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The Longshot Specialist!

Laurel Park
Thursday - October 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LRL-1   WIN (7/6/8/12/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/6/8/12/11)-(7/6/8/12/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/6/8/12/11)-(7/6/8/12/11)-(7/6/8/12/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/6/8/12/11)-(3/7/1/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/6/8/12/11)-(3/7/1/8)-(1/3/5/7) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
LRL-2   WIN (3/7/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/1/8)-(3/7/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/1/8)-(3/7/1/8)-(3/7/1/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/1/8)-(1/3/5/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/7/1/8)-(1/3/5/7)-(7/6/9/8) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
LRL-3   WIN (1/3/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/5/7)-(1/3/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/5/7)-(1/3/5/7)-(1/3/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/5/7)-(7/6/9/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/3/5/7)-(7/6/9/8)-(1/12/3/13/2) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
LRL-4   WIN (7/6/9/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/9/8)-(7/6/9/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/9/8)-(7/6/9/8)-(7/6/9/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/9/8)-(1/12/3/13/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/6/9/8)-(1/12/3/13/2)-(8/10/11/7) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
LRL-5   WIN (1/12/3/13/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/12/3/13/2)-(1/12/3/13/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/12/3/13/2)-(1/12/3/13/2)-(1/12/3/13/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/12/3/13/2)-(8/10/11/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/12/3/13/2)-(8/10/11/7)-(7/10/6/2/8) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
LRL-6   WIN (8/10/11/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/10/11/7)-(8/10/11/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/10/11/7)-(8/10/11/7)-(8/10/11/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/10/11/7)-(7/10/6/2/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/10/11/7)-(7/10/6/2/8)-(1/4/6/8) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
LRL-7   WIN (7/10/6/2/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/10/6/2/8)-(7/10/6/2/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/10/6/2/8)-(7/10/6/2/8)-(7/10/6/2/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/10/6/2/8)-(1/4/6/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/10/6/2/8)-(1/4/6/8)-(4/1/3/6) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
LRL-8   WIN (1/4/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/6/8)-(1/4/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/6/8)-(1/4/6/8)-(1/4/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/6/8)-(4/1/3/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
LRL-9   WIN (4/1/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/3/6)-(4/1/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/3/6)-(4/1/3/6)-(4/1/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LRL-1   10/17/2024 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DIVINE SPIRIT Oct03 Sep13 Aug04 Jul13 Jun06 (smith valri)BURNHAM MATILDA 115 30.00    
DORIS' SLAYING IT Sep28 Sep02 Jun02     (cortez )BRICENO GREGOR 126 30.00    
