Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Saturday - April 27, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (6/5/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/4/7)-(6/5/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/4/7)-(6/5/4/7)-(6/5/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/5/4/7)-(5/3/2/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/5/4/7)-(5/3/2/4)-(8/7/3/6) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-2   WIN (5/3/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/2/4)-(5/3/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/2/4)-(5/3/2/4)-(5/3/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/2/4)-(8/7/3/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/3/2/4)-(8/7/3/6)-(7/5/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-3   WIN (8/7/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/3/6)-(8/7/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/3/6)-(8/7/3/6)-(8/7/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/7/3/6)-(7/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/7/3/6)-(7/5/4)-(5/6/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-4   WIN (7/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/4)-(7/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/5/4)-(7/5/4)-(7/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/5/4)-(5/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/5/4)-(5/6/3)-(1/3/5/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-5   WIN (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/3)-(5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/3)-(1/3/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/3)-(1/3/5/6)-(5/7/8/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-6   WIN (1/3/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/5/6)-(1/3/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/5/6)-(1/3/5/6)-(1/3/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/5/6)-(5/7/8/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/3/5/6)-(5/7/8/4)-(1/10/6/3/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-7   WIN (5/7/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/8/4)-(5/7/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/8/4)-(5/7/8/4)-(5/7/8/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/8/4)-(1/10/6/3/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CT-8   WIN (1/10/6/3/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/10/6/3/2)-(1/10/6/3/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/10/6/3/2)-(1/10/6/3/2)-(1/10/6/3/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   04/27/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ABUNDANT STORY Mar15 Feb22 Dec07 Nov04 Oct23 (keller christophe)HO WESLEY 120 10.00    
2  PALACIO Apr20 Apr04 Mar27 Feb28 Feb17 (tobin l)MAWING A 122 12.00    
3  AMELIA'S DREAM Mar15 Feb29 Aug19 Jul28 Jun30 (jones michael)RIVERA JAVIER 122 12.00    
4  I SHALLBE RELEASED Dec07 Nov15 Oct26 Oct07 Aug24 (walters da)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 5.00 10% 9.10    
5  PARALLAX VIEW Mar15 Feb01 Oct06 Aug31   (runco c)CHAVEZ ANDRES 113 2.00 10% 8.90    
6  MAKANI Apr05 Mar15 Feb22 Feb14 Jan04 (figgins o)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 1.60 49% 1.10    
7  FROSTY RIA Mar15 Mar06 Feb28 Feb07 Jan13 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-2   04/27/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAP THE KEG Apr11 Apr04 Mar15 Feb23 Feb02 (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 4.50    
2  MUGURUZA Apr11 Mar28 Mar07 Feb22 Feb14 (morzan javier )CHILO MAXIMO 122 8.00 14% 6.00    
3  CALIENTE RUM Mar28 Mar20 Feb20 Jan29 Jan03 (reynol)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 3.50 19% 4.30    
4  SWEET FACTOR Apr11 Jan24 Jan13 Nov17 Oct28 (jones e)PELTROCHE F 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  PALMARY Apr11 Mar14 Mar02 Feb17 Jan27 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.00 45% 1.20    
6  GREAT DEVOTION Apr11 Mar20 Feb23 Feb07 Jan11 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 120 15.00    
7  ZUPITA Apr11 Mar20 Mar06 Jan24 Dec07 (dollinger-sthr )RODRIGUEZ V 122 30.00    
 
CT-3   04/27/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 WET FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOE Mar22 Mar02 Feb12 Jan21 Dec31 (rubley)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 3.50    
2  GREEK EASTER Nov13 Sep27 Sep13 Aug16 Jul19 (parram )ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 12.00    
3  DENIZETTI Mar29 Sep30 Sep08 Aug17 Dec14 (ceciliano misael)LARROSA G 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PAYNTED THUNDER Apr05 Oct05 Aug31     (deiter kelly)TROTMAN KEIMAR 124 20.00    
5  ICETECA Mar16 Jan31 Nov18 Oct21 Oct07 (hunt ja)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 5.00    
6  LET'S EAT Mar16 Feb28 Jan31 Jan18 Jan10 (gillespie a)ACOSTA D 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  VESELSKY Apr12 Mar25 Feb28 Feb07 Jan02 (singh somraj)TORREALBA JG 119 2.00 17% 4.90    
8  SAM WHEAT Apr18         (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 2.50 55% 0.80    
 
CT-4   04/27/2024 5610ft DIRT RC9 WET FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($19.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CURLINGTON Apr13 Feb09 Dec13 Apr29 Apr06 (rathman e)HERNANDEZ A 120 5.00    
2  SCOTCH NO ROCKS Apr12 Mar30 Mar13 Feb15 Jan31 (delong ben)HO WESLEY 120 15.00    
SCR  TUSKEGEE CAT Dec06 Oct31 Oct09 Sep01 Aug24 (farrior anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 120 10.00    
4  SUBJECT TO CHANGE Apr12 Mar20 Feb23 Feb07 Jan18 (spriggs t)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  WALK AWAY JOE Apr13 Mar17 Feb08 Dec22 Dec03 (capuano philli)TORREALBA JG 115 4.00 6% 14.70    
6  RAGTIME RICHES Apr06 Mar15 Feb23 Jan25 Jan05 (barber donald )REYNOLDS C 120 6.00    
7  GRAN ANDREWS Apr09 Feb22 Feb08 Dec08 Nov13 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.00 68% 0.50    
 
