Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Thursday - April 18, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (3/5/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/2/6)-(3/5/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/2/6)-(3/5/2/6)-(3/5/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/2/6)-(8/2/7/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/5/2/6)-(8/2/7/3)-(10/8/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-2   WIN (8/2/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/7/3)-(8/2/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/7/3)-(8/2/7/3)-(8/2/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/2/7/3)-(10/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/2/7/3)-(10/8/2)-(8/9/4/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-3   WIN (10/8/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (10/8/2)-(10/8/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (10/8/2)-(10/8/2/6)-(10/8/2/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (10/8/2)-(8/9/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (10/8/2)-(8/9/4/6)-(10/1/6/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-4   WIN (8/9/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/9/4/6)-(8/9/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/9/4/6)-(8/9/4/6)-(8/9/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/9/4/6)-(10/1/6/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/9/4/6)-(10/1/6/3)-(8/4/3/1) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-5   WIN (10/1/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/1/6/3)-(10/1/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/1/6/3)-(10/1/6/3)-(10/1/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (10/1/6/3)-(8/4/3/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (10/1/6/3)-(8/4/3/1)-(2/1/8/3) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-6   WIN (8/4/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/3/1)-(8/4/3/1/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/4/3/1)-(8/4/3/1/6)-(8/4/3/1/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/4/3/1)-(2/1/8/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/4/3/1)-(2/1/8/3)-(7/1/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-7   WIN (2/1/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/8/3)-(2/1/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/8/3)-(2/1/8/3)-(2/1/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/8/3)-(7/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-8   WIN (7/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/5)-(7/1/5/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/1/5)-(7/1/5/9)-(7/1/5/9) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   04/18/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CANDY TRICKS Mar20 Feb23 Feb16 Feb02 Jan12 (sigler g)LARROSA G 116 2.00    
  (by CANDYGRAM out of TRICKY WINDSOR by WINDSOR CASTLE)
2  NEEDLES COOKIE         (greaves vernon)REAP E 116 10.00 16% 5.30    
  (by ALDRIN out of JILTED RUNAWAY by RUN AWAY AND HIDE)
3  ODDS ON MISCHIEF         (jones e)PELTROCHE F 116 5.00 17% 5.00    
  (by DESPITE THE ODDS out of INTO BLUEGRASS by INTO MISCHIEF)
4  TRUE BUCKPASSING Mar14 Feb14 Jan24 Jan03 Dec09 (sanders)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 4.50    
  (by AARON'S WAY out of METAL FIRECRACKER by LITE THE FUSE)
5  PRINCESS OF GOLD         (keller christop)RODRIGUEZ V 124 6.00 17% 5.00    
  (by SARATOGA SYNDICATE out of SPUNKY MONKEY by FOREST DANGER)
6  SPECIAL KAYLEE Feb02 Jan12 Dec15 Nov24 Nov02 (kopecki e)CHILO MAXIMO 116 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GANDHI out of FIRST COLONY by PROUD CITIZEN)
7  MEGEEZER Jul22 Jun23 Jun02 Apr20 Mar31 (huffman kenneth )ACOSTA D 124 2.50    
  (by DIVINING ROD out of MY SISTER MARGARET by BOP)
 
CT-2   04/18/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COUSIN WINNIE Mar27 Jul22 Jul01 Jun10 May20 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 10.00    
2  JUBA'S PUNCH Mar27 Mar14 Feb17 Jan27 Jan03 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 4.00 14% 6.20    
3  SHEWEARSSTILETTOS Mar30 Mar02 Jan26 Jan10 Dec09 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 10.00 7% 12.70    
4  WITNESS THE ENERGY Mar30 Feb21 Jan31 Jan18 Dec06 (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 124 2.00    
5  COWGIRL ATTITUDE Mar21 Mar01 Feb10 Jan31 Jan18 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 6.00    
6  PLAYING FOR TWO Mar30 Mar21 Mar02 Feb24 Feb14 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 120 30.00    
7  KEEP ON SPURRIN Mar30 Feb08 Jan03 Dec06 Nov08 (farrior anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 124 8.00 11% 8.10    
8  CHEROKEE CASTLE Mar30 Mar21 Feb21 Feb08 Jan26 (rideout m)HO WESLEY 124 2.50 37% 1.70    
 
