Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Emerald Downs
Saturday - June 15, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

EMD-1   WIN (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/6)-(5/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/6)-(3/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/6)-(3/4/5)-(1/5/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
EMD-2   WIN (3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/5)-(3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/5)-(1/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/4/5)-(1/5/6)-(2/10/7/1/5) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
EMD-3   WIN (1/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/6)-(1/5/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/5/6)-(1/5/2/6)-(1/5/2/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/5/6)-(2/10/7/1/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/5/6)-(2/10/7/1/5)-(5/4/6/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
EMD-4   WIN (2/10/7/1/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/10/7/1/5)-(2/10/7/1/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/10/7/1/5)-(2/10/7/1/5)-(2/10/7/1/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/10/7/1/5)-(5/4/6/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/10/7/1/5)-(5/4/6/2)-(4/3/5/1) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
EMD-5   WIN (5/4/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/6/2)-(5/4/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/6/2)-(5/4/6/2)-(5/4/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/6/2)-(4/3/5/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/4/6/2)-(4/3/5/1)-(2/7/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
EMD-6   WIN (4/3/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/5/1)-(4/3/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/5/1)-(4/3/5/1)-(4/3/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/5/1)-(2/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/3/5/1)-(2/7/4)-(6/1/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
EMD-7   WIN (2/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/4)-(2/7/4/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/7/4)-(2/7/4/9)-(2/7/4/9) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/7/4)-(6/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
EMD-8   WIN (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/2)-(6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
EMD-1   06/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BENNY BUCKETS May25 May04 Apr09 Mar27 Mar12 (silva-martinez a)MONTALVO C 121 1.60    
OUTOFQUEMADO May25 May02 Apr23 Apr09 Mar26 (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 125 4.00    
SCR  LETSGOTOTHEBAR May31 Apr12 Mar29     (nunnally je)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 10.00    
SCR  EARTHLY TIGER May31 May04 Apr18 Dec10   (evans justin)BOWEN ROCCO 125 2.50    
ARIZONA DAVIN May25 May18 May02 Apr18 Apr07 (hernandez migue)LOPEZ KARLO 121 3.50 48% 1.10    
STREET MINISTER Jun07 May04 Apr08 Mar04   (bean rob)AMADOR RUIZ 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
EMD-2   06/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARTHUR SPOONER Jun01 May04 Dec10 Oct30 Oct15 (gibson f)CRUZ M 125 1.40    
TUMAC MOUNTAIN Jun01 Oct08 Oct02 Aug06 Jul16 (navarro jose)ZUNINO L 125 4.00    
DYF Jun02 Oct02 Sep16 Aug12 Jul28 (silva-martin)OROZCO E 125 2.50 48% 1.10    
ANNA'S IRON MAN May18 Oct01 Sep25 Sep02 Aug19 (morris michael )BOWEN ROCCO 125 8.00 14% 6.00    
SPROSTON Jun01 Jan21 Jan05 Dec10 Oct09 (navarr)DIAZ-LOPEZ FRANCISCO 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
PICK A LANE FRANK Oct11 Sep17 Sep03 Aug07 Jul31 (christian shawn)LOPEZ KARLO 125 5.00    
 
EMD-3   06/15/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($16K) 3 ALL PT- 5:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
K R RULES Jun01 May11 Jun18     (lucarelli frank)CRUZ M 122 1.80 54% 0.80    
IBN SINA         (essex charles)BOWEN ROCCO 122 4.50    
BARRISTER PROOF         (gilmour jim)MATIAS J 122 10.00    
HEZ ALL SMILES         (peery debbie)MONTALVO C 122 5.00    
PAKAS SECRET May19 May04 Mar29 Mar08 Feb17 (nunnally jennif)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.50 16% 5.40    
STYLISH MANNER         (baze robert)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
JACOB YEN Sep02 Aug18       (birdwell ten)OROZCO E 122 15.00    
 
EMD-4   06/15/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ENJOY THE MOMENT Apr20 Mar30 Jan02 Nov20   (baze robert)CRUZ M 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CARPE DIEM (FR) out of DALIAN by LEMON DROP KID)
PUBLIC APPEARANCE         (evans justin)KRIGGER K 121 3.00 37% 1.70    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of TAGLIA by UNION RAGS)
KNOCKOUT GUY Jun01 Apr25 Apr15 Mar27 Mar14 (fearon john)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 125 30.00    
  (by MINISTERS WILD CAT out of KNOCKOUT BERTIE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
STREET MOGUL May31 Sep16 Aug20 Aug06 Jun09 (perez hilar)ORTIZ A 125 10.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of MIA D'ORO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SIR ARGENTO Jun01 May11 Jul09     (cryderman candic)MAWING A 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of PACKED POWDER by THE WHITE FOX)
AVELLINASA         (patino f)AMADOR RUIZ 121 15.00    
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of JOYFUL by DISTORTED HUMOR)
DYNAMIC SECRET Jun01 May04 Sep03 Aug19 Aug05 (jenne bonnie)GUTIERREZ M 121 8.00 9% 9.70    
  (by DYNAMIC IMPACT out of BAY STREET BEAUTY by HARBOR THE GOLD)
R BARRACUDA May04 Apr18 Mar26 Mar12 Feb22 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 121 5.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of BLASTED BOSS by STREET BOSS)
SCR  CALORESE Jun01 Aug19 Aug05 Jul22   (patino faustino)MONTALVO C 121 30.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of WHITELACENPROMISES by MORE THAN READY)
10  A LOT OF VERVE Apr24 Apr03       (toye joe)LOPEZ KARLO 121 4.00 26% 2.90    
  (by TALE OF VERVE out of YES SHE'S A LADY by YES IT'S TRUE)
 
