Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Grants Pass
Sunday - September 24, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
GRP-3   WIN (7/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/5)-(7/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
GRP-4   WIN (6/8/10/9/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/8/10/9/1)-(6/8/10/9/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
GRP-5   WIN (9/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/7/3)-(9/7/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
GRP-6   WIN (6/3/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/1/4)-(6/3/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GRP-7   WIN (3/6/7/2/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/6/7/2/4)-(3/6/7/2/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
GRP-8   WIN (8/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/6/2)-(8/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
GRP-3   09/24/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($7.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISO FAST Sep17 Sep09 Aug27 Aug18 Aug06 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 126 3.00    
2  NATIONHEART Aug20 Jul28 Jul08 Jul01 Jun18 (beckner t)IRONEYES R 121 8.00    
3  FAMOUS ROCK STAR Sep17 Sep02 Aug25 Aug05 Jul22 (baze rob)MURO ISIDRO 126 2.50 27% 2.70    
4  PRINCE OF LUCK Sep02 Aug19 Aug05 Jul23 Sep17 (freeman scott)LOPEZ E 126 6.00    
5  SMOKE AND BURN Sep10 Sep04 Aug25 Aug12 Jul28 (hurley denn)GUERRERO C 126 5.00 8% 12.10    
6  SECRET LIFE STYLE Sep09 Aug19 Jul28 Jul14 Feb28 (rober)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 126 8.00    
7  DARK AND DANDY Sep04 Aug12 Jun25 Jun10   (rosales jorge)ANAYA V 126 4.00 44% 1.30    
 
GRP-4   09/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($4K) Purse ($6.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SENSATIONAL CITY Sep03 Aug12 Aug10 Jul01 Jun17 (lyons ken)IRONEYES R 121 20.00 8% 11.00    
2  MISS MENSA Sep03 Jul09 Jun16 Jun04 May21 (silva-martinez )CRUZ M 126 10.00    
3  MISSY PARKER Sep11 Aug19 Aug09 Jul01 Jun17 (pollard eli)LOPEZ E 126 20.00    
4  SHESALILRUNAWAY Aug18 Aug10 Jul09 Jul01 Jun11 (harris )BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 8.00    
5  FLY PATTI FLY Sep17 Sep03 Aug12 Aug09 Jul12 (lawre)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 124 8.00    
6  STEEL NERVES Sep11 Aug25 Aug18 Aug09 Jul12 (hurley)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 4.00 24% 3.20    
7  ALY'S NATION Sep11 Oct16 Sep04 Aug12 Jul22 (kowalsky harle)ANAYA V 126 15.00    
8  CAMDEN HIGH Sep17 Aug26 Aug06 Jul23 Jul07 (morris m)MURO ISIDRO 126 3.00 23% 3.30    
9  ARCTIC FIRE Sep11 Aug25 Aug11 Jun17 Jun10 (hurley denn)GUERRERO C 126 6.00 9% 10.80    
10  OUR GIRL ASHLEY Sep17 Sep03 Aug25 Aug19 Aug09 (hof d)SMITH E 124 4.50 11% 8.00    
 
GRP-5   09/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 Allowance Purse ($7.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SIMONSITO Sep10 Aug12 Jul12 Jul04 Jun24 (cantrel)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 8.00    
SCR  CHUMLY Sep10 Aug10 Jul02 Jun25 Jun18 (hof bi)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 6.00    
3  CORAZON DE LUCIA Sep10 Aug27 Aug20 Jun18 May21 (guerrero em)GUERRERO C 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  SHE HAD A SECRET Sep09 Jul30 Jul23 Jul03 May21 (rober)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 123 10.00    
5  FOYT Sep17 Aug25 Aug19 Jul28 Jul09 (beckner t)IRONEYES R 121 12.00    
6  ROPERS N WRANGLERS Sep09 Nov26 Nov09 Oct15 Sep05 (rennie richard)ANAYA V 123 4.50 ★    
7  LUCKY CODE Aug27 Aug04 Jul02 Jun11   (freeman v)CRUZ M 124 3.00 6% 16.10    
8  PACKRAT BRANT Sep11 Sep03 Aug12 Aug09 Jul12 (stewart larr)SMITH E 126 20.00    
9  MR. BUGS Sep11 Sep02 Aug19 Aug06 Jul15 (perez serg)CRUZ DIAZ 126 4.00 70% 0.40    
10  THE THIRD RING Aug25 Aug13 Aug04 Jul22 Jul14 (chattong)MURO ISIDRO 126 12.00    
 
