Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Wednesday - February 14, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/4)-(2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/4)-(6/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/5/4)-(6/3/4)-(7/1/6/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-2   WIN (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/4)-(6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/4)-(7/1/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/4)-(7/1/6/4)-(6/2/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-3   WIN (7/1/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/6/4)-(7/1/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/6/4)-(7/1/6/4)-(7/1/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/6/4)-(6/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/1/6/4)-(6/2/5)-(4/5/9/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-4   WIN (6/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/5)-(6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/5)-(4/5/9/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/2/5)-(4/5/9/1)-(8/5/6/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-5   WIN (4/5/9/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/9/1)-(4/5/9/2/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/5/9/1)-(4/5/9/2/1)-(4/5/9/2/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/5/9/1)-(8/5/6/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/5/9/1)-(8/5/6/2)-(1/8/7/10/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-6   WIN (8/5/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/6/2)-(8/5/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/5/6/2)-(8/5/6/2)-(8/5/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/5/6/2)-(1/8/7/10/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/5/6/2)-(1/8/7/10/5)-(7/10/5/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-7   WIN (1/8/7/10/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/8/7/10/5)-(1/8/7/10/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/8/7/10/5)-(1/8/7/10/5)-(1/8/7/10/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/8/7/10/5)-(7/10/5/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CT-8   WIN (7/10/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/10/5/2)-(7/10/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/10/5/2)-(7/10/5/2)-(7/10/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   02/14/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LUCKYTOBEINAMERICA Feb01 Dec15 Dec07 Sep20 Sep06 (borges israel)CHILO MAXIMO 122 12.00    
BUFF'S EYE VIEW Dec06 Nov04 Oct14 Sep09 Aug19 (walters da)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 1.20 38% 1.60    
NO FOOLING DUDE Jan04 Dec15 Dec06 Nov09 Oct21 (stahlin john)PELTROCHE F 122 4.50    
MAKE WAY Jan24 Jan04 Dec13 Dec06 Nov22 (barber do)BOCACHICA J 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
MAGNETRON Feb07 Jan18 Dec27 Dec16 Nov22 (jones michael)RIVERA JAVIER 122 2.50 29% 2.40    
BLAMEITONTHEFUN Dec13 Nov12 Oct18 Oct06 Sep22 (shanle)ARAUJO VICENTE 122 5.00    
 
CT-2   02/14/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  QUEEN P Dec16 Sep09 Aug05     (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 122 10.00    
BAYLIS STREET Jan24 Dec07 Oct26 Jul08 May20 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 1.80    
DELIGHTFUL BREEZE Feb01 Jan12 Dec30 Nov25 Oct23 (reynolds jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 3.00 25% 3.00    
ALWAYS SOMETHING Feb01 Jan12 Dec02 Nov10 Oct20 (patterson)BOCACHICA J 113 5.00 5% 17.20    
SHES SO SPEIGHTSY Dec09 Nov17 Oct27 Sep14 Aug24 (jones royland)CHILO JACINTO 122 15.00    
AWAY TO RETURN Jan22 Oct06 Sep02 Aug12 Jul23 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.00 38% 1.70    
 
CT-3   02/14/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OVERNIGHT POW WOW         (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 116 2.00 21% 3.70    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of HOLY POW WOW by INDIAN CHARLIE)
MARGARITA SUNSET Aug10         (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 116 4.50    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of DAIQUIRI by ROCK SLIDE)
TRUE BUCKPASSING Jan24 Jan03 Dec09 Nov29   (sanderson wade )PELTROCHE F 124 10.00    
  (by AARON'S WAY out of METAL FIRECRACKER by LITE THE FUSE)
MY LUCKY DEIA Jan27 Jan12 Nov17 Nov02   (contre)LOPEZ EDUARDO 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LEA out of QUILT by TWILIGHT AGENDA)
FAR MORE Dec09 Nov02 Oct13 Sep15 Aug04 (groves janice)BATISTA C 124 8.00    
  (by LANGFUHR out of ANNAPOLIS HARBOR by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
BLUSHING BIP BOP         (stehr p)RODRIGUEZ V 116 15.00 9% 10.80    
  (by SIENTE EL TRUENO out of BIP BOP BOO by ADMIRALTY ARCH)
BULL'S LEGACY Jan12         (brown ron)BOCACHICA J 109 1.80 48% 1.10    
  (by BULLSBAY out of SKY'S LEGACY by DIXIE UNION)
SCR  IMADHI Jan24 Jan03 Oct12 Sep21   (kopecki sara )ADAMS L 109 30.00    
  (by GANDHI out of MONSTER IMAGE by MEADOW MONSTER)
 
