Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Saturday - August 05, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/5)-(3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/5)-(6/7/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/5)-(6/7/1/5)-(5/2/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-2   WIN (6/7/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/1/5)-(6/7/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/1/5)-(6/7/1/5)-(6/7/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/1/5)-(5/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/7/1/5)-(5/2/3)-(3/7/6/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-3   WIN (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/3)-(5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/3)-(3/7/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/3)-(3/7/6/2)-(2/5/8/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-4   WIN (3/7/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/6/2)-(3/7/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/6/2)-(3/7/6/2)-(3/7/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/6/2)-(2/5/8/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/7/6/2)-(2/5/8/4)-(2/8/3/1/9) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-5   WIN (2/5/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/8/4)-(2/5/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/8/4)-(2/5/8/4)-(2/5/8/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/8/4)-(2/8/3/1/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/5/8/4)-(2/8/3/1/9)-(5/8/7/6) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-6   WIN (2/8/3/1/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/8/3/1/9)-(2/8/3/1/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/8/3/1/9)-(2/8/3/1/9)-(2/8/3/1/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/8/3/1/9)-(5/8/7/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/8/3/1/9)-(5/8/7/6)-(6/1/10/4/7) 100 $1.00 $100 
CT-7   WIN (5/8/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/7/6)-(5/8/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/7/6)-(5/8/7/6)-(5/8/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/8/7/6)-(6/1/10/4/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CT-8   WIN (6/1/10/4/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/1/10/4/7)-(6/1/10/4/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/1/10/4/7)-(6/1/10/4/7)-(6/1/10/4/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   08/05/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MEETMARYSMAN Jun30 Jun02 May12 May06 Apr29 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 122 3.00    
2  CHARITABLE WINDSOR Jul21 May11 Apr22 Mar31   (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 120 2.50 19% 4.40    
3  HARPERSGONEFISHING Jul06 May06 Apr13 Mar18 Jan04 (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 1.80 47% 1.10    
4  COMEONTURNMELOOSE Jul07 Jun16 Jun09 May18 Apr27 (atkins mich)ESQUILIN J 122 5.00    
5  LASTWALKTOFREEDOM May12 Apr13 Feb17 Jan27   (mckee e)CECIL Y 118 15.00 8% 10.80    
6  HILLBILLY ROCK Jul15 Jun09 May26 Apr07 Mar18 (atkins mi)BOCACHICA J 112 6.00    
 
CT-2   08/05/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANCIN IN DUBAI Jul28 Jul14 Jun20 May05 Apr21 (brown kelt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  EARTHQUAKEDIRECTOR Jun22 Jun03 May18 May06 Apr14 (pyke joseph)SIMPSON JASON 120 30.00    
SCR  SLOE GIN BIZ Jul13 Jun22 Jun03 May18 May04 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 122 8.00    
4  HIS ROYAL G Jul26 Jul07 Jun22 Jun11 May26 (magana )BRICENO GREGOR 122 3.00    
5  SCOOTSCOOT Jul13 Jun22 Jun03 May25 May04 (knoblauch-perez)BOCACHICA O 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  TUSKEGEE CAT Jul05 May12 Apr13 Mar17 Feb24 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.20 58% 0.70    
7  BLISS THIS Jul27 Jun24 Oct01 Sep10 Sep03 (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 4.00 20% 4.10    
8  DINNER BELL Jun17 Feb22 Jan25 Jan04 Dec02 (king yolond)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 30.00    
 
CT-3   08/05/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WOODSONG'S CASTLE Jul14 May05 Apr28 Apr13 Mar18 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 122 15.00    
2  DIXIE YODELER Jul06 May05 Apr21 Mar25 Feb25 (davis rus)BOCACHICA J 112 4.50 25% 3.10    
3  BLUE MOUNTAIN Jul28 Jul06 Jun17 May18 Apr15 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.00 16% 5.20    
4  DIVA ROSE Jul20 Jun13 May19 Apr28 Mar25 (craig l)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 5.00    
5  SING A LULLABYE Jul20 Oct21 Oct06 Sep23 Sep02 (boggs joanna)BATISTA A 120 0.80 38% 1.60    
6  SIENTE LA BRISA Jul20 Apr21 Mar25 Feb18 Jan11 (stehr joseph )SIMPSON JASON 122 10.00    
 
CT-4   08/05/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOOKING FOR FLARE Jul14 May27 May07 Apr08 Aug27 (butts e)LARROSA G 118 3.00    
2  TIZBIT Jul20 Jul01 May20 Apr28 Apr06 (gillespie a)CULLUM W 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  CEDARS BULLS EYE Jul20 Jun23 May12 Mar10 Dec10 (grams timothy )MONTANO JOSE 122 1.40 57% 0.70    
4  FORT ZANNA Jul20 Jun23 May27 May06 Mar17 (conn p)RIOS-CONDE A 122 20.00    
5  TAPPING SOUTH Jul20 Jun23 May27 Apr28 Apr06 (barahona isaac)MAWING A 122 20.00    
6  LADY WHISTLEDOWN Jul08 Jun17 May06 Mar30 Mar04 (jones micha)ESQUILIN J 122 6.00 5% 17.80    
7  SHE'S MYBUDDYBUDDY Jun23 Jun09 May20 Apr28 Feb09 (haynes m)RODRIGUEZ V 118 2.50 11% 8.10    
 
