Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Assiniboia Downs
Wednesday - September 18, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ASD-1   WIN (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $9.70 $3.70 62%
    EXA (3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00  2-1 $19.65 $13.65 228%
ASD-2   WIN (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $10.10 $4.10 68%
    EXA (1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00  6-1 $8.75 $2.75 46%
    DD (3/2/1)-(1/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00  2-6 $23.20 $14.20 158%
ASD-3   PK3 (3/2/1)-(1/6/5)-(4/2/3) 27 $0.20 $5.40  2-6-4 $14.38 $8.98 166%
ASD-4   WIN (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $6.70 $0.70 12%
    PK3 (1/6/5)-(4/2/3)-(2/4/3) 27 $0.20 $5.40  6-4-4 $10.50 $5.10 94%
ASD-5   DD (2/4/3)-(4/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00  4-2 $14.65 $5.65 63%
ASD-6   EXA (1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00  1-5 $11.05 $5.05 84%
ASD-8   WIN (6/1/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00  5 $20.10 $12.10 151%
    EXA (6/1/8/5)-(6/1/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00  5-8 $113.55 $101.55 846%
    DD (5/2/4)-(6/1/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00  5-5 $34.45 $22.45 187%
    PK3 (1/5/3)-(5/2/4)-(6/1/8/5) 36 $0.20 $7.20  1-5-5 $11.23 $4.03 56%
    PK4 (4/2/6)-(1/5/3)-(5/2/4)-(6/1/8/5) 108 $1.00 $108  2-1-5-5 $158.60 $50.60 47%
    PK5 (2/4/3)-(4/2/6)-(1/5/3)-(5/2/4)-(6/1/8/5) 324 $0.20 $64.80  4-2-1-5-5 $72.88 $8.08 12%

Simulator Race results

 
ASD-1   09/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($20.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:30
See original race card.
:233 :462 :591     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DAMN THE TORPEDOES 2 4 2½ 3   4 1nk (anderson wend)BYNOE DAMARIO 123 4.00 16% 5.10 3.85 W
SHERLYN GO GO 1 5 55 4   32 2nk (nault michae)BADRIE PRAYVEN 123 10.00 6% 17.00 3.90 P
ZORINA 4 2 3½ 2nk   1nk 3 (moreno carlos)ALI RONALD 117 2.50 2.50  
KATE'S PRINCESS 3 3 1½ 1nk   2nk 4 (stanford maria)DAWKINS DANE 123 0.80 43% 1.30 2.00  
DYNAMIC STRIKE 5 1 41 5   57 55 (anders)PATTERSON R 117 12.00 5.55  
 
ASD-2   09/18/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($3K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:00
See original race card.
:234 :47 :592     1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAILSPLITTER 5 1 2½ 1½   1 1 (anderson wend)CUMBERBATCH R 124 3.00 16% 5.10 4.05 W
HOUSE LIMIT 1 3 1½ 2½   2 2 (gardipy tom)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 119 1.20 44% 1.30 1.05 P
DOUBLE TIME 2 4 4 3   3 3 (thompson steve)BELLE SHAVON 124 4.00 10.65  
PURRSIBILITY 4 5 5 45   48 4 (delaronde le)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 6.00 14% 6.20 1.55  
MINISTER MAZ 3 2 31 5   516 532¾ (mooney bill)DALRYMPLE DARIO 124 12.00 39.50  
SCR  HERBIE               (sanderso)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 10.00    
 
ASD-3   09/18/2024 5940ft DIRT RC11 SLOPPY Manitoba Matron Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:25
See original race card.
:261 :504 1:151 1:411   1:544   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BURROW DOWN 4 1 21 1½ 12 1 1 (duncan murr)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 123 1.00 36% 1.80 0.95 W
  (by CONNECT out of TRUE ENDEAVOR by AFTER MARKET)
JJ'S AMERICAN DIVA 5 2 11 2½ 22 2 2 (nault mi)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 118 4.00 7.25  
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of COULEE by VICAR)
BIG STRETCH 1 3 5 5 4 4 3 (nault michae)BADRIE PRAYVEN 118 4.50 3.05  
  (by MR. BIG out of BABY ZITO by CURLIN)
MECHANIC SUSIE 2 4 4 32 32 3 4 (dickey el)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 2.50 24% 3.20 4.65  
  (by NONIOS out of QUANTUM MECHANICS by EINSTEIN (BRZ))
CATCH THE DREAM 3 5 32 4 57 513½ 517 (anderson carl)DAWKINS DANE 118 15.00 5% 19.00 7.35  
  (by DADDY LONG LEGS out of OUT OF THIN AIR by J BE K)
 
