Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Sunday - March 03, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (10/4/2/7/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/4/2/7/6)-(10/4/2/7/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/4/2/7/6)-(10/4/2/7/6)-(10/4/2/7/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/4/2/7/6)-(2/1/3/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (10/4/2/7/6)-(2/1/3/4)-(5/6/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-2   WIN (2/1/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/3/4)-(2/1/3/6/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/1/3/4)-(2/1/3/6/4)-(2/1/3/6/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/1/3/4)-(5/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/3/4)-(5/6/7)-(11/10/3/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-3   WIN (5/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/7)-(5/6/7/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/7)-(5/6/7/1/4)-(5/6/7/1/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/6/7)-(11/10/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/7)-(11/10/3/8)-(3/6/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-4   WIN (11/10/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (11/10/3/8)-(11/10/3/8/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (11/10/3/8)-(11/10/3/8/1)-(11/10/3/8/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (11/10/3/8)-(3/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (11/10/3/8)-(3/6/7)-(6/5/3/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-5   WIN (3/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/7)-(3/6/1/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/6/7)-(3/6/1/7)-(3/6/1/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/6/7)-(6/5/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/7)-(6/5/3/2)-(9/8/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-6   WIN (6/5/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/3/2)-(6/5/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/3/2)-(6/5/3/2)-(6/5/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/5/3/2)-(9/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/5/3/2)-(9/8/6)-(5/1/4/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-7   WIN (9/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/8/6)-(9/8/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (9/8/6)-(9/8/6)-(9/8/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (9/8/6)-(5/1/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/8/6)-(5/1/4/2)-(8/3/11/14) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-8   WIN (5/1/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/4/2)-(5/1/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/4/2)-(5/1/4/2)-(5/1/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/4/2)-(8/3/11/14) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TAM-9   WIN (8/3/11/14) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/11/14)-(8/3/11/14) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/11/14)-(8/3/11/14)-(8/3/11/14) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   03/03/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($22K) 3 ALL PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAKE CHAPALA Jul08         (minguet ramon)IORIO MELISSA 113 12.00    
2  IT'S ABOUT TIME         (hamm timo)RODRIGUEZ A 120 6.00 11% 7.80    
3  TOOMUCHAINTENOUGH Jan31 Jan12       (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 120 5.00    
4  A BIT OF CAPTAIN Feb04 Jan12 Dec30 Dec08 Sep25 (hamm timothy)ARROYO S 120 3.00 14% 6.20    
5  GRAY MEDALLION Jan19 Dec30       (bourke john)STANLEY O 120 20.00    
6  Z RACES Jun25 May19       (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  CHARLICITO Feb17         (cascallar)HERRERA R 120 6.00 10% 9.40    
8  EL KOZAN Oct24         (amaya gustavo)LUGO D 120 30.00    
9  EUCLID AVENUE Jan27 Dec24       (gulick m)CASTANON L 120 5.00    
10  MACKOR         (rodriguez da)BATISTA A 120 4.00 35% 1.80    
 
TAM-2   03/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($20K) Purse ($27.5K) 3 F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISPRINT Jan21 Jan07       (raven kerri)CEDENO CAROL 118 3.00 26% 2.90    
2  CHIEF LADY Feb16 Jan21 Jan03 Dec08   (sacco grego)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 1.50 39% 1.60    
3  AMIRATI Feb18 Jan31 Jan06 Dec08 Nov23 (simone michael )GOMEZ KEVIN 118 5.00 10% 8.60    
4  POLA OF TROUBLE Feb16 Oct10 Sep27 Sep08 Aug18 (cascallare)ALONSO LUIS 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  UNO UNO Feb07 Jan19 Jan10 Dec31 Dec20 (cascallares n)IORIO MELISSA 111 20.00    
6  NO FAKE Feb02 Dec01 Nov04     (delgado h)CAMACHO SAMY 118 6.00 ★    
7  SURVIVAL ROSE Jan31 Jan17 Dec08 Nov17 Nov04 (richards ren)ARROYO S 118 12.00    
8  FLORINDIA Feb18 Jan31 Jan06 Nov29 Nov11 (rodriguez an)BATISTA A 118 10.00    
9  PANOLA Jan21 Dec22 Dec02 Oct28 Oct15 (laurato m)MALDONADO GABRIEL 111 15.00    
 
