Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Sunland Park
Thursday - January 11, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SUN-1   WIN (1/9/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/9/4/5)-(1/9/4/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    TRI (1/9/4/5)-(1/9/4/5)-(1/9/4/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (1/9/4/5)-(2/1/8/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
SUN-2   WIN (2/1/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/8/4)-(2/1/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/8/4)-(2/1/8/4)-(2/1/8/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (2/1/8/4)-(5/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/8/4)-(5/4/2)-(4/12/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
SUN-3   WIN (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/2)-(5/4/2/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/4/2)-(5/4/2/7)-(5/4/2/7) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (5/4/2)-(4/12/9)-(4/2/3/5/12) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
SUN-4   WIN (4/12/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/12/9)-(4/12/9/10/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/12/9)-(4/12/9/10/11)-(4/12/9/10/11) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
    PK3 (4/12/9)-(4/2/3/5/12)-(5/7/11/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
SUN-5   WIN (4/2/3/5/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/2/3/5/12)-(4/2/3/5/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/2/3/5/12)-(4/2/3/5/12)-(4/2/3/5/12) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
SUN-6   WIN (5/7/11/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/11/8)-(5/7/11/9/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/7/11/8)-(5/7/11/9/8)-(5/7/11/9/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
SUN-7   WIN (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/3)-(2/1/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/1/3)-(2/1/3/6)-(2/1/3/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (2/1/3)-(4/2/5)-(3/2/8) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
SUN-8   WIN (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/5)-(4/2/9/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/2/5)-(4/2/9/5)-(4/2/9/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (4/2/5)-(3/2/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
SUN-9   WIN (3/2/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/8)-(3/2/8/10) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/2/8)-(3/2/8/10)-(3/2/8/10) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SUN-1   01/11/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($16.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KING BRYCE Nov27 Nov07 Oct01 Sep14 Aug06 (hernandez l)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 2.50 37% 1.70    
2  RAPPING RUMOR Nov07         (barrios bernade)ROSENDO J 124 8.00    
3  ITSNOWTROUBLEATALL Nov14 Jun17 Mar26     (barrios bernadette)TORRES J 121 20.00    
4  SHAME ON ZCUINTLE Dec05 Nov14 Sep14 Jul15 Jun16 (quiroz filib)MEDELLIN ERICK 121 3.50 18% 4.50    
5  MIST N SEVEN Dec18 Nov27 Nov07 Oct18   (story chad)MEDINA ANTHONY 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  BULL MOON Dec19         (buechler s)RODRIGUEZ H 121 12.00    
SCR  COMFORT KISS Dec20 Dec05 Sep09 Aug19 Jul10 (young a)JAIME R 121 10.00    
8  SMARTY'S BERTRANDO Sep14 Aug26 Aug18 Jul29 May06 (leyba rub)ARREDONDO GABRIEL 124 20.00    
9  DESERT PUNK Dec19 Nov07 Aug18     (marr j)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 121 2.00 24% 3.20    
 
SUN-2   01/11/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOR FUN Dec19 Nov01 Oct18 Sep30 Sep08 (green greg)PEREZ A 123 4.00 17% 5.00    
2  TIME IS PRECIOUS Dec05 Nov13 Aug05 May07 Apr08 (cappellucci dick)MEDELLIN A 123 4.50 22% 3.60    
3  ROCKIN MARIE Dec18 Dec11 Nov14 Oct11 Sep09 (valdez-cabr)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 3.50    
4  BODIE'SLITTLEGIRL Oct20 Oct06 Sep15 Nov21 Oct31 (summers nancy)PURCELL KELSI 123 6.00 14% 6.30    
5  GRAN MANNA Dec15 Nov11 Aug25 Jul28 Jul08 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 123 6.00    
6  BOISTEROUSLY IRISH Dec19 Dec12 Nov21 Nov06 Oct06 (chavez)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 123 12.00    
7  SHE HIT A HOMER Dec12 Nov06 Oct18 Oct01 Sep02 (chavez )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 5.00    
8  WILLSHERWONTSHE Dec12 Oct14 Sep27 Sep02 Aug05 (olguin ever)CARRENO J 123 8.00 15% 5.80    
 
SUN-3   01/11/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PINEY BLUFF Dec18 Nov14 Oct29 Oct06 Sep17 (pierce thoma)MEDELLIN ERICK 121 8.00    
2  AQUIMINE Dec05 Nov14 Oct21 Sep30 Apr04 (lambert casey)JUAREZ J 124 12.00 7% 13.50    
3  ABETEMARCO Dec19 Nov14 Oct29 Sep30 Sep03 (marquez l)ROSENDO J 124 20.00    
4  LET THERE BE PEACE Dec05 Oct13 Sep30 May06 Apr16 (gonzalez andres)MEDELLIN A 121 4.00 14% 6.00    
5  IM STILL THIRSTY Dec05 Nov21 Oct13 Sep17 Jul30 (valdez-cabr)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 124 1.60 56% 0.80    
SCR  ABSTRACT KAT Dec20 Dec11 Oct27 Sep30 Sep09 (gonzal)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 124 15.00    
7  ANOTHERFORBROOKS Dec05 Oct15 Oct08 Jul23 Jul09 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 5.00 ★    
8  JON L Dec05 Nov14 Oct21 Sep17 Sep03 (pierce w)LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00    
SCR  WILD FIREWATER Dec11 Nov21 Oct22 Oct06 Sep17 (meridyth david)TORRES J 124 12.00    
 