CT-4   02/14/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SUBJECT TO CHANGE Feb07 Jan18 Dec29 Dec13 Nov18 (spriggs tos)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 3.00    
RRACE DAY WARRIOR Feb07 Jan18 Dec13 Dec06 Oct21 (smith osborne)CHILO MAXIMO 122 6.00 36% 1.80    
CLASSY SOLUTION Feb03 Dec17 Nov26 Oct28 Oct11 (nazario pedro)RODRIGUEZ V 124 2.50    
ZIPPER ZAPPER Feb03 Jan05 Nov26 Nov19 Nov03 (ramirez a)PELTROCHE F 122 10.00    
NOTION TO TAPIT Jan05 Nov29 Nov12 Nov04 Oct20 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
MONTAUK DADDY Jan31 Jan05 Dec15 Nov29 Nov03 (spriggs t)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 1.60 39% 1.60    
 
CT-5   02/14/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3 F PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNMATCHED Jan10 Dec16 Nov24 Oct19 Sep03 (delong ben)HO WESLEY 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of YAHILWA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
HONORS LEGACY Jan18         (mcentee pau)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 3.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of TARLOW by STORMIN FEVER)
PASS THE CASH Jan24 Jan04 Dec15 Jul02   (cruz jesus)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 4.00    
  (by FORCE THE PASS out of ANALYZEYURSPENDING by OVERANALYZE)
T C NEIGH Jan14 Sep10       (russell bri)CARRASCO CARLOS 122 2.50 65% 0.50    
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of CENTERPIECE by BERTRANDO)
COLLECTED SUCCESS Jan24 Jan03 Dec03 Nov08 Oct08 (binning m)BOCACHICA J 115 8.00 5% 17.80    
  (by COLLECTED out of GIANT SUCCESS by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
NOBLE OBSESSION Jan04 Nov09       (gazzier k)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 20.00    
  (by MITOLE out of JUNOON by STREET SENSE)
LA MACCHINA ROSSA Jan14 Dec29       (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 8.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of KATIE LANE by QUALITY ROAD)
DEE DEE SIX Jan24 Jan03 Dec01 Oct18 Aug27 (cipriano rober)CHILO MAXIMO 122 20.00    
  (by DON SIX out of BEACH BADGE by MEDALLIST)
RAGAZZA MIA Jan03 Nov08 Oct19     (runco c)CHAVEZ ANDRES 115 15.00 5% 18.10    
  (by MOSLER out of THEGALTHATWASABOY by TIZNOW)
SCR  HONEY PLEASE Jan24 Oct18 Sep28     (haynes m)RODRIGUEZ V 122 20.00    
  (by FROSTED out of JADE D'ORO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
 
