Handicappers' Racing Form

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Arapahoe Park
Sunday - November 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

ARP-1   Win (2/5/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ARP-2   Win (3/4/5/10/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00
ARP-3   Win (3/7/5/8/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00
ARP-4   Win (7/6/8/12/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00
ARP-5   Win (8/5/11/2/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00
ARP-6   Win (1/6/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ARP-7   Win (3/6/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ARP-8   Win (8/4/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
ARP-1   11/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($10K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AZUSA STREET Nov01 Oct20 Sep19 Aug31 Jul18 (vicchrilli russell)RAMOS B 124 4.50    
MAYA D Oct19 Sep27 Aug04 Jun23 Apr23 (martinez a)WALES T 122 3.50 47% 1.10    
MOBILEAGILEHOSTILE Nov01 Oct05 Sep27 Sep01 Aug11 (lavanway da)IRONEYES R 124 8.00    
DANGERELLA Nov01 Oct20 Aug31 Aug24 Aug16 (leon alexis)ARANA MINOR 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
HEAVENLY VIOLET Sep07 Aug30 Aug17 Aug04 Jul14 (ortega joe)CARRENO J 124 10.00 17% 4.70    
SKYLAR'S FIRE Oct19 Sep28 Sep16 Aug31 Aug24 (ramaekers er)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 2.50    
ZACANGO PRIDE Oct25 Oct13 Sep21 Aug30 Aug18 (guadarrama oma)CARILLO DANIEL 122 6.00 12% 7.50    
 
ARP-2   11/17/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($17K) 2 ALL PT- 2:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDEN BEAUTY Oct26 Sep28 Sep08 Aug11   (martinez o )IRONEYES R 114 6.00    
ROMAN EYES Oct26         (rushton stetson)MCNEIL BRYAN 117 4.50    
ADETERMINEDMOM Sep28 Aug25 Aug02 Jul07 Jun17 (kemper kerry)HAAR NATHAN 117 2.50 24% 3.10    
THUNDERMOUNTAINMAN         (martinez a)RAMOS B 117 12.00 20% 4.10    
STOLEN FUNDS Oct26 Oct13 Sep28 Sep08   (rushton ste)MEDINA ANGEL 114 3.50 20% 4.10    
GRIZZLED Sep22 Aug16       (mitchell chris)CARILLO DANIEL 120 8.00    
SLEW CITY TIZ Oct13 Sep22 Aug25 Aug11 Jul21 (mitchell r)ARANA MINOR 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
KING OF SWING Oct26 Sep29 Sep13 Aug17 Jul22 (parsons rile)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 117 5.00    
SCR  BOTTLE CAPS Oct13 Sep29 Sep13 Aug25 Jul21 (williams dewey)AGUILAR DANIEL 120 4.00    
10  REDS CASHN GOLD         (thompson grady)NUNNALLY BLAKE 120 15.00 12% 7.30    
11  STANFORD HOLIDAY Oct13 Aug25       (ortega joe)CARRENO J 117 4.00    
 
ARP-3   11/17/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRINCESS VANELLOPE Oct25 Oct12 Sep28 Sep15 Aug31 (ramaekers e)MEDINA ANGEL 119 3.50    
GUTFIELD Oct18 Sep21 Sep09 Aug27 Aug07 (kemper kerry)RAMOS B 121 2.50    
TIZKANDOIT Oct27 Oct05 Sep20 Jun28 Apr05 (rushton temple)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 4.50 50% 1.00    
EYES ON GLADIATOR Oct25 Oct13       (rushton stetson)HAAR NATHAN 116 8.00    
ENDALE ARCH Oct25 Sep20 Aug30 Aug17 Aug04 (lavanway da)IRONEYES R 124 10.00 6% 16.10    
PURE CRYSTAL Oct12 Oct05 Sep21 Jul13 Jun03 (arceo salvad)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 8.00    
BIGPARTY NOWHISKEY Nov01 Oct18 Oct05 Sep20 Sep06 (rushton stetson)CARDOSO DAVID 121 3.00 17% 4.80    
WOLFRAM Oct27 Oct05 Sep07 Sep01 Aug18 (mitchell r)ARANA MINOR 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
ORO Oct27 Oct12 Oct04 Sep22 Sep13 (jenkins l)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  SIMPLY ELEMENTARY Jul21 Jul14 Mar08 Feb13 Feb05 (stubblefield kenneth)LARSEN S 124 6.00    
 