SUN-4   01/11/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.2K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIMPLY ELEMENTARY Dec12 Nov21 Nov06 Oct20 Oct06 (wheeler travi)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 15.00    
2  LITTLE RED RIFLE Nov14 Oct22 Sep03 Aug27 Aug10 (woolley b)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 10.00    
3  START THEM UP Nov14 Oct22 Sep09 Aug12 Jul29 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 121 12.00    
4  BLUE JEAN BOURBON Dec12 Dec04 Nov07 Oct04 Sep15 (lambert t)CARRENO J 121 4.50 43% 1.30    
5  FARMER FRED R F Dec20 Dec04 Sep17 May29 May06 (martinez a)TORRES J 124 20.00    
6  GOLDENSPA Dec18 Sep24 Aug10 Jul23 Jun03 (cappellucci dic)LOPEZ KARLO 121 4.00    
7  SPEND AGAIN Dec12 Oct06 Sep02 Jul20 Jul12 (gonzal)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 124 12.00    
8  REIGN OVER ME Dec12 Nov14 Oct28 Oct07 Sep16 (quiroz filibert)VERGARA P 121 10.00    
9  YOU'RE MY BOY KAT Dec05 Nov21 Oct13 Jul30 Jul22 (gonzalez jo)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  FULL BORE Dec12 Oct28 Oct01 Sep15 Sep03 (woolley l)MEDELLIN A 124 8.00 ★    
11  GREENBRIER Dec20 Dec04 Nov14 Oct22 Oct06 (hone bart)ROSENDO J 124 6.00 ★    
12  MUSICS MY VICE Dec20 Dec04 Oct07 Aug06 Jul09 (fincher w)VALDEZ S 121 5.00 28% 2.60    
 
SUN-5   01/11/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I AM THE JUAN Dec20 Dec04 Oct28 Oct13 Sep24 (morales danny)PEREZ A 124 12.00    
2  SPEED BUMP BOB Dec12 Nov07 Sep24 Aug18 Jul09 (buechler simo)JUAREZ J 121 3.50 15% 5.50    
3  NOGAL CANYON Dec05 Nov21 Nov07 Aug04 Jun16 (munoz guadalupe)ROSENDO J 124 12.00 12% 7.40    
4  TEE ROY Dec20 Nov14 Sep03 Aug04 Jul15 (gonzalez r)LOPEZ KARLO 121 4.00 40% 1.50    
5  HENNESSY LOOKER RF Dec20 Dec04 Oct18 Sep20 Sep03 (gonzalez an)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 10.00 10% 8.80    
6  FORWARD OBSERVER Dec05 Oct13 Sep20 Sep03 Aug04 (gonzalez sal)VILLANUEVA C 124 20.00    
7  ATTILAS TORNADO Nov21 Oct28 Oct18 Sep17 Jul30 (buechler j)MEDELLIN A 121 6.00    
8  CHA CHING CHARLIE Dec05 Nov13 Oct25 Sep13 Sep03 (leon alexis)MEDINA ANTHONY 124 15.00    
9  CASH CRUZER Dec20 Dec04 Nov07 Oct25 Oct01 (martinez frankie )CARRENO J 124 20.00    
10  DAN WHO Dec11 Nov21 Oct22 Sep24 Sep03 (gonzale)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 4.50    
11  DEACON BEACON Dec20 Dec04 Aug21 Jul31 Jul03 (young a)TORRES J 124 15.00    
12  RARE COIN Dec05 Oct28 Oct18 Sep24 Sep03 (barrios b)ARREDONDO GABRIEL 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
SUN-6   01/11/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SENSE OF URGENCY Feb28 Dec12 Oct30 Oct17 Jul29 (chadborn k)JAIME R 121 8.00    
2  MICKEYS GOLD Dec11 Oct27 Oct14 Sep23 Sep02 (lambert t)VERGARA P 124 20.00    
3  SMOOTH BLUES Dec11 Oct20 Sep23 Sep03 Aug18 (rojero luis )MEDELLIN ERICK 124 15.00    
4  COMING ABSTRACTION Dec11 Oct22 Sep24 May21 May06 (olguin ever)VALDEZ S 124 12.00    
5  MR. BIG RIG Dec20 Dec04 Oct13 Sep17 Sep03 (marlin i)HEBERT J 124 5.00 54% 0.90    
6  TATAS JOE MARK Dec11 Dec04 Nov07 Oct08 Sep20 (valdez-cabral)JUAREZ J 121 3.50    
7  DIM THE LIGHTS Dec12 Nov07 Oct01 Sep13 Aug04 (cappelluc)VALENZUELA A 121 4.00 19% 4.20    
8  RYDERS UP Dec11 Nov20 Oct29 Oct20 Oct07 (gonzalez francisco)TORRES J 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  QUANTUM BULL Dec04 Nov07 Oct18 Oct06 Sep24 (barrios bernade)ROSENDO J 124 6.00 ★    
10  SHAME ON ROOSTER Dec11 Nov20 Sep10 Jul14 Jun25 (woolley l)TOHILL S 124 10.00    
11  GAMBLING COWBOY Dec11 Oct27 Sep23 Sep03 May20 (middleton goldbou)CARRENO J 124 12.00 5% 17.90    
 
