Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Laurel Park
Sunday - December 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LRL-1   WIN (12/11/9/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (12/11/9/10)-(12/11/9/10/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (12/11/9/10)-(12/11/9/10/7)-(12/11/9/10/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (12/11/9/10)-(4/9/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (12/11/9/10)-(4/9/3)-(5/1/8/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LRL-2   WIN (4/9/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/9/3)-(4/9/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/9/3)-(4/9/3/5)-(4/9/3/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/9/3)-(5/1/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/9/3)-(5/1/8/2)-(8/5/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-3   WIN (5/1/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/8/2)-(5/1/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/8/2)-(5/1/8/2)-(5/1/8/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/8/2)-(8/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/8/2)-(8/5/7)-(3/2/8/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LRL-4   WIN (8/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/5/7)-(8/5/7/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/5/7)-(8/5/7/6)-(8/5/7/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/5/7)-(3/2/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/5/7)-(3/2/8/7)-(12/5/10/4/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LRL-5   WIN (3/2/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/8/7)-(3/2/8/1/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/2/8/7)-(3/2/8/1/7)-(3/2/8/1/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/2/8/7)-(12/5/10/4/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/2/8/7)-(12/5/10/4/9)-(2/8/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LRL-6   WIN (12/5/10/4/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (12/5/10/4/9)-(12/5/10/4/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (12/5/10/4/9)-(12/5/10/4/9)-(12/5/10/4/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (12/5/10/4/9)-(2/8/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (12/5/10/4/9)-(2/8/4)-(4/1/3) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
LRL-7   WIN (2/8/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/8/4)-(2/8/4/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/4)-(2/8/4/3/7)-(2/8/4/3/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/8/4)-(4/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/8/4)-(4/1/3)-(8/3/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
LRL-8   WIN (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/3)-(4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/3)-(8/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
LRL-9   WIN (8/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/3/1)-(8/3/1/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/3/1)-(8/3/1/7)-(8/3/1/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LRL-1   12/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SPEAKERIT Dec07 Oct28 Sep30 Sep07 Aug20 (kee j)DELGADO A 119 30.00    
2  DESPITE ODDS Dec01 Nov09 Jun24 Jun02 May13 (brion keri)CHAVEZ ANDRES 116 8.00    
SCR  FREESTANDING Dec01 Nov12 Nov05 Oct01 Sep17 (sillaman richard)CRUZ ANGEL 122 15.00    
SCR  SURF CITY GOLD Dec07 Nov23 Nov09 Oct19 Oct06 (mckenzie dan)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 30.00    
5  SMOOTH RICO Dec01 Nov04 Oct06 Sep10 Aug18 (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 12.00    
6  RASCALLY REBEL Dec02 Nov25 Nov04 Oct20 Oct06 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 118 30.00    
7  DISPUTED NOTION Nov25 Oct19 Sep29 Sep08 Aug11 (tapscot)BRICENO GREGOR 119 8.00 ★    
8  SCIENCE (IRE) Nov25 Nov05 Oct21 Sep08 Aug20 (gorham michael )MENA E 119 20.00    
9  GABRIEL'S WING Dec07 Nov11 Oct28 Oct05 Mar05 (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 125 4.50 14% 6.00    
10  NICK'S LITTLE BOY Dec01 Nov01 Oct07 Sep21 Aug25 (capuano phi)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 118 15.00 10% 8.90    
11  SALOON Dec02 Nov16 Oct22 Sep24 Sep08 (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 125 2.50 20% 4.00    
12  ISLAND D'LITE Nov25 Nov04 Oct20 Sep09 Jul29 (magee kieron)ROJAS MARTINA 116 3.00 27% 2.60    
SCR  TOUCH CODE Nov23 Nov04 Sep20 Sep01 Aug16 (troxell)NAVARRO J 123 20.00    
 
LRL-2   12/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT-12:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLASSY SOLUTION Nov26 Oct28 Oct11 Sep14 Sep02 (nazario pedro)TREJOS JOSEPH 123 30.00    
SCR  ONE MORE FACTOR Dec08 Nov22 Sep22 Aug25 Aug06 (maldonado jon)CHAVEZ ANDRES 116 30.00    
3  RUDY ROD Nov29 Nov13 Oct25 Sep26 Sep06 (velazquez)CARRASCO R 123 8.00 5% 18.40    
4  WILD BEHAVIOR Dec01 Nov16 Oct20 Oct04 Aug27 (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 2.00 54% 0.80    
5  SPITBALL Nov26 Nov03 Oct20 Oct01 Sep22 (maldona)BRICENO GREGOR 123 3.00 ★    
6  THE CAIRO KID Aug18 Aug04 May12 Mar31 Mar11 (eubanks annette )CRUZ ANGEL 123 10.00    
7  CROWNEDCOUNTCRISTO Dec08 Nov12 Oct22 Sep22 Aug27 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 126 10.00    
SCR  DIALING DIXIE Nov02 Oct01 Aug27 Aug18 Jul06 (haughton)RODRIGUEZ L 113 15.00    
9  HIS NAME IS SUE Nov19 Oct20 Oct01 Sep24 Aug25 (howard david)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 2.50 17% 4.90    
 
