.00 10% 8.80    
3  TOMMY THE TORCH Jan29 Dec19 Nov20 Nov05 Oct22 (albright am)INIRIO J 125 5.00 16% 5.30    
4  SCREEN STAR Aug23 Jul26 Jul03 Jun11 May29 (cifarelli frank)BAKER J 125 15.00    
5  SHANGHAI SUPERFLY Jan30 Jan08 Dec19 Dec03 Nov13 (diaz jorge)RANGEL JOEZER 125 10.00    
6  WAHEEL Dec18 Nov14 Oct30 Sep24 Sep16 (albright amy)CORA D 125 8.00 13% 7.00    
7  CONTINENTAL DIVIDE Nov27 Nov13 Oct24 Aug23 Jul19 (kravets bruc)VILLEGAS JERRY 125 8.00    
8  ROCKIN THE PALACE Dec19 Nov08 Oct30 Oct17 Sep18 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 125 4.00    
9  NAUTICAL NATURE Nov27 Oct24 Aug15 Jul11 Jun06 (ippolito mark)BEATO INOEL 125 30.00    
10  CHEERS FOR KITTEN Nov22 Oct31 Oct10 Sep23 Sep02 (rathman elisha)TORRES JOMAR 125 3.50 21% 3.70    
 
PEN-7   02/07/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STARLORD Jan07 Nov18 Oct08 Sep18 Sep04 (coletti e)RODRIGUEZ R 123 2.50    
2  KAZ CREED Dec27 Dec07       (synnefias d)CORUJO LEONARDO 123 6.00 26% 2.90    
3  ARTWELL Jan29 Dec21 Nov17 Nov01 Sep13 (dunham bernar)RIVERA D 123 3.00    
4  BRONX BOYS Jan09 Dec02 Nov11 Oct14 Sep16 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 123 5.00    
5  SYLVIA I AM Jan09 Dec27 Dec12 Nov13 Jul31 (shea lydee)DIAZ VLADIMIR 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  BEJUCO Jan03 Nov15 Oct24 Oct04 Aug16 (carpio erin)BEATO INOEL 123 4.00 20% 4.00    
SCR  MILO Jan08 Oct11 Sep15 Jun07   (alvarado diane)PEREZ XAVIER 125 6.00    
 
PEN-8   02/07/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PICCOLO DIAVOLO Jan09 Dec13 Oct19 Sep23 Sep07 (rathman elisha)CONNER TYLER 125 6.00    
2  JACKIE A Dec20 Dec04 Nov13 Oct24 Oct08 (fields kevin)FLORES E 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GUNS N' ROJAS Dec08 Nov23 Oct25 Oct10 Sep02 (sullivan elli)ROJAS MARTINA 121 6.00    
4  INFAMOUS NONO Jan02 Dec11 Nov15 Oct30 Oct17 (salvaggio mark)TORRES JOMAR 123 4.00 39% 1.60    
5  HELMS DEEP (GB) Jan03 Nov28 Nov02 Oct04 Sep14 (kreiser tim)INIRIO J 121 6.00    
6  FAST FREEZE KAZ Dec20 Dec04 Sep14 Aug30 Jul17 (sinnefia pa)CORUJO LEONARDO 121 3.00    
7  TOLD IT ALL Jan17 Dec08 Nov23 Oct19 Sep08 (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 121 6.00 ★    
8  WARRIOR'S PAYOFF Dec27 Dec12 Aug16 Jun12 Oct10 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 121 4.50 32% 2.10    
 
PEN-9   02/07/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EMMA AT THE GATE Jan08 Dec11 Nov15 Oct30 Sep30 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 123 8.00 15% 5.80    
SCR  MINIMO Dec13 Dec01 Nov02 Oct17 Sep20 (machado antonio)BEATO INOEL 123 10.00    
SCR  CHASIN' WHISKEY Dec20 Nov07 Oct21 Sep24 Sep03 (martinez jose)TUNON JORDANO 123 30.00    
4  WARRIOR'S WAY OUT Nov21 Oct24 Oct02 Jul10 Jun18 (bobadilla f)CORA D 123 10.00    
5  SECRET SATURDAY Jan24 Jan02 Dec20 Nov18 Oct31 (deiter kell)CACHA-PADILLA B 123 10.00    
SCR  BRUDER Jan09 Dec20 Dec01 Nov02 Oct17 (beattie m)CONNER TYLER 123 2.50    
7  TAPORICAL Jan02 Dec20 Dec11 Nov18 Jul04 (martin f)AGUILAR M 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  BEARING DOWN Nov30 Nov08 Oct18 Sep29 Sep02 (sullivan elliot)GOMEZ KEVIN 123 3.00 52% 0.90    
9  ROLLY Jan23 Dec27 Dec13 Nov13 Oct30 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 123 3.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.