Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Thursday - October 05, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (7/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/3)-(7/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/5/3)-(7/5/3)-(7/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/5/3)-(6/5/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/5/3)-(6/5/8)-(5/6/8/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-2   WIN (6/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/8)-(6/5/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/8)-(6/5/8)-(6/5/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/8)-(5/6/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/5/8)-(5/6/8/3)-(10/1/8/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-3   WIN (5/6/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/8/3)-(5/6/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/8/3)-(5/6/8/3)-(5/6/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/8/3)-(10/1/8/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/6/8/3)-(10/1/8/7)-(1/7/5/9) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-4   WIN (10/1/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/1/8/7)-(10/1/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/1/8/7)-(10/1/8/7)-(10/1/8/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (10/1/8/7)-(1/7/5/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (10/1/8/7)-(1/7/5/9)-(2/6/11/1) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-5   WIN (1/7/5/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/5/9)-(1/7/5/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/5/9)-(1/7/5/9)-(1/7/5/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/5/9)-(2/6/11/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/7/5/9)-(2/6/11/1)-(6/5/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-6   WIN (2/6/11/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/11/1)-(2/6/11/3/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/6/11/1)-(2/6/11/3/1)-(2/6/11/3/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/6/11/1)-(6/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6/11/1)-(6/5/1)-(9/7/4/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-7   WIN (6/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/1)-(6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/1)-(9/7/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-8   WIN (9/7/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/7/4/8)-(9/7/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/7/4/8)-(9/7/4/8)-(9/7/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   10/05/2023 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNALTERED Aug18 Aug04 Jul22 Jun23 Jun01 (stehr p)RODRIGUEZ V 121 10.00    
2  SWISS HORIZON Aug18 Jul27 May04 Apr13 Mar23 (king yolonda)BOCACHICA O 124 20.00    
3  S S FOUR QUEENS Aug18 Aug04 Feb16     (lucas ant)BOCACHICA J 112 8.00 10% 8.70    
4  RUMORGOINGAROUND Aug18 Aug04 Jul14 Jul01   (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 124 15.00    
5  GREY FLAMINGO Mar17 Feb16 Jan06     (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 121 2.50 14% 5.90    
6  TAPTAP Sep18 Aug25 Aug12 Jul24 Jun02 (pyke jose)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 4.00    
7  OPPO TACO Sep15 Aug12 Jun10 May11   (walters dav)CONCEPCION AXEL 116 1.20 46% 1.20    
 
CT-2   10/05/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LAURA'S GRAND Sep03 Aug25 Aug12 Jul24 Jun02 (pyke joseph)SIMPSON JASON 119 20.00    
2  ROCKING TO HOME Aug31 Aug04 Jul13 Jul06 Jun01 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 122 12.00    
3  JUBAY Aug17 Jul21 Jun23 Jun02 May12 (petty kri)BOCACHICA J 113 10.00    
4  KING OF LUCK Sep28 Sep07 Aug17 Jul28 Jul13 (ramos m)RIOS-CONDE A 122 8.00    
5  WINDSOR'S STAR Sep07 Aug03 Jul13 Jun23 May20 (comi w)RODRIGUEZ V 120 4.00 14% 6.30    
6  DE'S CASTLE Aug31 Aug04 Jul15 Jun24 Jun03 (joy j)ACOSTA D 120 1.60 56% 0.80    
7  IN HIGH GEAR Aug26 Jul15 Jun24 Jun03 May13 (mcdonald tim)BATISTA A 122 15.00    
8  BOP ZAPPER Sep22 Aug31 Aug03 Jul13 Sep24 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 120 2.50 8% 10.90    
 