LRL-3   12/17/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 35 ALL PT- 1:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FULL IRISH Nov26 Feb19       (gaudet lac)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 125 3.00 16% 5.30    
  (by IRISH WAR CRY out of TO GIVE by BLUEGRASS CAT)
2  HARD TRAVELER Oct26 Oct06 Jul08 Jun16 May29 (keefe timothy )BOYCE FOREST 126 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of BITTERROOT by NOT FOR LOVE)
3  MARTY'S MAGIC Jun17 May14 Mar18 Feb12 Jan14 (de ho)CARRASCO R 125 20.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of ECHO STORM by THUNDER GULCH)
4  MOSLER TIME         (lynch catha)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 125 12.00    
  (by MOSLER out of CURLINS QUEEN by CURLIN)
5  CASTLE ISLAND Mar11 Feb20       (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 125 1.40 45% 1.20    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of LISZY'S UNION by DIXIE UNION)
6  NAPOLEON'S WAR Oct28         (wagner karin)BARBOSA JEIRON 125 20.00    
  (by WAR FRONT out of AZM by TAPIT)
7  TWIRLING EXPRESS Nov19 Oct08 Aug13 Jul28 Jun30 (martin ramon )CHAVEZ ANDRES 118 30.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of RUTHVILLE by AFLEET ALEX)
8  NASTY HABIT Nov19 Apr14       (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 1.80 16% 5.40    
  (by VIOLENCE out of LEMON BELLE by LEMON DROP KID)
 
LRL-4   12/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($30K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUMO (ARG) Nov23 Oct28 Oct05 Sep01 Mar17 (gaudet lacey)ROSADO JOHAN 126 10.00    
2  TAKE CHARGE TOO Nov16 Sep28 Sep08 Aug13 Aug04 (magee kieron)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 12.00    
3  MY LAST MISSION Nov10 Oct15 Sep03 Aug11 Jul08 (dilodovico da)KARAMANOS A 119 8.00    
SCR  GOT THUNDER Nov12 Oct26 Aug05 Jun18 Apr30 (jacobson david)CRUZ ANGEL 126 3.00    
5  JEOPARDY JAMES Nov04 Sep21 Aug30 Jul19 Jul24 (alvarado diane)PEREZ XAVIER 123 6.00 11% 8.00    
6  CAPT. CANDY Nov20 Nov08 Sep16 Aug17 Aug04 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 6.00 ★    
7  BY ITS ABSENCE Dec09 Dec01 Nov05 Oct19 Oct07 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 125 5.00 10% 9.50    
8  FOOLISH GHOST Nov26 Nov04 Sep28 Jul30 Jul13 (corrales jose)MENA E 126 2.50 53% 0.90    
 
LRL-5   12/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($40K) Purse ($40K) 2 F PT- 2:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REMEMBER ME Nov25 Oct14 Aug31 Aug05 Jul22 (robb john)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 119 6.00 ★    
2  CHUBLIN Nov22 Oct28 Oct07 Sep03 Aug12 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 119 4.00 32% 2.10    
3  TINA TINA TINA Oct23 Oct08 Aug31 Aug11 Jun17 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 115 3.50 37% 1.70    
4  TRUE SUNSHINE Nov25 Oct28 Oct05 Aug25   (howard)LOPEZ EDUARDO 119 6.00    
5  FLOGE Dec09 Nov17 Nov06 Sep16 Sep04 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 115 8.00    
6  MOMMA'S LINO Oct28 Sep22 Sep01     (dilodovico d)BARBOSA JEIRON 115 8.00    
7  FEELIN SO LUCKY Nov17 Oct28 Oct13 Sep22 Aug25 (eubanks annet)ROJAS MARTINA 114 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  CLUCK CLUCK Nov12 Oct21       (cox m)CRUZ ANGEL 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  VELVET VIXEN Sep16 Jul29 Jul18     (lynch catha)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 119 12.00    
10  CALL ANOTHER PLAY Nov17 Oct07 Aug31 Aug11   (trombetta mic)KARAMANOS A 119 6.00    
SCR  WAIT FOR TOMORROW Nov25 Oct22 Oct03 Aug24 Jul21 (trombetta)CARRASCO R 115 30.00    
 