CORACLE Jul28 Jul19 Jun29 Nov12 Aug27 (lynch catha)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 10.00    
NICKY JOLENE Oct02 Aug29 Aug15 Jul14 Jun19 (downing william)CRUZ ANGEL 123 12.00    
SCR  GANBATTE Sep20 Aug23 Aug14 Jul27 Jul04 (stettinius su)CHAVEZ ANDRES 117 15.00    
RYE SMILE Oct04 Sep13 Aug17 Jul07 Jun08 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 3.50 31% 2.30    
ASKNOTWHATYOUCANDO Sep13 Aug30 Aug03 Apr28 Mar03 (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 126 4.00 32% 2.10    
CALL THE QUESTION Aug29 Aug12 Jul11 Jun02 May18 (trombetta mic)KARAMANOS A 119 8.00 8% 11.20    
SWEET SUMMER LOVE Oct02 Sep13 Aug15 Jul20 Jun14 (nambo cesar)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 12.00    
SCR  CAMILA T (IRE) Jul07 Feb10 Nov04 Oct04 Aug19 (avila ju)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 123 2.50    
11  ABSTRACT MOMENT Sep06 Aug15 Jul25 Jun28 Jun02 (payne c)ORTIZ ORLANDO 126 15.00 5% 19.00    
12  KAPATUDE Sep22 Sep08 Aug04 Jul14 Jun01 (bailes)ARAUJO VICENTE 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
LRL-2   10/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT-12:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FULL PROOF Sep07 Mar15 Feb09 Jan14 Oct29 (sillaman ric)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 10.00 15% 5.50    
RIGHT QUICK Sep29 Sep07 Aug18 Jul28 Jul06 (graham robi)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 122 12.00    
LITTLE SKIPPY Sep27 Sep14 Aug18 Aug03 Jul13 (garibay andres)ACOSTA D 126 1.60 20% 4.00    
SWAY'SINMYDNA Sep25 Jul07 Jun22 Nov18 Nov10 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 122 1.80    
FROSTY THE GIANT Sep27 Aug25 Aug03 Jun08 Nov16 (feliciano m)CRUZ ANGEL 123 6.00    
SOMETIMES I DO Aug31 Aug24 Aug15 Jul28 Jul06 (davis s)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 30.00    
BRUDER Sep27 Aug13 May11 Apr21 Mar01 (bailes)ARAUJO VICENTE 119 6.00 16% 5.20    
MINIMO Sep20 Aug31 Aug18 Jul28 Jul13 (machad)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
LRL-3   10/17/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($47K) 35 ALL PT- 1:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WE LIVE THIS GAME Sep11 Jul25 Jun02 Jan20   (margotta antho)MOYA F 123 2.50 31% 2.20    
  (by JUSTIFY out of PALACE PRINCESS by HARD SPUN)
WINCHAM Sep11         (servis c)PENNINGTON F 123 12.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of LADY MONTDORE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SAND PIPES Mar30 Feb23 Jan26 Dec22   (schultz li)SANCHEZ J 123 5.00 20% 4.00    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of BIRKENHEAD by MIZZEN MAST)
SPIN IT Sep25 Aug13 May18 Apr14   (lynch catha)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 1.40    
  (by HARD SPUN out of TRY YOUR LUCK by TELLA FIB)
KARMA'S INTHEHOUSE Sep04 Aug23 Jul27     (mcclure dia)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 126 10.00 15% 5.80    
  (by IMAGINING out of GAL NEXT DOOR by LIMEHOUSE)
VIRGINIA CITY Sep22         (alvarado diane)TORREALBA JG 123 20.00    
  (by KHOZAN out of DEFOE STREET by STREET SENSE)
NORTH SHIP Sep24 Aug21       (hetrick n)AVILES YAN 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of LARKIN by BERNARDINI)
SCR  HAIZUM Sep11 Aug10 Jul14 Jun23 May09 (matz michael )KARAMANOS A 123 6.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of WIND RACER by CURLIN)
 
LRL-4   10/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($33K) 2 ALL PT- 1:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FINN D'ORO Sep15         (dilodovico dam)ROSADO JOHAN 122 6.00    