CT-3   10/05/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  C TWO Sep02 May27 Mar04 Feb12 Jan25 (atkins will)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 15.00    
2  FESSIN UP Aug31 Aug18 Jul28 Jul17 Jun24 (comi w)RODRIGUEZ V 122 4.00    
3  GREAT DEVOTION Sep14 Aug24 Aug03 Jul14 Jun22 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  MIDNIGHT PASS Sep14 Aug03 Jul14 Jul08 Jun24 (racanelli mar)BATISTA C 120 15.00    
5  WATCH ME DISAPPEAR Sep02 Jul14 Jun23 Jun10 May26 (robb j)HO WESLEY 122 2.50 45% 1.20    
6  DEVIN ON EARTH Sep03 Aug24 Jul28 Jul07 May18 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 3.50 22% 3.60    
7  HOLY HIP Sep22 Aug24 Jul28 Jul15 Jun24 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 124 12.00    
8  CURLIN'S DOVE Sep14 Aug24 Jul29 Jul08 Jun17 (pickett c)BOCACHICA J 115 4.50 6% 16.40    
9  HANNAHS RED RUBY Sep02 Jul13 Jun16 Nov17 Oct28 (malgarini mawing)MAWING A 122 10.00    
 
CT-4   10/05/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAIRO BREEZE Jun09 May19 Apr22 Mar03   (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 124 2.00 10% 8.80    
2  BARRELHOUSE Sep09 Aug17 Aug08 Apr21 Mar01 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 121 4.50    
3  TO LIVE IS TO LOVE Aug25 Mar23 Feb15 Jan27 Dec17 (corrales )HERNANDEZ F 122 20.00    
SCR  ROLL ME OVER Sep17 May06 Apr21 Apr02 Mar18 (cuttino mari)WHITACRE GRANT 122 15.00    
5  RUSH TO CANDY Sep09 Aug11 Jul26 Jun30 Jun09 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 124 12.00    
6  NORLANDER Sep09 Aug19 Jul26 Jun28 Jun18 (runco jeff )CONCEPCION AXEL 116 6.00    
7  LET'S EAT Aug23 Aug08 Jun30 Nov15 Oct19 (keller eddie)MARRERO CARLOS 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  HAY DIDDLE DIDDLE May27 Mar24 Jan28 Jan07 Dec10 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 124 8.00 7% 14.30    
SCR  FLOOR IT Aug19 Jul21 Jun16 Mar12 Feb26 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 121 15.00    
10  GEOTHERMAL Sep15 Jul22       (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 121 3.50 57% 0.80    
 
CT-5   10/05/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GABRIEL'S WING Mar05 Feb17 Jan14 Dec08 Nov25 (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 120 1.20 45% 1.20    
2  SCOOTSCOOT Sep09 Aug24 Aug05 Jul13 Jun22 (knoblauch-perez)BOCACHICA O 120 10.00    
3  CENTRAL PRIDE Aug03 Jun25 Jun04 May05 Apr22 (hillegass al)BATISTA A 122 6.00    
SCR  POLITICAL DECISION Aug24 Aug13 Jul09 Jun17 Jun02 (murtaugh andr)BATISTA C 122 30.00    
5  AMICALOLA FALLS Aug24 Jul13 Jun03 May18 Apr14 (jackson l)CULLUM W 122 8.00 10% 8.90    
6  BUBBA G Aug18 Jul28 Jun15 May25 May04 (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 6.00    
7  SULEMAN Sep09 Aug24 Aug03 Jul05 May18 (laguna home)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 5.00 16% 5.30    
8  PEAKY BLINKERS Sep22 Aug24 Jul19 Jul06 Jun16 (kravets bruce )ARAUJO DENIS 122 15.00    
9  SLOE GIN BIZ Aug27 Aug13 Jul13 Jun22 Jun03 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-6   10/05/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEY RIRI Sep15 Aug13 Aug03 Jul02 Jun17 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  MOONTAP Sep14 Aug25 May21 Mar30   (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 121 3.50 55% 0.80    
3  NELLY TOO Sep29 Sep02 Aug10 Jul20 Feb05 (joy j)RIOS-CONDE A 119 2.00 ★    
4  ALWAYS FORWARD Sep03 Jul30 Jul09 May27 Mar05 (corrales )HERNANDEZ F 121 12.00    
5  GOLDEN BLOSSOM Sep15 Mar17 Feb25 Jan18 Dec29 (klesaris ro)MENDEZ MARSHALL 121 15.00    
6  HERECOMES SCARLETT Aug10 Jul29 Jul09 May18 Apr28 (davis russe)CONCEPCION AXEL 114 2.50 19% 4.20    
SCR  HOME TOWN FAV Sep27 Aug30 Aug12 Jul22   (deiter kelly)TROTMAN KEIMAR 121 20.00    
8  LILY MOR Sep09 Aug20 Aug13 Jul21 Jun10 (cox m)ACOSTA D 121 12.00    
9  DEAREST M. A. Sep02 May18 Apr06     (jones y)RODRIGUEZ V 121 30.00    
10  WAVERLEY Sep14 Aug27 Aug13 Jul14 Jun23 (butts e)LARROSA G 121 15.00    
11  DESTINED TO DANCE Sep22 Sep03 Aug27 Jul19 Jun09 (corrales jose)ACOSTA D 121 3.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PRIDEFUL VILLANO Jul19         (rathman elish)ROJAS MARTINA 116 20.00    
 
