Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Hawthorne
Saturday - June 29, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

HAW-1   WIN (6/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/5)-(6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/5)-(7/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/2/5)-(7/5/6)-(4/6/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
HAW-2   WIN (7/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/6)-(7/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/5/6)-(7/5/6)-(7/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/5/6)-(4/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/5/6)-(4/6/3)-(2/8/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
HAW-3   WIN (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/3)-(4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/3)-(2/8/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/6/3)-(2/8/1)-(2/3/5/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-4   WIN (2/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/8/1)-(2/8/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/8/1)-(2/8/1)-(2/8/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/8/1)-(2/3/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/8/1)-(2/3/5/7)-(7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
HAW-5   WIN (2/3/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/5/7)-(2/3/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/5/7)-(2/3/5/7)-(2/3/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/5/7)-(7/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/3/5/7)-(7/2)-(9/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
HAW-6   WIN (7/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/2)-(7/2/10) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (7/2)-(7/2/10)-(7/2/10) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (7/2)-(9/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/2)-(9/5/2)-(9/1/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
HAW-7   WIN (9/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/5/2)-(9/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (9/5/2)-(9/5/2)-(9/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (9/5/2)-(9/1/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
HAW-8   WIN (9/1/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/1/6/4)-(9/1/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/1/6/4)-(9/1/6/4)-(9/1/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
HAW-1   06/29/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHRISTMAS PRESENT Jun23 Jun09 May26 May11 Apr27 (cook brian)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 117 4.00    
D'ARCHER Jun02 May12 Sep03 Aug06 Jul16 (childers vance)MOJICA O 122 3.00 25% 3.00    
HATCHET CREEK Sep12 Aug16 Aug03 Jul06 Jun15 (dizeo dino)BLANCHE RISHAWN 115 5.00    
UNCAPTURED PULSE Jun22 Jun02 May19 May11 Apr27 (perez man)ULLOA JOAN 124 3.50    
DEMAND RANSOM Jun16 Jun02 May19 May11 Apr21 (hughes w)REYES FRANK 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
MON AMI FUZZIE Jun09 May25 May11 Apr30 Apr06 (martinez a)EMIGH A 122 2.50 40% 1.50    
 
HAW-2   06/29/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLUESUP GREENSDOWN Jun15 May14 Oct30 Oct03 Aug31 (cook brian)HERNANDEZ K 119 10.00    
SCR  IRISH SPARK Jun01 May18 May03     (divito james)CENTENO ALEXIS 119 1.80    
BABAS GAL Jun08 May26 May05 Apr06 Mar23 (bahena fer)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 119 12.00    
MISS MADALINE Jun23 Jun09 May26 May12   (spagnola id)BLANCHE RISHAWN 112 15.00    
SWEET SMILA Jun02 May18 Aug10 Jul23   (robertson )SLEVINSKY RACHEL 112 2.50 23% 3.30    
LOST SUNSET Jun08 May05       (kirby j)EMIGH A 124 5.00 5% 17.40    
ANNA AFTER MIDNITE Jun08 May12 Apr20 Mar23 Jan31 (bahena ferna)GILES EMMANUEL 119 4.00 47% 1.10    
 
HAW-3   06/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAHOE RUN May25 Mar30 Feb10 Jan13 Dec29 (robertson hugh)MOJICA O 122 1.80    
GOD GUNS N GUTS May28 May04 Apr13 Mar23 Dec03 (rodriguez jos)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 15.00    
VERRAZANOINTHESKY Jun02 Feb08 Jan20 Jan06 Dec09 (winebaugh chery)REYES FRANK 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
JOE THE TAILOR May25 Apr21 Jan12 Nov07 Oct17 (catalano wayne )COHEN DAVID 117 2.50 56% 0.80    
SCR  RED MOSCATO May28 Jan13 Dec15 Nov07 Oct24 (lopez elias)FELIX E 117 12.00    
RHODIUMS PRIDE Jun04 May18 Apr21 Apr06 Nov07 (manley steve)EMIGH A 117 8.00 14% 6.10    
DASH TO THE CASH Aug30 Aug09 Jul19 Jun07 May07 (lindsay rick)GILES EMMANUEL 122 3.50    
 
HAW-4   06/29/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOURBON LIFE Jun23 Jun01 May04 Apr25 Apr07 (meraz antonio)FELIX E 119 6.00 6% 15.50    
EXECUTIVE ACTION May25 Oct09 Oct01 Sep16 Sep03 (tracy tanner)MOJICA O 122 8.00 54% 0.90    
STORM'S REFLECTION Jun16 Jun01 Apr07 Nov13 Oct24 (perez manny)BLANCHE RISHAWN 115 10.00    
C F V BULLET Jun02 May05 Apr11 Feb22 Dec09 (hernandez arman)COHEN DAVID 122 3.00    
SCR  SIMPLE LOGIC Jun22 May26 Apr06 Jan28 Jan04 (block chris)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 3.50    
SCR  SON OF GRACE Jun22 May11 Mar30 Mar23 Nov04 (hughes ea)ULLOA JOAN 122 20.00    
SCR  RED HORNET Jun23 Jun01 Apr07 Mar24 Oct24 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 5.00    
CATEGORY TEN Jun02 May18 Apr27 Apr07 Mar01 (meraz antonio)HERNANDEZ K 122 4.50 11% 8.10    
 