TAM-3   03/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHE'S SO VOCAL Feb18 Feb03       (barron rory)WALKER M 122 6.00 ★    
2  BABY CAKES Feb25 Sep15 Sep10 Aug27 Jul21 (minguet r)RODRIGUEZ A 122 10.00    
3  TEA'S DREAM Feb14 Dec15 Nov25 Jun30 May06 (wasiluk peter )CEDENO CAROL 122 12.00    
4  MORENA DANCER Feb18 Feb09 Dec31 Dec22 May03 (marrero nest)ARROYO S 122 4.50 ★    
5  LUNA AMARILLA Feb03 Jan20 Dec30 Dec16 Nov29 (marrero n)MALDONADO GABRIEL 115 4.00 40% 1.50    
6  BEAUTIFUL ASTRAY Aug09 Feb12 Dec01 Jun09 Apr07 (amaya gustavo)LUGO D 122 6.00 32% 2.10    
7  GIFTED GLITTER         (tsirigotis jr)DIAZ S 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DIAMOND LUVUBABY Dec22         (gurrola t)BUSH V 120 30.00    
9  REAL MIKEY Feb18 Feb03 Jan14 Dec30 Nov29 (lusk brian)ALONSO LUIS 122 3.50    
10  MIA'S CAT Feb25 Feb14 Jan07 Nov03   (cascallares)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 8.00    
11  FINAL NOTE Feb03 Dec31 May05 Apr19 Mar08 (miranda luis )IORIO MELISSA 115 30.00    
 
TAM-4   03/03/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BELLA ROMANCE Feb18 Jan28 Dec31 Dec15 Nov24 (mcgoey monica)MARIN SAMUEL 118 15.00 ★    
2  BONNIE SANDRA Jul01 May14 Apr29 Apr07 Mar24 (gulick ja)MALDONADO GABRIEL 111 10.00    
3  DEVRA WARRIOR Jan24 Jan12 Sep19 Jul25 Jul05 (romero rafael)CAMACHO SAMY 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  SWEET NOLA Dec07 Nov02 Oct14 Sep30 Sep07 (johnston t)ELLIS S 118 15.00    
5  R D BLESSING Feb03 Jan28 Jan14 Jan07 Dec15 (drake robert)MENESES MARCOS 118 30.00    
6  REDHAIREDCOLLEEN Feb18 Jan28 Jan14 Dec31 Dec16 (bennett ger)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 12.00    
SCR  THE ISABEL ASTRAY Feb04 Oct01 Aug13 Jul11 Apr19 (amaya gustavo)LUGO D 118 3.50    
8  NUCCI Feb03 Jan12 Dec31 Dec15 Jul14 (sepulveda)RODRIGUEZ A 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  OUR FORTUNE COOKIE Feb14 Jan31 Jan17 Oct29 Oct14 (dye steven)FUENTES MARIO 118 15.00    
10  TOODALOO Y'ALL Feb18 Jan17 Dec31 Dec09 Nov24 (simone michael)CASTANON L 118 6.00 21% 3.70    
11  MADEFORSUMMER Feb18 Jan24 Oct06 Aug13 Jul16 (dini mike)GOMEZ KEVIN 118 2.50 48% 1.10    
12  DIVINE ENCOUNTER Feb03 Jul23 Jun10 Apr01 Dec02 (lilly p)IORIO MELISSA 111 20.00    
 
TAM-5   03/03/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($53K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WINGED FOOT Feb18 Sep15 Sep05 Aug23 Jul24 (ness jamie)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 3.50 ★    
2  REDISUR Feb21 Jan21 Jan07 Dec02 Nov12 (romero)ROJAS EDUARDO 119 4.00    
3  GUARANTEED SPECK Feb03 Jan21 Aug02 Apr22 Mar30 (russo anthony )CAMACHO SAMY 119 3.00 44% 1.30    
4  CAMPTON Jan27 Jan06 Apr13 Feb24 Jan14 (morey willia)MENESES MARCOS 119 8.00    
SCR  SOUTHERN DREAM Feb11 Jan12 Oct14 Aug27 Jul07 (garcia r)REYES LEONEL 119 4.50    
6  SEVEN BRIDGES ROAD Feb03 Dec23 Sep09 Sep02 Aug12 (pompay terri)MORELOS E 119 4.50 34% 1.90    
7  TAP EM Jan24 Dec27 Dec20 Dec03 Oct13 (rivera a)FERRER C 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  JUSTINTIMEFORWINE Jan26 Dec08 Nov29 Oct13 Sep09 (delgado h)LOPEZ E 119 5.00    
SCR  ARTIE'S ANGEL Jan24 Dec01 Nov10 Oct10 Sep09 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 4.00    
10  DIAL HIM UP Jan24 Jan06 Dec22 Dec06 Nov22 (mendieta )MALDONADO GABRIEL 112 30.00    
 
TAM-6   03/03/2024 5400ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($54K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIR SAFFER Feb16 Jan24 Dec15 Aug13 Jul07 (o'connell kathle)FERRER C 119 12.00    
2  AWESOME FLAY Feb11 Jan19 Dec29 Dec02 Oct21 (smith robert)MENESES MARCOS 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  VISUAL ARTIST Feb20 Feb07 Nov30 Nov08 Oct25 (ness jamie)GOMEZ KEVIN 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  EPIC LUCK Feb11 Jan10 Dec15 Oct16 Oct05 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 119 15.00    
5  FLYING LIAM Dec26 Nov19 Oct15 Aug18 Jul14 (margotta anthon)CENTENO E 121 2.50 13% 6.90    
6  PASSAGE OF LINES Feb11 Jan14 Jan03 Dec16 Nov25 (ness jam)GALLARDO A 121 2.00 57% 0.80    
7  CONSPIRACY FACT Feb18 Jan05 Dec15 Dec01 Nov03 (arriagada ju)BATISTA A 123 3.00    
 
