Handicappers' Racing Form
"A Premier Resource for Free horse Racing Picks, Strong Longshots and Vulnerable Favorites."
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
 
The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Friday - August 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (4/8/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/8/5)-(4/8/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/8/5)-(4/8/5/3)-(4/8/5/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/8/5)-(1/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/8/5)-(1/4/3)-(5/8/7/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
PEN-2   WIN (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/3)-(1/4/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/4/3)-(1/4/6/3)-(1/4/6/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/4/3)-(5/8/7/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/3)-(5/8/7/9)-(9/5/8/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
PEN-3   WIN (5/8/7/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/7/9)-(5/8/7/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/7/9)-(5/8/7/9)-(5/8/7/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/8/7/9)-(9/5/8/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/8/7/9)-(9/5/8/2)-(4/3/6/8/7) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
PEN-4   WIN (9/5/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/5/8/2)-(9/5/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/5/8/2)-(9/5/8/2)-(9/5/8/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/5/8/2)-(4/3/6/8/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/5/8/2)-(4/3/6/8/7)-(3/4/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
PEN-5   WIN (4/3/6/8/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/3/6/8/7)-(4/3/6/8/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/3/6/8/7)-(4/3/6/8/7)-(4/3/6/8/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/3/6/8/7)-(3/4/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/3/6/8/7)-(3/4/1)-(3/6/5/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
PEN-6   WIN (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/1)-(3/4/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/4/1)-(3/4/6/1)-(3/4/6/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/4/1)-(3/6/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1)-(3/6/5/1)-(6/8/7/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
PEN-7   WIN (3/6/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/5/1)-(3/6/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/5/1)-(3/6/5/1)-(3/6/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/5/1)-(6/8/7/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
PEN-8   WIN (6/8/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/7/3)-(6/8/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/7/3)-(6/8/7/3)-(6/8/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   08/16/2024 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIVERBOAT BANDIT Jul19 Jun27 Nov09 Sep21 Aug31 (cifarelli fra)ROJAS MARTINA 123 50.00    
2  WE'RE EVEN Jul19 May30 May17 May03 Mar14 (stites p)CORA D 123 8.00    
3  TACTICAL HUMOR Aug08 Jul25 Jul10 Jun25 Jun04 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 3.00 ★    
4  MR. REDOLFO Jul26 Jun20 Oct17 Sep19 Aug29 (lawrence james )GOMEZ KEVIN 123 5.00 26% 2.90    
5  GRAHMALAMADINGDONG Jul27 Jul04 Jun18 May30 Mar27 (bedard alan)RIVERA D 120 3.50 15% 5.60    
6  PLUOT Jul19 Jun25 Jun04 Dec20 Nov29 (mcclellan e)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 4.00    
7  HE'S FANCY FREE Jul19 Jul10 Jun25 Jun18 May31 (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 123 6.00    
8  CHUCK ADAMS Jul26 Jul19 Jun27 Jun18 Jun04 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 120 6.00 19% 4.20    
SCR  LETSGETLUCKYTONITE Jul25 Jul10 Nov08 Oct27 Sep22 (sarson alisa )DIAZ VLADIMIR 123 8.00    
 
PEN-2   08/16/2024 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FILLMORE EAST Jul18 Jun25 Sep14 Sep01 Aug16 (moreno tito)RAMOS O 125 2.50 63% 0.60    
2  CALL ON CLARA Jul18 Jun18 Jun11 Oct26 Sep06 (reck christop)DIAZ VLADIMIR 121 10.00    
3  FLASHY TOO Jun18 May27 Oct04 Aug21 Jul22 (alvarado diane)PEREZ XAVIER 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  INSTINCTIVE Aug01 Jul19 Jun29 Jun10 May04 (rodriguez mi)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 4.00 10% 8.60    
5  NEVER SO LUCKY (IRE) Aug01 Jul18 Jul04 Jun08 May12 (harigeorgio)CALDERON OLIVER 121 8.00    
6  COLOR CRUSH Jul26 Jul09 Jun26 Jun18 May27 (solis jac)RODRIGUEZ R 121 3.00 ★    
7  CRICKET WEST Aug01 May22 Mar22 Mar14 Jan31 (mo)LUNA PAUL 119 12.00    
8  LOVING CUP (JPN) Jul12 May24 Apr19 Dec16 Dec01 (mcmahon demelza)CHIAPPE R 121 6.00    
SCR  SOLEMN OATH Jul09 Jun25 Dec05 Nov15 Oct30 (solis jacinto)RUIZ ELISEO 121 4.50    
SCR  LIPLOCK Aug01 Jul23 Jul09 Jun03 May14 (diaz jorge)CASTILLO A 119 8.00    
 
