Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fonner Park
Sunday - March 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FON-1   WIN (3/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/4)-(3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/4)-(7/5/3/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
FON-2   WIN (7/5/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/3/1)-(7/5/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/3/1)-(7/5/3/1)-(7/5/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/5/3/1)-(3/4/2)-(1/5/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FON-3   WIN (3/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/2)-(3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
FON-4   WIN (1/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/6)-(1/5/6/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/5/6)-(1/5/6/7)-(1/5/6/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
FON-5   WIN (7/2/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/1/5)-(7/2/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/1/5)-(7/2/1/5)-(7/2/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FON-6   WIN (6/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/5)-(6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (6/3/5)-(1/2/3/5)-(2/10/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FON-7   WIN (1/2/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/3/5)-(1/2/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/3/5)-(1/2/3/5)-(1/2/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/3/5)-(2/10/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
FON-8   WIN (2/10/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/10/1)-(2/10/1/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/10/1)-(2/10/1/3/4)-(2/10/1/3/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FON-1   03/17/2024 2640ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($9.1K) 3 ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WAR HAWK Mar02 Nov30 Nov18 Oct26 Sep29 (black mar)MEDINA ANGEL 122 2.50    
  (by LOST TREASURE out of FOREVER SUNSHINE by WHITNEY TOWER)
SCR  WATCHNTHETIDEROLL Mar08 Feb24 Dec27 Dec14 Oct17 (ramaekers eric)DELORME L 122 15.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of BAY POINT COUNTESS by BERNSTEIN)
3  MAGNOLIA SPEED Mar09 Feb22 Feb08 Jan13 Dec28 (gourneau jerry)HAAR NATHAN 122 1.60 41% 1.40    
  (by CLEARLY NOW out of MAJOR ASHWORTH by COLONEL JOHN)
4  MO MO TOWN Mar02 Aug10 Jul20 Jul01   (bethke troy )BETHKE A 122 8.00 8% 11.90    
  (by MO TOWN out of SWEETHOTS by HEATSEEKER (IRE))
5  BENZ LAKE THUNDER Sep09 Aug26 Aug10 Jul20 Jul01 (bethke a)FACKLER CHRIS 122 15.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of LILAH'S THUNDER by THUNDER GULCH)
6  LAWS OF MAN         (wise jason)ZIEGLER ZACK 122 2.00 30% 2.40    
  (by CAT BURGLAR out of WINDY O by OLYMPIO)
 
FON-2   03/17/2024 2640ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($12.7K) 3 ALL PT- 2:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHEAT CODE         (compton jesse)FACKLER CHRIS 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of SHE'S CHEEKY by BLACK MINNALOUSHE)
2  TURN N BURN BOSS         (thompson grady)DELORME L 122 4.50    
  (by I WILL SCORE out of MORE RUN by MORE TO TELL)
3  ROCKETSHIP RUN Mar03 Feb18       (anderson david )HAAR NATHAN 122 3.00 22% 3.60    
  (by SHADOW HAWK out of SHESALUCKYFLAG by LUCKY LIONEL)
4  ROPE BURN Mar03         (musquiz j)RAMOS B 122 15.00    
  (by SHADOW HAWK out of CHANTILLY LILLY by POSEIDON'S WARRIOR)
5  SPARKY TIME Mar03         (coughlin )MEDINA ANGEL 122 4.00 22% 3.50    
  (by OUTWORK out of SMOKY KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
6  SHOTCRETE Mar03 Feb18       (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 122 12.00    
  (by MCCRAKEN out of KARNER BLUE by SMOKE GLACKEN)
7  GOIN OWEN Mar03 Feb18       (anderson david )ROMAN KEVIN 122 2.50 35% 1.80    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of TOUGH BUSINESS by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
8  SHE'S A CAUTION         (hoffman robert)ZIEGLER ZACK 117 6.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of SHAARAAT by DISTORTED HUMOR)
 
FON-3   03/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($13.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GAME'S KARTEL Mar08 Feb18       (johnson marvin )HAAR NATHAN 125 3.50    
2  FIRESPITTEN KITTEN Feb18 Aug28       (compton jesse)DELORME L 121 6.00 21% 3.80    
3  EL ARE EM Mar03 Oct29       (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 121 2.50 31% 2.20    
4  WILLHE LOVE Feb18 Oct22 Oct01 Apr22 Apr08 (hemmer terre)BETHKE A 125 2.00 26% 2.80    
5  LEGEND OF GOLD Mar03 Feb18 Dec08 Nov13   (anderson )MEDINA ANGEL 121 5.00    
6  THUNDERSTORMACOMIN Oct29 Oct08 May14 May06 Apr23 (becker h)ROMAN KEVIN 125 10.00    
 
FON-4   03/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($6.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KISS RIDE GOODBYE Feb25 Jan06 Oct28 Oct14 Aug20 (hibdon n)MARTINEZ R 125 1.20 54% 0.80    
2  SHE'S MY PRIORITY Mar10 Feb25 Dec17 Dec01 Nov02 (gourneau jerr)BACON W 120 15.00    
3  GAME TO PLAY Sep11 Aug18 Aug06 Jul15 Jun17 (donlin d)DELORME L 125 10.00    
4  SUNSHINE EMILY Mar01 Feb24 Sep23 Sep08 Sep02 (bunn shawn)RAMOS B 125 20.00    
5  GEORGIANO Oct28 Oct22 Sep15 Aug21 Jul30 (hines ann)MEDINA ANGEL 125 5.00 18% 4.60    
6  RUNAWAY A. TRAIN Mar01 Aug13 Jul27 Jul01 Dec31 (anderson david )HAAR NATHAN 125 3.00 5% 19.00    
7  TAPIT'S LADY Mar01 Oct29 Oct22 Oct01 Jul14 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 4.00 ★    
8  CAL'S GIRL Mar02 Feb18 Oct01 Sep11 Jul01 (bumgardner j)BETHKE A 125 15.00    
 
