Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Gulfstream Park
Thursday - January 25, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

GP-1   WIN (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/2)-(5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/2)-(5/4/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GP-2   WIN (5/4/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/3/2)-(5/4/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/3/2)-(5/4/3/2)-(5/4/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/3/2)-(3/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GP-3   WIN (3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/5)-(3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/5)-(6/5/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GP-4   WIN (6/5/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/2/3)-(6/5/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/2/3)-(6/5/2/3)-(6/5/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/5/2/3)-(4/1/9/2/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
GP-5   WIN (4/1/9/2/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/1/9/2/12)-(4/1/9/2/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/1/9/2/12)-(4/1/9/2/12)-(4/1/9/2/12) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/1/9/2/12)-(4/6/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
GP-6   WIN (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/3)-(4/6/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/6/3)-(4/6/5/3)-(4/6/5/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/6/3)-(3/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
GP-7   WIN (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/4)-(3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/4)-(5/3/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
GP-8   WIN (5/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/8)-(5/3/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/8)-(5/3/8)-(5/3/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/8)-(4/7/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GP-9   WIN (4/7/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/2/8)-(4/7/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/2/8)-(4/7/2/8)-(4/7/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
GP-1   01/25/2024 5280ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($50K) 4UP ALL PT-12:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLACK FURY Jun25 May25 Jul30     (sierra ruben)ZAPICO SILVIA 123 2.00    
DECISIVE PRIDE Jan12 Dec23 Nov11 Oct08 Sep10 (sierra ruben)MORELOS E 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
CACCIATORE Nov03 Jul30 Jul09 Jun04 Aug13 (coy ronald)ORTIZ L 123 2.50 27% 2.70    
THIS DUDE A BREEZE Jan05 Dec03 Nov19 Oct20 Sep24 (tharre)VASQUEZ ANGEL 123 10.00    
MAIN LINE CIPHER Jan11 Nov22 May04 Mar31   (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 1.80 50% 1.00    
TOP MAVERICK Jan12 Dec16 Oct20 Jun30 May25 (lerman michael)JARAMILLO E 123 6.00    
SCR  FOREVER SAUCY Jan07 Dec06 Aug25 Aug10 Jul20 (ochoa gerard)RIOS M 123 30.00    
 
GP-2   01/25/2024 5280ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($42K) 4UP ALL PT-12:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PHILEAS FOGG Jan04 Oct12 Sep02 Jul15 Jun28 (toner j)ORTIZ L 123 6.00    
WINE EMPIRE Jul01 Jun04 Apr08 Jan01 Nov13 (parbhoo shivanan)EGAN DAVID 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
ANAMNESTIC Dec29 Dec09 Nov04 Oct14 Sep02 (danner kelsey)PEREZ EDGAR 121 12.00 19% 4.20    
BROKEN SPUR Jul01 May27 Mar30 Jul03 May22 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 3.50 26% 2.90    
EXTREME ACCESS Dec29 Sep17 Aug11 May27 May14 (falcone r)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 2.50 27% 2.70    
HEART N SOUL Jan05 Dec10 Nov16 Oct25 Aug31 (irion heather)ORTIZ JR 121 6.00    
ROUGH DRAFT Jan05 Nov10 Sep15 Aug17 Jul13 (russell brit)CASTELLANO J 121 4.00    
WHAT SAY THEE Dec31 Oct21 Sep10 Aug05 Jul08 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 121 4.50    
 
GP-3   01/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($22K) 3 ALL PT- 1:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOURBON WARRIOR Dec31         (moubarak nade)MORALES ANGEL 118 15.00    
SIXTEEN CIGARETTES Dec31 Nov24 Sep09 Aug25   (david car)MALDONADO GABRIEL 111 4.00    
SUPERFIGHT Jan05 Sep30       (yates michael)RIVERA JON 111 3.00 30% 2.30    
GRAN ROQUE Dec10         (delgado gust)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 1.60 28% 2.50    
VITO'S BROTHER Oct15 Sep10 Aug19 Jul22 Jul01 (spatz b)SAEZ LUIS 118 1.80 21% 3.70    
HERCULES N LOVE Jan12 Dec31 Dec01 Oct07 Aug29 (munoz carlos)GALVAN JHAIR 118 30.00    
 
GP-4   01/25/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VACATION SUITE Dec14 Oct29 Oct08 Sep09 Aug18 (o'connell k)CONCEPCION AXEL 123 3.50    
INDIA PILAGA (ARG) Dec14 Sep09 Aug18 Jul30 Jun23 (duco luis)PEREZ EDGAR 123 6.00 7% 13.50    
KRABI Jan04 Dec01 Oct14 Sep24 Sep08 (levy l)PANICI LUCA 123 15.00 6% 15.00    
FUNTASTICA Jan04 Oct14 Jul29 Jul01 Jun10 (negret)VASQUEZ ANGEL 123 20.00    
TRIBUTE Oct08 Sep09 Aug18 Aug11 Jul16 (valery paul)MORALES ANGEL 123 3.00 21% 3.80    
NUMERIC Jan18 Dec30 Dec09 Aug19 Jul29 (crichton roh)THOMAS ANTHONY 123 1.40 40% 1.50    
BULLET VALENTINA Jan04 Dec22 Oct08 Sep23 Aug26 (coy ronald)RIVERA JON 116 8.00    
 