ARP-4   11/17/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 Allowance Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CREAM PUFF REAPER Oct26 Oct11 Sep27 Sep14 Aug13 (hibdon mark )FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 4.50    
SPECIAL TWIST Nov03 Oct26 Sep27 Sep09 Aug27 (hall monk)RAMOS B 121 15.00    
RICHIE'S GAL Oct18 Oct06 Sep14 Sep01 Aug16 (chavez vero)IRONEYES R 122 10.00    
OUR CLOVER GAL Nov03 Oct26 Oct11 Sep29 Sep15 (ibanez albert)VORRATH VALENTE 124 12.00    
JUST REMEMBER Oct27 Oct11 Sep11 Aug20 Jul30 (hall monk)CARILLO DANIEL 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
LOTTA PRADA Oct25 Oct04 Sep27 Sep06 Sep17 (kemper kerry)HAAR NATHAN 121 3.50 14% 6.20    
BRASHANKNOWIT Oct19 Sep06 Aug09 Jul07 Apr21 (long vaughn)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 5.00 47% 1.10    
GRACIE'S A TIGER Oct18 Sep29 Sep08 Aug04 Jul14 (martinez a)WALES T 124 2.50 5% 18.60    
TIFFANY'S FERRARI Oct11 Sep27 Sep14 Aug14 Jul23 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 122 2.00    
SCR  GAME TO PLAY Oct25 Oct13 Oct04 Sep22 Sep13 (diaz luis)CARDENAS JACOB 124 20.00    
11  FESSY Oct18 Oct13 Sep08 Aug23 Aug16 (schindler jeff)AGUILAR DANIEL 122 6.00    
12  ATHENAS SONG Sep22 Aug23 Aug05 Jul21 Dec10 (ramaekers e)MEDINA ANGEL 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
ARP-5   11/17/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SYNNIN AND WINNIN Oct26 Oct04 Sep21 Sep02 Aug18 (mitchell r)ARANA MINOR 124 10.00    
LOOKIN FOR LOKI Oct26 Sep22 Aug28 Aug07 Jul20 (kemper kerry)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50 6% 17.00    
HAIL STATE Nov02 Oct20 Sep28 Jul17 Jun25 (lavanway dayson)CARRENO J 124 5.00    
ROUGE SUNSET Oct25 Oct06 Sep22 Sep06 Aug25 (barriga l)CARDENAS JACOB 124 10.00    
BRAYBRAY Oct20 Sep08 Jul21 Jun15 May02 (martinez a)WALES T 124 2.00 20% 4.00    
SERENDIP RULER Sep06 Aug24 Aug04 Jul28 Jul11 (ramaekers e)MEDINA ANGEL 124 6.00    
JAMES'S MOONSHINE Oct26 Oct18 Sep27 Sep15 Aug23 (schindler jeff)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 8.00    
UNBOWED Oct06 Aug21 Jul16 Jun28 Jun23 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 124 2.50 30% 2.30    
BLUE SKYE JADE Nov02 Oct20 Oct11 Sep28 Sep14 (williams de)IRONEYES R 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  TAP TAP HUSTO Oct18 Oct06 Sep22 Jun30 Sep09 (chavez jose)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 4.50    
11  ROCHESTER'S FINEST Oct26 Oct11 Sep22 Sep08 Aug31 (rushton stetson)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 6.00 19% 4.30    
12  ITS A DEAL Oct11 Sep22 Aug24 Aug03 Jun29 (rushton temple)RAMOS B 124 10.00    
 
