Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Colonial Downs
Friday - July 26, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CNL-1   WIN (10/1/8/2/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/1/8/2/9)-(10/1/8/2/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/1/8/2/9)-(10/1/8/2/9)-(10/1/8/2/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/1/8/2/9)-(5/10/6/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (10/1/8/2/9)-(5/10/6/4)-(3/8/7/4) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CNL-2   WIN (5/10/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/10/6/4)-(5/10/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/10/6/4)-(5/10/6/4)-(5/10/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/10/6/4)-(3/8/7/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/10/6/4)-(3/8/7/4)-(1/2/7/5) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CNL-3   WIN (3/8/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/7/4)-(3/8/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/8/7/4)-(3/8/7/4)-(3/8/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/8/7/4)-(1/2/7/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/8/7/4)-(1/2/7/5)-(7/6/8/10) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CNL-4   WIN (1/2/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/7/5)-(1/2/7/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/2/7/5)-(1/2/7/4/5)-(1/2/7/4/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/2/7/5)-(7/6/8/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/2/7/5)-(7/6/8/10)-(4/5/8/10/9) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CNL-5   WIN (7/6/8/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/8/10)-(7/6/8/3/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/6/8/10)-(7/6/8/3/10)-(7/6/8/3/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/6/8/10)-(4/5/8/10/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/6/8/10)-(4/5/8/10/9)-(5/9/6/2/8) 100 $1.00 $100 
CNL-6   WIN (4/5/8/10/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/5/8/10/9)-(4/5/8/10/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/5/8/10/9)-(4/5/8/10/9)-(4/5/8/10/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/5/8/10/9)-(5/9/6/2/8) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (4/5/8/10/9)-(5/9/6/2/8)-(8/5/1/4) 100 $1.00 $100 
CNL-7   WIN (5/9/6/2/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/9/6/2/8)-(5/9/6/2/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/9/6/2/8)-(5/9/6/2/8)-(5/9/6/2/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/9/6/2/8)-(8/5/1/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/9/6/2/8)-(8/5/1/4)-(3/4/5/9) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CNL-8   WIN (8/5/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/1/4)-(8/5/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/5/1/4)-(8/5/1/4)-(8/5/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/5/1/4)-(3/4/5/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CNL-9   WIN (3/4/5/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/5/9)-(3/4/5/10/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/4/5/9)-(3/4/5/10/9)-(3/4/5/10/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CNL-1   07/26/2024 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INDEPENDENCE WAY Jul13 Jun16 May25 Apr21 Jan12 (russell br)SANCHEZ J 118 2.00 18% 4.50    
2  MINARI         (brion keri)CONNER TYLER 124 8.00 13% 6.40    
3  AIN'T NO LADY Jun19 May29 May13     (englehart j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 30.00    
4  BOURBON DIVERSION Nov12 Sep08 Aug18 Jul14 Jun23 (kingsley archi)ASHTON GAVIN 124 20.00    
5  CYNTHIA JUNE Jun28 Jun05       (valvo )ARAUJO VICENTE 124 5.00    
6  CHANGE ORDER Dec03 Nov09       (gardea abraha)SILVERA RUBEN 118 12.00    
7  LADY OPHELIA Jun22 May25 Apr13     (meyers f)CURTIS BEN 118 6.00    
8  AUTUMN IN VERMONT         (locklear )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 15.00 16% 5.20    
9  RENDEZVOUS Jul02 Jun06 May25 Sep02 Aug01 (cooney s)RUIZ JORGE 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  NO SHOW May31 Apr21 Mar29 Mar08 Aug04 (danner k)GALLARDO A 118 3.50 31% 2.20    
 