SCR  IRISH INDYGO Aug25         (perkins jr)BOYCE FOREST 122 3.00    
SCR  EDELWEISS Sep13 Aug17       (corrale)BRICENO GREGOR 118 5.00    
CLASSIC RUBY Sep14 Jul24 Jun20     (rodriguez)CARRASCO R 118 12.00    
JERRY'S OUT Aug17 Jul06       (rodriguez )SANCHEZ J 118 6.00    
MUTT DILLIN         (robb j)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 10.00 17% 4.70    
SET FOR LIFE Oct02 Jun15       (bailon nesv)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 2.50 40% 1.50    
IMPERIAL SPY         (albert lind)BURNHAM MATILDA 115 30.00 5% 19.00    
WICKEDDIVINE Sep28         (cox m)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 8.00 17% 4.70    
 
LRL-5   10/17/2024 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CORRECTED PEDIGREE Aug23 Jul19 Jun23 Jun07 May24 (perri gina)ALVELO C 122 4.00 26% 2.80    
EL DIVINO NINO Sep29 Aug31 Aug25 Aug03 Jun29 (sanchez-sal)BURNHAM MATILDA 112 15.00 5% 19.00    
WIN NO JOKE Sep27 Sep07 Aug25 Aug03 Jul13 (singh somra)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 126 8.00 23% 3.30    
K'S STORM READY Sep13 Aug17 Jul04 Mar07 Jan13 (matz michael )TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 4.50    
GAMBE FORTE Oct04 Sep12 Aug17 Jul24 Jul07 (rubley kelly)KARAMANOS A 123 12.00    
SCR  ATHLETIC STAR Sep21 Jul27       (sillaman richard)CRUZ ANGEL 123 10.00    
SURPRISE HELLO Sep08 Nov26 Nov09 Nov02 Oct01 (mcclure)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 12.00    
UPSIDEDOWN MAN Sep27 Sep14 Aug18 Jul13 Jun21 (singh somraj)TORREALBA JG 126 15.00    
ZALFIERRO Sep29 Sep05 Aug23 Sep16 Sep07 (lusk bri)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 122 30.00    
10  LADDIE DANCE Sep27 Aug17 Jul27 Jul07 Jun23 (leaf ro)BRICENO GREGOR 123 8.00    
11  TIK TOK DADDY Sep14 Aug23 Jul07 Jun16 Jun07 (sanchez)ORTIZ ORLANDO 119 30.00    
12  BATTLEFIELD PARK Sep20 Aug17 Jul27 Jun02 Dec03 (toner jam)CARRASCO R 122 3.00 26% 2.80    
13  ELUSIVE IMAGE Sep12 Aug29 Jul27 Jul07 Jun14 (smith jason )BARBOSA JEIRON 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  J R JONE Z Sep12 Aug23 Jun27 Jun05 May24 (mcclellan erin)ROSADO JOHAN 123 10.00    
SCR  STREET TOUGH Sep07 Aug24 Aug03 Jan07 Dec08 (salzman )RODRIGUEZ L 112 30.00    
SCR  JOEY TICKLES Sep12 Jul12 Jun24     (simoff andr)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 119 8.00    
 
LRL-6   10/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  POPOVER GAL Oct02 Aug11 Jul04 May26   (allard edwa)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 12.00    
FEELIN SO LUCKY Oct04 Aug10 Jul19 May10 Apr20 (eubanks annett)TORREALBA JG 120 6.00    
HOT DANCE Sep22 Sep13 Jul13 Jun08 May10 (magee kieron)CURTIS BEN 120 10.00    
SCR  FLOWER MOUND Sep28 Sep14 Aug17 Jul08 Jun14 (farrior ant)RUSSELL SHELDON 120 4.50    
LOVE TO EAT Sep22 Aug11 Jul23 Jun26 Jun12 (magee kieron)KARAMANOS A 120 8.00    
SCR  AT FIRST SIGHT Aug11 Jul21 Jul05 Jun15 May04 (mcmahon)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 118 8.00    
DESIGNATED Sep21 Aug21 Jul22 Jun17 May06 (lake scott )WOLFSONT ANDREW 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
SUSAN'S MULE Aug22 Jul19 Jun23 Jun07 May16 (mancilla c)SANCHEZ J 120 4.00 46% 1.20    
STATUS SEEKER Oct04 Aug05 Jun20 Jun01 May03 (rodriguez)CARRASCO R 123 6.00    
10  I'M A CUTIE PIE Sep29 Sep07 Aug09 Apr06 Mar22 (gonzalez )VARGAS A 123 8.00 24% 3.20    
11  CONQUEST DANCER Oct01 Aug31 Aug19 Jul21 Jun20 (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
LRL-7   10/17/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEON CITY Sep20 Sep07 Aug24 Jul08 Jun11 (sanche)GONZALEZ JR 122 30.00    
