Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Sam Houston Park
Sunday - February 11, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

HOU-1   WIN (4/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/2)-(4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/2)-(9/3/7/4/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/3/2)-(9/3/7/4/8)-(4/6/3) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
HOU-2   WIN (9/3/7/4/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/3/7/4/8)-(9/3/7/4/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/3/7/4/8)-(9/3/7/4/8)-(9/3/7/4/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/3/7/4/8)-(4/6/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (9/3/7/4/8)-(4/6/3)-(3/5/6) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
HOU-3   WIN (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/3)-(4/6/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/6/3)-(4/6/3/5)-(4/6/3/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/6/3)-(3/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/6/3)-(3/5/6)-(6/7/4/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
HOU-4   WIN (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/6)-(3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/6)-(6/7/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5/6)-(6/7/4/1)-(6/8/1/5/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
HOU-5   WIN (6/7/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/4/1)-(6/7/4/3/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/7/4/1)-(6/7/4/3/1)-(6/7/4/3/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/7/4/1)-(6/8/1/5/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/7/4/1)-(6/8/1/5/2)-(4/6/2/1) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
HOU-6   WIN (6/8/1/5/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/8/1/5/2)-(6/8/1/5/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/8/1/5/2)-(6/8/1/5/2)-(6/8/1/5/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/8/1/5/2)-(4/6/2/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/8/1/5/2)-(4/6/2/1)-(1/7/9/10) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
HOU-7   WIN (4/6/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/2/1)-(4/6/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/2/1)-(4/6/2/1)-(4/6/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/2/1)-(1/7/9/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
HOU-8   WIN (1/7/9/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/9/10)-(1/7/9/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/9/10)-(1/7/9/10)-(1/7/9/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
HOU-1   02/11/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3 ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COWBOY WALT Dec13 Oct21 Sep28 Aug31   (davidson brent)BRACHO A 122 4.00    
RICH SON OF A BUN Jan12 Dec02       (h)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
LATE NIGHT CRUISER Dec06 Nov02 Oct07 Sep13   (bryant ge)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 122 3.00 10% 9.00    
CALEB CAT Dec07 Nov18 Nov03     (ashford trist)JARA FERNANDO 122 1.60 67% 0.50    
CARGO PANTS Jan19         (triana ju)TRIANA JR 122 8.00    
SEND OFF Feb04 Dec15 Nov30     (davidson sar)GILES EMMANUEL 122 4.50    
 
HOU-2   02/11/2024 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NINTH OF APRIL Jan19 Sep16 Sep06 Aug20 Jul08 (w)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 121 8.00    
HARD GOLD Jan28 Jan06 Jun25 Jun02 May13 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 121 10.00    
PUTMAN Jan19 Oct21 Sep23 Aug24 Jun17 (padilla a)DIEGO V 121 3.00 23% 3.40    
PROPERLY CONNECTED Sep20 Sep12 Sep04 Aug22 Aug08 (gourneau jer)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 15.00 8% 11.70    
AARON'S SPIRIT Jan19 Dec16 Nov20 Oct19 Oct04 (davidson n)BRACHO A 121 12.00    
NOOGE Jun15 May20 Mar04 Feb04 Jan20 (mckinney ky)BARANDELA SOFIA 121 20.00    
CHUY GARZA Y. G. Jan19 Dec09 Nov24 Nov02 Oct13 (mendoza edga)ALVAREZ L 121 4.00 13% 6.90    
DETECTIVE BERNARDO Feb17 Jan21 Sep27 Aug28 Jun26 (roubion s)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
EMPERADOR Nov10 Jul31 Jun29 Jun04 Jan06 (young scott)WETHEY JR 121 2.00 32% 2.10    
 
