Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Thursday - March 28, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (2/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/4)-(2/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/4)-(2/6/4)-(2/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/4)-(2/4/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6/4)-(2/4/7/5)-(2/3/4/1/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-2   WIN (2/4/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/7/5)-(2/4/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/7/5)-(2/4/7/5)-(2/4/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/7/5)-(2/3/4/1/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/4/7/5)-(2/3/4/1/5)-(2/6/7/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-3   WIN (2/3/4/1/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/3/4/1/5)-(2/3/4/1/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/3/4/1/5)-(2/3/4/1/5)-(2/3/4/1/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/3/4/1/5)-(2/6/7/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/3/4/1/5)-(2/6/7/5)-(6/1/11/4) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-4   WIN (2/6/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/7/5)-(2/6/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/7/5)-(2/6/7/5)-(2/6/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/7/5)-(6/1/11/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/6/7/5)-(6/1/11/4)-(1/7/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-5   WIN (6/1/11/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/11/4)-(6/1/11/5/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/1/11/4)-(6/1/11/5/4)-(6/1/11/5/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/1/11/4)-(1/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/1/11/4)-(1/7/8)-(5/4/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-6   WIN (1/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/8)-(1/7/8/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/7/8)-(1/7/8/4)-(1/7/8/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/7/8)-(5/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/7/8)-(5/4/3)-(9/3/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-7   WIN (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/3)-(5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/3)-(9/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CT-8   WIN (9/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/3/2)-(9/3/2/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/3/2)-(9/3/2/8/6)-(9/3/2/8/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   03/28/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLAMEITONTHEFUN Feb14 Dec13 Nov12 Oct18 Oct06 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 122 2.50    
2  MR HOOVER Dec13 Nov15 Nov01 Oct11 Sep21 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 0.80 50% 1.00    
3  MAKE WAY Feb14 Jan24 Jan04 Dec13 Dec06 (barber do)BOCACHICA J 117 8.00    
4  EISELE Dec06 Nov15 Oct21 Sep30 Sep14 (hummer a)LARROSA G 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  JAZZ MAN DO Mar01 Feb09 Jan25 Dec15 Nov24 (pennella rhe)BATISTA A 122 12.00    
6  MAGNETRON Mar20 Feb14 Feb07 Jan18 Dec27 (jones michael)RIVERA JAVIER 122 12.00 19% 4.20    
7  ENVISION SUCCESS Jan04 Dec15 Dec06 Jul14 Aug18 (hummer richa)MARRERO CARLOS 122 15.00    
 
CT-2   03/28/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RESTLESS BUSTER Feb14 Jan24 Jan03 Dec02   (pearson michae)RIOS-CONDE A 124 30.00    
  (by WINDSOR CASTLE out of RESTLESS TOUCH by MEDFORD)
2  RAISE A RUCKUS Mar06 Feb14 Jan24 Jan03 Nov16 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 124 1.00 27% 2.70    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of HOT CREEK RISIN' by BRING THE HEAT)
3  GOLDEN ASSET Mar15 Mar06 Dec02 Oct20 Sep29 (mcdonald tim)BATISTA A 124 20.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of PRECIOUS ASSET by DANCE WITH RAVENS)
4  EXCLUSIVE ORIGINAL         (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 2.50 23% 3.30    
  (by EXCLUSIVE QUALITY out of ORIGINAL GOLD by SLAVIC)
5  GETTIN SPICY Mar15 Mar06 Feb24 Feb17 Feb02 (boykins kevin)ACOSTA D 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DIVINING ROD out of CEDAR'SGREATNOTION by GREAT NOTION)
6  TWO SLEWS         (sanderson wade )RODRIGUEZ V 116 4.50    
  (by AARON'S WAY out of BLAME JULIE by BLAME)
7  HARLEY SIOUX Mar06 Jan03 Dec02 Nov10 Jul06 (straugh)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 6.00 20% 4.00    
  (by DENIS OF CORK out of CARLY SIOUX by INDIAN CHARLIE)
 
CT-3   03/28/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REINE SECRET Feb21 Jan25 Dec13 Dec06 Sep01 (babcock rebec)BATISTA C 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  MUGURUZA Mar07 Feb22 Feb14 May06 Mar17 (morzan e)PELTROCHE F 122 3.00 44% 1.30    
3  CALIENTE RUM Mar20 Feb20 Jan29 Jan03 Nov29 (reynolds jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 2.00 16% 5.40    
4  WE'LL SEE Mar13 Feb24 Jun09 Apr10 Mar18 (keller )NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 3.50 15% 5.70    
5  LOST ANCHOR Jan25 Dec03 Oct31 Oct18 Sep25 (collins tim)RIOS-CONDE A 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  I'M A TOTAL DIVA Mar02 Jan25 Nov16 Oct26 Aug26 (knoblauch)BOCACHICA J 117 8.00    
7  MOIRAINE Mar07 Nov16 Oct26 Oct12 Aug26 (spriggs toschia)RODRIGUEZ V 124 15.00    
8  WOODSONG'S CASTLE Feb01 Jan10 Nov30 Nov18 Nov09 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 122 10.00    
9  SALTY SAUL Mar07 Feb16 Feb03 Jan12 Sep15 (shanley timoth)CHILO MAXIMO 122 10.00    
 
