Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Belterra Park
Wednesday - July 31, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BTP-1   WIN (4/9/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/9/5)-(4/9/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/9/5)-(4/9/5)-(4/9/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/9/5)-(5/2/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
BTP-2   WIN (5/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/7)-(5/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/7)-(5/2/7)-(5/2/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (5/2/7)-(2/1/4)-(3/1/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-3   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/4)-(2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (2/1/4)-(3/1/6)-(4/5/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-4   WIN (3/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/6)-(3/1/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/1/6)-(3/1/5/6)-(3/1/5/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/1/6)-(4/5/6)-(1/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-5   WIN (4/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/6)-(4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
BTP-6   WIN (1/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/6)-(1/6/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/6)-(1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    PK3 (1/6)-(2/5/7)-(4/2/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-7   WIN (2/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/7)-(2/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/7)-(2/5/7)-(2/5/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/7)-(4/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
BTP-8   WIN (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/5)-(4/2/5/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/2/5)-(4/2/5/8)-(4/2/5/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
BTP-1   07/31/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PERFECT PAINTING Jul18 Jun20 May30 Mar20 Mar09 (beck rowena)MOJICA JR 123 4.50    
MOONSTRIKE (GB) Jul13 Jun06 May10 Dec27 Dec16 (engler jeff)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 12.00    
LONG CROW Jun23 May02 Apr12 Feb16 Jan28 (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 123 2.50    
KID MARVELOUS Jun27 Apr26 Mar30 Feb23 Feb09 (esqu)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 123 5.00 51% 1.00    
SOME R BLESSED Jun12 May23 Mar15 Dec01 Nov17 (smith larry)OUZTS W 123 6.00 6% 15.40    
SCR  SAN MARCO CITY Jun20 Mar20 Mar09 Feb14 Jan31 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 123 10.00    
SCR  RIPKEN Nov03 Oct15 Sep22 Aug05 Jul19 (banford )CALZADILLA JACKSON 121 15.00    
COTE D'IVOIRE Jul17 Jun21 May30 Apr11 Mar01 (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 123 8.00    
P K WOOD Jun27 May30 May15 Mar21 Mar09 (bahena ismael)LEBRON VICTOR 123 3.50 15% 5.60    
 
BTP-2   07/31/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($9.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DUKE OF VERVE Jul20 Jul05       (royal madelyn)BUSH V 120 10.00    
SOCIAL ANXIETY         (butcher james)ORANTES CESAR 115 12.00 25% 2.90    
MONTY'SWORTHYCAJUN Jul11 Jun28 May24 May11 Apr26 (raines lindse)SOSA LAUREANO 125 3.50    
NATIVE MOONSHINE Jul20 Jul10 Jun29 Jun01 May22 (smith r)OUZTS W 125 4.50    
ENDOW Jul20 Jul10 Jun22 Jun05 May22 (thornbury jeff)MCKEE J 120 2.50 43% 1.30    
LIBERTY HALL Jul13 Jul05 Jun15 Jun07 May25 (cook k)MURGIA A 125 4.00    
LITTLE BANKER MAN Jul05 Jun22 Jun12 Nov14 Oct19 (barrett grant)CANUTO THIAGO 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
BTP-3   07/31/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIANNA HILLS Jul12 Dec06 Nov22 Oct31 Oct23 (rodak geral)JIMENEZ J 124 8.00 9% 10.40    
LUNAR PRAYER Dec05 Nov12 Oct30 Oct04 Aug16 (rodak ge)MARTINEZ LUIS 124 5.00 53% 0.90    
SCR  ACT LIKE A LADY Feb19 Jan30 Jan04 Dec10 Nov13 (erwin andre)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 8.00    
DESIGNATE Feb08 Jan04 Dec27 Nov07 Oct22 (erwin andrew)ZONETT KEYNER 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
ROYAL TO BE Jul13 May16 Apr27 Mar15 Feb18 (ocasio osvaldo)PENA L 124 3.00    
ANOTATION Jun07 Apr28 Mar18 Mar02 Jan20 (hale jr)CANUTO THIAGO 124 2.50    
ABOUNDING Jun15 Jun01 May18 May04 Oct07 (cook k)MURGIA A 124 4.50    
 
BTP-4   07/31/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MERRY OF SOUL Jul12 Jun29 Jun06 May18 Mar14 (shetron ph)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 124 5.00 29% 2.40    
SUM KINDA PRETTY Jul17 Jun29 Jun20 May25 May11 (aguirre jua)JIMENEZ J 122 8.00    
FRANKLY MY DEAR Jul05 Jun18 May08 Apr11 Mar28 (ocasio osv)BATISTA X 122 3.00 40% 1.50    
SURE ENOUGH Jul13 Jun28 Jun08 May24 May16 (adams l)HESS SARA 117 6.00    
WHISKEY SIS Jul17 Jun29 Jun06 May23 May03 (nocero carmin)LEBRON VICTOR 122 2.50    
HIGH MEADOWS Jul13 Jun29 May25 May16 May03 (morelos mat)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
C C'S WORLD Jul11 Jun21 Jun08 Jun01 May05 (gonzalez j)BUSH V 122 10.00    
MY TOMMY LEE Jul13 Jun29 Jun06 May23 May04 (sands sh)CALZADILLA JACKSON 122 4.50    
 