CT-7   10/05/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLACK PANDA Sep08 Aug18 Jul07 May26 May05 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 10.00 8% 11.60    
2  SHE'S A LINO Sep01 Aug08 Jul07 Nov23 Oct11 (greaves ver)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 8.00    
3  SHUTUPN'KISSME Sep14 Jul27 Apr29 Mar23 Feb11 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 120 6.00    
4  TIMETOGETUP Sep07 Jul01 Jun01 May20 May04 (petty kristy)LARROSA G 120 10.00    
5  CASTLE LIGHTS Sep21 Aug24 Jul28 Jun02 May13 (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 5.00 13% 6.80    
6  LUNATIC (CHI) May27 Apr09 May20 Apr10 Mar19 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.00 55% 0.80    
7  MYGIDGETMARIE Sep14 Aug31 Jul29 Jul08 Jun10 (huet k)MARRERO CARLOS 120 10.00    
SCR  GRANDIOSELY Sep29 Sep08 Aug24 May05 Mar01 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 120 15.00    
 
CT-8   10/05/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP M/F PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FLAT DISCOUNT Sep15 Sep02 Aug24 Aug12 Jul29 (ginter ra)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 4.50    
SCR  CRUZ IN THE CASTLE Sep14 Jul29 Jul13 Jun17 Apr13 (dollinger-st)MARRERO CARLOS 122 8.00    
3  PRACTICALLY THERE Aug24 Jul29 Apr27 Mar18 Mar09 (campbell la)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 30.00    
4  SULTRY SALLY H Aug26 Jul29 Jul13 Jun16 Jun02 (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 2.50 13% 6.40    
5  BONNIE BLUETOOTH Sep14 Aug19 Jul29 Jun16 Apr29 (shanley timoth)CHILO MAXIMO 124 30.00    
6  CHINA CAT Sep14 Aug19 May27 May06 Apr08 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 122 15.00    
7  A LITTLE BIT CRAZY Sep16 Aug19 May18 Mar26 Jan22 (viands r)ACOSTA D 124 3.50 15% 5.70    
8  SECRET CASTLE Aug31 Aug19 Aug10 Jul28 Jun17 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 122 6.00 10% 8.90    
9  CENTERFOLD ANGEL Sep14 Jul22 Jul01 Jun10 May06 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 5.00 35% 1.90    
10  SUPER WILDCAT Sep07 Aug19 Jun16 May27 Apr14 (pennella m)CECIL Y 122 15.00    
SCR  QUEEN CASHMERE Sep29 Aug18 Aug04 Jul08 Feb08 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 15.00    
SCR  UNCAPTURED RUBY Jun23 May27 May07 Apr16 Mar30 (malgarini mawing)MAWING A 122 6.00    
SCR  WICKED T Sep14 Aug18 Jul26 Jul14 Jun28 (bobadilla f)RIOS-CONDE A 122 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.