Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Friday - March 01, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/5)-(5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5)-(5/3)-(5/3/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
CT-2   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/3)-(5/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/3)-(5/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/3)-(5/3/4)-(5/3/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
CT-3   WIN (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/4)-(5/3/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/3/4)-(5/3/4/2)-(5/3/4/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/3/4)-(5/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/3/4)-(5/3/6)-(7/5/2/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-4   WIN (5/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/6)-(5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/6)-(7/5/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/6)-(7/5/2/4)-(6/1/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-5   WIN (7/5/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/2/4)-(7/5/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/2/4)-(7/5/2/4)-(7/5/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/2/4)-(6/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/5/2/4)-(6/1/4)-(3/6/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-6   WIN (6/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/4)-(6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/4)-(3/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/1/4)-(3/6/1)-(7/5/2/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-7   WIN (3/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/1)-(3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/1)-(7/5/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-8   WIN (7/5/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/2/4)-(7/5/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/2/4)-(7/5/2/4)-(7/5/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   03/01/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOMEBODY LOVES ME Jan25 Dec23 Dec15 Dec02 Nov02 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 124 4.50 23% 3.40    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of SUCCESSFUL LUCK by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
2  BAHITI Feb07 Jan25       (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 124 0.80 31% 2.30    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of TOTAL WAR by WAR PASS)
3  AVALANCHE IS COMIN Feb15 Dec15 Nov21 Oct26 Sep03 (rofe jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 6.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of DITCH EM by UNCLE MO)
4  DREAM OF GOLD Feb21 Jan31 Jan11 Nov29 Nov17 (haynes m)RODRIGUEZ V 124 2.50    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of CRIMSON AND GOLD by DISTORTED HUMOR)
5  HONOUR'S CHOICE         (cuttino m)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 10.00 7% 14.30    
  (by MAWTHOOQ out of CHOOSE HONOUR by HONOUR AND GLORY)
 
CT-2   03/01/2024 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOMESUGARNSPICE Feb24 Feb03 Jan12 Dec12 Dec06 (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 118 12.00    
SCR  VERY VENUS Feb10 Jan31 Jan04 Dec09 Nov17 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 4.50    
3  COWGIRL ATTITUDE Feb10 Jan31 Jan18 Dec14 Nov08 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 6.00 10% 8.70    
4  MAD SWANN Feb14 Nov04 Sep22 Aug31 Aug10 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 5.00    
5  SING A LULLABYE Feb07 Jan18 Nov16 Oct21 Aug05 (farrior)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 0.40 64% 0.60    
 
CT-3   03/01/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JIMMY THE KID Feb09 Feb01 Dec15 Nov10 Oct26 (martin august )REYNOLDS C 122 5.00    
2  ASSERT DOMINANCE Feb21 Jan27 Sep28 Sep01 Aug19 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 122 3.00 ★    
3  PRIMAL DESTINY Jan18 Nov17 Oct21 Sep21 Aug06 (patterson)BOCACHICA J 115 4.50 31% 2.20    
4  JAZZ MAN DO Feb09 Jan25 Dec15 Nov24 Nov09 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  DRINKWITHTHESTARS Dec15 Aug31 Aug03 Jul14 May05 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 1.40 47% 1.10    
6  LIL MR MATT Feb15 Dec03 Oct31 Oct15 Sep25 (collins tim)RIOS-CONDE A 122 15.00    
7  STRETCH THE TRUTH Feb14 Jan24 Sep30 Aug10 Jul27 (bass w)ADAMS L 113 12.00    
 
CT-4   03/01/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IRISH FLIGHT Feb03 Jan04 Nov24 Nov11 Oct20 (espinos)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 12.00    
2  RED HOT TODDY Feb03 Dec09 Nov24 Oct06 Aug11 (jones m)ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 2.50    
3  TIME TO CHOOSE Feb09 Feb03 Dec14 Mar09 Feb15 (petty kri)BOCACHICA J 117 4.50 23% 3.40    
SCR  CALLISTO'S BRIGADE Feb09 Feb03 Jan10 Dec13 Nov16 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.00    
5  ASTRAYAL Feb02 Jan04 Nov24 Oct27 Sep30 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 8.00 24% 3.20    
6  ONE CANDY CASTLE Feb09 Feb03 Jan04 Nov24 Nov09 (johnso)ARAUJO VICENTE 122 6.00 6% 17.10    
7  THUNDERHOUSE Jan25 Dec22 Nov26 Nov02 Oct13 (murdock s)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.00    
 
