Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Belterra Park
Friday - August 09, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BTP-1   WIN (8/3/7/2/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/3/7/2/9)-(8/3/7/2/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/3/7/2/9)-(8/3/7/2/9)-(8/3/7/2/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/3/7/2/9)-(4/2/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
BTP-2   WIN (4/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/3)-(4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (4/2/3)-(6/1/4)-(6/1/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-3   WIN (6/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/4)-(6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (6/1/4)-(6/1/2)-(7/3/6/12) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-4   WIN (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/2)-(6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (6/1/2)-(7/3/6/12)-(4/5/2/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
BTP-5   WIN (7/3/6/12) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/6/12)-(7/3/6/12/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/3/6/12)-(7/3/6/12/10)-(7/3/6/12/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
BTP-6   WIN (4/5/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/2/6)-(4/5/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/2/6)-(4/5/2/6)-(4/5/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/2/6)-(3/7/1/9)-(8/1/9/3) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
BTP-7   WIN (3/7/1/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/1/9)-(3/7/1/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/1/9)-(3/7/1/9)-(3/7/1/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/1/9)-(8/1/9/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
BTP-8   WIN (8/1/9/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/9/3)-(8/1/9/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/9/3)-(8/1/9/3)-(8/1/9/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
BTP-1   08/09/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMOKEY LEE Mar16 Feb21 Jan31 Jan03 Dec02 (estvanko richa)ELLIOTT JANE 123 8.00    
POET OF LIFE (IRE) Jul18 Jun20 Jun06 May16 Apr23 (haehn terry)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 8.00 5% 18.50    
SUPREME SONG Nov29 Oct03 Sep14 Aug23 Aug03 (smith larry)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 4.00 19% 4.30    
RUSTLER Jun11 Jan31 May05 Feb17 Jan18 (cowans d)NAVAS YOEL 123 5.00    
STITZY Jul18 Jun27 Feb15 Jan03 Dec15 (alessi jam)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 123 12.00    
PERFECT PAINTING Jul18 Jun20 May30 Mar20 Mar09 (beck rowena)MOJICA JR 123 3.50    
MAJOR SPARKS May13 Mar07 Feb21 Jan03 Dec14 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 123 6.00 10% 8.90    
LINK TO DESTINY Jul18 Mar16 Feb07 Oct06 Sep09 (ward wesley )CRUZ JUAN 125 2.50 40% 1.50    
FUTURE VICTORY Jul18 Jun20 Jun05 May16 Apr27 (riley barbara)OUZTS W 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  OVERHAUL Jul13 Jun29 Jun19 May11 May26 (alessi jam)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 123 12.00    
 
BTP-2   08/09/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  VIOLIN MAKER Mar16 Feb21 Jan25 Dec30 Oct04 (hernandez debbie)MURGIA A 123 4.50    
FRISCO LINE Jul19 Jun26 Jun15 May29 Aug12 (morelos ma)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 123 3.50 8% 11.90    
MOONLIGHT JOKER Jul19 Jun27 Jun01 May18 May11 (evans micha)OLIVEROS CHARLE 121 5.00 5% 19.00    
CHROMED IMPULSE Jun15 May18 Mar01 Jan26 Jan14 (cahill f)BUSH V 123 2.00 69% 0.40    
SOURNOIS Jul24 Nov21 Oct29 Oct16 Oct03 (rodak geral)JIMENEZ J 123 15.00    
LOCK ON Jul19 Jul12 Jun26 May23 May09 (haehn terry)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 8.00    
GREENSFELDER Jul03 Jun21 May24 Apr21 Mar23 (manning )LAFRANCEJR DOUGLAS 123 10.00    
 