BTP-5   07/31/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($18.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  STARLIGHT LOVE Jun21 May27 Mar23     (lobo h)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 4.00    
BRIGHT LADY DAY Jul06 Jun19 May10 Feb14 Jan27 (jackson chris)SOSA LAUREANO 118 15.00    
SCR  ANGIE FROM KULM Jun18 Jan24 Dec26 Sep21 Aug18 (danner kelsey)ELLIOTT JANE 123 15.00    
SERENE WATERS May31 Feb08 Dec30 Nov11   (meah m)LAGUNES GABRIEL 118 3.50 45% 1.20    
EVITA Jun13 May24 Apr27 Mar16 Jan21 (meah m)MONCADA IRVING 118 10.00 25% 2.90    
SCARLETTA Jul03 May26 Mar01 Jun18 May13 (seglin e)RIQUELME J 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SPRAT Jun08 May28 Mar16 Dec30 Dec06 (corrigan jim)MURGIA A 118 12.00    
SCR  DIFFERENTLY Jun24 May28 May14 Apr24 Mar16 (delacruz j)NAVAS YOEL 123 6.00    
SCR  MARIA'S REVENGE Jul11 May23 Apr24 Mar09 Feb10 (sancal murat)MOJICA JR 123 5.00    
10  SWEET ENCHANTMENT Jun19 May18 May03 Dec01 Oct23 (hern)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 118 20.00    
11  BIRDIE ROSE Jul22 Jun27 Jun15 May22 Mar23 (salas felipe)MCKEE J 123 2.50    
 
BTP-6   07/31/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUCKEYE SUZY         (adams l)HESS SARA 114 5.00 24% 3.20    
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of MIDNIGHT CUTE by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
GOGO NEV'S Jul18 Jun20 May11     (campos paulo)ORANTES CESAR 114 4.00    
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of VAN GOGO GIRL by VAN NISTELROOY)
SHE IS DYNAMIC Jul18 Jun20 May31 May11 Apr25 (donjuan sergi)CANUTO THIAGO 119 3.00    
  (by DYNAMIC RACER out of AMERIBELLE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
DIANE'S ANGEL Jul18 May31 May11     (andrade hugo)SOSA LAUREANO 119 2.00    
  (by DYNAMIC RACER out of LOU'S ANGEL by CACTUS RIDGE)
LATE BLOOMBOPPER Jul18 Jun05 Dec30 Dec13 Nov13 (barker scot)JIMENEZ J 119 4.50    
  (by INDY WIND out of OCTOBER SONG by BERNSTEIN)
RAVEN'S HONOR         (holton a)MURGIA A 119 8.00 24% 3.20    
  (by TWINSPIRED out of REBECCA'S RAVEN by GRINDSTONE)
 
BTP-7   07/31/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GHOST BIKE Jul03 Jun17 Jun01 May16 May02 (pasley alvin )LEBRON VICTOR 123 8.00    
GULLANE May15 Jul14 Jun16 May20 Mar28 (cowans d)NAVAS YOEL 123 3.50 34% 1.90    
BUZZER Jul18 Jul03 Jun01 May25 Apr27 (baez sergio)MCKEE J 123 2.50    
J W RUCKUS Jul15 Jul03 Jun05 May21 May07 (livers charl)TERRAZA GERMAN 123 6.00    
TONALTALITARIAN Jul13 Jul03 Jun19 Jun06 May15 (aguirre jua)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 4.50 29% 2.50    
SCR  SAY IT AIN'T SO Sep30 Aug26 Aug09 Jul21 Jul12 (cook k)MURGIA A 123 8.00    
SAILOR'S CHANCE Jul18 Jul03 Jun20 Mar14 Mar02 (donjuan sergi)CANUTO THIAGO 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
FLAGS UP Jul15 Jun26 May25 May10 Apr19 (salas felipe)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 4.00    
 
BTP-8   07/31/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($26.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAND ZHOUL Oct06 Aug09 Jun29 May29   (bennett rober)LEBRON VICTOR 123 8.00    
ENTICED BY CHANCE Jul06 Jun07 May22 Apr25   (anderson susa)SOSA LAUREANO 119 4.50 7% 12.90    
GRAY DAY Jul06 Jun27 Jun19 May31 May15 (evans michael)CANUTO THIAGO 123 6.00    
TOUGH CAT May18 Oct28 Sep22 Aug15 Jun30 (drury jr)MCKEE J 119 3.00 61% 0.60    
I'M HIM Jun27 Jun07 May16 Apr25 Jan06 (engler jeff)MURGIA A 123 2.50 5% 19.00    
ROLLIN MY WAY Jul06 Jun27 Oct31     (riley barbara)OUZTS W 119 8.00    
PRAYED TODAY Sep13 Aug26 Jun05     (waltz brian)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 5.00    
CRAFTED Jul06 Jun09 May26 Apr27 Apr05 (short thoma)LAGUNES GABRIEL 119 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.