Handicappers' Racing Form

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Keeneland Turf Pick 3
Sunday - October 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
EQD-1   10/13/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 KEE-R4 Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 2:36
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAYOU CANDY Sep07         (wilkes ian )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 30.00    
SMART UNION Aug29         (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
SERVING TIME (GB) Aug19         (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 119 5.00    
STARRY NIGHT (ARG) Aug29 Jul20       (attard kevin)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00    
POVERTY WITH AVIEW Sep08         (gorder kellyn)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 15.00 5% 18.80    
ARE YOU A SPY Sep08 Aug25       (bogle fergus)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 30.00    
NECESSITY Sep01         (casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.00 25% 3.00    
WINTER'S LEGACY         (toner j)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 4.50    
MAKE A MILLION Sep01 Aug10       (rice adam)MACHADO LUAN 119 6.00    
10  BRIGHT LADY         (beckman whitworth)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00    
11  JUST RUTHLESS         (heath destin)HERNANDEZ J 119 20.00    
12  LADY AUTHENTIC Sep20         (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00    
13  TAKE NOTE OF THIS Sep08 Aug04 Jul06     (asmussen st)TORRES A 119 4.00 9% 10.00    
14  POEMA Sep05 Jul30       (lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 119 3.00 37% 1.70    
15  FORTUNATE         (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00    
16  MINNESOTA MUNNY Sep05 Aug13       (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 15.00    
 
EQD-2   10/13/2024 7920ft TURF RC10 KEE-R6 Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOSS LADY BAILEY Aug29 Jul25 Jun21 May11 Apr14 (ortiz alexande)SAEZ LUIS 122 12.00    
I HAD THAT ONE TOO Sep01 Aug14 Jul11 Jun12 Nov23 (mcgee paul)MORALES EDGAR 122 20.00    
LUCKY COMBINATION Aug29 Mar09 Feb11 Jan13 Dec17 (clement christo)ORTIZ JR 122 6.00 8% 11.20    
BEST PERFORMER Sep27 Jul28 Jun20 May19 Feb22 (cano muno)TORRES A 122 15.00    
TEA N CONVERSATION Aug11 Nov05 Sep03 Jul22 Jun10 (mccarthy michael)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 12.00    
MARIA'S REVENGE Aug09 Jul11 May23 Apr24 Mar09 (sancal mura)LEPAROUX R 122 30.00    
HOLY FOLEY Sep01 Jul07 May25 Apr24 Apr07 (lynch a)VELAZQUEZ R 122 3.50 9% 10.60    
MARKSMAN QUEEN (GB) Aug17 Jul22 Jun06 Mar23 Feb24 (motion gr)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 6.00    
QUEEN REGENT (GB) Sep05         (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 4.50 50% 1.00    
10  BROADWAY BOOGIE Aug29 Jul31 Apr26 Mar04 Jan05 (toner j)ORTIZ L 122 4.00 10% 8.90    
11  SABALENKA Aug29 Aug08 Nov24 Oct15 Sep03 (beckman whitw)CANNON DECLAN 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
EQD-3   10/13/2024 3630ft TURF RC13 Franklin Purse ($350K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STAR OF MYSTERY (GB) Jul14 Jun08       (appleby charles)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 1.50 40% 1.50    
PANDORA'S GIFT (IRE) Sep20         (williams stuar)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
ROSES FOR DEBRA Sep20 Aug23 Jun07 Apr13 Nov04 (clement christo)ORTIZ JR 123 4.50 25% 3.00    
ACCOMPLISHED GIRL Aug29 Jun29 May27 May04 Mar10 (asmussen st)TORRES A 121 20.00    
FUTURE IS NOW Aug23 Jul25 Jun07 May17 Apr20 (trombetta mich)LOPEZ PASCACIO 125 4.00    
DONTLOOKBACKATALL Aug31 Jul25 Jun24 May05 Mar31 (clement chri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
FROST AT DAWN         (knight willia)LOUGHNANE BILLY 120 15.00    
AWESOME TREAT Aug31 Aug03 Jul06 Jun01 May04 (wojczynski justi)DOYLE SOPHIE 121 30.00    
ELM DRIVE Aug31 Jul27 May03 Apr13 Jan14 (damato phil)DETTORI LANFRANCO 121 15.00    
10  KAIRYU (IRE) Sep07 Jul12 May12 Apr06   (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00    
11  PIPSY (IRE) Sep07 Jun29 May12     (walden william)VELAZQUEZ R 120 15.00    
12  BLING Aug31 Aug03 Jun22 May12 Apr13 (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 121 30.00    
13  B G WARRIOR Aug03 May27 Apr13 Mar16 Jan27 (andrade h)DE CRUZ 121 30.00    
14  BEAUTY OF THE SEA Oct12 Aug11 Jun22 Jun07 Apr28 (orseno f)ORTIZ L 121 10.00    
15  STONE SILENT May03 Mar10 Feb11 Dec31 Nov03 (lynch a)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 12.00    
16  TWIRLING QUEEN Jul12 May11 Mar24 Feb08 Oct06 (d'angelo franc)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00 13% 6.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.