Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Belterra Park
Wednesday - July 03, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BTP-1   WIN (3/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/7)-(3/2/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/2/7)-(3/2/7/5)-(3/2/7/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/2/7)-(1/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
BTP-2   WIN (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/6)-(1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (1/3/6)-(2/3/4)-(2/6/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-3   WIN (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/4)-(2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (2/3/4)-(2/6/3)-(10/5/11/12) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-4   WIN (2/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/3)-(2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (2/6/3)-(10/5/11/12)-(5/4/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-5   WIN (10/5/11/12) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/5/11/12)-(10/5/11/12) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/5/11/12)-(10/5/11/12)-(10/5/11/12) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
BTP-6   WIN (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/3)-(5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (5/4/3)-(5/3/4)-(10/8/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-7   WIN (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/4)-(5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/4)-(10/8/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
BTP-8   WIN (10/8/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (10/8/3)-(10/8/9/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/8/3)-(10/8/9/3/2)-(10/8/9/3/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
BTP-1   07/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.9K) 3UP M/F PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARLY'S FLIGHT Jun22 Jun15 Nov08 Oct17 Oct04 (rodak geral)JIMENEZ J 122 5.00    
SAVESOMEFORME Jun13 May22 May09 Apr03 Jan09 (bates l)BUSH V 122 4.50 11% 8.10    
SWEET MOBILTEE Jun13 May22 Apr11 Mar27 Mar11 (smith larry)OUZTS W 122 2.50 63% 0.60    
NANA ROZE May31 May22 May09 Nov08 Oct04 (morelos ma)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 122 10.00    
ROCKY CHANNEL Jun13 Jan09 Dec20 Dec20 Nov12 (cline robert )SOSA LAUREANO 122 8.00    
DESDEMONA KAY Jun12 May15 May02 Feb01 Jan05 (riley barbara)COLON H 124 3.50    
TREASURE WILBURNYA Oct04 Aug23 Jul26 Jun23 Sep09 (haehn terry)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
BTP-2   07/03/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAILOR'S CHANCE Jun20 Mar14 Mar02 Feb08 Jan24 (donjuan sergi)CANUTO THIAGO 123 2.50 53% 0.90    
THISPOINTINTIME Jun13 May16 May02 Apr25 Mar27 (figueroa cesar )SERPA ANGEL 123 5.00    
CONNECT ME Jun13 May11 Apr26 Mar27 Mar02 (estvanko rich)LEBRON VICTOR 123 3.50 19% 4.30    
NUEVO AMANECER Jun08 May29 May11 Nov05 Sep16 (bahe)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 120 4.50    
SCR  FAST FELIX Jun06 May23 May02 Apr25 Mar27 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 123 3.00    
DAWN WEST Jun13 May30 Feb28 Feb11 Jul27 (ocasio osv)BATISTA X 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
BTP-3   07/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ROLLIN RAVEN Jul06         (engler jeff)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 3.00    
  (by STORMY ATLANTIC out of ROLLIN FOR MERCY by MERCER MILL)
LESOTHO Jun05 Aug12 Jul22     (cline robert )CANUTO THIAGO 119 2.50 29% 2.40    
  (by MITOLE out of FEISTY TOMBOY by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SHARP E         (waltz brian)JIMENEZ ALBIN 124 5.00 24% 3.20    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of SECRET HAUL by DUNKIRK)
SUPER SCAMP Jun05 Apr01 Mar14 Feb24 Jan09 (cline robert )ZONETT KEYNER 124 4.50 5% 19.00    
  (by OPTIMIZER out of LIEGE by THEATRICAL (IRE))
SHAMANS IMAGE Jun05 Dec30 Dec14 Nov14 Sep27 (barker scot)JIMENEZ J 119 3.50    
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of LADY MONAVI by MONDAVI)
MY CARMELITA         (antonuik jerry)PAULY SUMMER 124 6.00    
  (by BIG ATLANTIC out of MY MARGARITA by TIZDEJAVU)
 
BTP-4   07/03/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHAKEM N BREAKEM Jun14 May17 Apr24 Apr03 Jan26 (dominguez )SANCHEZ LEXANDER 124 8.00    
PEPPER PIKE Jun19 Aug22 Aug02 Jun30 Apr29 (sherman j)SHERMAN ALEXANDRA 119 2.50 37% 1.70    
ELI Jun14 May17 May02 Dec13 Nov30 (hernandez deb)CANUTO THIAGO 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PINEDALE Jun07 May16 Mar28 Aug03 Jul12 (pino michael )LEAHEY HANNAH 124 3.50    
MASON A. P. Jun19 May18 Dec29 Nov30 Nov12 (hill f)MURGIA A 124 4.00    
TONALTALITARIAN Jun19 Jun06 May15 Apr27 Oct29 (aguirre jua)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 4.50 30% 2.30    
SCR  SAVING MAMA Sep21 Sep02 Jun08 May25 Feb04 (morelos mateo)JIMENEZ ALBIN 124 10.00    
 
