Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Delaware Park
Friday - October 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DEL-1   WIN (1/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/7)-(1/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/7)-(1/6/7)-(1/6/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/7)-(1/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/6/7)-(1/3/6)-(5/1/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
DEL-2   WIN (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/6)-(1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/6)-(5/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/3/6)-(5/1/2)-(3/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
DEL-3   WIN (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/2)-(5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/2)-(3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2)-(3/4)-(5/4/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
DEL-4   WIN (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/4)-(3/8/9/5/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (3/4)-(3/8/9/5/4)-(3/8/9/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4)-(5/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/4)-(5/4/1)-(4/5/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
DEL-5   WIN (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/1)-(5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/1)-(4/5/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/1)-(4/5/3/7)-(5/8/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
DEL-6   WIN (4/5/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/3/7)-(4/5/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/3/7)-(4/5/3/7)-(4/5/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/3/7)-(5/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/3/7)-(5/8/2)-(4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
DEL-7   WIN (5/8/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/8/2)-(5/8/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/8/2)-(5/8/2)-(5/8/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/8/2)-(4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
DEL-8   WIN (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/6)-(4/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DEL-1   10/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT-12:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIA DE SOL Sep20 Sep01 Aug19 Jul18 Jun28 (nazario pedro)ALICEA JEREMY 115 2.00 45% 1.20    
SUIKO Oct06 Sep06 Aug19 Jun30 Jun02 (ritchey tim)ASTUDILLO FELIX 112 4.00    
SWEET TALIA Sep30 Aug19 Jul23 Jun09 Apr30 (mcfarlane)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 8.00    
RED WINE TIME Oct11 Sep06 Jul23 Jul07 Jun02 (sanchez-salomo)CEDENO CAROL 122 3.00    
VIKING QUEEN Oct13 Sep22 Sep04 Aug27 Aug06 (sanchez-salomon)MENA E 122 8.00    
BELLE BREZING Oct16 Aug30 Aug20 Jul19 Jul12 (blankenship do)JURADO EDDIE 122 10.00 28% 2.60    
HELEONORTIZ Sep27 Sep06 Aug19 Jul05 Jun17 (iannotti tho)ARROYO S 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
DEL-2   10/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($20K) 2 F PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOOTSY'S MERLOT Oct07 Sep16 Aug05 Jul14 Jul01 (ginter raymo)ARROYO S 118 2.50 35% 1.80    
EDEN'S GIGI Oct07 Sep29 Sep10 Aug10   (russell br)SANCHEZ J 116 1.80    
MAINSTREAM SELLOUT Sep27 Sep09 Aug19 Aug05 Jun22 (saville nial)TROTMAN KEIMAR 118 3.50 14% 6.10    
SPENDING CUTS Sep11 Aug21 Jun12     (blankenship do)JURADO EDDIE 118 8.00    
PRINCESS PEANUT Sep20 Aug26 Jul26 Jul08 Jun03 (potts wayne)MARIN SAMUEL 118 6.00    
INSOUCIANT Oct07 Sep20 Aug24 Jul08   (nazario pedro)MENA E 118 8.00 12% 7.60    
 
DEL-3   10/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($18K) 2 ALL PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HITTHEROADJAK         (boniface kev)TROTMAN KEIMAR 118 8.00 20% 4.10    
HE'S A WILD CHILD Oct11 Sep14       (husted rac)COLINA ALEJANDRO 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
SEEKER Oct05 Aug25 Aug10     (morgan ca)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 118 8.00    
MELODY WIN Aug25 Jul27       (ochoa gerard)BATISTA A 116 4.50    
CATALINA KID Sep14 Aug25 Aug04     (sacco greg)SANCHEZ J 118 1.00 54% 0.90    
THE HONEYMAN Oct11 Aug13 Jul28     (d'angelo jos)ARROYO S 116 4.50    
 
DEL-4   10/27/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUR RONNY ALAN Jun29 Jun03 May11 Apr17   (allard edw)SANCHEZ J 120 5.00    
FAST RIDE Sep17 Aug26 Aug13 Jul12 Jun25 (rawlings )CRISPIN ALEXANDER 123 15.00    
BET HE'S READY Sep10 Mar05 Feb20 Nov23 Oct22 (falcone robert )CENTENO E 123 3.00 74% 0.40    
SILVER R Sep29 Sep16 Aug12 Aug02 Jul15 (luqueno )RODRIGUEZ L 113 15.00 5% 19.00    
STELLWAGEN BANKER Oct14 Sep27 Sep16 Sep01 Jul27 (salinas giovan)HIRALDO JOHN 120 6.00    
RUNAWAY ROAD Oct06 Sep28 Aug27 Aug05 Jul09 (feliciano ben )CEDENO CAROL 123 12.00    
ALMOND CIDER Oct18 Sep06 Aug18 Jul20 Jul09 (perez ruperto)TREJOS JOSEPH 121 8.00    
WILD TIME Oct06 Sep13 Sep03 Aug17 Jul23 (robertson mc)ARROYO S 118 4.00    
ONEHANDSOMEDUDE Sep29 Jul07 Oct05 Sep09 Aug18 (simoff a)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 123 8.00    
10  MR. COWBOY BRADLEY Oct14 Sep29 Sep16 Sep08 Aug30 (deiter kelly)TROTMAN KEIMAR 123 15.00    
 