PEN-3   08/16/2024 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEACH WARRIOR Aug01 Jul11 Jun23 Nov17 Aug26 (crook-demasi k)TORRES JOMAR 121 3.00    
2  ALMOND CIDER Jul21 Jul01 May29 May13 Apr17 (perez ruperto )AGUILAR JEAN 112 15.00    
SCR  STRUGAR Jun30 Jun20 May29 May16 Apr28 (maldonado jon)TOLEDO JEVIAN 121 6.00    
4  LA LIMONADA Aug03 Jul15 Jul01 Jun15   (reck christop)DIAZ VLADIMIR 116 15.00    
5  MEMORY BOUQUET Jul31 Jul05 Jun20 May31 May17 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 123 6.00 47% 1.10    
SCR  LOST IN NEWYORK Jul05 Jun12 May24 May04 Feb07 (graci a)AGUILAR M 121 4.00    
7  RAINAS ROLLIN Jul24 Jul03 Jun04 May21 Sep20 (rogers ronald)ROJAS MARTINA 120 4.50 8% 12.10    
8  CHEERS FOR KITTEN Jul05 Jun13 May27 Nov16 Oct28 (brion keri)CEDENO CAROL 121 3.50 16% 5.20    
9  LOVE YOU MUCH Sep01 Aug06 May28 Aug23 Jul27 (allen f)HERNANDEZ A 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  SHORTY MAC Jul18 Jul12 Jun11 Oct24 Oct04 (rogers ronal)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 6.00    
 
PEN-4   08/16/2024 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WISH FOR PEACE Jul24 Jun25 Jun08 Apr24 Mar30 (kreiser timoth)TORRES JOMAR 121 8.00    
2  UNCAPTURED STORM Jul17 Jun15 May24 May11 Apr12 (maldonado jon)TOLEDO JEVIAN 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  ROAN MOUNTAIN Jul17 Jun25 May28 May04 Apr15 (lake a)ADORNO ABNER 121 4.50    
SCR  VINE JET Jul15 Jun25 Jun15 May04 Apr08 (padilla-preci)SILVERA RUBEN 121 3.50    
5  LEGAL DEAL Jul17 Jun25 May27 May01 Mar10 (ness jami)RODRIGUEZ R 121 3.00 6% 14.60    
6  MY REDEMPTION Jul15 Jun24 May10 May01 Apr08 (zalalas michael)CHIAPPE R 121 10.00    
7  JUMP FOR THE WIN Jun23 Nov30 Nov10 Sep21 Aug09 (rathman e)HERNANDEZ A 121 12.00    
8  GENGHIS Jul24 Jun26 Jun12 May17 May02 (kravets b)VARGAS L 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  JAYJAYDEE Aug08 Jul19 Jun26 May31 May09 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 121 5.00 61% 0.60    
 