CNL-2   07/26/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FORTY STRIPES Jul02 Jun16 May07 Feb08 Jan05 (zook w)LEON A 123 30.00    
2  SUSTENANCE Jun14 Feb24 Jan31 Jan08 Dec22 (sanchez-salomon )RUIZ JORGE 123 10.00    
3  K P ALL SYSTEMS GO May24 Nov06 Oct13 Sep02 Jun22 (englehart jef)SILVERA RUBEN 123 12.00    
4  BOCA GUY Jun28 May25 Apr19 Mar10 Feb17 (alvarado diane)CONNER TYLER 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  MINE RUN May31 Mar17 Aug03 Mar19 Feb05 (russell br)SANCHEZ J 123 3.00 41% 1.40    
6  BRUCE BANNER Jun30 Jun01 Feb21 Feb07 Jan10 (campbell mi)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 8.00 6% 14.50    
7  MY NOBLE KNIGHT Jul06 Jun24 May30 May12 Apr27 (rivera xavier)ALVARADO JR 120 5.00    
8  ROCKLAND EXPRESS Jul18 Jun07 May12 Apr21 Feb24 (garrido raul)FUENTES MARIO 123 30.00    
SCR  SMART JOKER Jul01 Jun10 Apr26 Apr03 Mar20 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 123 6.00    
10  OPPOSITES ATTRACT Jun08 May11 Apr19 Mar20 Mar01 (bowersoc)GALLARDO A 123 2.50 28% 2.60    
 
CNL-3   07/26/2024 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($56.25K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WOW WHATA PARTY Jun25 Jun06 May17 Apr27   (lawrence j)SANCHEZ J 119 6.00    
2  BAND LEADER Aug19 Aug05 Sep07     (williams)GALLARDO A 124 2.50    
3  NO CENTS NON CENTS Jun23 Jun07 May18 Apr27   (godsey d)ASHTON GAVIN 119 3.50 51% 0.90    
4  PRETTY JIMMY         (cooney s)CURTIS BEN 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  MISTY RIVER         (allen ferris)CONNER TYLER 124 15.00    
6  SINGULARITY         (payne bea)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 15.00    
7  NONE THE WISER Jun07         (allen ferri)KARAMANOS A 119 8.00 8% 12.30    
8  BEN'S HERO Jul04 Jun01 Oct26 Sep22 Jun17 (klesaris steve)RUIZ JORGE 124 3.00 14% 6.10    
 
CNL-4   07/26/2024 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLAME THE CLOUDS Jul11 Jun05       (blair jordan)CONNER TYLER 118 2.50 56% 0.80    
2  MORTAL SIN Jul11 Jun15 May24 Apr20 Nov11 (doran carl)KARAMANOS A 118 3.00 14% 6.00    
3  FLAT CAP Jun16 Jun02 Apr27 Apr14 Mar24 (mcgoey m)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 118 15.00    
4  AMERICAN DAY Jul11 Jun22 Jun01 May12 Feb24 (werneth rob)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 8.00 ★    
5  STAYINYOURLANE Jun26 Jun10 May20 May04 Apr12 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  STREET OUTLAW Jul11 Jun22 Jun01 Sep20 Sep06 (zook w)ASHTON GAVIN 118 30.00    
7  COBBLESTONE BRIDGE Jun30 May17 Mar10 Aug03   (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 118 4.50 6% 15.10    
SCR  SHIP MASTER Jul11 Jun15 Oct13 Sep02 Jun30 (salazar marco)SILVERA RUBEN 124 20.00    
9  TRUE ACCOUNT Jul11 Jun06 May24 May04 Feb05 (brion ker)CARRASCO R 124 6.00    
10  HOLLYWOOD HERO Jul11 Jun29 Jun09 May17 May01 (mcgoey monic)CASIQUE UBARDO 124 30.00    
11  PEYTON'S DAY Jul11 Jun01 Apr27 Mar23 Mar03 (rodriguez )HERNANDEZ MAIKOL 118 30.00    
SCR  REGGIESSCOTCHNSODA Jul13         (sanchez-salomon )RUIZ JORGE 118 15.00    
 
