Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Gulfstream Park
Thursday - December 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

GP-1   WIN (6/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/5)-(6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/5)-(2/1/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GP-2   WIN (2/1/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/8/5)-(2/1/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/8/5)-(2/1/8/5)-(2/1/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/8/5)-(4/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GP-3   WIN (4/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/6)-(4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/6)-(1/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
GP-4   WIN (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/2)-(1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/2)-(7/5/10/3/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
GP-5   WIN (7/5/10/3/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/5/10/3/1)-(7/5/10/3/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/5/10/3/1)-(7/5/10/3/1)-(7/5/10/3/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/5/10/3/1)-(4/7/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
GP-6   WIN (4/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/6)-(4/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/7/6)-(4/7/6)-(4/7/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/7/6)-(7/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
GP-7   WIN (7/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/2)-(7/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6/2)-(7/6/2)-(7/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/6/2)-(5/7/10/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GP-8   WIN (5/7/10/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/10/6)-(5/7/10/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/10/6)-(5/7/10/6)-(5/7/10/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/10/6)-(3/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GP-9   WIN (3/8/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/8/4)-(3/8/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/8/4)-(3/8/4)-(3/8/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
GP-1   12/14/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($24K) 2 ALL PT-12:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAPA DO PAPA DO Oct04         (delgado j)CAMACHO JR 118 3.50    
BOLKIN         (sano antonio)ZAYAS J 118 5.00    
SIR BANANA BRIAN Nov03         (hurtak daniel)REYES LEONEL 118 3.00 21% 3.90    
SCR  CANAVERO         (sancal mura)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 15.00    
FIRST SHOT FIRED         (mckanas j)RIOS M 118 20.00 8% 11.80    
FLASHOVER         (vanden britt)EMIGH A 118 2.00 36% 1.80    
ANADOLU         (sancal murat)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50    
 
GP-2   12/14/2023 5610ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($35K) Purse ($37K) 3UP M/F PT-12:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IN A SPIN Nov04 Sep09 Aug21 Jul07 Jun02 (matz r)RUIZ JORGE 120 6.00 13% 6.70    
GO BIG GREEN Oct14 Aug17 Jun07 Apr21 Feb13 (joseph saffie)ORTIZ JR 120 1.40 51% 0.90    
CHICK'S SHADOW Oct14 Sep09 Aug19 Jul15 Jun11 (rodri)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 4.00    
IPANEMA PRINCESS (IRE) Sep04 Aug12 May28 Apr22   (biancone )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 8.00    
STARSHIP NANA Dec29 Dec02 Jun18 May21 Apr16 (dwoski)VASQUEZ ANGEL 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
ALYBAER Jan27         (walsh brendan )REYES LEONEL 118 15.00    
THELASTBULLETSMINE Nov18 Oct13 Sep17 Dec17 Nov20 (orseno josep)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 6.00    
BIG BAND LUZZIANN Nov19 Oct21 Sep17 Aug20 Jul21 (fawkes david)BRAVO J 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
KIZZY Oct04 Sep09 Aug31 Jun17 May21 (mcgoey monica)MORALES ANGEL 115 12.00    
 
GP-3   12/14/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOW BOUT DAT Nov04 Oct01 Sep17 Jul07 Jun04 (spatz)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 2.00    
INDIA PILAGA (ARG) Sep09 Aug18 Jul30 Jun23 Jun04 (duco luis)RIVERA JON 115 12.00    
LA DAME DE FER Dec01 Oct16 Jul26 Jun29 Jun10 (james gerald)THOMAS ANTHONY 120 20.00    
NOVELLIE Oct29 Aug11 Jul08 May28 Apr27 (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 120 1.60 36% 1.80    
DOVE IN CHARGE Oct29 Sep09 Aug19 Jun16 May14 (maragh collin)MORALES ANGEL 117 5.00 33% 2.10    
GINRIN Nov25 Sep23 Sep02 Aug18 Oct16 (levy l)PANICI LUCA 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
VACATION SUITE Oct29 Oct08 Sep09 Aug18 Jul30 (o'conn)VASQUEZ ANGEL 122 4.00    
 
GP-4   12/14/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOUNT SINAI Aug26 Jul31 Jun30 May05 Apr03 (klesaris ste)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 1.40 47% 1.10    
ROBYN AND ELI Oct26 Sep24 Sep02 Aug12 Jul08 (abreu fernando)RIOS M 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
CHLOE'S TOY Nov24 Sep30 Sep01 Jul28 Jun18 (braddy dav)ZAYAS J 120 2.00 24% 3.10    
LOVE RHAPSODY Nov24 Sep01 Aug12 Jul14 May26 (crichton roha)ORTIZ JR 120 4.50    
AVE FENIX Nov17 Aug26 Jul16 Jul01 Jun02 (mcgoey monic)THOMAS ANTHONY 122 30.00    
SCR  TALKING WONDERS Nov09 Oct28 Sep16 Aug26 Aug12 (lafond renic)BRIDGMOHAN X 120 6.00    
GRACE CANDY Nov07 Sep08 Jun30 Jun08 Mar02 (caramori edua)MORALES ANGEL 117 20.00    
 