CT-3   04/18/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COUNTRY CHARLIE Apr11 Mar21 Dec14 Nov09 Oct19 (deiter)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 20.00    
2  RAINBOW DAY Mar21 Feb29 Feb08 Jan10 Dec01 (runco c)CHAVEZ ANDRES 113 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  DUBLSHOTOFCOURAGE Apr05 Nov11 Oct13 Jun24 Jun10 (robb j)HO WESLEY 118 12.00    
SCR  PRINS FIRE Mar24 Mar17 Mar03 Jan27 Jan13 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 122 12.00    
5  JACK CLOUD Mar30 Feb03 Dec20 Oct15 Aug31 (allen ferris)MENA E 120 5.00    
6  NORLANDER Mar07 Jan31 Nov30 Nov04 Oct21 (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 6.00 ★    
7  HERE COMES RUSTY Mar28 Mar09 Mar02 Feb09 Dec09 (schott)ARAUJO VICENTE 120 3.50    
8  GOLDEN ADAGE Mar23 Mar15 Feb29 Feb16 Jan26 (caison l)MAWING A 122 10.00 6% 16.40    
SCR  WATCH THE TRAMCAR Mar28 Feb29 Feb16 Jan26 Dec28 (shanley timot)ADAMS L 109 30.00    
10  HIALEAH NATIVE Mar28 Mar13 Feb10 Feb02 Jan22 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.80 66% 0.50    
SCR  SIMPLY JACK Dec09 Sep20 Aug20 Jul31 Jun07 (farrior anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 122 2.00    
 
CT-4   04/18/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BILLYKUS Mar12 Feb03 Dec10 Nov13 Oct28 (ginter raymo)BATISTA A 122 6.00    
SCR  MACHEN'S RIDGE Apr04 Mar29 Feb23 Dec09 Nov29 (ovando melvin )CHILO MAXIMO 124 8.00    
3  JAZZ WITH DENIS Mar23 Mar06 Feb10 Jan12 Dec16 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 6.00    
4  HOT FUDGE SONDE Mar23 Mar14 Feb23 Jan25 Jan12 (rideout an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 3.00 13% 6.90    
5  NET WORTH Mar29 Mar21 Feb16 Jan25 Jan11 (swan kirsten)SWAN KIRSTEN 122 30.00    
6  LIEUTENANT BROWN Mar09 Feb10 Jan27 Dec01 Nov18 (jones michae)TROTMAN KEIMAR 124 10.00 8% 10.90    
7  MY HANDSOME MAN Feb23 Feb07 Jan25 Dec09 Nov18 (ovando melvin)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 15.00    
8  SPUNMAN Mar23 Feb01 Dec16 Nov06 Oct06 (runco c)CHAVEZ ANDRES 117 2.50 31% 2.20    
9  XCELLENT START Mar23 Feb10 Dec05 Nov14 Oct07 (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 5.00 24% 3.10    
 
CT-5   04/18/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COLT ROCK Mar23 Mar02 Feb10 Jan04 Dec08 (tobin )ARAUJO VICENTE 124 3.00 21% 3.80    
2  JUBA BOUND Mar16 Mar02 Feb10 Jan04 Dec01 (knoblauch-perez)BOCACHICA O 124 4.50    
3  FROGGY THE GREMLIN Feb24 Nov09 Oct19 Sep28 Sep07 (locklear james)RODRIGUEZ V 124 15.00 7% 13.50    
4  IT'S MY RAINBOW Feb28 Feb09 Jan13 Dec08 Oct29 (runco c)CHAVEZ ANDRES 113 20.00    
SCR  MALIBU COWBOY Mar15 Feb24 Feb09 Dec08 Oct22 (cuttino m)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 15.00    
6  TIMMY Mar23 Mar02 Feb10 Jan04 Nov29 (dillow john)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 4.00 18% 4.70    
SCR  MISSIONARY Mar30 Feb08 Dec16 Nov25 Oct28 (knoblauch-perez m)LARROSA G 124 10.00    
8  BOUDIN Jul14 Jun10 May18 Jan27 Nov17 (hetrick kr)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 10.00    
9  REBEL WARRIOR Mar21 Mar08 Feb16 Jan27 Sep20 (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 118 10.00    
10  TRIPLE BAD Feb10 Nov30 Nov16 Jan26   (wilhelm)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 3.50 33% 2.00    
 