FON-5   03/17/2024 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($3.5K) Purse ($8.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROCK CITY ROCKET Mar03 Oct27 Oct22 Sep24 Sep15 (martinez kelli)DELORME L 125 4.50 9% 10.50    
2  TOUGH COMPANY Feb24 Sep15 Sep03 Aug04 Jul14 (coughlin )MEDINA ANGEL 125 4.00 15% 5.70    
3  BIG MONEY MACHINE Mar03 Feb18 Jan27 Jan06 Dec07 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.50    
4  WILD FIREMAKER Mar02 Jul17 Jul03 Jun03 May20 (ibanez albert)BACON W 120 15.00    
5  CELERITY Mar03 Feb18 Dec14 Nov16 Oct18 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 8.00 7% 13.40    
6  NO LIMITATION Mar02 Oct29 Sep30 Sep04 Aug26 (rushton temple)HAAR NATHAN 125 10.00    
7  OREGON COUNTY Mar03 Feb21 Oct29 Oct22 Aug20 (hibdon n)MARTINEZ R 125 2.00 41% 1.50    
 
FON-6   03/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRESLEY'S ARTWORK Mar02 Feb18 Aug07 Jun18 May13 (lemburg mark)HAAR NATHAN 125 4.00    
SCR  VIRTUALLY Nov14 Sep09 Aug20 Jul22 Jul03 (rushton temple)RAMOS B 125 6.00    
3  RAY AREWETHEREYET Mar02 Nov14 Sep09 Aug20 Aug06 (rushton temple)DELORME L 125 5.00 14% 6.20    
4  ADRIA Sep10 Aug18 Jul23 Jun09 Apr24 (martinez kelli)ROMAN KEVIN 125 8.00    
5  AUNT NADINE Mar02 Sep22 Sep04 Aug18 Jul09 (schutz pam)BETHKE A 125 15.00 11% 7.80    
6  TENNESSEE MOON Mar10 Feb15 Jan20 Jan06 Dec19 (hibdon n)MARTINEZ R 125 1.00 48% 1.10    
7  QUEEN CORDELIA Feb17 Aug20 Aug05 Jun30 May29 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 8.00    
 
FON-7   03/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BROWN LIAISON Mar03 Feb17 Nov10 Oct18 Oct05 (anderson david )ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.00 28% 2.60    
2  TRIBAL SPIRIT Oct07 Aug11 Jul18 May31 May18 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 5.00 26% 2.80    
3  REASONABLY LOVELY Mar03 Sep18 Aug26 Aug02 Jul10 (anderson david )HAAR NATHAN 125 6.00 19% 4.40    
4  FLYWHEEL EFFECT Mar03 Feb18 Oct22 Sep25 Aug05 (compton jesse)FACKLER CHRIS 125 15.00    
5  TAP ME A TEXT May04 Mar24 Jan15 Dec20 Nov30 (donlin d)RAMOS B 125 8.00 5% 18.70    
6  MISS CANEY Mar03 Apr04 Mar20 Mar07 Nov30 (red mas)PICKNER XAVIER 120 15.00    
7  IRISH TAP Mar03 Feb18 Dec09 Nov13 Oct31 (martinez kelli)DELORME L 125 3.50    
8  FOOLISH INTENT Mar03 May13 Apr23 Apr02 Mar17 (hoffman robert)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 3.00    
 
FON-8   03/17/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($7.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  R T'S IRON MAN Mar08 Feb23 Jan25 Dec30 Dec15 (ibanez alberto)RAMOS B 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  RYAN EXPRESS Mar08 Feb25 Oct27 Sep28 Sep14 (johnson marvin )HAAR NATHAN 125 2.50 57% 0.70    
3  FREEDOM FLASH Feb25 Nov24 Nov04 Sep25 May09 (black mar)MEDINA ANGEL 125 3.00 ★    
4  CALEB CAT Feb11 Dec07 Nov18 Nov03   (gourneau jerry)DELORME L 121 4.00 ★    
5  SCRATCH ME Feb25 Oct08 Sep18 Sep03 Jul02 (bumgardner jim)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 15.00    
6  SUGAR SHANE Mar03 Feb17 Sep10 Aug26 Jul29 (bunn shawn)BETHKE A 125 12.00    
7  WHONEW Feb25 Jan28 Dec29 Sep23 Sep02 (donlin d)MARTINEZ R 125 15.00    
8  RATLIFF CITY Feb23 Feb09 Dec13 Nov25 Nov09 (gourneau jerr)BACON W 120 10.00    
9  SHARP AZ NAILS Mar03 Oct08 Sep16 Aug30 Jul30 (thompson grady)ROMAN KEVIN 125 6.00    
10  SKYLINE Mar08 Oct22 Oct07 Sep30 Jul30 (bliss dean)FACKLER CHRIS 125 12.00 18% 4.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.