FAIRE PLAISIR Sep07 Jul27 May11 Mar29 Jan20 (delacour ar)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 3.00 5% 17.30    
INCISIVE KITTEN Sep13 Aug11 Jul19 Jun08   (trombetta)CARRASCO R 123 12.00    
COMPASS RISES Sep07 Aug18 Jul26 Jun16 May03 (meyers madison)BOYCE FOREST 126 12.00    
THE AMAZING MIZZEN Sep14 Aug29 Aug02 Jul13 Jun15 (cooney susan )KARAMANOS A 123 30.00    
WHISPERING SEA Sep07 Jul19 Jun12 Jan12 Nov17 (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 123 3.50 16% 5.30    
SKY VICTORY Sep07 Jul19 Feb16 Jan12 Dec23 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 2.50 37% 1.70    
WARIDI CANDY Sep05 Jul25 Jul05 Jun08 Nov19 (de horaci)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
STILL GAME Sep28 Aug24 Jan27 Jan14 Dec23 (sillaman ric)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 20.00    
10  SHE'S MAGIC Sep06 Aug26 Aug17 Jul05 Jun14 (maker j)CURTIS BEN 126 5.00 20% 3.90    
SCR  GHEE FOR THE WIN Sep28 Aug30 Jun27 Jun08 May24 (mcmahon)BRICENO GREGOR 123 4.50    
SCR  IN HER CUPS Sep13 Aug29 Jul18 Jun11 Jun02 (manchio)BRICENO GREGOR 126 20.00    
SCR  MY BLESSING Sep11 Jul10 May12 Apr07 Feb02 (preciado gu)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 8.00    
SCR  SUMMER FLOWER Sep27 Aug25 Jul26 Jul12 Jun16 (dini mike)NO RIDER 123 12.00    
SCR  CANDY DOLL Aug22 Jul20 Jun28 May26 Aug31 (trombetta mic)KARAMANOS A 123 20.00    
 
LRL-8   10/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($53K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CIRCLE P Sep27 Sep08 Jun29 Jun09 May18 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 123 2.50 27% 2.70    
KYSER Sep21         (salazar ma)BERRUGATE KENEDY 123 30.00    
PLAY LIKE A RAVEN Sep28 Sep08 Jul14 Jun22 Aug24 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 3.50    
TAKE A HINT Sep20 Aug16 Apr14 Mar16 Mar03 (capuano gar)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 6.00 22% 3.50    
ODINSON Sep27 Aug31 Aug16 Jul12 Jun15 (meyers madison)BOYCE FOREST 123 20.00    
SCRIPT Sep06 Aug03 Jul06 Jun07 Feb04 (motion h )CARRASCO R 123 5.00 17% 4.80    
SCR  PRO OXIDANT Aug31 Jun16 May16 Mar14 Jan19 (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 2.00    
JOHN THE BEAR Aug16 Jul19 Jun29 May17 Feb11 (allen ferris)TORREALBA JG 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
LRL-9   10/17/2024 5940ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EL DE LARRY Oct05 Sep04 Aug16 Aug01 Jul17 (machado antoni)TORREALBA JG 123 3.50 23% 3.30    
ROJA REDEMPTION Sep21 Aug13 Feb23 Feb02 Nov08 (fisher r)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 8.00    
MONEY IN MOTION Sep20 Sep03 Jul13 Jun13 May28 (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 116 10.00 22% 3.60    
THE PADDOCK PASTOR Sep07 Aug17 Jul20 Jun20 Apr28 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 120 2.50 29% 2.50    
SCR  GENERAL'S DUTY Sep21 Aug10 Jul20 May05 Apr19 (cibelli jane)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 12.00    
BREAKWATER Sep08 Aug17 Jul20 May18 Mar30 (mcgaughey clau)BOYCE FOREST 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
FAIR HAIRED BOY Sep20 Aug27 Jul10 May17 Apr19 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 5.00    
HAPPY JAUNT Sep08 Aug23 Jul27 Jul12 Jun15 (barr h)CRUZ ANGEL 120 10.00    
SCR  MARGIE'S FUN SON Sep21 Aug10 Jul27 Jun14 May04 (shankle joanne)NO RIDER 123 2.00    
10  MISSIONAIRE Sep07 Aug18 Jul28 Jul13 Jun09 (mcmahon i)CURTIS BEN 123 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.