Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Fonner Park
Sunday - March 10, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FON-1   WIN (2/1/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/4/5)-(2/1/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/4/5)-(2/1/4/5)-(2/1/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/4/5)-(3/2/5/7) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
FON-2   WIN (3/2/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/5/7)-(3/2/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/5/7)-(3/2/5/7)-(3/2/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/5/7)-(4/6/3)-(6/8/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FON-3   WIN (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/3)-(4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
FON-4   WIN (6/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/8/7)-(6/8/7/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/7)-(6/8/7/5/1)-(6/8/7/5/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FON-5   WIN (2/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/6)-(2/3/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/3/6)-(2/3/4/6)-(2/3/4/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
FON-6   WIN (2/5/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/4/1)-(2/5/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/4/1)-(2/5/4/1)-(2/5/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/4/1)-(4/1/3/2)-(6/1/9/2) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
FON-7   WIN (4/1/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/3/2)-(4/1/3/2/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/1/3/2)-(4/1/3/2/5)-(4/1/3/2/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/1/3/2)-(6/1/9/2) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
FON-8   WIN (6/1/9/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/9/2)-(6/1/9/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/9/2)-(6/1/9/2)-(6/1/9/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FON-1   03/10/2024 2640ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIDSUMMER SOIREE Feb16 Sep27 Sep06 Aug01 Jun18 (gourneau jerry)DELORME L 125 4.00 13% 6.90    
FINISHWHATUSTARTED Feb18 Jan13 Dec16 Nov29 Oct21 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.00 43% 1.30    
POPS GIRL ALEXA Feb18 Oct29 Oct21 Oct07 Sep04 (hibdon n)MARTINEZ R 125 15.00    
ANGIE'S REVRAC Oct28 Oct21 Oct07 Sep04 Aug21 (muckey john)RAMOS B 125 8.00 12% 7.50    
DIXIE TRIXIE Jun04 May14 Apr21 Mar25 Mar18 (dieter dalton)BACON W 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
PIECE OF ME Mar03 Feb16 Jan04 Dec18 Nov16 (gonzalez )MEDINA ANGEL 125 3.00    
MUSTANGMAGNA Mar02 Feb18 Jul06 Jun15 May15 (thompson grady)LUARK M 125 5.00    
 
FON-2   03/10/2024 2640ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($11.7K) 3 F PT- 2:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDIES CLAIM Feb25         (anderson david )ROMAN KEVIN 122 5.00    
  (by MINE FOR GOLD out of SPANKED by DEPUTY MINISTER)
DIAMOND GO GIRL Feb25         (donlin d)RAMOS B 122 4.00 19% 4.20    
  (by SING BABY SING out of FIFTY CURLS by CURLIN)
GO LILLY GO Feb25         (coughlin chris)HAAR NATHAN 122 3.00 52% 0.90    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of ANOTHER VEGAN by ISTAN)
THATTA PEPPA         (thomsen paula)FACKLER CHRIS 122 12.00    
  (by BIG TIME PLAYER out of GOLD 'N WHITE by ALKE)
THE BIGGER BEAR Dec14 Nov09       (hines ann)MEDINA ANGEL 122 3.50 8% 11.40    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of FLACO FLASH by FLASHY BULL)
I'M BETTER THAN OK         (musquiz j)DELORME L 122 5.00    
  (by MINE FOR GOLD out of OK ALRIGHT by HOLIDAY JUSTICE)
FABLED TALE         (hoffman robert)ZIEGLER ZACK 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of TALETOBETOLD by TALE OF THE CAT)
 
