Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Thursday - October 03, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PID-1   WIN (6/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/3)-(6/4/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/3)-(6/4/3)-(6/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/3)-(2/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/4/3)-(2/1)-(3/2/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PID-2   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    TRI (2/1)-(2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1)-(3/2/1)-(1/3/7/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PID-3   WIN (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/1)-(3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/1)-(1/3/7/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (3/2/1)-(1/3/7/2)-(6/7/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-4   WIN (1/3/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/7/2)-(1/3/7/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (1/3/7/2)-(1/3/7/2)-(1/3/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/7/2)-(6/7/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (1/3/7/2)-(6/7/8)-(4/7/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-5   WIN (6/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/8)-(6/7/8) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/8)-(6/7/8)-(6/7/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/7/8)-(4/7/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (6/7/8)-(4/7/3)-(1/4/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-6   WIN (4/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/3)-(4/7/6/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (4/7/3)-(4/7/6/3)-(4/7/6/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/7/3)-(1/4/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (4/7/3)-(1/4/6)-(11/3/6/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-7   WIN (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/6)-(1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/6)-(11/3/6/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
PID-8   WIN (11/3/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (11/3/6/2)-(11/3/6/9/2) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    TRI (11/3/6/2)-(11/3/6/9/2)-(11/3/6/9/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   10/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HOPE SHE COMES Sep18 Aug21 Aug12 Jul24 Jul09 (wilson b)FOX CHRIS 124 3.50    
2  BELLA SKYE Sep18 Aug20 Aug06 Jul23 Jul09 (radosevich sh)WALKER M 121 5.00    
3  ASHERAH'S RUN Sep18 Sep04 Aug12 Jul31 Jul10 (mckinley ma)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 6.00 5% 17.90    
4  MIDNIGHT IN PRAGUE Sep17 Sep04 Oct26 Oct19 Oct08 (morris n)GALLARDO A 124 1.80 30% 2.30    
5  BOLD NICKY Sep23 Sep04 Jul01 Jun17 Feb19 (buhrow j)RODRIGUEZ O 124 10.00    
6  ROCK TUNE Sep24 Sep11 Apr29 Mar18 Feb14 (rogers )DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 121 2.50 41% 1.40    
 
PID-2   10/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUSK         (bourke j)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of PUSKITA by INDIAN CHARLIE)
2  R CHELLO Sep23 Jul01 Jun11 May29   (rojas eduardo)MORALES PABLO 121 2.50 69% 0.50    
  (by MISSION IMPAZIBLE out of ABSOLUTE PACKAGE by PURE PRIZE)
3  NOT RIGHT NOW         (hamm timoth)SEVERINO VICTOR 121 6.00    
  (by BOISTEROUS out of P J'S ENIGMA by JUMP START)
4  HE'S A PISCES Sep24 Aug28 Feb04 Jan06 Oct25 (winters michell)NEGRON LUIS 124 3.00 ★    
  (by HARD SPUN out of MISS HOROSCOPE by ASTROLOGY)
5  JAKE'S AFFECTION Sep26 Sep10 Sep02 Jul20 Jul06 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 121 5.00    
  (by BIG BLUE KITTEN out of HUGH ACHOO by MILWAUKEE BREW)
6  NOBLE GEM Sep04 Jul19 Jul07 Oct19   (morris n)GALLARDO A 124 4.50    
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of FILIA by FOREVER SPARKLE)
SCR  POSSAMOKE         (hamm timothy)AYALA J 121 6.00    
  (by TALENT SEARCH out of SHE'S MY AFLEET by NORTHERN AFLEET)
 
PID-3   10/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AFANDI Jul19 Jun28 Jun02 Nov04 Oct13 (dunham g)HO WESLEY 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  HOPESNDREAMS Sep05 Aug16 Jul27 Jul13 Jun28 (dini mike)ALLEN D 119 2.50 11% 8.00    
3  FORGOTTEN PEACE Sep09 Jul30 Jul04 May29 Nov29 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 124 1.40 61% 0.60    
4  DETERMINED JESTER Aug12 Dec16 Oct19 Oct06 Sep02 (schoenthal phil)MARTINEZ W 122 8.00    
5  CAVALIER CUPID Jun02 Apr28 Jul22 Jun04   (nagle sa)GALLARDO A 122 4.00    
6  TIME FOR AN ANGEL Jul16 Jun25 Jun06 May04 Dec23 (bourke joh)AYALA J 122 5.00    
 
PID-4   10/03/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THALBERG Sep17 Aug28 Aug12 Jul30 Jul15 (ruberto loui)AYALA J 122 2.50 40% 1.50    
2  RICHARD HOOTY Sep17 Aug28 Aug12 Jul23 Jul02 (kintz s )RODRIGUEZ O 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  RECYCLE Sep25 Aug26 Aug06 Jul23 Jul02 (fennessy joh)ALENCAR WALBER 122 4.50 14% 5.90    
4  BIG BEAUTIFUL WALL Sep17 Sep05 Jul25 Jul17 Jul05 (dunham g)HO WESLEY 122 6.00    
5  LIGHT CRUISER Sep17 Aug28 Aug06 Aug23 Mar07 (martin willia)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 8.00    
6  VAN Sep17 Aug27 Aug01 Jul23 Jul02 (depasquale ki)MORALES PABLO 122 12.00    
7  MR TITO'S Sep17 Sep02 Aug14 Jul23 Jun19 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 122 6.00 14% 6.30    
8  COMEDIC TIMING Sep10 Aug22 Aug01 Jul07 Jun02 (rojas ed)GALLARDO A 122 2.50    
 