BTP-3   08/09/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCHOOL'S OUT Jul19 Jun19 May31 May15 May04 (navarrete anna)MCKEE J 119 2.00 25% 3.00    
GAPPER Jul18 Jun28 Jun07 May04 Apr27 (baez sergio)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 3.50    
MAN'S CHOICE Jul29 Jul11 Jun19 May31 May15 (fernandez e)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 4.00    
CHECK THE FACTS Jun28 Jun12 May31 May18 Dec07 (kerr n)MOJICA JR 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
CLEVELAND POWER Jul18 Jun26 Jun12 May09 Apr02 (lopez e)SERPA ANGEL 123 8.00    
MISSION CONTROL Jul11 Jun27 May22 May04 Apr01 (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 121 2.50 53% 0.90    
 
BTP-4   08/09/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOR THE BISCUIT Jul25 Jul12 Jun28 Jun14 Jun06 (sherman j)SHERMAN ALEXANDRA 119 8.00 28% 2.60    
FIANNA HILLS Jul31 Jul12 Dec06 Nov22 Oct31 (rodak geral)JIMENEZ J 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  QUEEN OF CHILL Jul12 Jun15 Jun01 Mar29 Mar09 (ashmore m)BUSH V 124 6.00    
UP IN ARMS Jul12 Jun29 Jun05 May18 May04 (anderson susa)SOSA LAUREANO 124 4.50    
GENERAL GINNY Jul12 Oct07 Sep23 Sep14 Aug26 (smith larry)OUZTS W 124 4.00    
CINQUE AMORE Jul13 Feb07 Nov28 Sep14 Jul27 (caban carl)BATISTA X 124 2.50 32% 2.10    
FUTURE FLAY Jul26 Jun29 Jun05 May16 May01 (aguirre jua)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 3.50    
 
BTP-5   08/09/2024 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UME Jun18         (acevedo israel)SERPA ANGEL 119 12.00    
  (by KARAKONTIE out of CALABRISELLA by CURLIN)
CHITARRA (IRE) May31 Mar13 May11     (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 119 4.00    
  (by ADVERTISE out of ARDIENTE by AUSTRALIA (GB))
PRINCESS ELANY Jul26         (ruvalcaba jua)JIMENEZ ALBIN 124 5.00 11% 8.10    
  (by MR SPEAKER out of HOME ON SATURDAY by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
DEVIL OF PARADIS Jul06 Apr17 Aug08     (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 119 4.50    
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of AMERICAGREATAGAIN by CONGRATS)
SCR  BRILLIANT HALO Jun18 Apr23       (caban e)HESS SARA 119 30.00    
  (by FINALE out of EVELYN'S DREAM by GRAEME HALL)
TOURING WITH NETTA Jun11 Apr26       (ward dean)LAGUNES GABRIEL 119 12.00 9% 10.10    
  (by TOURIST out of WAYNETTA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
MARGARET'S LADY Mar29 Dec20 Dec06 Nov02 Sep20 (west w)LEBRON VICTOR 119 3.50 28% 2.60    
  (by GORMLEY out of WITH SUGAR by SIDNEY'S CANDY)
CARLISLE KITTEN         (helmbrecht wi)CANUTO THIAGO 119 10.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of KENTAN ROAD by INTO MISCHIEF)
MINK STOLE Jun29         (arnold geor)MONGE JOHNATHAN 114 8.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of MINX by TAPIT)
10  MY DEAR VALENTINE         (salcedo ramon)SOSA LAUREANO 124 10.00    
  (by MR SPEAKER out of MY DEAR OPAL by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
11  CAUSE IMA ROSE Jul12 Jun28 Jun12 May08 Apr14 (guida e)OUZTS W 124 2.50    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of ROSE KNOWS SHOBIZ by NOBIZ LIKE SHOBIZ)
12  RAISON D'AMOUR         (conto kevin)BUSH V 119 12.00 9% 10.40    
  (by RAISON D'ETAT out of NADESHIKO by HONOUR AND GLORY)
SCR  KATNAPPING Jun28 Jun12 May31 Oct07 Sep16 (aguirre r)PENA L 124 12.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of DREAM PROSPECT by MINESHAFT)
 
