Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Horseshoe Indianapolis
Tuesday - October 03, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

IND-1   WIN (1/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/7)-(1/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/7)-(1/4/7)-(1/4/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/7)-(6/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/7)-(6/1/2)-(2/3/8/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
IND-2   WIN (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/2)-(6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/2)-(2/3/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/1/2)-(2/3/8/5)-(5/6/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
IND-3   WIN (2/3/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/8/5)-(2/3/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/8/5)-(2/3/8/5)-(2/3/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/8/5)-(5/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/8/5)-(5/6/2)-(9/3/5/7/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
IND-4   WIN (5/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/2)-(5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/2)-(9/3/5/7/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/6/2)-(9/3/5/7/8)-(4/6/2) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
IND-5   WIN (9/3/5/7/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/3/5/7/8)-(9/3/5/7/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/3/5/7/8)-(9/3/5/7/8)-(9/3/5/7/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/3/5/7/8)-(4/6/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (9/3/5/7/8)-(4/6/2)-(5/3/8/7/6) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
IND-6   WIN (4/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/2)-(4/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/2)-(4/6/2)-(4/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/2)-(5/3/8/7/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/6/2)-(5/3/8/7/6)-(10/4/12/7/3) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
IND-7   WIN (5/3/8/7/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/3/8/7/6)-(5/3/8/7/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/3/8/7/6)-(5/3/8/7/6)-(5/3/8/7/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/3/8/7/6)-(10/4/12/7/3) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
IND-8   WIN (10/4/12/7/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/4/12/7/3)-(10/4/12/7/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/4/12/7/3)-(10/4/12/7/3)-(10/4/12/7/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
IND-1   10/03/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POOL NOODLE Sep13 Aug04 Jul08     (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 122 3.00 28% 2.60    
  (by CURLIN out of TIZ NEWS by TIZNOW)
HAPPY HELEN Sep13 Jan11 Dec07     (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 122 4.50    
  (by ARROGATE out of BEAUTICIAN by DEHERE)
KATERINA PETROVA Sep14         (cunningha)BERMUDEZ E 125 20.00    
  (by SMARTY JONES out of JUMPIN JACQUELINE by MR. SINATRA)
HEART HEADED WOMAN Aug28 Jul15 Jun11 May05 Apr12 (drury thoma)PETERSON FERRIN 125 2.00 23% 3.40    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of BRILLIANT BLAZE by SEEKING THE GOLD)
LIL CARRIE D Sep13 Aug17 Aug03 Jul16 Jun22 (slager mike)HUGHES CARLY 122 10.00    
  (by SHAKIN IT UP out of MOONLIGHT ESCAPADE by LION HEART)
WICKED BEAUTIFUL Sep13 Aug28 Aug01 Jul08 Jun13 (medina tomas)PEREZ E 122 8.00    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of MY JIMMY CHEW GIRL by THUNDER GULCH)
ABBREVIATION Jul23 Jun30 May29 Apr29 Apr07 (shorter aaron)MACHADO LUAN 122 3.50 18% 4.50    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of NO ACRONYMS by MILWAUKEE BREW)
 
IND-2   10/03/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($25K) 2 F PT- 3:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAVE THE MOMENT         (davis chr)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 2.50 30% 2.40    
CLASSIC MYSTERY         (drury thomas )MORALES EDGAR 121 4.50 5% 19.00    
PAGEANT PURRFECT Sep18 Aug29 Aug08     (silva miguel)PEREZ A 121 12.00    
VIVIS IN FRONT Aug05         (hancock jac)MIRANDA ROGELIO 121 20.00    
BLUESUP GREENSDOWN Aug31         (cook brian)BURNHAM MATILDA 114 15.00    
SUMMER DANCE Sep21 Aug12       (hamilton sa)PETERSON FERRIN 121 0.80 45% 1.20    
 