PID-5   10/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOLD MY BEER BRO Sep20 Aug26 Aug14 Jul22 Jun26 (hayes leland)MORALES PABLO 119 6.00    
2  VALENTINE BUG Aug26 Aug06 Jul01 Jun05 May27 (herrington c)TAPARA BRANDON 122 4.50    
SCR  KOTYLOS Sep20 Sep04 Aug06 Jul10 Jul03 (russell randall)BAYS BROOKE 117 6.00    
SCR  GOOD ON YA Sep11 Aug13 Jul24 Jul03 Jun12 (winters michell)NEGRON LUIS 122 12.00    
SCR  BRADITUDE Aug30 Jul19 Jun13 May20 Oct18 (rogers ronald)WALKER M 122 12.00    
6  GOOSE HUNTER Sep20 Aug26 Aug07 Jul29 Jul15 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 122 3.50 45% 1.20    
7  HEAVY POUR Sep25 Aug14 Jul26 Jun24 May22 (girten t)GALLARDO A 121 1.80 27% 2.70    
8  SHAKIN IT UP LARRY Aug06 Jul10 Oct18 Oct02 Sep13 (russell )MARTINEZ A 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
PID-6   10/03/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DUNE ROAD Sep16 Aug21 May09 Feb25 Jan07 (rice kevin)AYALA J 119 15.00    
SCR  DIAMONDHARD STONE Sep26 Aug14 Aug03 Oct24 Oct05 (cooper t)GALLARDO A 122 10.00    
3  EXPRESS STAR Sep16 Sep03 Aug14 Jul22 Jul09 (miller h)RODRIGUEZ O 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  WORLD FACTOR Sep16 Aug30 Aug03 Nov04 Oct13 (cobb margaret)ALLEN D 122 3.00 44% 1.30    
5  HOLLA AT YOUR BOY Sep23 Aug28 Jul24 Jul07 Jun26 (rice kevin)ALENCAR WALBER 122 6.00    
6  MIDNIGHT AMBITION Sep18 Aug13 Jul31 Jul23 Jun16 (rojas ed)MARTINEZ A 119 4.00 ★    
7  DIZZY KITTY Sep16 Aug14 Jul22 Jul02 Aug12 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 122 2.50 24% 3.20    
8  FREE DROP BACH Sep12 Jun15 May23 Oct20 Oct07 (dunham g)HO WESLEY 119 12.00    
9  WORK FROM HOME Aug28 Aug21 Jul25 Jul10 Jun25 (salvaggio )MONTANEZ ROSARIO 119 10.00    
 
PID-7   10/03/2024 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GROUNDED Aug07 Jul15 Jul03 Jun10 Feb25 (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 122 2.50 56% 0.80    
2  VOTE NO Sep07 Jul25 Jun17 Mar23 Feb02 (morey william)MORALES PABLO 119 1.60    
3  HIDDEN STASH Sep07 Jul14 Jun28 Jun06 May13 (oliver victori)MARIN SAMUEL 122 4.50    
4  EXTRASEXYBIGDADDEE Sep11 Aug21 Jul22 Jun24 Jun05 (trombett)GALLARDO A 122 5.00 20% 4.00    
5  PACE Sep22 Jul29 Jun13 May14 Apr29 (winters michell)NEGRON LUIS 122 12.00    
6  CLARESTOWN Sep03 Jul16 May10 Apr12 Mar08 (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MEANT TO BE LUCKY Sep02 Jul29 Jul09 Jun24 Jun10 (bourke joh)ALENCAR WALBER 122 8.00    
 
PID-8   10/03/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZAMBONI WARRIOR Sep18 Aug29 Jul17 Jun17 May21 (kulp brandon )MORALES PABLO 122 2.50    
2  UNDERTOW Sep16 Aug25 Aug04 Jul17 Jul09 (pickett cryst)DELGADO DAVID 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  YOUMUSTBEA WEASLEY Sep18 Sep09 Aug05 Jul16 Jul01 (radosevi)MARTINEZ A 122 6.00 19% 4.20    
4  UP FOR THE CHANCE Sep09 Aug21 Aug05 Jul16 Jun25 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 15.00    
5  BACKDOORPARTY Sep09 Aug20 Jul23 Jul08 Jun24 (martin william)ALLEN D 122 5.00    
6  CALL THE BALL Sep09 Aug20 Jul28 Jul17 Jul03 (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 119 4.50 14% 6.40    
7  RESVALON Jul29 Jul08 Jun26 Jun09 Apr30 (herrington cally )FOX CHRIS 122 30.00    
8  THOUSAND LOVES Sep18 Sep04 Aug20 Aug07 Jul23 (kleine bernard )BAYS BROOKE 115 30.00    
9  BLAMEITONMYMOMMA Aug07 Jul18 Jul03 Jun11 Mar08 (girten t)GALLARDO A 119 6.00 ★    
10  ON HIS TOES Aug27 Jul17 May15 Apr24 Apr09 (winters michell)NEGRON LUIS 122 30.00    
11  SHOWDOWN KING Sep18 Aug20 Aug05 Jul09 Jun14 (connelly)RODRIGUEZ O 122 3.50 40% 1.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.