CT-5   04/27/2024 2970ft DIRT RC10 WET FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GUN FACTOR Mar16 Mar02 Feb09 Jan13 Jan04 (ceciliano misa)CHILO MAXIMO 120 30.00    
2  RUNALDO Mar22 Feb23 Feb02 Dec14 Feb16 (runco c)CHAVEZ ANDRES 119 3.50    
3  GEORGE Feb23 Feb02 Dec16 Oct28 Oct07 (walters l)PELTROCHE F 124 4.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LONG LEGS Feb10 Oct13 Sep23 Jul22 Jul02 (runco c)HO WESLEY 120 15.00    
5  JUBAWITHATWIST Apr06 Nov25 Oct14 Sep29 Sep02 (petty kristy)LARROSA G 120 2.00 32% 2.10    
6  UNISON May05 Nov23 Nov12 Sep30 Sep03 (curtis la)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.80 32% 2.10    
SCR  KIDMAN KERRY Feb28 Feb10 Dec26 Nov06 Jun27 (whylie her)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 30.00    
SCR  ANNA'S GOT STYLE Apr07 Mar20 Mar07     (stites w)ACOSTA D 118 20.00    
 
CT-6   04/27/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 WET FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIELDSTONE Apr06 Mar15 Feb07 Jan15 Nov15 (hetrick kr)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 2.50 39% 1.60    
2  CALL ME GUSTO Apr06 Mar07 Dec16 Oct20 Sep20 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 120 15.00    
3  DEPLANE Apr06 Feb14 Feb06 Jan24 Jan09 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.00 18% 4.60    
4  CAJUN DREAM Nov16 Oct22 Sep27 Sep02 Aug11 (mancilla carlos)MENA E 120 5.00    
5  THEWITCHISGONE Mar16 Feb15 Jan25 Dec09 Nov22 (carlisle john)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 6.00 18% 4.60    
6  MINISTRY OF MAGIC Mar22 Jan25 Dec16 Nov29 Nov18 (rideout m)HO WESLEY 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  CAJUN JOE Mar23 Mar07 Feb17 Feb01 Dec01 (mangual manolo)ACOSTA D 118 10.00    
SCR  HOPPING HENRY Apr06 Mar16 Feb24 Feb03 Jan04 (sterling michae)PELTROCHE F 120 12.00    
 
CT-7   04/27/2024 2970ft DIRT RC11 WET FAST Its Binn Too Long Purse ($75K) 3 F PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS BEE BOP Mar27 Feb29 Feb10 Jan24 Nov22 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 4.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of KENZIE by GRAYDAR)
2  YES TO LOVE Feb28 Feb15 Jan04 Dec15 Nov08 (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 122 20.00    
  (by CUPID out of SHE'S A PROBLEM by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
3  KRISTINACHRYSALIS Mar21 Nov04 Oct14 Sep29 Jul14 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 4.50    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of TIZ HER NOW by TIZNOW)
4  SHEWONTTALKTOME Apr18 Apr05 Mar07 Feb24 Feb02 (sigler g)ACOSTA D 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by JUBA out of FERZETTI by MUNNINGS)
5  JLODIAMOND Mar16 Nov24 Nov02     (rangel ricardo)RIOS-CONDE A 122 1.80 31% 2.30    
  (by JUBA out of HASTYPUDDINDIAMOND by CITISLIPPER)
6  GHOSTLY ANNA Apr19 Mar08 Feb10 Feb02 Jan14 (atkins w)DAVIS A 122 30.00    
  (by GHOSTLY MINISTER out of ADDING ALPHA by EVEN THE SCORE)
7  OVERNIGHT POW WOW Mar16 Feb14       (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 4.50 24% 3.20    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of HOLY POW WOW by INDIAN CHARLIE)
8  LONA LEE Feb01 Dec14 Nov22 Nov04 Oct12 (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 3.50 17% 4.80    
  (by JUBA out of LANDON DID IT by PERSONAL FIRST)
 
CT-8   04/27/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  A LITTLE BIT CRAZY Apr06 Mar16 Feb15 Jan05 Dec07 (viands r)ACOSTA D 122 3.50 28% 2.60    
2  SHERIFF'S KID Apr06 Mar16 Feb24 Feb15 Jan26 (shanley mark)BATISTA A 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  TOUGH ENOUGH Apr06 Mar09 Feb24 Feb03 Jan18 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 124 4.50 10% 9.40    
4  BONNIE BLUETOOTH Apr12 Mar21 Mar01 Feb16 Jan26 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 4.00    
5  WATERLOO ROSE Mar29 Mar06 Jan24 Jan13 Dec07 (o'neill t)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 122 30.00    
6  ONE LAS OLAS Apr06 Mar08 Feb09 Dec16 Nov24 (johnson r)HO WESLEY 122 5.00 16% 5.10    
7  DORITA'S HEART Apr06 Mar16 Feb24 Feb03 Jan05 (keller christop)RODRIGUEZ V 122 6.00    
8  MISS ANTIETAM Apr06 Mar16 Feb24 Feb03 Jan13 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 10.00    
9  BESTLA Apr06 Mar06 Feb01 Dec02 Nov10 (sandoval micha)CHILO MAXIMO 122 30.00    
10  MAKINLIMMARGARITAS Apr06 Mar16 Feb21 Jan18 Nov18 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 5.00 25% 3.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.