Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Friday - November 24, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/1)-(3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/1)-(6/8/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1)-(6/8/1)-(3/7/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-2   WIN (6/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/8/1)-(6/8/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/8/1)-(6/8/1)-(6/8/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/8/1)-(3/7/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/8/1)-(3/7/6)-(2/3/8) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-3   WIN (3/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/6)-(3/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7/6)-(3/7/6)-(3/7/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/7/6)-(2/3/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/7/6)-(2/3/8)-(6/4/7) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-4   WIN (2/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/8)-(2/3/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/8)-(2/3/8)-(2/3/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/8)-(6/4/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/3/8)-(6/4/7)-(5/3/1/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-5   WIN (6/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/7)-(6/4/3/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/4/7)-(6/4/3/7)-(6/4/3/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/4/7)-(5/3/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/4/7)-(5/3/1/7)-(3/4/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-6   WIN (5/3/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/1/7)-(5/3/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/1/7)-(5/3/1/7)-(5/3/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/1/7)-(3/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/1/7)-(3/4/7)-(3/6/9/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-7   WIN (3/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/7)-(3/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/7)-(3/4/7)-(3/4/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/7)-(3/6/9/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-8   WIN (3/6/9/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/9/1)-(3/6/9/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/9/1)-(3/6/9/1)-(3/6/9/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   11/24/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MACY'S BOY Nov09 Apr21 Feb17 Feb02 Dec17 (campbell marshall)LARROSA G 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
JAZZ MAN DO Nov09 Oct04 Sep09 Aug20 Jul28 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 10.00    
MAGICAL EXPRESS Nov02 Oct13 Sep29 Aug26 Jul30 (joy j)ARAUJO DENIS 122 2.00 53% 0.90    
BE BE BOP Nov09 Oct13 Aug31 Aug10 Jul20 (davis billy)PELTROCHE F 122 3.50 17% 4.80    
DAN THE MAN CAN Nov02 Sep21 Aug25 Aug10 Jun30 (sanderson wade )RODRIGUEZ V 122 3.50    
CHARITABLY GIFTED Oct07 Sep09 Jul15 May21 Apr15 (harriso)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 2.50    
 
CT-2   11/24/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 2 F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GHOSTLY ANNA Nov02 Oct22       (atkins william )RODRIGUEZ V 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GHOSTLY MINISTER out of ADDING ALPHA by EVEN THE SCORE)
SCR  BULL'S LEGACY         (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 3.00 20% 4.00    
  (by BULLSBAY out of SKY'S LEGACY by DIXIE UNION)
ANOTHER FINE JUBA Nov08 Oct27 Oct06 Sep15 Aug10 (boggs joa)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 4.00    
  (by JUBA out of JACKY'S NOTION by GREAT NOTION)
SPECIAL KAYLEE Nov02 Sep21       (kopecki e)ARAUJO DENIS 122 30.00    
  (by GANDHI out of FIRST COLONY by PROUD CITIZEN)
BUTTERFLY WORLD         (brown w)CRUZ ANGEL 122 5.00    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of MICHAELS BUTTERFLY by JUMP START)
JLODIAMOND Nov02         (rangel ricardo)RIOS-CONDE A 122 2.50 39% 1.60    
  (by JUBA out of HASTYPUDDINDIAMOND by CITISLIPPER)
SYMPTOMATIC         (viands stacey )MONTANO JOSE 122 4.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of IDEAL THOUGHTS by NOT FOR LOVE)
FRIEND FURH REAL Oct12         (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 12.00 19% 4.20    
  (by FRIEND OR FOE out of I AM FURH REAL by FIBER SONDE)
 
CT-3   11/24/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUBBA G Nov11 Oct21 Oct05 Aug18 Jul28 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 6.00    
BIG HAMBONE Nov03 Sep30 Aug31 Jun18 May13 (king yolonda)ADAMS L 115 6.00    
HE IS BONAFIDE Oct20 Sep21 Sep03 Aug10 Jul13 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 5.00 25% 3.00    
WIDGET FACTORY Sep30 Aug31 Aug10 Jul20 Jul07 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 10.00    
PEPE AND HEYWOOD Nov11 Oct21 Sep22 Sep02 Aug24 (nazario p)BOCACHICA J 113 2.50    
STEVETHEVANDRIVER Nov03 Sep30 Sep03 Aug27 Aug10 (brown a)CHILO MAXIMO 122 3.00 15% 5.50    
SEVEN AND SEVEN Jul03 Jun19 May27 May06 Mar29 (bryant donal)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 4.50 20% 3.90    
 
CT-4   11/24/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 2 ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DANTE'S INFERNO Nov03         (johnson r)CULLUM W 122 20.00    
  (by ALDRIN out of HOT SAUCE by PRIZED)
SHOOT THE BREEZE Nov03         (kolb chris)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 2.50 61% 0.60    
  (by JUBA out of BREEZIE WEEZIE by NOT FOR LOVE)
LOVE IS WICKED Nov02 Oct14 Sep29 Sep16 Sep01 (johnson dewayne)PELTROCHE F 122 3.50 11% 7.90    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of LOVES TO GLANCE by NOT FOR LOVE)
SCR  ROBBIELIKESHIM Nov03 Oct13       (farrior anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 122 5.00    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of HARBIN ICE by FIRST DUDE)
SCR  YES MY PRINCE Nov02 Sep22       (mckee cyn)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 10.00    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of LONGWOOD LADY by IS IT TRUE)
BREAK THE CHAINS Oct27 Sep01 Aug12     (mcmahon hu)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 122 6.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of SAID IN SILENCE by BERNSTEIN)
MR. DUMBLEDORE Nov02 Oct13       (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 122 4.50    
  (by MR SPEAKER out of ROCK N' GOLD by MEDALLIST)
SEABROOK ISLAND Nov03 Oct13       (mckee cynth)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of MIRACLE PRINCESS by MASTER RICK)
I'MLIVINGTHEDREAM Oct13 Sep22       (viands stacey )ARAUJO DENIS 122 30.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of SINCLAIR by MY BOY ADAM)
 
