Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Assiniboia Downs
Wednesday - September 18, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ASD-1   WIN (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/1)-(3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (3/2/1)-(1/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/2/1)-(1/6/5)-(4/2/3) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
ASD-2   WIN (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/5)-(1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (1/6/5)-(4/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/6/5)-(4/2/3)-(2/4/3) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
ASD-3   WIN (4/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/3)-(4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (4/2/3)-(2/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/3)-(2/4/3)-(4/2/6) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
ASD-4   WIN (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/3)-(2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (2/4/3)-(4/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3)-(4/2/6)-(1/5/3) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
ASD-5   WIN (4/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/6)-(4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (4/2/6)-(1/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/6)-(1/5/3)-(5/2/4) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
ASD-6   WIN (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/3)-(1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (1/5/3)-(5/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/5/3)-(5/2/4)-(6/1/8/5) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
ASD-7   WIN (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/4)-(5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (5/2/4)-(6/1/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
ASD-8   WIN (6/1/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/8/5)-(6/1/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/8/5)-(6/1/8/5)-(6/1/8/5) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ASD-1   09/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($20.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHERLYN GO GO Aug28 Jul29 Jul16 Jun24 Jun03 (nault michae)BADRIE PRAYVEN 123 10.00 6% 17.00    
2  DAMN THE TORPEDOES Sep04 Aug28 Aug05 Jul16 Jun25 (anderson wend)BYNOE DAMARIO 123 4.00 16% 5.10    
3  KATE'S PRINCESS Sep02 Aug13 Jul10 Jun25 Jun12 (stanford maria)DAWKINS DANE 123 0.80 43% 1.30    
4  ZORINA Aug28 Aug06 Jul15 Jun24 Jun03 (moreno carlos)ALI RONALD 117 2.50    
5  DYNAMIC STRIKE Sep04 Aug20 Aug06 Jul15 Jul02 (anders)PATTERSON R 117 12.00    
 
ASD-2   09/18/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($3K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOUSE LIMIT Aug27 Aug20 Aug13 Jul23 Jul02 (gardipy tom)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 119 1.20 44% 1.30    
SCR  HERBIE Sep03 Aug13 Jul29 Jul03 Sep18 (sanderso)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 10.00    
3  DOUBLE TIME Sep03 Aug27 Aug13 Jul29 Jul15 (thompson steve)BELLE SHAVON 124 4.00    
4  MINISTER MAZ Sep03 Aug21 Jul29 Jul15 Jun03 (mooney bill)DALRYMPLE DARIO 124 12.00    
5  PURRSIBILITY Sep04 Jul30 Jul16 Jun12 May28 (delaronde le)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 6.00 14% 6.20    
6  RAILSPLITTER Aug27 Jul23 Jul02 Jun18 Jun04 (anderson wend)CUMBERBATCH R 124 3.00 16% 5.10    
 
ASD-3   09/18/2024 5940ft DIRT RC11 SLOPPY Manitoba Matron Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG STRETCH Aug26 Aug05 Jul16 Jun25 Sep18 (nault michae)BADRIE PRAYVEN 118 4.50    
  (by MR. BIG out of BABY ZITO by CURLIN)
2  MECHANIC SUSIE Aug28 Aug20 Aug06 Jul23 Jun17 (dickey el)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 2.50 24% 3.20    
  (by NONIOS out of QUANTUM MECHANICS by EINSTEIN (BRZ))
3  CATCH THE DREAM Aug20 Aug06 Jul23 Jul08 Jun24 (anderson carl)DAWKINS DANE 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DADDY LONG LEGS out of OUT OF THIN AIR by J BE K)
4  BURROW DOWN Aug26 Aug05 Jul12 Jun21 May31 (duncan murr)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 123 1.00 36% 1.80    
  (by CONNECT out of TRUE ENDEAVOR by AFTER MARKET)
5  JJ'S AMERICAN DIVA Aug26 Aug05 Jul29 Jul08 Jun17 (nault mi)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 118 4.00    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of COULEE by VICAR)
 
ASD-4   09/18/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 2 ALL PT- 9:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SILVERCREEK KID Sep03 Aug21       (taphorn )STEPHENSON NEVILLE 122 3.00    
  (by STANFORD out of LADY LEMON DROP by LEMON DROP KID)
2  RED ROAD RUNNER Sep03 Aug06 Jul16     (nault michae)BADRIE PRAYVEN 122 1.20 62% 0.60    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of SPELLS AND CHARMS by SCAT DADDY)
3  TANSI         (gaskin steven)BALROOP SVEN 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of WELLESLEY GIRL by READ THE FOOTNOTES)
4  LINDA'S MAP         (moreno carlos)ALI RONALD 119 2.50 13% 6.50    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of MAGDALENA'S MOMENT by HARBOR THE GOLD)
5  COUNTER COMMAND Sep09         (gittens devon)BELLE SHAVON 122 12.00    
  (by COUNTERFORCE out of GIGI by THE FACTOR)
6  TURN IT LOOSE Aug27 Aug06       (hartmann jami)CUMBERBATCH R 119 10.00    
  (by SATURDAYNITELITES out of CRITICAL CHOICE by MARQUETRY)
 