IND-3   10/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HE SAID CASH Sep12 Aug29 Aug15     (garcia ge)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 4.50    
PHILIP SNOW Sep19 Aug23 Aug01 Jul08 Jun17 (klopp randy)RAMOS D 122 2.50 57% 0.80    
WE MISS OTIS Sep19 Aug29 Aug03     (nance jonathan)PRESCOTT R 125 3.00 12% 7.00    
SAN RONIN Sep11 Jul20 Jul03 Jun17 May29 (duran antonio)MOJICA O 122 20.00    
LITTLE RUSTY Jul07 Jun22       (douglass dev)TERRAZA GERMAN 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
WHITE SILVER SANDS Sep12 Jul13 Jun22 May30 May10 (holden j)BURGOS ALBERTO 125 20.00    
SLACKER Sep12 Aug29       (klopp ran)BERMUDEZ E 122 8.00    
RACING IN MY HEART Sep12 Aug23 Aug09 Jul03 Jun17 (shorter aaron)NAVAS YOEL 115 4.00 7% 13.90    
 
IND-4   10/03/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALMIGHTYJUSTICE Sep19 Aug28 Aug05 Jul05 Jun07 (granitz ant)BURNHAM MATILDA 113 5.00    
RUNNING SMART Sep20 Aug28 Aug09 Jul20 Jul03 (davis joseph)TERRAZA GERMAN 113 30.00 5% 19.00    
MAS ORO Sep19 Aug30 Aug05 Jul20 Jun08 (garcia genaro)DIAZ RENE 122 4.50    
MISTER MACHO Sep20 Aug28 Aug05 Jul05 Jun07 (duran antonio)MOJICA O 123 3.50    
OVERTHETOPJUSTICE Sep20 Sep05 Aug16 Jun29 Jun07 (eggleston)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 2.50 60% 0.70    
SUNSIGN Sep20 Aug19 Aug05 Jun24 May23 (lauer mic)BERMUDEZ E 123 6.00 9% 10.40    
LEO'S ROAR Sep14 Aug16 Aug02 Jul03 Jun07 (glyshaw)DE CRUZ 123 4.00    
 
IND-5   10/03/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($32K) 2 ALL PT- 4:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXTRA HALO Aug19         (granitz a)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 20.00    
UKRAINE STRONG Aug09         (silva miguel)PEREZ A 122 20.00    
COPPERLITE Aug25 Aug10 Jul04     (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 122 3.50 6% 15.50    
HOT N LUCKY Aug12 Jul15       (mott riley)DIAZ RENE 122 20.00    
MITOLE'S BAYTOWN Sep11 Aug28       (mcentee paul)ELLIOTT JANE 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BACHMAN Sep25 Sep05 Aug10 Jun20   (cara)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119 15.00    
HOLD THE PHONE Apr07         (caramori edua)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
NO MANCHES Jul21 Jun06 May15     (wittek karyn)COURT K 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
HAWKS CREEK Sep09 Aug11       (desormeaux ke)COHEN DAVID 122 1.60 64% 0.60    
10  LUCERITO BLANCO Sep15 Jul29       (salas felipe)PRESCOTT R 122 30.00    
11  FULL DRESS BLUES Aug22         (waltz brian)FRANKLIN MALCOM 122 15.00    
12  INMYDREAMS Sep05 Aug18 Aug03 Jul12 Jun10 (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 122 10.00    
SCR  FIRST CHOICE Sep09         (spicer james )BECKMAN ALICE 115 30.00    
SCR  FASTER         (miller da)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 4.00    
 
IND-6   10/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPARKY THE SLAYER Sep12 Aug23 Aug03 Jul20 Jun23 (sanch)ULLOA PATRICIO 125 30.00    
TURBONATOR Sep19 Aug29 Nov16     (richardville tian)PEREZ A 125 6.00 7% 14.30    
SCR  HAYWES Aug29 Aug09 Nov17     (green darlene)BAYS BROOKE 115 30.00    
FOREVER LASTING Sep19 Aug30 Aug15 Aug03 May29 (garcia )DE CRUZ 122 0.60 37% 1.70    
DOC BENNETT Sep12 May29 May08     (klopp randy)RAMOS D 122 20.00    
OUTSTANDINGJUSTICE Aug23 Aug09 Aug01 Jun22 Jun13 (davis josep)BURNHAM MATILDA 115 8.00 35% 1.90    
TANEYCOMO Sep12 Aug16 Jul08 Jun17 May29 (paye jose)ANDERSON MCKENNA 122 20.00    
SCR  REITERATION Sep12 Aug31 Aug01 Jul08 Jun17 (douglass devarus)MOJICA O 122 4.00    
 