CT-5   11/24/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUGAR LIPS Oct27 Oct18 Nov16 Oct22 Sep21 (sigler g)LARROSA G 122 20.00    
CHARTERED COURSE Nov08 Oct20 Sep07 Aug17 Apr14 (peltroche vane)CHILO MAXIMO 122 30.00    
JOOBY DOOBY DOO Oct27 Sep09 Sep01 Jul20 Jul06 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 6.00    
ASTRAYAL Oct27 Sep30 Sep09 Aug17 Jul28 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 5.00 9% 10.10    
CURB THAT TIGER Oct25 Oct07 Aug17 Jul21 Jun30 (farrior anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 120 1.80    
BURR HILL BULLET Oct27 Oct11 Sep25 Aug13 Nov17 (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 1.60 69% 0.50    
I SEE NOTHING Nov11 Oct20 Oct13 Sep09 Aug17 (shanley t)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
HILLBILLY ROCK Oct06 Sep15 Aug05 Jul15 Jun09 (atkins mi)BOCACHICA J 115 10.00    
 
CT-6   11/24/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LINDA'S TAJ Nov04 Oct13 Sep21 Sep01 Aug11 (dollinger-sth)RIVERA JAVIER 124 6.00 14% 6.30    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of R B'S LINDA by ALLEN'S PROSPECT)
MALTESE ROSE         (haynes m)PELTROCHE F 122 10.00    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of MALTESE GOOGOL by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
GOLDEN STAR Sep15 Mar18 Feb18 Jan16 Nov12 (hiles jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.40 18% 4.60    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of LAKE SEBAGO by MUNNINGS)
MAKAAN Aug26 Aug02 Jul14 Mar17 Feb04 (soldo elain)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 15.00    
  (by MORNING LINE out of LOTSA NOODLES by MASS MEDIA)
RAGGEDY Oct13 Jun30 May26 Mar04 Jan15 (cruz jesus)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 2.50 23% 3.30    
  (by UNION RAGS out of SECRET BALLOT by COURAGEOUS CAT)
KIMSFAVORITESTORM Aug24 Jul21 Jun09 May04 Sep05 (hunt ja)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 12.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of STORMY WEST by GONE WEST)
TIZZ THE G         (pickett crys)TROTMAN KEIMAR 124 12.00 12% 7.10    
  (by TIZNOW out of JEALOUS WILDCAT by FOREST WILDCAT)
CATAFFAIRWITHMEDAL Apr27 Mar30       (rangel ricardo)RIOS-CONDE A 124 30.00    
  (by CAT GENIUS out of MEDAL AFFAIR by MEDALLIST)
AZTECA GIRL Nov04 Oct13 Sep22 Sep01   (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 122 8.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of ROYAL SEPTOR by DISTORTED HUMOR)
 
CT-7   11/24/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MONKEY WRENCH Oct27 Oct06 Jul15 Jun09 May26 (barahona isaac)CHILO MAXIMO 120 15.00    
SCARE DEM Oct27 Oct18 Sep22 Sep08 Aug10 (pyke joseph)PELTROCHE F 120 6.00    
IRISH FLIGHT Nov11 Oct20 Sep30 Jul06 Jan28 (espinosa victo)MONTANO JOSE 122 1.80 37% 1.70    
RED HOT TODDY Oct06 Aug11 Jul15 May26 Apr07 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 2.50 27% 2.60    
LAURA'S GRAND Oct26 Oct19 Sep03 Aug25 Aug12 (pyke joseph)CHILO JACINTO 117 30.00    
COMEONTURNMELOOSE Oct27 Oct06 Sep15 Aug05 Jul07 (atkins michael)ARAUJO DENIS 120 5.00    
ONE CANDY CASTLE Nov09 Oct28 Oct07 Aug26 Jul13 (petty kristy)LARROSA G 120 3.50 10% 9.50    
 
CT-8   11/24/2023 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWISS HORIZON Nov15 Oct25 Oct05 Aug18 Jul27 (king yolonda)BOCACHICA O 124 12.00 7% 13.10    
JUNIPER GRACE Aug26 Aug04 Jul08 Nov24   (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 121 4.00    
BIT OF BLESSINGS Nov01 Oct03 Sep18 Sep03 Aug25 (collins tim)MENDEZ MARSHALL 121 3.00 30% 2.40    
RUMORGOINGAROUND Nov15 Oct25 Oct05 Aug18 Aug04 (pickett c)BOCACHICA J 117 5.00    
LIME STAR Nov01 Aug04 Jul14 Jun23 May11 (conn linda )MCKENZIE CONNIE 114 6.00    
GREY FLAMINGO Oct05 Mar17 Feb16 Jan06   (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 121 3.50 20% 4.10    
SCR  OK EMILY Nov13 Jul24 Jun01 May25 Apr29 (collins tim)PELTROCHE F 124 20.00    
VIESTE Nov01 Oct20 Oct06 Aug26 Aug04 (tobin l)LOPEZ ANTONIO 121 10.00    
MSSNAP         (jackson angel)RIVERA JAVIER 124 12.00 15% 5.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.