ASD-4   09/18/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 2 ALL PT- 9:50
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:012     1:083   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LINDA'S MAP 4 3 1nk 1½   1 1 (moreno carlos)ALI RONALD 119 2.50 13% 6.50 2.35 W
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of MAGDALENA'S MOMENT by HARBOR THE GOLD)
SILVERCREEK KID 1 4 46 47   3 2 (taphorn )STEPHENSON NEVILLE 122 3.00 3.00  
  (by STANFORD out of LADY LEMON DROP by LEMON DROP KID)
RED ROAD RUNNER 2 6 5 59   4 3 (nault michae)BADRIE PRAYVEN 122 1.20 62% 0.60 0.95 S
  (by JIMMY CREED out of SPELLS AND CHARMS by SCAT DADDY)
TURN IT LOOSE 6 1 2nk 2½   2 4 (hartmann jami)CUMBERBATCH R 119 10.00 14.20  
  (by SATURDAYNITELITES out of CRITICAL CHOICE by MARQUETRY)
COUNTER COMMAND 5 2 3 3   59 511¼ (gittens devon)BELLE SHAVON 122 12.00 38.10  
  (by COUNTERFORCE out of GIGI by THE FACTOR)
TANSI 3 5 69 611½   611½ 611½ (gaskin steven)BALROOP SVEN 119 15.00 5% 19.00 33.10  
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of WELLESLEY GIRL by READ THE FOOTNOTES)
 
ASD-5   09/18/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.3K) 3UP ALL PT-10:15
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:00     1:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VENTI 2 5 4 42   3½ 1 (gittens dev)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 119 1.60 26% 2.80 1.70 W
EXOTIC'S BEAR 4 1 2½ 2½   1nk 2 (keplin j)BALROOP SVEN 124 2.50 33% 2.10 1.25 P
JOHNNY PAYCHECK 3 4 1½ 1½   2nk 3 (tirk madison)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 3.00 4.40  
ETHAN'S ANIMAL 1 6 6 6   42 4 (desjar)PATTERSON R 122 4.00 8.70  
FINALIZE 6 3 5 5   6 5 (gardipy j)CUMBERBATCH R 124 15.00 9% 10.10 20.25  
STONE CAFE 5 2 31 32   58 610½ (zawislak)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 122 20.00 31.15  
 
ASD-6   09/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.3K) 3UP M/F PT-10:40
See original race card.
:24 :472 1:001     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REASONABLY LOVELY 1 6 6 32   41 1 (keplin steve)BADRIE PRAYVEN 123 1.80 35% 1.90 0.80 W
LADY COP 5 1 2nk 1nk   1nk 2 (brown shell)DALRYMPLE DARIO 123 8.00 30% 2.30 6.85 P
RUSSIAN PEARL (NZ) 2 4 1nk 2nk   2nk 3 (gittens dev)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 118 3.00 4.00  
SPARKLING SILVER 6 2 5 65   3½ 4 (anderson carl)DAWKINS DANE 123 2.50 4.55  
DOUBLEBARRELDELITE 3 5 3½ 43   5 5 (delaronde lee)CHOW CHAVION 123 10.00 5% 19.00 28.70  
EAST COAST COWGIRL 4 3 4 5   6 68 (delaronde)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 117 6.00 10.05  
 
ASD-7   09/18/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT-11:05
See original race card.
:231 :462 :592     1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY NOAH 5 5 5 3   2 1¾ (taphorn mike)ALI RONALD 122 1.00 66% 0.50 0.85 W
VICTORY LINE 3 2 2nk 11   1 2¾ (keplin j)BALROOP SVEN 124 3.00 2.45  
REPLETE 1 6 4 5   45 3 (dickey elton)CUMBERBATCH R 122 4.00 3.25  
CAJUN BERTI 6 1 1nk 21   33 4 (delarond)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 15.00 35.85  
DAAHERS BULLY 4 4 6 69   610 510½ (cavanaugh pe)BADRIE PRAYVEN 122 20.00 5% 19.00 18.80  
BIG INVESTMENT 2 3 32 44   5 611¾ (gittens devon)BELLE SHAVON 122 6.00 7% 12.80 25.30  
 
ASD-8   09/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP ALL PT-11:25
See original race card.
:232 :464 :60     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OFFLEY SPECIAL 5 2 4 2   1 1 (gaskin stev)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 111 10.00 9% 10.70 9.05 W
MOR OF TADAA 8 1 1½ 43   3 2 (pruitt lise)BYNOE DAMARIO 119 6.00 9% 10.60 10.40 P
NOIWONTBACKDOWN 7 3 3 33   4 3 (ross cou)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 15.00 15.55  
THIRSTY BABY 4 5 67 55   6 4 (anderson wend)CUMBERBATCH R 119 12.00 5.45  
LUCKY APPEAL 1 8 7 78   54 5 (delaronde)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 119 2.50 14% 6.40 1.25  
DOUBLE CORUBA 3 6 5 67   7 6 (nault michae)BADRIE PRAYVEN 119 8.00 19.40  
KEYSTONE CASH 2 7 811½ 813   8 7 (stanford maria)DAWKINS DANE 124 40.00 80.90  
I LOVE MY LIFE 6 4 2½ 1   2 8 (pruitt lise)CHOW CHAVION 124 1.40 48% 1.10 2.65  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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