GRP-6   09/24/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 Allowance Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REIGN OF FIRE Sep10 Aug18 Aug04 Jul02 Jun23 (velasquez rigob)CRUZ M 126 2.50 9% 10.40    
2  QUEEN BREEZY Sep03 Jun10 May21 May14 Jul29 (velas)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 126 5.00    
3  FEATHER INTHE WIND Sep03 Aug25 Aug06 Jul08 Jun10 (lawrence )IRONEYES R 121 4.00 20% 4.00    
4  HEY WILMAAA Sep17 Aug26 Aug20 Jul02 Jun25 (beckner )MURO ISIDRO 126 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  GOOD JOB JACKIE Sep04 Jun24 Jun17 Jun28 Jun21 (klapatc)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 15.00    
6  RED NOON RISING Sep03 Aug19 Aug11 Mar19 Mar04 (rosales jorge)ANAYA V 126 5.00 43% 1.30    
7  TRUE FRIEND Sep11 Aug19 Aug11 Jun25 Jan11 (abraha)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 10.00    
8  HER PERFECT VISION Aug27 Aug20 Aug11 Jul30 Jul04 (guerrero em)GUERRERO C 126 10.00    
9  LOW DOSE Sep11 Aug26 Aug20 Aug10 Jul07 (hof d)SMITH E 126 6.00    
 
GRP-7   09/24/2023 5940ft DIRT RC9 Starter Allowance ($4K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PERSEVERANCE Sep18 Aug27 Aug20 Nov20 Oct29 (hof bil)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 10.00    
2  PULPITS POWER Sep04 Aug25 Aug20 Aug12 Jun25 (still)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 126 3.50 5% 19.00    
3  SPIRE Sep10 Aug25 Aug06 Jul28 Jul08 (baze robert)SMITH E 126 6.00 27% 2.80    
4  N. K. ROCKET MAN Sep18 Sep04 Aug02 Jul22 Jun28 (hernandez jua)LOPEZ E 126 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  THIRSTY KISS Sep09 Aug19 Aug05 Jul22 Jul08 (chattong vi)GUERRERO C 126 15.00    
6  MASHHAD FLATS Sep11 Aug27 Aug13 Aug03 Jul04 (cantrell)MURO ISIDRO 126 4.00 23% 3.30    
7  BENNY THE JET Aug25 Aug05 Jul14 Jun24 Jun03 (rosales jorge)ANAYA V 126 4.50 22% 3.60    
8  PIVOTAL FEVER Aug25 Aug18 Sep24 Aug28 Aug19 (winsch)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 5.00    
9  SYNC Sep17 Aug27 Aug20 Jul28 Jun17 (bumgardne)IRONEYES R 121 20.00    
10  FRANKS FIX IT Sep10 Aug12 Jul30 Jul15 Jun18 (cruz pea)CRUZ M 126 8.00    
 
GRP-8   09/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PICK YOUR BID Sep10 Aug20 Aug06 Jul30 Jul09 (chatt)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 126 10.00    
2  ARTHUR SPOONER Sep09 Aug27 Jul30 Jul07 Jun24 (gabriel luc)ORTIZ A 126 4.00 16% 5.20    
3  AMERICAN GRIT Sep03 Aug26 Aug11 Jun17 Jun09 (silva-martine)LOPEZ E 126 15.00    
SCR  BOB'S SNIPER Sep17 Sep10 Sep04 Aug25 Aug18 (guerrero di)GUERRERO C 126 3.00    
5  SUMMANUS Sep02 Aug11 Jul23 Jul09 Jun25 (perez serg)CRUZ DIAZ 126 4.50    
6  KHAIKY'S COMMAND Sep09 Aug18 Jan26 Dec15 Nov28 (cruz pea)CRUZ M 126 6.00 19% 4.20    
7  MR BOTANICALS Sep10 Aug26 Aug18 Jul23 Jul01 (abraha)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 8.00    
8  EXECUTIVE ACTION Sep16 Sep03 Aug19 Jul29 Jun23 (silva-ma)MURO ISIDRO 126 3.50 39% 1.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.