CT-4   03/28/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GET OFF MY CLOUD Mar13 Mar07 Feb15 Jan31 Jan25 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 10.00    
2  AUBURN MILL Mar07 Feb15 Jan25 Dec06 Nov22 (boggs joa)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 1.40 44% 1.30    
3  CAYENNE CREEK Mar21 Feb29 Feb08 Jan04 Apr01 (davis e)HO WESLEY 124 3.50    
4  LEG UP Mar06 Jan31 Jan04 Dec09 Dec01 (hanagan l)BOCACHICA J 117 12.00    
5  LASTWALKTOFREEDOM Mar13 Mar02 Jan31 Jan12 Dec09 (rideout anthony )ACOSTA D 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  RIVER CROSROAD RVF Jan05 Dec13 Nov04 Sep16 Sep09 (runco c)CHAVEZ ANDRES 117 4.00 17% 5.00    
7  BUFF'S EYE VIEW Mar07 Feb14 Dec06 Nov04 Oct14 (walters da)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 8.00 10% 8.90    
 
CT-5   03/28/2024 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUST MURPHY (IRE) Mar08 Feb15 Jan25 Dec13 Nov03 (runco c)CHAVEZ ANDRES 117 2.50 26% 2.90    
2  JUBA'S MOCHA Mar08 Feb17 Jan26 Jan05 Dec13 (brown a)CHILO MAXIMO 122 4.50    
3  RUDD'S ROCKET Jan24 Dec15 Dec01 Nov02   (gillespie)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 12.00    
4  JUBA'S YANKEE ONE Mar08 Feb17 Jan26 Jan05 Dec06 (racanelli mark)RIOS-CONDE A 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  CHICKERLING Mar08 Jul20 Jul06 Jun03   (rofe jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 6.00 ★    
6  LOVETHEBAND Mar08 Jan25 Jan10 May11 Apr20 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 124 3.00 33% 2.10    
7  CANDY OUTLINE Mar08 Feb22 Feb01 Jan13   (jones e)PELTROCHE F 118 12.00    
8  SHINEY GHOST Mar08 Feb24 Feb17 Jan26 Nov11 (aylor l)LARROSA G 122 20.00    
SCR  ONE LAST DRINK         (espinosa )BOCACHICA J 112 15.00    
SCR  GAMBLING FEVER Jan26 Dec13 Nov10 Oct20 Jul20 (straughn willia)RODRIGUEZ V 124 15.00    
11  WAR ON THE COURT         (mckee cyn)BOCACHICA J 113 5.00 21% 3.80    
 
CT-6   03/28/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHATTA NOTION Jan03 Nov25 Oct25 Oct26   (cruz jesus)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 3.00 57% 0.80    
2  QUEEN LEXI Mar07 Feb09 Jan24 Jan10 Dec09 (short thoma)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 6.00    
3  FORGOTTEN GIFT Mar09 Feb11 Jan13 Dec17 Nov26 (frock cha)BOCACHICA J 117 10.00    
4  CAUSETOWIN Feb21 Jan24 Jan03 Nov09   (jackson l)CULLUM W 118 5.00 ★    
5  LA MACCHINA ROSSA Mar01 Feb14 Jan14 Dec29   (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 2.50    
6  LET'S GO MO Feb08 Dec27 Dec15 Dec01 Nov08 (miller marlin)CHAVEZ ANDRES 117 12.00    
7  DESTINED TO DANCE Feb25 Feb07 Jan13 Jan03 Dec09 (corrales )HERNANDEZ F 120 4.50 18% 4.60    
8  SKY BUY Feb08 Jan26 Dec15 Nov25 Oct27 (pickett crystal )ACOSTA D 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-7   03/28/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TORONTOTORO Oct25 Oct02 Jan28 Dec13 Nov13 (mcentee pau)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 20.00    
SCR  JEOPARDY JAMES Mar09 Feb11 Jan13 Dec17 Nov04 (alvarado )CARRASCO R 120 6.00    
3  OUTLIER Mar17 Feb25 Feb17 Jan27 Jan06 (ginter raymo)BATISTA A 120 4.50 5% 19.00    
4  CLASSIER Feb03 Nov18 Oct20 Sep30 Aug25 (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 1.40 30% 2.30    
5  BROTHER CONWAY Feb03 Dec29 Nov23 Oct18 Oct05 (magee kieron)CRUZ ANGEL 120 1.60 47% 1.10    
6  DONTMESAWITHME Mar18 Feb25 Feb07 Dec20 Oct17 (stites w)ACOSTA D 120 10.00    
 
CT-8   03/28/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WATCH THE TRAMCAR Feb29 Feb16 Jan26 Dec28 Dec06 (shanley timoth)CHILO MAXIMO 118 20.00    
2  RUSH TO CANDY Mar07 Feb17 Jan11 Nov10 Oct25 (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  MON GATEAU Mar07 Feb16 Feb01 Jan13 Dec15 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 2.00 34% 1.90    
4  DREAM RIVER Mar10 Feb09 Oct05 Sep17 Sep01 (robb j)HO WESLEY 118 12.00    
SCR  CALCULATED LUV Feb23 Feb09 Dec08 Nov10 Oct20 (joy kevin)BOCACHICA J 113 10.00    
6  ROYALLY FLUSHED Mar08 Feb03 Dec28 Nov22 Nov07 (short travi)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 12.00 ★    
7  HERE COMES RUSTY Mar09 Mar02 Feb09 Dec09 Oct27 (schott)ARAUJO VICENTE 124 12.00    
8  EMPTY MY POUCH Mar06 Jan26 Jan09 Dec15 Oct24 (beattie cody)CHAVEZ ANDRES 113 8.00 ★    
9  HIALEAH NATIVE Mar13 Feb10 Feb02 Jan22 Jul23 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.80 43% 1.30    
10  SMOKIN SMITTY Mar13 Feb24 Feb17 Feb03 Jan13 (campbell la)MCKENZIE CONNIE 122 30.00    
SCR  LOST WEEKEND Mar08 Dec01 Nov09 Apr15 Mar25 (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 1.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.