CNL-5   07/26/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 F PT- 6:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BODY LANGUAGE Jul11 May13       (mccutchen jas)JIMENEZ MANNY 119 30.00    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of PELT by CANADIAN FRONTIER)
2  MISS TAPATIA Jul11 Jun22       (rodriguez ang)FUENTES MARIO 119 15.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of EVIL LILY by TIZ WONDERFUL)
SCR  HIT SONG         (munoz carlos)BOCACHICA O 119 15.00 ★    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of GOOD CAUSE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
4  MERRY AND BRIGHT         (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 119 8.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of MAKE MERRY by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
5  VICKI VALE         (russell br)SANCHEZ J 119 6.00    
  (by TONALIST out of SHACK UP by SHACKLEFORD)
6  SMARTEST         (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 119 3.00 27% 2.70    
  (by KARAKONTIE out of SMART EMMA by SMART STRIKE)
7  SWEET AMBITION         (casse mark)ASHTON GAVIN 119 4.50 27% 2.60    
  (by WAR FRONT out of FOUR SUGARS by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
8  TACO CAT BACKWARDS         (casse ma)GALLARDO A 119 5.00 7% 12.70    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of PINATA CAT by TIZNOW)
9  FIVECLOCKSOMEWHERE Jul11         (cooney s)CONNER TYLER 119 10.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of SHERINI by BERNARDINI)
10  QUEEN IN THE DECK         (munoz carlos)SILVERA RUBEN 119 12.00 5% 18.50    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of CLARA BARTON by UNION RAGS)
SCR  LAWS OF A NATION         (desormeaux kei)RIQUELME J 119 8.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of DREAM PASSAGE by STORMY ATLANTIC)
 
CNL-6   07/26/2024 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($87.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLUE CREEK Jun13 Apr26 Nov19 Oct28 Sep30 (brion keri)BOYCE FOREST 118 15.00    
2  Z DANCER Jun30 May26 May10 Apr12 Mar21 (sanchez-piner)SILVERA RUBEN 125 4.00    
SCR  SHARP TONES Jun24 May30 May16 Apr19 Feb19 (ashby lynn)ROCCO S 118 12.00    
4  MASSIF Jun16 May18 Apr13 Nov16 Oct28 (russell br)SANCHEZ J 118 2.00 37% 1.70    
5  NERVES OF STEEL Jun13 Sep20 Aug26 Jul19 Jun01 (arnold george )ASHTON GAVIN 123 8.00 19% 4.20    
6  MORNING MARCH Jul10 Jun27 Jun13 Oct26 Oct05 (gordon-watson a)CURTIS BEN 125 30.00    
7  HYTECK PRINCE Jun09 Apr21 Nov18 Oct26 Oct15 (lawrence jame)KARAMANOS A 118 20.00    
8  COVERT KAT Jun29 Jun01 Nov16 Nov02 Oct13 (trombetta m)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 6.00 12% 7.30    
9  T REX Jul08 Jun25 Jun11 May16 Oct26 (rogers ronald )CONNER TYLER 123 30.00 5% 19.00    
10  HEAVY POUR Jun24 May22 Nov28 Oct23 Oct11 (girten t)GALLARDO A 118 5.00 12% 7.50    
11  STREET ROCKIN Jul11 Jun26 Jun15 May23 Nov16 (ashby lynn)ASTUDILLO FELIX 111 15.00    
 