GP-5   12/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOOKINGFORTREASURE Sep15 Aug27 Jul21 Jun01   (owens j)MORALES ANGEL 116 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ETNA'S NAPPER Aug04 Jun24 Apr16 Mar16 Jan27 (sancal mura)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 12.00    
NAA DUDETTE Oct05 Aug26 Jul20 May14 Apr15 (falcone n)SAEZ LUIS 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
FANCY STAX Sep21 Aug17 Jul03     (abreu r)ORTIZ L 121 4.50    
BURNAWAY Nov17 Oct13 Sep03 Jul21 Jun11 (fawkes david)JARAMILLO E 121 6.00 30% 2.30    
DIGITAL TRADE Nov17 Oct13 Sep03 Aug05   (valery paul)PANICI LUCA 121 8.00    
STREET CHARITY Oct28 Oct08       (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 121 3.00 35% 1.90    
BRITISH EMPRESS Nov11 Oct28 Sep30     (robson lau)PIMENTEL JR 121 30.00    
STARLIT SOFI Nov08 Oct16 Sep28 Oct29 Oct16 (klesaris steve)REYES LEONEL 121 30.00    
10  PALACE FLIRT Nov17         (brion keri)ZAYAS J 121 8.00 9% 10.60    
11  ARISAEMA Nov05 Jul13 Jun01 Apr15 Feb12 (abreu r)VELAZQUEZ R 124 5.00    
 
GP-6   12/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NATURE BOY Dec01 Nov05 Oct27 Oct08 Sep15 (simms )VASQUEZ ANGEL 123 12.00    
HELLO JACK Apr27 Apr07 Mar15 Feb12 Jan08 (walder peter )MORALES ANGEL 115 8.00    
SCR  EXULT Nov03 Oct13 Sep29 Sep02 Aug03 (drexler martin)SAEZ LUIS 123 5.00    
STORM BRAVE Nov17 Oct28 Sep10 Aug13 Jul07 (barboza victo)ORTIZ JR 120 0.60 32% 2.10    
ASTRAL WEEKS Dec01 Nov17 Oct27 Sep15 Sep01 (coy ronald)PEREZ EDGAR 123 20.00    
EYES OF CHAMPION Nov17 Oct07 Apr16 Mar18 Feb18 (ne)LUNA PAUL 123 30.00 15% 5.80    
IMPULSIVENESS Oct23 Oct10 Sep30 Aug30 Jul08 (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 123 4.00 24% 3.10    
FEDERAL EXCHANGE Dec01 Nov05 Sep15 Sep01 Aug06 (christie cli)THOMAS ANTHONY 123 30.00    
 
GP-7   12/14/2023 5610ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLETCHLEY GIRL Nov18 Aug05 Jul15 Jun09 May13 (ciamei matthe)MORALES ANGEL 113 6.00    
KHOSEA Nov11 Oct14 Sep16 Aug26 Jul09 (mongeon kathy )REYES LEONEL 120 20.00 13% 6.60    
GOLDEN VOICE Nov11 Oct14 Sep03 Aug05 Jun23 (pinch)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 12.00    
SANDPIPER MEMORIES Oct13 Sep16 Aug20 Aug12 Jul21 (coy ronald)PIMENTEL JR 120 4.00    
DON'T GET PICKLED Nov11 Oct14 Aug27 Aug03 Jul23 (biancone pat)ZAYAS J 118 2.00    
ROSE E HOLIDAY Oct28 Sep03 Aug06 Jul15 Jun17 (hernandez jo)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 4.50 16% 5.40    
DEMOGORGON Nov18 Nov11 Oct20 Oct14 Sep23 (abreu fernando)RIOS M 122 2.50 46% 1.20    
 
GP-8   12/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($71K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALYCANTHUS Jun10 Apr08 Feb11 Nov26 Oct16 (pletcher todd )ORTIZ L 118 10.00    
TIZ THE COAST Nov03 Sep16 Aug23 Oct05 Aug31 (ortiz )VASQUEZ ANGEL 118 30.00    
BROOKLYN STRONG Nov10 Oct14 Sep17 May29 Apr09 (barboza vict)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 15.00    
SCR  XY TIME Nov04 Oct07 Sep15 Aug12 Jul21 (garoffalo jose)REYES LEONEL 121 30.00    
AMERICAN DIAMOND Oct19 Sep10 Jan05 Jan22   (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 121 4.50 29% 2.40    
CLEAR CONSCIENCE Oct26 Jul02 Jun10 Apr14 Nov11 (lewis l)PANICI LUCA 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
JEOPARDY THEORY Oct26 Oct09 Sep20 Aug23 Jul15 (orseno joseph)ORTIZ JR 123 3.00 24% 3.20    
RUSE Oct29 Oct04 Sep02 Aug05 Jul03 (hills a)BRAVO J 121 6.00    
BAIE LONGUE Nov18 Sep10 Jul15 Sep25 Aug13 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 5.00    
10  OK BOOMER Nov05 Mar04 Jan14 Dec10   (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  RIGEL Nov05 Aug25 Jul28 May28 Apr15 (sancal murat)RUIZ JORGE 118 20.00    
 
GP-9   12/14/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROMPING RUNNER Jul09 Jun11       (margotta ant)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 12.00    
ONE FAST DREAM Oct27 Sep22 Sep02 Jul30 Jun04 (casse mark)ZAYAS J 122 3.00    
BE LUCKY Oct29         (sierra ruben)REYES LEONEL 122 2.50 50% 1.00    
VINICIO Oct27 Oct14       (negrete javier)RIOS M 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
KERN RIVER Oct12 Aug19 Jul08 May20   (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 122 3.50    
SCR  FORTHELOVEOFART May20 Apr08 Mar16 Feb17 Jan13 (casse mark)ORTIZ L 122 4.50    
SCR  CATALINA EXPRESS Aug31 Aug19 Aug04 Jun23 May28 (rodrig)VASQUEZ ANGEL 122 15.00    
MR. AMERICAN Jun23 Apr21 Apr01 Feb24 Feb10 (ritvo kathy)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 5.00 27% 2.80    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.