HOU-3   02/11/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 45 M/F PT- 2:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TERE'SDRAMAQUEEN Jan26 Jul01 Jun23 Jun15 May13 (pish dann)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 123 12.00    
  (by CORD'S KOKO NIGHT out of EMBRACETHELADY by EMBRACE THE STORM)
EXPECT LAVENDER Feb03 Jun23 Feb25 Feb10 Jan08 (kotara ronald)BURGOS SAMUEL 123 6.00    
  (by RONRIDGE WILL out of LAVENDER RIDGE by NAVARRO)
SOLECITA Feb03 Apr22       (coats t)DIEGO V 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LIAISON out of DUBAIDORA by E DUBAI)
GOLD MEMORIES Jan26 Jan07 Jul30 Jul03 Jun11 (cravens ii)DIAZ RENE 123 1.20 40% 1.50    
  (by MY GOLDEN SONG out of FLIGHT QUEEN by EARLY FLYER)
RON'S LAVENDER Sep12 Jul29 Jul03 Jun11 Jun03 (kotara ro)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 123 4.00    
  (by RONRIDGE WILL out of LAVENDER RIDGE by NAVARRO)
J J JAZZ         (coats jam)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 123 4.50 34% 1.90    
  (by AUTHENTIC JAZZ out of G. T. RIDGE by BEN'S RIDGE (GB))
ANNA MARIE Jul03         (dodson clifford)SANCHEZ M 123 15.00    
  (by SHAKIN IT UP out of LEROIANA by LEROIDESANIMAUX (BRZ))
 
HOU-4   02/11/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCYS MAJOR MIRCLE Dec16 Nov07 Oct07 Sep11 Aug12 (davis shawn )ALVAREZ L 121 3.50    
BRAHMS BOY Jan19 Jun03 Apr29 Mar31 Mar11 (sauceda jess)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 8.00    
UNION DATA Dec16 Nov25 Oct11 Sep16 Aug24 (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 121 1.00 33% 2.00    
DOSE'S DREAM Dec16 Nov24 Oct27 Oct11 Sep23 (baldillez a)BARANDELA SOFIA 123 12.00    
STAR SAILOR Jan21 Dec16 Oct28 Sep29 Sep06 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 121 3.00 24% 3.20    
KING OF JERSEY Jan26 Jan05 Dec05 Mar11 Jan20 (caldwell r)ELLIOTT S 123 10.00 21% 3.70    
 
HOU-5   02/11/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 45 ALL PT- 3:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COUNTRY CAPER Nov02 Sep21 Nov08 Oct20 Sep21 (bravo francisc)SANCHEZ OBED 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by EXCAPER out of TEAM ONE by ORATORY)
COWBOY BRODY Nov18 Sep21       (bravo franci)ALVAREZ L 123 15.00    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of R LADY HANSEN by HANSEN)
MR INSENSITIVE Jan28 Oct18 Oct02 Sep03 Aug06 (silva miguel)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 4.50    
  (by TAPWRIT out of BLUE GARTER by U S RANGER)
MONOLITH Jan28 Dec15 Dec07 Nov21 Oct26 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 123 10.00 18% 4.40    
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of BRILLIANT AUDREY by TALE OF THE CAT)
NERKY ROSE Jan28 Oct13 Jun25 Jun02 May13 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 123 6.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of CORDELHIA by AUSTRALIA (GB))
DAWSON CITY Aug25 Jul04 Jun04 May13 Apr13 (ashford ray)DIEGO V 123 1.40 36% 1.80    
  (by LAOBAN out of SWEET SARANNA by FOREST DANGER)
ONE LAST BID         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 3.50 23% 3.30    
  (by KINGMAN out of ACOMA by EMPIRE MAKER)
GRAND ENCORE Dec15 Nov09 Sep11 Aug20 Jun12 (gomez david)WETHEY JR 123 20.00    
  (by RULER'S COURT out of SIXTEEN GRAND by FESTIVE)
WITT'S JERRY Oct07 Sep06 Aug22     (davidson n)BRACHO A 123 30.00    
  (by DRUMS OF THUNDER out of QUEEN'S MEMORIES by INDYGO SHINER)
 