PEN-5   08/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VILLANITO Jun04 May21 Apr29 Mar25 Feb26 (padilla-pre)NUNEZ Y 120 4.00    
2  LUCKY LINUS Jul25 Jul08 Jun20 Jun04 May10 (zalalas michael)AGUILAR M 120 6.00    
3  STRIDER'S SLIDER Aug02 Jul12 Jun18 May29   (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00 15% 5.50    
4  NOBLE FISH Jul27 Jun21 Jun01 May06 Apr14 (alvarado diane)PEREZ XAVIER 123 3.50 45% 1.20    
5  PROM KNIGHT Aug02 Jul01 Jun11 May08 Mar20 (mcclellan e)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 8.00    
6  PRACTICALLYMINE Jul25 Jun26 Jun18 May31 May07 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 123 4.50 7% 12.90    
7  BAG OF GOLD Jul11 Jun26 Jun12 May22 May02 (moreno tito)RAMOS O 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  BEJUCO Jul25 Jun26 May23 May10 Mar06 (carpio er)VARGAS L 123 10.00 5% 18.50    
9  RIDLEY PARK Jul10 May16 May02 Dec27 Dec01 (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 12.00    
 
PEN-6   08/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STRAWBERRY TREAT Jul19 Jul05 May31 May22 May08 (zalalas michael)CHIAPPE R 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  CATTY'S UNCLE Jul15 Jul01 May29 May01 Apr15 (padilla-prec)HERNANDEZ ANDY 123 3.50    
3  CHAPA Jul18 Jun19 May30 May17 May09 (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 2.50 46% 1.20    
4  WILD VINE Jul19 Jun26 Mar08 Feb16 Dec27 (stites flin)SALGADO ANTHONY 123 3.00 28% 2.60    
5  NAZARENO Jul19 Jun26 May31 May03 Apr10 (carpio erin)AGUILAR M 121 12.00    
6  WARRIOR'S PAYOFF Jun12 Oct10 Sep25 Sep06 Aug21 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 121 4.00 ★    
7  POINT PELEE Jul05 Jun12 May02 Dec01 Oct14 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 118 10.00    
 
PEN-7   08/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCKY DOUBLE ZERO Jul25 Jul10 Jun25 Jun12 May22 (beattie s)RODRIGUEZ R 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  IS IT WORTHWHILE Jul10         (rathman elish)ROJAS MARTINA 120 10.00    
3  SPEEDZILLA         (stowers michelle)AGUILAR M 122 10.00 22% 3.40    
4  HOPPY TIME Aug07 Jul03 Jun11     (kravets bru)RAMOS O 122 2.50    
5  UNDERRATED         (mcclellan e)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 10.00 20% 3.90    
6  MUSIC BOX DANCER Sep15 Aug25 Aug02     (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 2.00 22% 3.40    
7  UNCLE GEORGY Jul10 Jun18 May22 May10 Apr30 (meister willia)TORRES JOMAR 125 3.50    
 
PEN-8   08/16/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RELISHMENT Jul26 Jul15 Jun03 May27 May09 (bravo-estrada jaime)CORA D 125 12.00    
2  NOBLE CONQUEST Aug01 Jul11 Jun19 Jun05 Mar13 (smith lawrenc)ROJAS MARTINA 125 12.00    
3  GRAND PICK Jul22 Jul15 Jun12 Jun01 Dec31 (diaz jor)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  KODAPENDENT Aug02 Jul22 Jul03 Mar11 Feb12 (solis jac)RODRIGUEZ R 125 8.00    
5  BERMONDSEY Jul05 Jun20 May05 Apr14 Mar02 (nunley rand)SALGADO ANTHONY 125 5.00    
6  COBBLE ROAD Jul22 Jul05 Jun12 May13 Apr21 (perez ruperto )AGUILAR JEAN 118 2.50 46% 1.20    
7  FORECLOSURE Jul18 Jul05 Jun20 Jun12 May17 (graci a)AGUILAR M 125 4.00 12% 7.10    
8  BEE BY THE SEA Jul18 Jun20 Jun06 Apr22 Mar20 (salvaggio mark)TORRES JOMAR 125 3.00 12% 7.10    
9  THE GREAT CASBY Jul18 Jul03 Jun20 May22 May08 (moreno tito)RAMOS O 125 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.