IND-7   10/03/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 2 ALL PT- 5:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHIESTY TO CHASE         (langeme)DE CRUZ 119 20.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of EXCEDERE by SHAKESPEARE)
NOBLE GENTLEMAN Sep13 Aug18 Jul14 Jun10 May11 (demeritte lar)CANNON DECLAN 122 8.00    
  (by TAMARKUZ out of LOUVE ROYALE by PEINTRE CELEBRE)
MIGHTY KAI Sep08 Jul31       (maker michae)RAMOS D 122 4.00 23% 3.40    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of MY HAPPY PLACE by TAPIT)
BAYTOWN KITTY CAT Sep19 Aug31 Aug03 Jun16 May29 (mcentee paul)ELLIOTT JANE 119 10.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of ELEMENTSOFHARMONY by EXCHANGE RATE)
FINN AND BRENNAN Aug19         (cox brad )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 4.50 24% 3.10    
  (by AUDIBLE out of CLAIMING VICTORY by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
BADGE OF WAR         (cox brad )PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WAR FRONT out of BROOCH by HALO)
HEART OF OSCAR Sep06 Aug08       (stewart dall)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 8.00 6% 17.00    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of DYNAZAR by PURIM)
LEMON MERINGUE Sep11 Aug08       (silva miguel)PEREZ A 122 15.00 21% 3.70    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of LEMON GAL by LEMON DROP KID)
NEW SPELL Aug26 Aug11       (simms jr)NAVAS YOEL 115 30.00    
  (by HIGHTAIL out of BROKEN SPELL by BROKEN VOW)
SCR  CLASSIC EXPRESS         (leonard geo)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 30.00    
  (by TOURIST out of EXPRESS MISS by UNBRIDLED EXPRESS)
11  BARREL THIEF         (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 122 6.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of CLASS WILL TELL by BERNARDINI)
12  MIDNIGHT AWARD Sep02         (hernandez rey)MOJICA O 122 12.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of QUEEN'S AWARD by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  TIZZY INDY Aug10 Jul23       (desormeaux ke)COHEN DAVID 122 15.00    
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of TIZZY FEVER by TIZNOW)
SCR  I'M FREE         (thomas jo)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 12.00    
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of PAROL by MIZZEN MAST)
 
IND-8   10/03/2023 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CASANOVA KITTEN Sep13 Sep01 Aug16 Aug10 Jul21 (ginter raymon)CANNON DECLAN 122 12.00    
DYNABLUE Aug27 Aug09 Jul20 Jun29 Jun11 (poulos dee)MOJICA O 122 15.00    
INDOCUMENTADO Sep15 Aug23 Aug01 Jul15 Jun21 (jurado luis)MOJICA JR 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
GRAND HIDEAWAY Aug30 Aug02 Jul19 May28 Mar30 (meraz ant)BERMUDEZ E 119 6.00 23% 3.40    
NICHOLAS JONES Aug31 Aug05 Jul06 May12 Apr29 (brownfield claud)PRESCOTT R 122 10.00    
SCR  PINBALLER Sep04 Aug16 Aug02 Jul19 Jul06 (poulos de)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 20.00    
COMMAND CENTRAL Sep15 Aug27 Aug09 Aug03 Jun25 (meraz antoni)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
GLOBAL EMPIRE Aug30 Aug16 Jul30 Jul12 Jun29 (spagnola id)BURNHAM MATILDA 115 8.00    
RIVER REDEMPTION Aug16 Jul21 Jul06 Jan27 Jan06 (garcia ge)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 3.50    
10  ENGLISH CHALLENGE Aug29 Aug05 Jun17 May27 May16 (estvanko ric)RAMOS D 122 6.00 27% 2.70    
11  GRACEFUL KITTEN Aug31 Aug05 Jul06 Jun07 May15 (richardville)TERRAZA GERMAN 115 5.00    
12  MAJOR SPARKS Aug23 Jul21 Jun24 Jun17 May25 (wisner )DE CRUZ 119 15.00 20% 3.90    
SCR  BEST OF GREELEY Sep25 Sep05 Aug17 Jul06 Jun18 (garcia genaro)DIAZ RENE 122 4.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.