CT-5   03/01/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUEEN JELLY BEAN Feb15 Oct12 Sep29 Jul19 May06 (reynolds jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 3.50    
2  PHOTO FINISH Jan03 Dec09 Oct21     (cruz jesu)BOCACHICA J 113 4.50 16% 5.10    
3  LA MACCHINA ROSSA Feb14 Jan14 Dec29     (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 10.00    
4  YOU CAN'T WIN Feb09 Jan14 Oct18 Sep28   (haynes m)PELTROCHE F 116 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  YOLO CHARLOTTE Feb09 Jan12 Dec14 Jun30 Jun02 (lyster ste)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 3.00 22% 3.50    
6  AIM'S JUBILEE Feb09 Feb02 Jan03 Nov25 Nov04 (regget)ARAUJO VICENTE 124 12.00    
7  NAMI Feb11 Jan27 Dec15 Dec01 Nov05 (sanchez-salo)BARBOSA JEIRON 124 2.50 35% 1.80    
8  PURE NONSENSE Feb21 Feb08 Jan18 Jan03 Dec14 (gillespie)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 15.00    
 
CT-6   03/01/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AT THE HALF Feb08 Jan03 Nov30 Nov08 Oct20 (davis r)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 3.00 16% 5.20    
2  WHISKEY TALKING Feb07 Dec10 Nov14 Oct16 Oct02 (shuler r)PELTROCHE F 120 15.00    
3  BONNIE BLUETOOTH Feb16 Jan26 Jan05 Dec01 Nov10 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 1.20    
4  SMOKIN LADY Jan03 Dec14 Nov20 Oct26 Sep16 (brown ron)BOCACHICA J 117 12.00 9% 10.30    
5  CASTLE OF CAYLEE Feb09 Jan31 Jan13 Dec07 Nov17 (rideout anthony)RODRIGUEZ V 122 4.50    
6  JAMESTOWN ROAD Jan26 Dec15 Dec08 Nov20 Oct14 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 3.50 43% 1.30    
 
CT-7   03/01/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 WET FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($29.4K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CANDY INVASION Feb07 Dec06 Nov18 Oct14 Sep21 (joy ke)ARAUJO VICENTE 120 8.00 8% 10.90    
2  CURLIN'S MALIBU Jan28 Dec22 Dec01 Oct12 Sep03 (atkins)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 12.00    
3  TWO BIT KID Feb15 Feb06 Jan15 Dec13 Nov29 (hetrick kr)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 2.50 59% 0.70    
4  SPRITZER Feb07 Jan05 Dec13 Nov01 Oct25 (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 15.00    
SCR  OVERLY CRITICAL Feb21 Feb07 Jan05 Dec16 Dec05 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 120 2.00    
6  KENNY HAD A NOTION Feb16 Jan26 Dec13 Dec05 Oct12 (jones michae)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 1.60 12% 7.30    
 
CT-8   03/01/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  URBAN BANDIT Feb09 Jan24 Nov17 Oct21 Sep30 (figgins o)BOCACHICA J 115 15.00    
2  NEPOTISM Feb09 Jan27 Dec30 Dec04 Nov22 (adorno je)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 6.00 19% 4.20    
3  PYEONG CHANG Feb09 Jan03 Nov17 Oct06 Sep02 (runco c)CHAVEZ ANDRES 113 5.00    
4  FLAT CAT Feb10 Jan18 Dec15 Jul01 May06 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  MYSTIFIED Jan24 Jan03 Sep29 Aug23 Jul05 (jackson sh)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 6.00 22% 3.50    
6  CURLIN'S THRILL Feb09 Dec16 Dec08 Nov01 Oct12 (brown a)CHILO MAXIMO 120 8.00    
7  POLAR WIND Feb22 Feb08 Jan18 Jan05 Dec13 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 1.80 30% 2.30    
8  MASTER THIS Feb08 Jan25 Dec13 Dec06 Oct21 (murdock stephen)MAWING A 122 4.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.