HAW-5   06/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHAMPAGNE MIKE Jun02 Apr21       (simonovich d)CENTENO ALEXIS 117 15.00    
LUNDBERG May12 Mar08 Feb04 Dec30 Nov09 (hernandez arman)COHEN DAVID 122 2.50 46% 1.20    
STRANGE ARRANGE Jun02 May12 Apr27 Mar30 Mar06 (rodriguez hugo)COLON H 122 4.00 20% 3.90    
SCR  MOONLIGHT ROAD Jun02 May12 Apr14 Mar24 Mar07 (block chris)FELIX E 117 10.00    
FAMILY TRADITION (IRE) Jun09 Apr27 Apr07 Jul09 Jun25 (rosin coty)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 8.00 10% 9.30    
GIMME THE CANDY Jun08 May11 Mar24 Jan12 Jul23 (rodriguez edu)HERNANDEZ K 117 6.00    
MY CRAZY NEIGHBOR May26 May12 Apr21 Mar31 Jan19 (berndt joel)REYES FRANK 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
GOOD APPLE Jun02 May12 Apr06 Mar23 Mar07 (block chris)MOJICA O 122 5.00    
TWIRLING ROSES Jun08 May18 Apr21 Mar31 Feb12 (rodriguez eduardo)EMIGH A 122 10.00    
 
HAW-6   06/29/2024 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  A P BLAZING GREEN Jun15 May25 May11 Apr13 Aug20 (zawitz joel)REYES FRANK 124 10.00    
SPANISH WELLS Jun09 Apr27 Feb06     (forster grant )COLON H 117 5.00 6% 15.90    
LARRY THE POET May12 Apr21 Mar31 Oct15 Aug27 (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 122 8.00    
SCR  OSCAR NOMINEE Jun01 May18 May04 Apr20 Aug29 (retana gab)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 112 30.00    
SCR  CODE NAME Jun08 Feb23 Jan12 Nov17 Oct28 (miller r)EMIGH A 122 3.50    
DASTARDLY DEEDS Jun09 Apr21 Apr06 Mar23 Sep04 (flores pedro )SANTOS ADEMAR 122 30.00    
ARTHURIAN Jun08 Apr27 Apr13 Mar23 Mar16 (rosin coty)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 3.00 67% 0.50    
SCR  WHATDOYOUTHINKMARK May18 Aug26 Jul01     (rivelli larry)COHEN DAVID 117 6.00    
CONGRATS ON FIFTY Jun08 May05 Apr26 Mar08 Oct26 (robertson hugh)MOJICA O 122 4.50    
10  RAVIN'S TOWN Jun02 May18 Apr14 Jul09   (rivelli larry)COHEN DAVID 119 4.00    
 
HAW-7   06/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MADELYN BELLE May25 Apr13 Mar23 Jan13 Dec16 (hernandez armando)MOJICA O 122 6.00    
FLAMAND Jun09 Dec16 Oct27 Sep23 Aug13 (lopez elia)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
PURR SEA Jun15 May19 Feb14 Jan12 Dec07 (boyce michele)FELIX E 122 3.00    
SCR  MYSWEETANNALYZE Jun08 Apr30 Oct24 Oct10 Jul12 (randazzo f)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 20.00    
FIRST KITTEN Jun18 Apr27 Apr13 Mar23 Nov15 (meraz antoni)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 15.00 20% 3.90    
SCR  BROKEN HEARTS BAY Apr20 Mar30 Mar03 Feb17 Dec19 (arnett g)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 8.00    
HYPERSPORT Jun09 Apr26 Mar16 Apr21 Apr01 (mason ingrid)HERNANDEZ K 122 5.00    
WILMA MANKILLER Oct12 Aug31 Aug13 Jul20 Jun29 (rivelli larry)COHEN DAVID 122 3.50    
FIRST HILL May20 Apr10 Mar06 Feb21 Jan13 (watkins m)EMIGH A 122 4.50 24% 3.20    
 
HAW-8   06/29/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LICENSE TO STEAL Jun02         (block chris)CENTENO ALEXIS 119 8.00 19% 4.40    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of APRIL FIFTEENTH by FORT PRADO)
SCR  NOT FALLING BACK Jun08 May18       (goldfine a)FELIX E 119 15.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of NO RETREAT by HYPERBOREAN)
CHARBON May05 Apr14 Mar15     (rosin w)COLON H 119 12.00    
  (by COAL FRONT out of PURE RIDE by SIMON PURE)
LA PERFECT BEE Jun22 Jun02       (dorochenko g)BURGOS ALBERTO 124 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BEE JERSEY out of PERFECT LA COMETE by PERFECT SOUL (IRE))
SCR  TOWERING STORM         (block chris)MOJICA O 124 4.50    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of RALLY CATCHER by GREENWOOD LAKE)
WOLF HUNTER Jun08 May18 Apr13 Mar23 Sep09 (perez manny)BLANCHE RISHAWN 117 6.00 13% 6.90    
  (by THE FACTOR out of QUEEN DIDO by THUNDER GULCH)
SCR  SPINNING HEART Jun08 Mar07 Jan21 Dec24 Oct20 (robertson )HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 119 5.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of STREETWITHNONAME by STREET SENSE)
SCR  SHARP STRIKE Jun08 Apr13 Mar07     (roussel j)REYES FRANK 119 12.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of DANCING FANCY by SHEIKH ALBADOU (GB))
MCQUEEN Dec31 Nov04       (perez manny)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 6.00 39% 1.50    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of BELLA VERDE by TAPIZAR)
10  RICKY'S BEST Dec30         (mitchell anthony)EMIGH A 124 30.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of SMILING GAMBLER by WILD GAMBLER)
11  PILKINGTON May30 Apr24 Mar24 Nov08 Oct13 (catalano wayne )COHEN DAVID 124 3.50    
  (by HARD SPUN out of STORMIN ELLE by STORMELLO)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.