BTP-5   07/03/2024 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MODERN DAY WARRIOR May23 May02       (ward a)FLORES R 125 6.00    
SCR  SALB May13 Apr14 Mar23     (mckeever andrew)MOJICA JR 119 12.00    
SUPERSONIC ME Jun05 May02       (kubinova elisk)ELLIOTT JANE 119 15.00    
NEXT IN LINE Jun06 May25 May02     (drury jr)MCKEE J 125 2.50    
LOBO SALVAJE Jun16 May23 May13 May02 Apr16 (salas felip)LAGUNES GABRIEL 125 4.50 16% 5.40    
MONEY POINT Jun06 Jun30 Jun09 Sep21 Sep07 (dalton michelle)MURGIA A 125 30.00    
SCR  POGOERIACH Jun22 Jun05 May23 May06 Mar06 (o'donnell marcus)OUZTS W 123 12.00    
HYPERBOLIZE Jun13         (west w)LEBRON VICTOR 119 8.00    
SCR  FULL DRESS BLUES Jun22 Jan11 Oct03 Aug22   (waltz brian)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 20.00    
10  ROENICK Jun20 May23 May03 Sep01 Aug11 (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 125 4.00 49% 1.00    
11  SOUTHERN BREEZE Jun20 Jun05 Oct03 Sep23 Sep01 (ramos rafae)BLANCHE RISHAWN 120 12.00 11% 7.80    
12  LAST RUN Jun20 Jun08 May18 May03 Apr17 (james gerald)COLON H 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ROYAL COURT Jun05 Oct21 Jun13 Mar05 Jan01 (molloy thomas)CANNON DECLAN 125 8.00    
SCR  KOHAKU Jun15 May30 May23 Apr27 Apr11 (alessi jam)BATISTA X 125 20.00    
 
BTP-6   07/03/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SADE PURSE Jun23 Jun15 Jun01 May19 Apr28 (james gerald)COLON H 124 4.50    
BANNED FROM MIDWAY Jun26 Jun15 May23 May16 Apr25 (caramori edua)JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 3.50    
MAMITA LINDA Jun20 May02 Mar21 Mar02 Feb09 (rodriquez r)MIRANDA ROGELIO 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
MAMA LOU Jun20 May30 Apr25 Aug09 Jul21 (figueroa cesar )SERPA ANGEL 124 2.50 20% 4.00    
SAVE THE BEES Jun21 May24 Apr27 Feb28 Feb09 (orantes r)OUZTS W 117 4.00 27% 2.80    
MARKET OF STOCKS Jun20 Dec04 Nov21 Nov12 Oct29 (rodak geral)JIMENEZ J 122 5.00    
 
BTP-7   07/03/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GHOST BIKE Jun17 Jun01 May16 May02 Mar20 (pasley i)DOYLE SOPHIE 122 4.00    
AGADOR SPARTACUS Jun05 May15 Apr27 Mar29 Mar16 (adams l)SERPA ANGEL 122 8.00    
HPNOTIQ RHYTHM Jun05 May17 May02 Sep26 Aug29 (west m)JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 3.50 29% 2.40    
GREENSFELDER Jun21 May24 Apr21 Mar23 Jan02 (manning j)MURGIA A 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
CAROM Jun11 May28 May10 Mar02 Feb07 (anderson susa)SOSA LAUREANO 122 4.50 48% 1.10    
BUZZER Jun01 May25 Apr27 Mar16 Jan31 (baez sergio)MCKEE J 122 2.00    
SCR  GIVE GOD PRAISE Jun05 Apr26 Mar16 Oct30 Oct03 (bush george)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 8.00    
 
BTP-8   07/03/2024 3300ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($18.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SONHO DE VERAO Jun13 May22 May03 Jan25 Dec06 (orantes r)NAVAS YOEL 118 8.00    
PICTURE OF A LADY Jun14 Jun05 Apr27 Aug05 Jun17 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 122 12.00    
RAPPING WISH Jun05 Apr17 Mar15 Jan31 Dec14 (estvanko rich)LEBRON VICTOR 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
STRAWBERRYLEMONADE Nov29 Nov09 Oct11 Oct01 Oct03 (castillo rich)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 122 20.00    
BEAUTIFUL SUMMER Jun12 May17 Apr27 Mar30 Jan03 (waltz brian)MOJICA JR 118 6.00    
THIRSTY ACCOUNTANT Jun05 Apr23 Mar13 Feb09 Jan26 (mcentee paul)MURGIA A 118 8.00    
MEET IN SECRET May17 Apr27 Mar27 Jun13 Apr29 (brafford mi)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 3.50    
MIDNIGHT GRIND Feb21 Jan31 Sep07 Aug01 Jul03 (ewing mich)VILLARREAL OSCAR 117 12.00 10% 9.50    
GOLD DEL MAR Jun06 May26 Apr20 Mar30 Mar01 (salas felipe)MCKEE J 118 2.50    
10  BEAUTY OF THE NILE Jun11 Apr18 Mar31     (morey william)JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 4.50 67% 0.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.