ARP-6   11/17/2024 5940ft DIRT RC11 Butch Gleason Classic Purse ($38.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOVELY LOLA Oct19 Sep29 Sep08 Aug25 Aug11 (ortega joe)WALES T 124 2.00 28% 2.60    
DRIVEHAPPY Oct12 Sep20 Sep08 Aug07 Jul14 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 124 6.00    
HARD TO COME BY Oct26 Oct12 Sep13 Aug28 Aug14 (hibdon mark )FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 10.00    
SCR  THUNDERSHOOK Nov01 Oct11 Sep28 Sep14 Sep01 (dieter dalton)HAAR NATHAN 124 12.00    
LORRAINE'S LEGACY Oct19 Oct05 Aug25 Jul27 Jul05 (ramaekers e)MEDINA ANGEL 124 4.00 19% 4.30    
MR. THUNDERSTRUCK Oct12 Sep07 Aug26 Aug10 Aug02 (stivers j)RAMOS B 124 4.50 23% 3.40    
MY MAN BIGGIE Mar18 Feb15 Nov08 Sep30 Sep11 (ortega joe)CARRENO J 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
SUBSIDIZE Oct12 Oct04 Sep20 Sep02 Aug24 (rushton temple)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 2.50    
SCR  SEAHAWK CODY Oct12 Sep08 Aug10 Jul27 Jul07 (rust terri)IRONEYES R 124 3.50    
10  ATHENS MOON Oct18 Sep29 Sep13 Aug14 Jul23 (kemper kerr)TRIANA JR 124 10.00    
 
ARP-7   11/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAYNTER'S BOY Nov02 Oct19 Oct04 Sep13 Sep01 (rushton tem)MEDINA ANGEL 124 4.50 11% 8.40    
TAP THE BRAKES Oct27 Oct11 Oct05 Sep16 Aug30 (arceo salvad)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 6.00    
OUTRIGHT Oct20 Sep21 Sep14 Sep01 Aug17 (ramaekers eric)RAMOS B 124 2.50 46% 1.20    
PREACHER Oct27 Oct18 Oct05 Jun29 Jun09 (rushton temple)CARDOSO DAVID 124 8.00 6% 15.10    
KICKIN' CHARLIE Nov01 Oct06 Sep07 Aug30 Aug18 (tsosie terrill)CARDENAS JACOB 122 12.00    
PRINCE OTTO Nov01 Oct20 Oct06 Apr16 Apr02 (esquibel mark)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 3.50 11% 7.90    
RIVERSPORT Oct26 Oct19 Oct05 Sep28 Sep13 (ibanez alberto)GONZALEZ PEDRO 124 15.00    
WILD FIREMAKER Nov02 Oct25 Oct18 Sep06 Aug25 (tsosie terrill)LARSEN S 124 8.00    
 
ARP-8   11/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 Gold Rush Futurity Purse ($54.5K) 2 ALL PT- 4:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LINDA'S MAP Sep18         (moreno carlo)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 120 4.50    
GINGER IN CHARGE Aug25 Aug16 Jul21 Jul07   (mitchell r)ARANA MINOR 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DON'T FLY STAND BY Sep28 Aug09 Jul22     (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 120 2.50    
CLOUD BLITZ Jul07         (martinez a)RAMOS B 120 3.00 31% 2.20    
SCR  SPORTING STAR Sep28         (williams de)IRONEYES R 120 5.00    
FRIENDLY SPIRIT Oct26 Sep08 Aug09 Jul21 Jul07 (parsons ril)TRIANA JR 120 6.00    
KOSARI Oct26 Sep29       (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 120 3.50 7% 13.70    
RUNNIN ON PROMISES Sep21 Aug16 Jul20 Jun22 May31 (rushton ste)MEDINA ANGEL 120 1.00 38% 1.60    
SAHARA KARA Oct26 Jul20       (martinez a)CARDOSO DAVID 120 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.