FON-3   03/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
T R'S FIRST Feb10 Jan19 Jan06 Dec21 Nov08 (hibdon n)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.00    
UNPLUCKED GEM Nov30 Oct25 Sep09 Aug14 Aug06 (rushton stacy)MARTINEZ A 125 15.00    
MY GOLDEN BLING Mar02 Nov01 Oct18 Sep30 Sep08 (black mar)MEDINA ANGEL 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
TENNESSEE MOON Feb15 Jan20 Jan06 Dec19 Nov17 (hibdon n)MARTINEZ R 125 0.80 48% 1.10    
TRIP TO FREEDOM Nov13 Oct28 Oct22 Sep23 Sep02 (dieter dalton)DELORME L 125 4.00    
HAIL COLUMBIA Mar02 Sep15 Aug25 Aug05 Jul28 (anderson david )HAAR NATHAN 125 12.00 18% 4.60    
 
FON-4   03/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($11.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIAMONDSFORAYBRIE Feb25         (johnson a)MARTINEZ R 121 4.00    
  (by BIG TIME PLAYER out of SAMI'S SONG by KISSIN KRIS)
SWEET SUGAR MAMA Feb25         (anderson david )ROMAN KEVIN 125 8.00    
  (by NATIVE RULER out of SWEETEDGE by ADDED EDGE)
CHAMPAGNE CHANNEL Apr08 Mar24 Mar10     (anderson c)RAMOS B 125 15.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of SPANKED by DEPUTY MINISTER)
P R POSIE GAME Feb25 May20 May05     (johnson marvin )HAAR NATHAN 125 12.00    
  (by LOVEOFTHEGAME out of P R LYING HEART by GOLD SCHLEIGER)
TRAINCY         (rivera gregor)FACKLER CHRIS 125 12.00    
  (by MONHOCRACY out of BRIDAL TRAIN by SILVER TRAIN)
P R ODDSMAKER Feb25         (wise jaso)MEDINA ANGEL 121 1.00 45% 1.20    
  (by GOLD SCHLEIGER out of HOLY DEVINE by RUSHIN' TO ALTAR)
NONA Oct21 Sep30 Sep13 Aug30 Jul29 (hoffman rober)BACON W 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GRAY METEOR out of ELUSIVE VACATION by EXCLUSIVE QUALITY)
ALL LEGS Feb25         (musquiz j)DELORME L 125 3.50 27% 2.70    
  (by LOVEOFTHEGAME out of SWAN'S WING by TENPINS)
MAY B BETTER Feb25 Oct07 May20 Mar10 Feb24 (hoffman robert)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 15.00    
  (by MONHOCRACY out of PRINCESS PATTY B by ALPHABET SOUP)
SCR  S C HUSKER GIRL Feb25         (condon schuyler)LUARK M 121 15.00    
  (by SPORTS TALK out of JULIE C by EVEN THE SCORE)
 
FON-5   03/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($9.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANARY NATION Sep22 Sep08 May26 Apr21 Mar16 (foley sea)MEDINA ANGEL 125 5.00    
  (by ALTERNATION out of YADDO CANARY by MINESHAFT)
MISS YOU NO MORE Feb17 Nov08 Oct13 Sep09   (rushton temple)RAMOS B 121 2.50 51% 1.00    
  (by ELMAZEED out of MISS YOU HOME by FIVE STAR DAY)
RUN FOR JOY Mar03 Feb25 Feb08 Nov10 Oct21 (gourneau jerry)HAAR NATHAN 121 4.00 20% 3.90    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of MOON CONFIDENTIAL by MALIBU MOON)
SAENGER STAR Feb25 May19 Apr11 Mar25 Mar14 (condon schuyler)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  HEY SISSY Apr05 Mar29 Feb16 Feb02   (red mas)PICKNER XAVIER 120 15.00    
  (by EVEN THE SCORE out of ON HOLD by HOLD YOUR PEACE)
RICHIE'S GAL Feb25 Feb17 Dec16 Dec01 Jul09 (ramaekers er)BETHKE A 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GREENPOINTCRUSADER out of RAVIN'S RICH GIRL by CORINTHIAN (IRE))
SCR  TALL TALE Feb25 Feb08 Jan05 Nov10 Sep22 (arceo salvador)MARTINEZ R 121 15.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of ABSOLUTE BEARING by MIZZEN MAST)
CARBONEL Feb25 Nov11 Sep09 Aug19 Jul21 (rushton templ)BACON W 120 8.00    
  (by LEMON DROP KID out of PANTHER STRIKE by BLACK MINNALOUSHE)
 