CT-5   08/05/2023 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLASH OF DAY Jul27 Jul15 Jun24 Jun03 May05 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 122 5.00    
2  THE CLOWN Jul15 Jul01 May19 Apr08 Jul22 (grams timothy )MONTANO JOSE 124 4.00 46% 1.20    
3  GREAT GOOGLYMOOGLY Jul15 Jul01 Jun05 May04 Mar31 (joy j)ACOSTA D 120 5.00    
4  BUCKS LODGE Jan20 Jan05 Jul21 Jun30 Jun18 (rofe jean)RIOS-CONDE A 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  BASHDAFLASH Jul15 Jul06 Jun09 Apr21 Mar25 (jones micha)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 6.00 17% 5.00    
6  MO EH HENNESSY Jul15 Jun24 Jun01 Dec07 Nov04 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 3.50    
7  MIMS SECOND CHANCE Jul27 Jul08 Jun22 May27 Apr14 (rideout an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 4.50    
8  ROBBEDINTHEBAHAMAS Jul29 Jul07 Jun10 May26 May06 (shanley timothy)CECIL Y 124 12.00 8% 12.10    
 
CT-6   08/05/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SISTER SPIRIT Jul15 Jun17 May27 May06 Feb25 (aylor natasha)LOPEZ ANTONIO 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  BIZZY GAL Jul15 Jul07 May04 Feb26 Jan15 (runco jeff )CONCEPCION AXEL 113 2.50 48% 1.10    
3  MARIA FROM MIAMI Jul01 Jun18 May29 May13 Apr16 (sillaman richard )HO WESLEY 118 3.00 12% 7.50    
4  SHES SO SPEIGHTSY Jun16 Jun05 May04 Mar11 Feb19 (haynes erne)ESQUILIN J 118 6.00    
5  I B NASTY Jul15 Jul07 May11 Apr20 Mar30 (racanelli mar)SIMPSON JASON 120 15.00    
SCR  LONDON GOLD Jul15 Jun04 Apr06 Mar12 Feb12 (hillegass alexa)BOCACHICA O 122 20.00    
7  HOVEL Jul08 Jun09 May12 Apr28 Apr06 (davis rus)BOCACHICA J 110 15.00    
8  MIDNIGHT REGRET Jul07 Jun16 May04 Oct26 Oct01 (schiano-dic)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.50 15% 5.60    
9  WATERLOO ROSE Jul15 Jul07 Jun15 Dec10 Dec03 (tobin l)RODRIGUEZ V 120 50.00 5% 19.00    
10  DALLAS Jul29 Jul14 Jun16 Mar18 Feb25 (salinas jose)LARROSA G 122 6.00    
 
CT-7   08/05/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GEORGE Jul15 Jun10 May13     (walters l)PELTROCHE F 118 5.00    
SCR  CUPID'S SONG Jul06 Jan06       (mckee e)CECIL Y 120 6.00    
3  GOLDEN ARROW (IRE) Jun06 Apr29 Apr08 Mar18 Jan28 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 10.00    
4  DONNIE B Jul15 Jun03 May13 Mar30 Mar10 (barber do)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 20.00    
5  LA MADDALENA Jul15 Jun24 Jun03 May18 Apr29 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 115 4.00 36% 1.70    
6  KAYLEE'S SPITFIRE Jul21 Jul15 Jun24 Jun03 May13 (clatterbuck fre)RODRIGUEZ V 116 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  HARDLY EVER BETTER Aug19 Jul18 Jun18 May21 Apr02 (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 3.00 20% 4.00    
8  XCELLENT START Jul15 Feb01 Jan07 Oct08 Sep17 (runco jeff )CONCEPCION AXEL 111 3.50 21% 3.90    
 
CT-8   08/05/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.7K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANOTHER VICTORY Jun24 May27 Feb05 Jan15   (gillespie r)ESQUILIN J 122 8.00 21% 3.80    
2  BUCKED TOOTH Jul20 Apr07 Feb22 Jan06 Nov19 (king yolonda)ADAMS L 115 30.00    
3  KRACHENWAGEN Feb15 Jan22 Nov29 Oct28 Oct09 (mcmahon i)ACOSTA D 122 10.00    
4  ROYAL THUNDER Jun24 Jun06 May13 Apr22 Apr01 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  FORT FORTITUDE Jun15 Jun02 May13 Apr22 Mar17 (pickett c)BOCACHICA J 112 15.00    
6  AUBURN MILL Jul15 Jun24 May27 May13 Apr22 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.20 38% 1.60    
7  SCOTTSDALE Jul15 Aug18 Jul28 Jul08 Jun25 (tobin l)RODRIGUEZ V 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
8  SUPERHIGHWAY May09 Mar16       (gazzier kr)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 5.00    
9  SPRING THE BEAST Jul01 Jun18 Jun03 May20 May06 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 122 20.00    
10  INDIANA RED May20 Feb01 Jan12 Nov10 Oct21 (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 4.50 16% 5.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.