BTP-6   08/09/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($35K) Purse ($18.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HARTFUL HOPE Jul07 Jun18 Jan27 Dec18 Nov28 (delacruz j)NAVAS YOEL 122 8.00    
DISTINCTIVE FLOWER Jul19 Aug18 Jul27 Jun29 Jun01 (peach a)OUZTS W 122 2.50 10% 9.10    
DELIGHTFUL CAT Jul19 Jun29 Jun12 May17 May04 (jarvis kathy)MOJICA JR 122 5.00    
SILVIA Jul11 Apr28 Apr30 Apr01 Mar16 (van thomas)MCKEE J 122 4.00 39% 1.50    
KITTEN CALLS Jun17 May17 Apr02 Feb06 Nov28 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 3.50 24% 3.10    
SUZY Q THE QUEEN Jul16 Jun03 May15 Apr30 Apr03 (mauro ju)LAFRANCEJR DOUGLAS 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
PURE ELEGANCE Jul24 Jul13 Jun29 Jun08 May17 (mendieta a)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 122 8.00    
 
BTP-7   08/09/2024 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STARLIGHT LOVE Jun21 May27 Mar23     (lobo h)JIMENEZ ALBIN 117 4.50 17% 4.90    
KOHARA (IRE) Jul26 Jun24 May31 Sep13   (meah m)LAGUNES GABRIEL 117 2.50    
CANT KEEP ME DOWN Jul13 Jun19 May09 Apr07 Mar15 (salas felipe)MCKEE J 122 3.50 40% 1.50    
SCR  BULSARA Jul22 Mar22 Feb24 Feb01 Jan18 (toye lin)DOYLE SOPHIE 122 5.00    
MARIA'S REVENGE Jul11 May23 Apr24 Mar09 Feb10 (sancal murat)MOJICA JR 122 6.00    
KATIE GOT LUCKY Jul11 Jun22 May24 May04 Mar15 (west w)LEBRON VICTOR 122 8.00    
MILLIONDOLARMONKEY Aug01 Jun27 Apr24 Apr13 Feb24 (orantes r)NAVAS YOEL 122 6.00 22% 3.60    
ICE QUEEN Jul26 May12 Apr11 Mar01 Feb16 (alessi james)SERPA ANGEL 122 10.00    
LIGEIA Jul12 Jun30 Jun14 May18 May03 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MEGAN'S NOEL Jun29 Jun13 May30 May02 Mar22 (grubbs jamie )JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 8.00    
SCR  EVITA Jul31 Jun13 May24 Apr27 Mar16 (meah m)MONCADA IRVING 117 6.00    
 
BTP-8   08/09/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANN KOR Jul27 Jul13 Jun22 Jun06 May29 (manning joh)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 2.50 18% 4.50    
ABIGAIL G Jul26 Jul12 Jun28 Jun15 Dec10 (rodak geral)JIMENEZ J 122 20.00    
WICKED HEART Jul26 Jun14 May03     (cline robert )ZONETT KEYNER 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
SHORT ON THE SUGAR Jul26 Jul12 Jun21 Sep08 Aug29 (helmbrecht wi)CANUTO THIAGO 122 10.00    
WAY BALI Jul12 Jun21 Apr28 Jul27 Jul08 (manning )LAFRANCEJR DOUGLAS 122 30.00    
SCR  POISED Jul10 Jun17 May22 Apr17 Mar01 (lauer mich)ANDERSON MCKENNA 118 15.00    
HAPPYSECRET Jun21 Apr25 Jan05 Sep29 Aug31 (alessi james)HESS SARA 117 15.00    
LANDY Jul12 Jun21 May17 May03 Apr25 (caban carl)BATISTA X 118 3.50 33% 2.00    
FABULOUS PHILLY Jul18 Jun13 May30 May03 Apr25 (tomlinson )SANCHEZ LEXANDER 124 6.00 14% 6.10    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.