GP-5   01/25/2024 4950ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($35K) Purse ($35K) 3 F PT- 2:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SKINNY COSMO Jan04 Dec08 Oct20     (romans dale)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 4.50 33% 2.00    
BONMATI Nov19 Sep23 Sep02     (joseph saffie )ORTIZ L 118 6.00 6% 16.10    
PRIVACY SETTING (FR)         (brown chad)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00    
CITRUS BELLE Dec26 Nov10       (orseno josep)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 6.00 33% 2.00    
BUTTERFLY QUEEN Dec29 Nov29 Oct11 Sep16   (maker micha)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 5.00    
HALEY'S HAPPY GIRL Dec26 Nov19 Oct10 Sep06 Aug08 (hiles a)JARAMILLO E 118 30.00    
CORRIN PEAK Dec02         (russell brittany )SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00    
MISS TARISANSOL Dec29         (gonzal)VASQUEZ ANGEL 118 20.00    
SHEILA'S MISSION Dec29         (dibona robert)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00 6% 14.90    
SCR  CHANNEL LOOP Dec28 Dec08 Nov04     (trombetta mic)VELAZQUEZ R 118 12.00    
SCR  SPECTACULAR FORCE         (drexler martin)PEREZ EDGAR 118 15.00    
12  VANISHING WISH         (sierra ruben)REYES LEONEL 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
GP-6   01/25/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($26K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WICKLOW GAL Dec22 Nov18 Sep29 Aug13 Jul15 (spatz b)RIVERA JON 116 12.00    
DUBSTEP Dec22 Nov19 Oct06 Dec23 Dec09 (eppler e)ORTIZ JR 123 8.00    
ANDIE ONE Jan11 Aug18 Aug04 Jul15 Jun02 (biancone p)ASMUSSEN J 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
BLETCHLEY GIRL Dec22 Dec14 Nov18 Aug05 Jul15 (ciamei matthew)ORTIZ L 123 3.50 47% 1.10    
TIZ ENOUGH Nov19 Oct27 May25 Apr28 Nov11 (allinson ver)LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 4.00    
NEOGEM Dec29 Nov05 Sep10 May13 Apr15 (dobles eliza)CASTELLANO J 123 2.50 18% 4.70    
WORLDLY BEAUTY Dec07 Sep12 Jul03 Jun13 May24 (drexler ma)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 3.00    
 
GP-7   01/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($59K) 3 F PT- 3:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLUEISH Jan05 Dec08       (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 120 1.80 25% 3.00    
CANT STOP DREAMING Dec29 Oct29 Oct01 Sep03 Aug13 (perez lu)PANICI LUCA 120 10.00    
STAR OF SATURN Sep22 Aug06       (dibona robert)ORTIZ JR 120 1.20 49% 1.10    
MIST Dec09 Oct21 Sep09 Aug20 Jul14 (alvarado ju)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
BELLE'S BLUE BELL Dec29 Dec03 Nov05 Sep28   (david a)BRAVO J 120 6.00    
KHOZY COLBY Dec26 Dec07 Nov10 Sep10 Aug03 (baxter georgin)ORTIZ L 118 15.00    
 
GP-8   01/25/2024 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($34K) 3 F PT- 3:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NICKY JOLENE Jan04 Nov04 Sep24 Jul09 Jun15 (falcone rober)VELAZQUEZ R 118 6.00    
PAMZ PALACE Jan03 Dec22 Dec02 Oct22 Oct01 (pickett cry)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 20.00    
LITTLE MINSKY Dec26         (giddings mel)BRIDGMOHAN X 118 8.00 12% 7.20    
SCR  NO FAKE Dec01 Nov04       (delgado h)GIL CIPRIANO 118 8.00    
PARDY PLEASER Dec02 Nov05 Sep30 Sep02 Aug20 (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 118 1.40 45% 1.20    
SCR  SWEET MISS Jan05 Dec07 Nov11 Oct07 Sep16 (williams mat)THOMAS ANTHONY 118 12.00    
SPECIAL AFFAIR Dec26 Dec07 Oct28 Sep24 Sep09 (de cerda)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 4.50    
WISCO DISCO Nov17 Nov07 Oct20     (danner kelsey)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00 11% 8.00    
 
GP-9   01/25/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($31K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GENERAL'S DUTY Nov09 Oct12 Aug26 Jul23 Jul09 (cibelli jane)ORTIZ JR 123 3.50    
JERRY'S TURN Dec31 Dec03 Sep16 Aug26 Jun16 (hills a)PANICI LUCA 123 12.00 13% 6.50    
SCR  MEDIA SENSATION Jan11 Dec16 Dec07 Nov04 Aug12 (cordero eniel)SAEZ LUIS 123 15.00    
MISTER ABARRIO Jan04 Nov09 Sep17 Jul28 Jun25 (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 1.80 31% 2.20    
HIGH STAKES Dec23 Dec07 Nov04 Oct13 Aug31 (brion keri)CASTELLANO J 123 10.00    
SCR  VICTORS VALIANT Dec29 Dec10 Nov06 Oct21 Oct10 (abreu r)ORTIZ L 123 8.00    
JEBY Dec23 Oct27 Sep08 Aug11 Jul13 (plesa edward)ZAYAS J 123 3.50 26% 2.80    
GOOD RAPPORT Dec28 Dec09 Nov02 Oct15 Sep14 (begg b)LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
THE MAR Nov04 Oct14 Sep15 Aug20 Jul23 (nunez eduardo)RIOS M 123 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.