DEL-5   10/27/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAMP PENDLETON Sep30 Sep09 Aug31 Aug09 Jul14 (nazario pedro)MENA E 122 6.00 5% 17.30    
MOUNT TRAVERS Oct07 Jul30 Jul13 Jun17 May14 (chichakly amir)LUZZI J 120 12.00    
MISTER WINSTON Sep29 Sep16 Sep05 Aug10 Jul26 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 120 3.00    
CHRIS AND DAVE Oct11 Sep29 Sep08 Jul12 Jun22 (simone micha)ARROYO S 122 4.00 8% 11.20    
FAST BREAK Sep30 Sep10 Sep02 Aug18 May20 (falcone robert )CENTENO E 122 2.00 62% 0.60    
ROYAL COUP Oct13 Sep30 Sep02 Aug27 Aug05 (ramirez jo)MENDOZA JHONATAN 124 8.00    
MIRACLE SILVER Oct19 Sep29 Sep16 Sep02 Aug10 (nazario )VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 118 6.00    
 
DEL-6   10/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAWLESSNESS Oct12 Sep28 Sep07 Aug16 Jul24 (lake a)CEDENO CAROL 120 10.00    
CITI CREEK Oct14 Sep28 Aug30 Aug10 Jul21 (ramirez a)MENA E 119 4.00    
RUTHENIAN Oct12 Sep28 Aug30 Aug05 Jul21 (iannotti t)SANCHEZ J 122 6.00 15% 5.50    
DAVID'S PROSPEC Oct05 Sep02 Oct05 Sep22 Aug25 (iverson g)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 3.00 40% 1.50    
THE BEARRISH ONE Oct18 Oct07 Aug04 Jul15 Jun23 (simone micha)ARROYO S 119 2.00 17% 4.80    
TYLER TIME Sep30 Sep04 Aug19 Jul29 Jul07 (mcfarlane br)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 15.00    
OILER Oct07 Sep15 Aug30 Aug12 Jul22 (nazario pe)MENDOZA JHONATAN 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
TROPHY ROOM Oct05 Sep20 Aug06 Jul19 Jun17 (iannotti thoma)HIRALDO JOHN 119 12.00    
 
DEL-7   10/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GUILLAUME Oct14 Sep29 Sep02 Aug19 Jun09 (simone michael)HIRALDO JOHN 120 8.00    
HOP AND SCOTCH Oct14 Sep29 Sep20 Aug13 Jul22 (ramirez a)MENA E 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
MACHEN'S RIDGE Sep21 Sep09 Aug31 Jul07 Jun23 (ovando melv)VILLASMIL EDGAR 122 15.00    
SITTIN ON GO Oct06 Aug19 Jul27 Jul01 May12 (jacobson david)CEDENO CAROL 120 3.50    
PASSAGE OF LINES Sep30 Aug10 Jul15 Jun18 May17 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 122 2.00 53% 0.90    
PRACTICAL WAY Oct07 Sep16 Aug18 Jul28 Jun24 (avila carl)OLIVERO A 124 6.00    
SCR  EXACTING Oct06 May05 Apr22 Feb10 Jan14 (carrascojr v)ARROYO S 120 8.00    
WINTER'S GHOST Sep30 Sep09 Aug10 Jul19 May05 (rigattieri john)CENTENO E 124 4.50 23% 3.30    
 
DEL-8   10/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ADIOS BABE Oct12 Sep06 Aug04 Jul02 Apr22 (mcgoey m)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 123 8.00    
PREPAREFORTAKEOFF Oct08 Sep06 Jun23 Jun10 May12 (elamri )BRICENO GREGOR 121 8.00    
KINGDOM QUEEN Oct06 Sep02 Aug20 Aug05 Jun18 (schistl rafa)BATISTA A 123 2.50    
AWESOME VIEW Oct19 Sep27 Sep04 Aug26 Aug18 (sepulveda ca)ARROYO S 123 3.50 63% 0.60    
SCR  MY SUPER SALLY Oct14 Sep21 Aug23 Jul13 Jun28 (clagett christi)MONTERREY R 123 6.00    
AWESOME BIRDIE Oct05 Oct06 Sep15 Aug18 Jul30 (rigattieri john)MENA E 123 1.80 11% 7.70    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.