EMD-5   06/15/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIL MIRACLE MAN Apr11 Mar18 Jan28 Jan05 Nov12 (cruz pea)CRUZ M 122 6.00    
PISTOL POWER Jun24 Jun10 May20 May06 Mar25 (velasquez rigo)ENRIQUEZ D 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
TORPEDO AWAY Jun02 Apr14 Mar24 Mar09 Feb17 (mccanna tim)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.00    
ALL THE KING'S MEN May25 Apr04 Mar21 Mar05 Feb20 (martinez b)ZUNINO L 125 5.00 20% 4.00    
REGULATION DAZED Jun02 Mar22 Feb18 Feb03 Jan19 (nunnally je)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 6.00 22% 3.60    
MR. FIREBALL Sep09 Aug20 Jul30 Feb15 Feb03 (simkins rosie)MATIAS J 122 8.00 17% 5.00    
WESTERN RULE May12 Sep03 Aug25 Aug11 Jul16 (belvoir howa)MARTIN A 122 12.00    
BLAZE OF DREAMS Jun02 May11 Apr20 Mar09 Feb03 (evans justin)KRIGGER K 125 3.50    
 
EMD-6   06/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
C JAXON Jul08 Jun17 Aug21 Aug06 Jul24 (balcom clif)MORALES ALLYSSA 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
UNCLE JUJU May31 May12 Apr15 Apr02 Mar20 (gibson f)LOPEZ KARLO 121 3.50    
FED GRANT May26 May12 Apr29 Apr09 Mar18 (birdwe)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 125 8.00 15% 5.80    
NATION OF FAITH May31 May12 Sep10 Aug27 Aug11 (essex charles)CRUZ M 123 3.00 34% 1.90    
SIMONSITO May26 Sep25 Sep10 Aug12 Jul12 (crowe shelly)REYES R 123 20.00 12% 7.10    
SUBITO SLEW Apr29 Apr02 Sep10 Aug19 Aug06 (koler steve)MAWING A 123 15.00    
SCR  MOKKI May26 May12 Mar06 Jan19 Jan03 (cryderman candice)KRIGGER K 121 12.00    
CASH'S CAT May18 May04 Apr08 Mar18 Oct08 (silva-martinez a)MONTALVO C 125 5.00    
CHARLIE'S MAN May31 May02 Apr09 Mar18 Feb19 (tubbs scott)BOWEN ROCCO 125 4.00    
 
EMD-7   06/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Seattle Purse ($50K) 3 F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GREASE MISSLE Apr27 Apr06 Mar19 Feb26 Dec12 (hernandez miguel)PENA BRYAN 122 6.00    
  (by CLUBHOUSE RIDE out of MIDNIGHTHUSH by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
PAYNT YA LATER May11 Feb25       (martinez b)MATIAS J 118 2.50 42% 1.40    
  (by PAYNTER out of IMPECUNIOUS by VRONSKY)
ARCTIC BREEZE May12 Mar03 Feb10 Jan20 Dec31 (wright blaine)LOPEZ KARLO 118 8.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of SWEATER WEATHER by MILWAUKEE BREW)
ROCKY BAY RAE Apr18 Mar28 Mar13 Feb21   (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 120 6.00 5% 18.60    
  (by GIACOMO out of FINDING MORE by TRICKEY TREVOR)
I'M TELLING MOM May31 Sep25 Sep03     (toye joe)BOWEN ROCCO 118 15.00    
  (by TALE OF EKATI out of GREAT MOM by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
SCR  SIGNORA VITTORIA May11 Jan15 Dec10 Nov19 Oct08 (mccanna tim)KRIGGER K 118 20.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of PRAGMATIC PRINCESS by GHOSTZAPPER)
APPEAL FACTOR Aug06 Jul09       (martinez)AMADOR RUIZ 118 3.00 32% 2.10    
  (by THE FACTOR out of KARULA by COLONEL JOHN)
VICTORIA'S CHARGE May26 May11 Sep02     (bozell alan)GUTIERREZ M 118 12.00    
  (by MINISTERS WILD CAT out of FEEL THE CHARGE by MR. GREELEY)
SPECIAL DIVA Jun02 May11 Aug27 Aug06 Jul08 (gibson vince)CRUZ M 118 5.00    
  (by MISREMEMBERED out of SPECIAL HOLIDAY by PRIVATE GOLD)
 
EMD-8   06/15/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  OUR VALLEY Mar05 Jan31 Dec11 Oct29 Oct15 (mccartney j)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 125 5.00 13% 7.00    
WHOS DALLINS DADDY Oct01 Sep03 Aug10 Jun18 May29 (gibson vince)MARTIN A 125 15.00 6% 16.20    
GOLDEN COWBOY Jun02 Jul02 Jun18 Mar25 Mar08 (bullene mic)MORALES ALLYSSA 125 12.00    
SCR  WEAR THE CROWN Jun01 May18 Apr15 Mar26 Mar13 (toye joe)BOWEN ROCCO 125 1.60    
DENNARD Jun01 Sep10 Sep03 Aug18 Aug06 (essex charles)CRUZ M 125 4.00    
ATOMIC CANDY May20 May06 Apr01 Mar18 Feb21 (mccanna tim)LOPEZ KARLO 125 3.50 46% 1.20    
CANDIED LUTE Jun01 Sep10 Jul30 Jul15 Jun24 (simkins rosi)OROZCO E 125 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.