ASD-5   09/18/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.3K) 3UP ALL PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ETHAN'S ANIMAL Sep04 Aug21 Jul22 Jul09 Jun26 (desjar)PATTERSON R 122 4.00    
2  VENTI Sep09 Aug13 Jul16 Jun26 Jun12 (gittens dev)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 119 1.60 26% 2.80    
3  JOHNNY PAYCHECK Sep09 Aug26 Aug06 Jul09 Jun17 (tirk madison)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 3.00    
4  EXOTIC'S BEAR Sep09 Sep02 Aug20 Aug05 Jul10 (keplin j)BALROOP SVEN 124 2.50 33% 2.10    
5  STONE CAFE Sep03 Aug28 Aug19 Jul10 Jun26 (zawislak)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 122 20.00    
6  FINALIZE Sep04 Aug19 Aug05 Jul22 Jul09 (gardipy j)CUMBERBATCH R 124 15.00 9% 10.10    
 
ASD-6   09/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.3K) 3UP M/F PT-10:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REASONABLY LOVELY Sep04 Aug26 Aug05 Jul02 Jun03 (keplin steve)BADRIE PRAYVEN 123 1.80 35% 1.90    
2  RUSSIAN PEARL (NZ) Sep04 Aug20 Aug06 Jul23 Jul08 (gittens dev)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 118 3.00    
3  DOUBLEBARRELDELITE Sep11 Sep03 Aug28 Aug14 Jul23 (delaronde lee)CHOW CHAVION 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  EAST COAST COWGIRL Jul29 Jul02 Jun11 May21 Apr07 (delaronde)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 117 6.00    
5  LADY COP Aug26 Aug14 Jul03 Jun17 Jun03 (brown shell)DALRYMPLE DARIO 123 8.00 30% 2.30    
6  SPARKLING SILVER Sep02 Aug13 Jul29 Jul03 Jun11 (anderson carl)DAWKINS DANE 123 2.50    
 
ASD-7   09/18/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT-11:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REPLETE Sep11 Aug26 Aug05 Jul22 Jul02 (dickey elton)CUMBERBATCH R 122 4.00    
2  BIG INVESTMENT Sep09 Aug28 Aug14 Jul23 Jul08 (gittens devon)BELLE SHAVON 122 6.00 7% 12.80    
3  VICTORY LINE Sep11 Aug14 Jul23 Jul02 Jun17 (keplin j)BALROOP SVEN 124 3.00    
4  DAAHERS BULLY Sep09 Jul21 Jul13 Jun15 May19 (cavanaugh pe)BADRIE PRAYVEN 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  MY NOAH Aug26 Jul23 Jun18 Jun05 May21 (taphorn mike)ALI RONALD 122 1.00 66% 0.50    
6  CAJUN BERTI Sep09 Aug14 Jul23 Jun12 Jun04 (delarond)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 15.00    
 
ASD-8   09/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP ALL PT-11:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCKY APPEAL Sep11 Sep02 Aug19 Aug05 Jul15 (delaronde)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 119 2.50 14% 6.40    
2  KEYSTONE CASH Sep11 Sep02 Aug19 Jul29 Jun24 (stanford maria)DAWKINS DANE 124 40.00    
3  DOUBLE CORUBA Aug26 Aug19 Aug06 Jul10 Jun04 (nault michae)BADRIE PRAYVEN 119 8.00    
4  THIRSTY BABY Aug06 Jul22 Jul08 Jun24 Jun12 (anderson wend)CUMBERBATCH R 119 12.00    
5  OFFLEY SPECIAL Sep09 Aug12 Jul22 Jul09 Jun11 (gaskin stev)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 111 10.00 9% 10.70    
6  I LOVE MY LIFE Sep04 Aug26 Aug12 Jul22 Jul08 (pruitt lise)CHOW CHAVION 124 1.40 48% 1.10    
7  NOIWONTBACKDOWN Sep04 Aug26 Aug12 Jul01 Jun12 (ross cou)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 15.00    
8  MOR OF TADAA Sep04 Aug28 Aug06 Jul10 Jun26 (pruitt lise)BYNOE DAMARIO 119 6.00 9% 10.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.