SUN-7   01/11/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZIA ZAPPER Dec20 Nov06 Feb28 Jan29 Nov22 (marr h)TOHILL S 121 3.00 21% 3.80    
2  MEDIMPACT Oct29 Oct01 Sep03 Jun22 May27 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 121 3.50 34% 2.00    
3  MONGOLIAN KINGDOM Dec19 Nov28 Nov14 Sep24 Sep16 (cappellucci dick)VALDEZ S 124 2.50 14% 6.20    
4  GREY STORM Dec19 Nov20 Nov07 Oct04 Sep04 (gonzalez r)LOPEZ KARLO 124 10.00    
5  SECRET POTION Feb09 Dec17 Oct31 Oct05 Aug27 (hone bart)MEDELLIN A 124 12.00    
6  CAPITAL JOKE Dec19 Dec04 Oct29 Oct01 Sep03 (green greg)ROSENDO J 121 8.00 ★    
7  FOUND MY BALL Dec06 Nov22       (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 119 4.00    
 
SUN-8   01/11/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21.3K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ITS FIVE SOMEWHERE Dec18 Oct21 Oct06 Aug20 Jul29 (christian billy)LOPEZ KARLO 124 12.00    
2  DADDY WHAT IF Nov28 Oct11 Jul15 Jun18 May29 (cross gar)VALENZUELA A 124 4.00 27% 2.80    
SCR  WILLTOBELUCKY Dec18 Nov28 Oct25 Oct11 Sep10 (marquez jose)MEDINA ANTHONY 124 10.00    
4  MITHQAAL Mar11 Dec01 Nov07 Oct18 May15 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 124 2.50 50% 1.00    
5  BURNZ DA BOSS Dec18 Nov20 Jun23 Apr23 Apr08 (munoz g)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  THIRSTY ECHO Dec04 Nov14 Oct21 Oct13 Sep03 (archuleta adam)CARRENO J 124 12.00    
7  THE LAST FEAT Nov06 Oct06 Jul22 Mar26 Feb28 (singh johnny)TORRES J 124 8.00    
8  LETTHERAINSETTLEIT Nov21 Oct29 Oct13 Sep11 Aug26 (story chad)VERGARA P 124 5.00    
9  HA HA FOR YOU Nov28 Nov14 Oct29 Oct01 Sep03 (summers nancy)TOHILL S 121 6.00 ★    
 
SUN-9   01/11/2024 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($15.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  EL CHUMELITO Dec18 Dec04 Oct29 Oct13 Sep17 (wheeler travis)MEDELLIN A 124 12.00    
2  PALACE PRINCE Dec10 Nov22 Nov13 Oct17 Sep18 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 119 3.50 27% 2.70    
3  KIRBY DERBY Nov28 Nov07 Oct29 Oct06 Sep01 (woolley bennie )LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00 27% 2.70    
4  VODKA TWIST Dec19 Dec04 Nov06 Sep09 Aug25 (padilla fr)RODRIGUEZ H 124 20.00    
SCR  PUSH THROUGH Dec20 Oct25 Aug03 Jul26 Jul09 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 10.00    
SCR  SLY Dec12 Dec04 Nov13 Oct22 Apr23 (chavez arturo)CARRENO J 124 4.00    
7  HOLY EMPEROR Nov21 Oct14 Sep30 Sep15 Aug19 (buechler simon )ROSENDO J 124 10.00    
8  PERFECT COME BACK Mar13 Feb19 Jan31 Jan18 Dec10 (kereluk edwar)JUAREZ J 124 8.00 18% 4.70    
9  SEXY DEXY Dec07 Nov02 Sep14 Jul23 Jun23 (cappellucci dick)VALDEZ S 124 10.00    
10  WILMAS IRISH ROVER Nov28 Oct29 Oct07 Sep01 May14 (gonzalez an)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 124 4.50 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.