FON-6   03/10/2024 2640ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($2.5K) Purse ($6.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEGOVIANA Feb25 Feb18 Oct29 Oct08 Sep03 (castillo jos)BETHKE A 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
SABER QUEEN Feb25 Jan19 Dec27 Dec16 Oct28 (gonzalez )MEDINA ANGEL 125 4.00 27% 2.70    
COLD AS YOU Nov30 Oct29 Oct22 Sep11 Aug07 (hibdon n)BACON W 120 12.00    
ALWAYS A TIZ Oct29 Oct22 Oct08 Sep23 Sep08 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 125 6.00 12% 7.20    
LONG MONDAY Feb25 Oct29 Oct08 Oct01 Aug19 (rushton temple)RAMOS B 125 10.00 19% 4.20    
MAGIC IN A HAT Oct29 Oct22 Sep24 Sep10 Jul29 (schindler kyle)ROMAN KEVIN 125 12.00    
DONNAS FINAL WORD Mar01 Feb17 Feb01 Jan05 Dec16 (hibdon n)MARTINEZ R 125 1.00    
S C ANGEL Oct28 Oct21 Sep17 Jul01 Jun17 (condon schuyler)LUARK M 125 15.00    
 
FON-7   03/10/2024 2640ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOT TUB HOTTIE Feb17 Jan06 Nov25 Nov01 Oct18 (black mar)MEDINA ANGEL 125 10.00 24% 3.20    
SHE'S MY PRIORITY Feb25 Dec17 Dec01 Nov02 Oct14 (gourneau jerry)DELORME L 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
MILLI STARR Oct29 Oct22 Oct08 Sep11 Aug13 (luke l)LUARK M 125 12.00 11% 7.80    
FASHION FACT Feb24 Jun03 May19 May12 Apr22 (condon schuyler)RAMOS B 125 3.00 37% 1.70    
READY TO GET LOUD Feb24 Aug25 Jul01 Jun19 May28 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 15.00    
NEBRASKA RED Jun04 Jun03 May19 Apr28 Apr14 (mcclain stanl)FACKLER CHRIS 125 8.00    
LIL MISS DE BUY Feb24 Dec02 Nov17 Oct14 Sep11 (hibdon n)MARTINEZ R 125 5.00    
LOTS OF GOLD Jan05 Dec16 Dec02 Oct21 Aug12 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.50    
CELTICS WILDCAT Aug05 Jul19 Jul08 Jun21 Jun10 (donlin larry)BETHKE A 125 6.00    
 
FON-8   03/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($9.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHACKED STATESIDE Jan13 Sep27 Sep14 Sep01 May14 (donlin d)DELORME L 125 3.00 28% 2.60    
KISS UPON A STAR Feb24 Nov30 Oct25 Oct06 Sep22 (martinez kelli)ROMAN KEVIN 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
PALM COURT Feb25 Oct22 Oct08 Aug27 Jul30 (johnson marvin )HAAR NATHAN 125 4.00    
DODGEBALL Mar02 Feb09 Jan28 Jan05 Nov20 (compton james)FACKLER CHRIS 125 5.00    
REINA DEL SUR Oct29 Oct08 Sep18 Aug12 Jul31 (donlin d)RAMOS B 125 15.00    
GARBO SPEAKS Mar01 Oct21 Aug06 Jul21 Jun25 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 4.50 37% 1.70    
CZECHITOUT Dec08 Nov10 Oct22 Sep08 Aug12 (dieter da)MEDINA ANGEL 125 12.00    
SCR  MENDHAM MILL Feb18 Jul07 Jun14 Apr01 Feb03 (wise jason)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 6.00    
DOLLY DIMPLE Mar01 Oct29 Oct22 Oct01 Sep02 (bliss dean)BACON W 120 12.00 9% 10.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.