CT-6   02/14/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PROTA Jan25 Jan03 Dec16 Nov29 Nov03 (sanderson wade )PELTROCHE F 122 15.00    
GRAND FIBER Jan25 Dec15 Nov09 Oct13 Sep29 (mangual manolo)ACOSTA D 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  STORM BOARDER (CHI) Feb03 Jan18 Nov03 Oct21 Sep21 (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 3.00    
STRETCH THE TRUTH Jan24 Sep30 Aug10 Jul27 Jun22 (bass w)RODRIGUEZ V 120 12.00    
GRAND ESCAPE Jan25 Jan05 Dec08 Nov25 Oct06 (viands st)BOCACHICA J 113 3.50 28% 2.50    
LION OF THE SEA Nov22 Nov02 Sep21 Aug31 Aug10 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 122 4.00 6% 14.70    
HINK'S PALADIN Dec30 Dec15 Nov22 Nov08 Oct11 (johnston re)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 8.00    
TOO BAD JUSTICE Feb03 Dec15 Oct31 Oct09 Sep28 (hurley jac)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 4.50 39% 1.50    
LOADED SNIPER Jan25 Nov22 Oct20 Sep30 Jul27 (frock )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 8.00    
 
CT-7   02/14/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAD SWANN Nov04 Sep22 Aug31 Aug10   (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 2.50 42% 1.40    
GREY FLAMINGO Jan24 Nov24 Oct05 Mar17 Feb16 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 15.00    
S S CASINO GIRL Jan24 Jan11 Dec07 Nov15 Sep03 (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 122 8.00    
LITTLEBOURBONGIRL Jan27 Jan05 Nov02     (grams )ARAUJO VICENTE 120 8.00    
UNUSUALLY LUCKY Nov04 Aug03 Jun23     (mcclure)NUNEZ ANAHI 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
NINETY PROOF Dec14 Nov29 Oct06 Sep02 Jul29 (groves janice)BATISTA C 120 20.00    
OPPO TACO Nov30 Oct05 Sep15 Aug12 Jun10 (walters david)CHAVEZ ANDRES 115 6.00 14% 6.00    
MAKANI Jan04 Nov25 Nov04 Oct14 Oct06 (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 118 3.00 17% 5.10    
STORMI VANNA Nov30 Nov01 Sep15 Aug18 Feb24 (locklear james)RODRIGUEZ V 122 20.00    
10  PLAYING FOR TWO Feb02 Jan12 Dec07 Aug26 Aug18 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-8   02/14/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DON'T GET CAUGHTUP Jan11 Nov10 Oct20 Oct13 Sep29 (boykins kevin)ACOSTA D 124 30.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of PUTTYBADSHARK by ONEBADSHARK)
DEFIANT GIANT         (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 116 8.00 5% 17.60    
  (by LOST TREASURE out of DANCE WITH GIANTS by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  IRISH WIZARD Jan03 Dec02       (shanley t)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 3.50    
  (by IRISH WAR CRY out of WIZARDS FEVER by FIBER SONDE)
YOUTHFUL ENERGY Jan24 Jul21       (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 116 10.00    
  (by UNBRIDLED ENERGY out of CONQUEST MS CURLIN by CURLIN)
RIDE THE BRAND Jan13 Dec16 Nov03     (grams tim)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 116 8.00 9% 10.10    
  (by SUPER NINETY NINE out of SWEETEST MEMORY by OUTFLANKER)
SEATTLE PRINCE Jan24 Dec15 Nov25     (craig e)RIVERA JAVIER 116 12.00    
  (by LORD OF GREATNESS out of MUGU by BELLAMY ROAD)
WHALE OF A RUN Jan13 Dec16 Nov25     (contre)LOPEZ EDUARDO 116 2.50 47% 1.10    
  (by CAPO BASTONE out of FOLLOW THE WHALES by CIVILISATION)
MANHATTAN IMAGE Jan24         (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 20.00    
  (by IMAGINING out of MANHATTAN SPECIAL by BUSTIN STONES)
RESTLESS BUSTER Jan24 Jan03 Dec02     (craig e)PELTROCHE F 124 20.00    
  (by WINDSOR CASTLE out of RESTLESS TOUCH by MEDFORD)
10  RAISE A RUCKUS Jan24 Jan03 Nov16 Oct19 Sep30 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 124 3.00 17% 5.00    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of HOT CREEK RISIN' by BRING THE HEAT)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.