LRL-6   12/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($58K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PEPPERMINT CLASS Nov02 Oct04 Sep15 Aug24 Jul15 (alvarado diane)PEREZ XAVIER 123 30.00    
2  FRECCIA D'ARGENTO Nov24 Oct28 Sep30 Sep16 Aug25 (sanchez-salomon )CRUZ ANGEL 123 15.00    
3  IN MY OPINION Oct30 Oct02 Sep18 Sep01 Aug19 (gaudet lace)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 123 30.00    
4  MAVILUS Nov24 Oct14 Sep04 Jul26 Jul18 (mancilla carl)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 8.00 6% 15.90    
5  I CAN RUN Nov25 Nov04 Oct15 Sep29 Aug27 (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 123 3.00 15% 5.90    
SCR  CARROLL GIRL Nov03 Sep28 Aug24 Jul15 Jun28 (gorham mich)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 15.00    
7  CHAMPAGNE TOAST Nov25 Nov11 Oct15 Sep16 Jul27 (gaudet lac)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 123 20.00    
8  CONTINENTALCONGRES Nov24 Oct15 Sep29 Sep02 Aug04 (trombetta mic)KARAMANOS A 123 2.50    
9  RUDA Nov25 Nov04 Sep03 Aug19 Aug06 (gonzal)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  KNICKERSINATWIST Nov22 Oct30 Oct10 Sep18 Aug18 (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 123 12.00 7% 12.70    
11  HAINT BLUE (FR) Nov25 Nov19 Nov04 Oct15 Oct13 (smith ham)CARRASCO R 122 30.00    
12  PHAROAHS BABY GYAL Jan13 Nov14 Oct06 Sep11   (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 3.50 51% 1.00    
 
LRL-7   12/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($45K) Purse ($44K) 2 ALL PT- 3:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  COME RAIN OR SHINE         (trombetta mic)KARAMANOS A 122 15.00    
2  PRADO ROAD Oct14 Sep30       (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 2.50 67% 0.50    
3  BRADY BEAR         (russell brittany)CRUZ ANGEL 122 6.00 ★    
4  NEIL TO THE KING Dec03 Nov11 Oct21     (capuano phi)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  DAVYJONZ         (graham ro)CARRASCO R 122 30.00    
6  THREE CAPTAINS Nov16 Oct27       (smith h)BRICENO GREGOR 122 12.00    
7  MISSION NORTH Nov18 Oct05       (trombetta mich)ROSADO JOHAN 122 5.00 ★    
8  DALINAR Oct28 Sep01       (ashby lynn)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 10.00 9% 10.20    
9  SQUARE SLICE Nov16 Oct05       (bracciale )HUMPHREY WILLIAM 122 20.00    
SCR  ENZO Nov24 Oct27 Oct05     (merryman eliz)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 3.50    
11  MANTUA MAN Nov24         (milosevic mila)BOYCE FOREST 122 15.00    
 
LRL-8   12/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIMPLY STATED Nov20 Sep11 Aug18 Aug08 Jun22 (trombetta m)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 8.00 33% 2.10    
2  DECO STRONG Nov20 Nov03 Sep16 Aug26 Aug06 (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 123 20.00    
3  MS. BUCCHERO Nov03 Sep16 Aug09 Jul08 Jun01 (alvarado diane)ROSADO JOHAN 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  WHISKEY AND RYE Nov03 Sep10 Jun23 May19 Feb24 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 126 2.50 34% 2.00    
5  BENEATH THE STARS Dec01 Nov04 Sep16 Sep01 Aug06 (gaudet lacey)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 1.60    
6  FUHGEDDABOUDIT May28 Apr29 Mar12 Feb17 Jan22 (robb john)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 123 6.00    
SCR  SELF ISOLATION Nov03 Oct12 Sep10 Aug06 Jul01 (jacobson david)CRUZ ANGEL 123 3.00    
 
LRL-9   12/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($29K) 35 M/F PT- 4:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG BOURBON BABY         (gorham mich)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 15.00 14% 6.20    
2  JOB'S NOT FINISHED Nov26 Nov03 Jul12 Jun22 Jun09 (mohan da)RODRIGUEZ L 111 20.00    
3  FREE ADMISSION Nov26 Nov03 Oct12 Sep02 Jul21 (salzman john )TOLEDO JEVIAN 121 3.00 15% 5.80    
4  PEACHESSWEETNOTION Nov03 Oct12 Sep08 May14 Apr07 (perri gin)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 125 6.00    
SCR  REES Nov05 Oct13 Sep01 Aug17 Aug02 (howard)LOPEZ EDUARDO 126 8.00    
SCR  DIANE         (alvarado diane)PEREZ XAVIER 126 6.00    
7  FORGOTTEN GIFT Nov26 Oct15 Sep24 Sep16 Aug05 (frock charles)CHAVEZ ANDRES 114 6.00 ★    
8  GOLDEN CHARM Dec01 Oct19 Sep24 Sep08 Aug12 (albert )ORTIZ ORLANDO 125 2.50 49% 1.00    
9  I CAN DO IT Dec01 May04 Feb25 Jan13 Dec04 (gamber )BRICENO GREGOR 126 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.