TAM-7   03/03/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  INSIDE Feb09         (hayford jenn)MENESES MARCOS 122 30.00    
SCR  THEREGOESMYMIRACLE Feb02 Jan24 Dec09 Jul02 Jun04 (paragallo jenn)CAMACHO SAMY 122 5.00    
3  SNOVEMBER Feb11 Dec30       (lerman s)MARIN SAMUEL 122 12.00    
SCR  TWO MINUTES APART Feb02 Dec23 Dec06 Oct13 Aug23 (crook-demasi k)CASTANON L 122 4.50    
5  GET READY SET FIRE Dec15 Nov23 Sep25     (johnston t)ELLIS S 122 20.00    
6  PRINCE GHOST May20 Apr30 Jan11 Nov30   (o'connell kat)IORIO MELISSA 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MINTENON Feb02 Dec23 Dec06 Oct13 Sep29 (carrascojr v)ARROYO S 122 4.00    
8  ROUGH AND ROWDY Jul14 May27 Apr06 Mar01   (danner k)GALLARDO A 122 3.00 29% 2.40    
9  BRAGGADOCIOUS Feb21 Feb02 Jan12 Dec26 Nov24 (o'connell)MALDONADO GABRIEL 115 4.50 45% 1.20    
SCR  NOBLE HERO Feb02 Jan10 Dec23 Dec06   (dobber arnoud)FUENTES MARIO 122 30.00    
 
TAM-8   03/03/2024 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OFF THE MEDS Jan26 Dec30 Dec22 Dec01 Oct13 (granitz anth)BATISTA A 119 3.00 18% 4.60    
2  HOP AND SCOTCH Feb14 Jan28 Dec24 Dec16 Dec01 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  SEVENTY SEVENTYCAT Feb28 Feb04 Jan27 Jan14 Jan07 (drake robert)COTTO L 119 30.00    
4  GHOST STALKER Jan06 Sep13 Aug03 Jul23 Jul02 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 6.00 8% 12.30    
5  KING OF HOLLYWOOD Jan27 Jan10 Aug02 Jun25 May27 (rodriguez)MALDONADO GABRIEL 112 1.80 37% 1.70    
6  GOLDEN TONE Feb23 Feb04 Jan20 Jan07 Dec27 (rivera xa)HERNANDEZ H 119 15.00    
SCR  TEMPLET Oct07 Sep10 Aug23 Jul13 Jul04 (connel)ALMEDINA MARIANGELYS 109 12.00    
8  SMILE BRYAN Feb04 Jan19 Aug26 Aug18 Jul07 (ryan s)IORIO MELISSA 112 4.00    
9  LEAD OFF Feb09 Jan28 Jul19 Jun20 May28 (morales guil)MENESES MARCOS 119 15.00    
 
TAM-9   03/03/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($25.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SLIME QUEEN Feb07 Jan28 Dec30 Nov29 Jul30 (arriagada juan)CASTANON L 119 3.00    
SCR  FALL MOON Feb07 Dec13 Sep03 Aug24 Jul20 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 15.00    
3  MOSLER'S IMAGE Jan28 Nov04 Oct19 Sep02 Jul08 (o'connell kathl)CENTENO E 119 4.00 32% 2.10    
4  ANGELAS PARTY GIRL Jan28 Jan10 Dec22 Nov16 Nov04 (ryan s)IORIO MELISSA 114 15.00    
5  FUNNY ENOUGH Feb24 Feb07 Aug31 Aug12 Jul22 (russo j)LOPEZ E 119 20.00    
6  IRAZU Feb07 Jan20 Dec22 Nov25 Aug20 (jones douglas)MARIN SAMUEL 119 20.00    
SCR  LEA RO Feb07 Dec13 Oct05 Aug31 Jul27 (campbell mi)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 12.00    
8  CHARLOTTE THE BRIT Dec13 Nov29 Oct23 Oct04 Aug30 (rodrigue)GALLARDO A 119 2.50 39% 1.60    
SCR  NICOLAR Dec13 Nov29 Nov17 Oct14 Sep17 (potts wayne)CAMACHO SAMY 119 10.00    
SCR  HIGH VIBES Feb07 Dec30 Dec13 Nov29 Aug31 (carrascojr v)ARROYO S 119 5.00    
11  ARTIFACT (GB) Feb10 Jul09 Jun10 May28 May11 (ferraro an)BATISTA A 119 12.00 7% 13.30    
SCR  NEVER SO LUCKY (IRE) Feb24 Jan26 Jan05 Nov22 Nov05 (delgado h)CASTANON L 121 15.00    
SCR  DIVA READY Feb07 Dec21 Nov17 Oct20 Oct01 (klesaris steve)GOMEZ KEVIN 119 6.00    
14  STARRY HOPE Dec15 Nov29 Sep09 Aug24 Jul27 (mcgoey m)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.