HOU-6   02/11/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($12K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HARRY Aug26 Aug13 Jul16 Jul02 May27 (roubion s)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 121 20.00 17% 4.90    
LET'S TIE ONE ON Jan12 Dec12 Nov21 Oct06 Apr08 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
SWEET TAPIN MORO Jul02 Jun18 Jun02 May06 Apr21 (whitton mark)SALAZAR TERESA 116 8.00    
SHANGHAI GOLD Aug12 Jun25 Jun08 May06 Apr08 (echeverria )BARANDELA SOFIA 121 20.00    
RED BIRD'S STORM Feb02 May27 May14 Apr29 Apr08 (govea cesar)GILES EMMANUEL 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
CREDIT RATING Feb02 Jan26 Dec14 Nov24 Oct06 (triana ju)TRIANA JR 123 3.00 31% 2.20    
PROUD TO SERVE Aug13 Jun15 May06 Mar10 Feb12 (uriegas joe)SANCHEZ OBED 121 12.00    
TEXAS HOLDEM Feb02 Jan12 Aug26 Jul20 Jun18 (silva miguel)DIEGO V 123 1.60 25% 2.90    
G E H GIANTS WAY Jan20 Dec20 Dec08 Nov09 Oct20 (west henry)BRACHO A 121 4.00    
 
HOU-7   02/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EURO TRACKING Jan26 Nov30 Nov14 Nov01 Sep29 (davidson sar)WISEMAN ISAIAH 121 20.00 8% 10.90    
BEHIND THE CURTAIN Jan19 Dec01 Oct14 Sep29 Sep02 (cravens ii)DIEGO V 121 3.00 10% 9.00    
DELIRIUM Jun10 May20 Apr21 Apr14 Mar31 (hodgson bar)BARANDELA SOFIA 121 12.00    
RASSLER Jan12 Dec01 Nov04 Sep23 Sep06 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 123 2.00 31% 2.20    
WAR ROGUE Oct13 Aug26 Aug13 Feb28 Dec21 (deleon a)SANCHEZ M 121 20.00    
MISTER K Jan28 Dec15 Nov30 Nov04 Oct19 (davidson ni)ELLIOTT S 121 4.00 28% 2.50    
SCR  WARRIOR'S MAP Sep20 Sep11 Aug30 Jul24 Jul03 (gourneau )CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 121 6.00    
CADDO FOX Dec02 Nov09 Oct28 Sep09 Jun10 (chacaltana domi)BENAVIDES D 121 30.00    
LANGUAGE BARRIER Sep24 Sep15 Sep03 Aug13 Jul26 (s)DE CRUZ 121 10.00    
 
HOU-8   02/11/2024 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($36.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAP THE DOT Sep22 Dec02 Oct21 Sep23 Sep09 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 121 1.60 62% 0.60    
GO SPEED RACER GO Jan06 Nov03 Sep29 Aug31 Jul02 (davidson n)BRACHO A 121 8.00    
ROBO Feb02 Jan15 Dec21 Dec03 Jul01 (govea cesar)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 15.00    
WHISKEY NOT WINE Jan06 Nov04 Aug19 Jul02 Jun15 (willis mindy)WADE LYNDIE 121 4.50    
IBERIAN RUNNER Jan26 Jan06 Sep09 Aug04 Jul17 (govea cesar)DIAZ RENE 123 10.00    
SCR  RIGHT TONE Jan26 Dec17 Nov11 Oct19 Sep23 (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 2.00    
COTTONWOOD Jan06 Nov25 Oct06 Sep23 Aug21 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116 3.50 8% 11.90    
SCR  DAME PLATA Sep07 Aug24 Jul04 Jun11 May12 (bravo franc)WETHEY JR 121 4.00    
CARLEA'S DREAM Jan05 Sep07 Aug05 Jul04 Jun03 (jacks e)DIEGO V 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  BLUE BOON Jan06 Dec15 Nov03 Sep23 Sep07 (ashford ray)JARA FERNANDO 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.