CT-6   04/18/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THELASTSAY Mar07 Feb16 Jan27     (shuler joh)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 116 5.00 5% 19.00    
2  DREAM STREET ROSE Apr05 Mar08 Feb16 Jan27 Jan12 (jones michae)BATISTA A 116 15.00    
3  CUT HIM LOOSE Mar08 Feb02       (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 6.00 13% 6.70    
4  BULL'S LEGACY Apr06 Mar06 Feb14 Jan12   (brown )ARAUJO VICENTE 120 3.00 32% 2.20    
5  SOMESUGARNSPICE Mar16 Mar01 Feb24 Feb03 Jan12 (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 116 15.00    
6  SPARKLEINYOUREYE Apr05 Mar14 Mar07 Feb15 Jan31 (jones m)ORTIZ ORLANDO 120 6.00 ★    
7  PHILMARY CASTLE Feb15 Jan31 Nov29 Oct13 Sep23 (bourne j)LARROSA G 120 20.00    
8  SHEWONTTALKTOME Apr05 Mar07 Feb24 Feb02 Jan12 (sigler rona)MENDEZ MARSHALL 116 3.50 34% 2.00    
9  HERE'S A QUARTER Apr05 Mar07 Feb15 Jan05 Nov17 (atkins mi)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 116 10.00    
10  ROMAN CANDLE Mar14 Feb15 Jan27 Nov17 Oct27 (runco c)CHAVEZ ANDRES 111 10.00    
 
CT-7   04/18/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LATE IN THE GAME Mar30 Oct14 Sep21 Aug25 Jul05 (sigler g)LARROSA G 124 3.00 26% 2.90    
2  LEGENDAIRE Mar15 Feb16 Nov26 Oct08 Sep09 (perkins be)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 2.50 28% 2.60    
3  CAPTAIN CREED Mar27 Jan25 Nov18 Oct28 Sep23 (runco c)CHAVEZ ANDRES 115 8.00 8% 12.30    
4  GUN COLLECTOR Mar16 Feb23 Feb08 Dec14 Nov22 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 120 10.00    
5  I'M THE MONEY MAN Mar15 Feb22 Feb01 Jan11 Dec08 (sigler)ARAUJO VICENTE 124 6.00    
6  SMALL FIELD Sep09 Aug26 Aug12 Aug03 Apr22 (huffman kenneth )MAWING A 120 30.00    
7  MOTIVATING Mar27 Mar09 Feb23 Jan27 Dec29 (viands r)ACOSTA D 122 10.00    
8  JUBA'S NOTION Oct14 Aug25 Jul22 Jun23 May13 (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 124 3.50 16% 5.30    
SCR  TIZ NO CLOWN Dec22 Nov29 Oct21 Aug27 Jul29 (atkins)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 20.00    
 
CT-8   04/18/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($17.2K) 3 ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANELAND Mar10 Feb17 Jan31 Dec30   (viands grego)BATISTA A 122 10.00 10% 9.10    
2  HERCULES N LOVE Mar24 Feb25 Feb11 Jan25 Jan12 (perez ernesto)CHILO JACINTO 122 15.00    
SCR  BRAVE SAND RIDER Apr06 Mar23       (jones e)PELTROCHE F 122 20.00    
SCR  ASPENDOS Mar09 Feb11 Jan28     (farrior anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 122 3.00    
5  GOLD DILEMMA Mar07 Feb14 Jan24 Jan10 Dec06 (pickett crystal )ACOSTA D 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  SILVER REDESDALE Mar14 Feb22 Dec01 Nov09 Oct20 (locklear james)RODRIGUEZ V 122 15.00    
7  SAM WHEAT         (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.50 66% 0.50    
SCR  OVER MY LIMIT Mar07 Feb09 Jan25 Jan04 Dec14 (short thom)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 4.50    
9  LANDSLIDE IS HOME Mar22 Feb25 Feb04 Jan12 Jun15 (gerali)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 4.00 ★    
10  BESOTTED Apr06 Feb17 Feb01 Dec01   (atkins michael)CHILO MAXIMO 122 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.