CNL-7   07/26/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY SOFIA ROSE Jul06         (mcclure diana )ROCCO S 119 30.00    
  (by MAIMONIDES out of MOONING FOR YOU by MALIBU MOON)
2  SPLASH OF JACK Jun15         (allen fe)SANCHEZ J 124 2.50 13% 6.80    
  (by ARMY MULE out of AWAKE THE DAY by MORE THAN READY)
3  THY NAME IS WOMAN Jun22         (trombetta mic)KARAMANOS A 119 8.00    
  (by ASTERN out of MAGICIAN'S VANITY by STREET MAGICIAN)
4  SECESSIONIST May25 May11       (payne beale)FUENTES MARIO 124 30.00    
  (by KLIMT out of DREAMED TO DREAM by DEPUTY WILD CAT)
5  FIRST TO ARRIVE Jun08 May15 Nov23 Oct01 Sep08 (sanchez-salomo)BOYCE FOREST 119 3.00 24% 3.20    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of IN MY TIME by BOLD EXECUTIVE)
6  DAISY MY NAME May14         (bailes)ARAUJO VICENTE 124 4.00 18% 4.70    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of GREAT STORM by GREAT NOTION)
7  LA BEFANA Jun21 May31 Dec06 Oct05 Sep08 (nagle sarah)RUIZ JORGE 124 5.00    
  (by POINT OF ENTRY out of EL VEDADO by BIG BROWN)
8  HAIL NO         (payne beale)ASHTON GAVIN 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of MIRACLE MOMENT by CHESTER HOUSE)
9  CAROLINA HIDEAWAY Jun03 May19       (cooney susa)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 6.00 20% 4.10    
  (by RUN AWAY AND HIDE out of CAROLINA SHAG by BOP)
 
CNL-8   07/26/2024 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($34.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INCINERATOR Jun01 Apr13 Mar17 Feb17   (delacour )CARRASCO R 118 4.50 14% 6.30    
2  STARRYSTARRYKNIGHT Feb18 Dec27 Sep16 Jul29 May28 (hemingwa)GALLARDO A 123 5.00    
3  RENNIE Feb04 Dec29 Nov26 Nov02 Oct13 (godsey d)ASHTON GAVIN 123 15.00    
4  GET THEM DIGITS Oct05 Sep06 Aug26 Aug02 Jul14 (allen ferris)CONNER TYLER 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  ORANGE JUICE Jul04 Jun13 Sep16 Aug16   (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 118 6.00 19% 4.20    
SCR  BLEDSOE Apr27 Apr06 Oct08 Sep13 Apr07 (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 118 3.00    
7  DUCKPINS Jun21 Jun02 May26 May10 Jan12 (bailes)ARAUJO VICENTE 123 8.00    
8  WHO KNOWS Jul07 Jun23 May21 Apr15 Feb26 (pino micha)SANCHEZ J 118 2.50 44% 1.30    
 
CNL-9   07/26/2024 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOSSY BOOTS Jun16 May18 Apr07 Mar14 Nov23 (morgan carla)BOYCE FOREST 118 20.00    
2  AWESOME MOON Jul19 Jan12 Jul20 Jul07 Jun17 (huffman kenne)FUENTES MARIO 122 30.00    
3  AWARD TOUR (IRE) Jul03 Jun03 May22 Apr17   (potts ro)GALLARDO A 118 3.00 38% 1.60    
4  TRES FRANCAIS Jun19 May25 Apr26     (delacour )CARRASCO R 118 2.50 29% 2.40    
5  LA TACHE Jun16 May31 May03 Mar16 Mar22 (sillaman rich)KARAMANOS A 122 3.50 12% 7.50    
6  MANITOULIN ISLAND Jul13 Jun01 May08 Apr25 Mar30 (garrido raul)LEON A 122 30.00    
7  INSTPARTY Jun13 May30 May08 Apr04 Feb17 (allen ferri)SILVERA RUBEN 122 15.00    
8  IDA BOSS Jul03 Jun09 Aug24 Aug04 Jul13 (bailes)ARAUJO VICENTE 120 8.00    
9  SATISFIED Jul13 Jun16 Jun06 Jan03 Oct29 (allen ferris)RUIZ JORGE 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  HURRICANE BON Jul08 Jun13 May15 Apr08 Mar14 (lawrence j)SANCHEZ J 118 6.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.